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ENGLAND › CHAMPIONSHIP
--.--.---- --:--
Derby
FT
1 - 1
Millwall
Pride Park
Referee: Thomas Kirk, England
Derby
Match Timeline
Millwall
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
3'
Callum Elder
Derby
🟨
19'
Liam Thompson
Derby
🔄
67'
A. Weimann ↔ R. Brewster
Derby
🔄
67'
B. Brereton Diaz ↔ L. Salvesen
Derby
🔄
68'
R. Bangura-Williams ↔ A. Emakhu
Millwall
🟨
78'
Femi Azeez
Millwall
⚽
81'
M. Clarke
Millwall
🔄
85'
S. Langas ↔ C. Blackett-Taylor
Derby
🔄
85'
C. Elder ↔ K. Jackson
Derby
🔄
85'
L. Thompson ↔ E. Adams
Derby
⚽
88'
J. Cooper
Derby
🔄
89'
F. Azeez ↔ D. McNamara
Millwall
🔄
89'
A. Doughty ↔ J. Bryan
Millwall
🟨
90+6'
Macaulay Langstaff
Millwall
🟨
90+1'
Danny McNamara
Millwall
🔄
90+2'
T. Ballo ↔ M. Langstaff
Millwall

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
Probability Distribution
Derby Win 0%
Draw 0%
Millwall Win 0%
Expected Goals (xG)
Derby1.35
Millwall1.31
Recent Form (Last 5)
Derby Derby
WWDLW
26 GF / 28 GA
Millwall Millwall
WLDWL
23 GF / 25 GA
Key Stats
1.37
Average Goals Scored
1.21
1.47
Average Goals Conceded
1.32
14
BTTS Yes
8
10
Over 2.5
9
2.95
Shots on Goal
4.05

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Derby Derby 19 matches
Millwall Millwall 19 matches
Derby Statistic Millwall
7 Wins 10
5 Draws 4
7 Losses 5
26 Goals For 23
28 Goals Against 25
1.37 Avg Goals Scored 1.21
1.47 Avg Goals Conceded 1.32
14 BTTS Yes 8
14 Over 1.5 14
10 Over 2.5 9
6 Over 3.5 5
3 Clean Sheets 7
2 Failed To Score 4
2.95 Shots On Goal 4.05
9.11 Total Shots 12.89
4.74 Corners 5.21
40.9% Ball Possession 46.1%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Derby won 3 times, Millwall won 7 times, while 5 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 15:17 from Derby's perspective. 5 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 7 matches, with an average of 2.13 goals per game.

Predicted formations: Derby 3-4-1-2 / Millwall 4-1-4-1
H2H summary: Derby wins 3, draws 5, Millwall wins 7
Stats
Derby Derby
Millwall Millwall
Shots on Goal
4
Shots on Goal
2
Shots off Goal
7
Shots off Goal
5
Blocked Shots
2
Blocked Shots
5
11 Corner Kicks 7
9 Fouls 13
2 Offsides 3
55% Ball Possession 45%
13 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Goal 2
7 Shots off Goal 5
2 Blocked Shots 5
10 Shots insidebox 8
3 Shots outsidebox 4
1 Goalkeeper Saves 4
341 Total passes 276
243 Passes accurate 177
1.20 expected_goals 0.91
🟨 2 Yellow Cards 3 🟨
🟥 0 Red Cards 0 🟥

Lineups

Derby
Formation
Millwall
J. Widell Zetterstrom
J. Widell Zetterstrom
S. Langas
↓
S. Langas
D. Sanderson
D. Sanderson
M. Clarke
⚽
M. Clarke
J. Ward
J. Ward
L. Thompson
↓
L. Thompson
B. Clark
B. Clark
C. Elder
↓
C. Elder
A. Weimann
↓
A. Weimann
P. Agyemang
P. Agyemang
B. Brereton Diaz
↓
B. Brereton Diaz
M. Crocombe
M. Crocombe
T. Crama
T. Crama
C. Taylor
C. Taylor
J. Cooper
⚽
J. Cooper
A. Doughty
↓
A. Doughty
D. Kelly
D. Kelly
F. Azeez
↓
F. Azeez
C. Neghli
C. Neghli
R. Bangura-Williams
↓
R. Bangura-Williams
T. Ballo
↓
T. Ballo
M. Ivanovic
M. Ivanovic
Derby 3-4-1-2
Starting XI
1
J. Widell Zetterstrom
G
6
S. Langas
↓ 85'
D
28
D. Sanderson
D
5
M. Clarke
⚽ 81'
D
23
J. Ward
M
16
L. Thompson
↓ 85' 🟨 19'
M
42
B. Clark
M
20
C. Elder
↓ 85' 🟨 3'
M
14
A. Weimann
↓ 67'
F
7
P. Agyemang
F
25
B. Brereton Diaz
↓ 67'
F
Substitutes
31
J. Vickers
G
3
C. Forsyth
D
4
D. Batth
D
10
R. Brewster
↑ 67'
F
11
C. Blackett-Taylor
↑ 85'
F
15
L. Salvesen
↑ 67'
F
19
K. Jackson
↑ 85'
F
32
E. Adams
↑ 85'
M
35
C. Nelson
D
Millwall 4-1-4-1
Starting XI
15
M. Crocombe
G
4
T. Crama
D
6
C. Taylor
D
5
J. Cooper
⚽ 88'
D
14
A. Doughty
↓ 89'
D
16
D. Kelly
M
11
F. Azeez
↓ 89' 🟨 78'
M
10
C. Neghli
M
31
R. Bangura-Williams
↓ 68'
M
7
T. Ballo
↓ 90+2'
M
9
M. Ivanovic
F
Substitutes
13
S. Benda
G
2
D. McNamara
↑ 89' 🟨 90+1'
D
17
M. Langstaff
↑ 90+2' 🟨 90+6'
F
22
A. Emakhu
↑ 68'
F
23
J. Bryan
↑ 89'
D
27
K. Grant
D
28
A. Matthews
F
45
W. Harding
D
47
J. Howland
M
Last matches: Derby
04.08.26
Fri
Derby
Rotherham
1
1
D
01.08.26
Fri
Derby
Burton Albion
0
1
L
31.07.26
Fri
Derby
Mansfield Town
3
1
W
28.07.26
Fri
Derby
Valencia
1
2
L
24.07.26
Fri
Derby
SC Freiburg
1
3
L
17.07.26
Fri
Derby
Alfreton Town
2
0
W
02.05.26
Cha
Derby
Sheffield Utd
1
2
L
25.04.26
Cha
Derby
QPR
3
2
W
21.04.26
Cha
Derby
Norwich
1
2
L
18.04.26
Cha
Derby
Oxford United
1
0
W
11.04.26
Cha
Derby
Southampton
1
2
L
06.04.26
Cha
Derby
Stoke City
2
0
W
03.04.26
Cha
Derby
Coventry
2
3
L
21.03.26
Cha
Derby
Birmingham
1
0
W
16.03.26
Cha
Derby
Portsmouth
1
0
W
10.03.26
Cha
Derby
Millwall
0
1
L
07.03.26
Cha
Derby
Sheffield Wednesday
2
1
W
28.02.26
Cha
Derby
Blackburn
3
1
W
24.02.26
Cha
Derby
Hull City
2
4
L
21.02.26
Cha
Derby
Watford
0
2
L
Last matches: Millwall
01.08.26
Fri
Millwall
Antwerp
1
0
W
28.07.26
Fri
Millwall
Bromley
1
1
D
25.07.26
Fri
Millwall
Stevenage
0
1
L
21.07.26
Fri
Millwall
Gillingham
0
1
L
17.07.26
Fri
Millwall
Eldense
2
1
W
14.07.26
Fri
Millwall
FC Andorra
1
2
L
11.05.26
Cha
Millwall
Hull City
0
2
L
08.05.26
Cha
Millwall
Hull City
0
0
D
02.05.26
Cha
Millwall
Oxford United
2
0
W
24.04.26
Cha
Millwall
Leicester
1
1
D
21.04.26
Cha
Millwall
Stoke City
3
1
W
18.04.26
Cha
Millwall
QPR
2
0
W
10.04.26
Cha
Millwall
West Brom
0
0
D
06.04.26
Cha
Millwall
Norwich
1
2
L
03.04.26
Cha
Millwall
Middlesbrough
2
1
W
21.03.26
Cha
Millwall
Ipswich
1
1
D
14.03.26
Cha
Millwall
Blackburn
1
2
L
10.03.26
Cha
Millwall
Derby
1
0
W
07.03.26
Cha
Millwall
Hull City
3
1
W
28.02.26
Cha
Millwall
Preston
2
0
W
H2H: Derby vs Millwall
10.03.26
H2H
Millwall
Derby
1
0
L
10.12.25
H2H
Derby
Millwall
1
1
D
22.02.25
H2H
Derby
Millwall
0
1
L
19.10.24
H2H
Millwall
Derby
1
1
D
23.02.22
H2H
Derby
Millwall
1
2
L
06.11.21
H2H
Millwall
Derby
1
1
D
13.03.21
H2H
Derby
Millwall
0
1
L
05.12.20
H2H
Millwall
Derby
0
1
W
20.06.20
H2H
Millwall
Derby
2
3
W
14.12.19
H2H
Derby
Millwall
0
1
L
20.02.19
H2H
Derby
Millwall
0
1
L
18.08.18
H2H
Millwall
Derby
2
1
L
30.01.18
H2H
Millwall
Derby
0
0
D
23.12.17
H2H
Derby
Millwall
3
0
W
25.04.15
H2H
Millwall
Derby
3
3
D
Last matches: Derby
28.07.26
Fri
Derby
Valencia
1
2
L
02.05.26
Cha
Derby
Sheffield Utd
1
2
L
18.04.26
Cha
Derby
Oxford United
1
0
W
06.04.26
Cha
Derby
Stoke City
2
0
W
21.03.26
Cha
Derby
Birmingham
1
0
W
07.03.26
Cha
Derby
Sheffield Wednesday
2
1
W
28.02.26
Cha
Derby
Blackburn
3
1
W
14.02.26
Cha
Derby
Swansea
2
0
W
07.02.26
Cha
Derby
Ipswich
1
2
L
23.01.26
Cha
Derby
West Brom
1
1
D
11.01.26
FA
Derby
Leeds
1
3
L
04.01.26
Cha
Derby
Wrexham
1
2
L
01.01.26
Cha
Derby
Middlesbrough
1
0
W
20.12.25
Cha
Derby
Portsmouth
1
1
D
06.12.25
Cha
Derby
Leicester
1
3
L
22.11.25
Cha
Derby
Watford
2
3
L
04.11.25
Cha
Derby
Hull City
2
1
W
25.10.25
Cha
Derby
QPR
1
0
W
21.10.25
Cha
Derby
Norwich
1
0
W
04.10.25
Cha
Derby
Southampton
1
1
D
H2H at home: Derby
10.12.25
H2H
Derby
Millwall
1
1
D
22.02.25
H2H
Derby
Millwall
0
1
L
23.02.22
H2H
Derby
Millwall
1
2
L
13.03.21
H2H
Derby
Millwall
0
1
L
14.12.19
H2H
Derby
Millwall
0
1
L
20.02.19
H2H
Derby
Millwall
0
1
L
23.12.17
H2H
Derby
Millwall
3
0
W
Last matches: Millwall
28.07.26
Fri
Millwall
Bromley
1
1
D
25.07.26
Fri
Millwall
Stevenage
0
1
L
21.07.26
Fri
Millwall
Gillingham
0
1
L
17.07.26
Fri
Millwall
Eldense
2
1
W
14.07.26
Fri
Millwall
FC Andorra
1
2
L
08.05.26
Cha
Millwall
Hull City
0
0
D
24.04.26
Cha
Millwall
Leicester
1
1
D
21.04.26
Cha
Millwall
Stoke City
3
1
W
10.04.26
Cha
Millwall
West Brom
0
0
D
03.04.26
Cha
Millwall
Middlesbrough
2
1
W
21.03.26
Cha
Millwall
Ipswich
1
1
D
07.03.26
Cha
Millwall
Hull City
3
1
W
28.02.26
Cha
Millwall
Preston
2
0
W
14.02.26
Cha
Millwall
Sheffield Wednesday
2
1
W
07.02.26
Cha
Millwall
Wrexham
2
0
W
20.01.26
Cha
Millwall
Coventry
1
2
L
17.01.26
Cha
Millwall
Watford
2
0
W
10.01.26
FA
Millwall
Burnley
1
5
L
01.01.26
Cha
Millwall
Southampton
0
0
D
20.12.25
Cha
Millwall
Blackburn
0
2
L
H2H away: Millwall
10.12.25
H2H
Derby
Millwall
1
1
D
22.02.25
H2H
Derby
Millwall
0
1
W
23.02.22
H2H
Derby
Millwall
1
2
W
13.03.21
H2H
Derby
Millwall
0
1
W
14.12.19
H2H
Derby
Millwall
0
1
W
20.02.19
H2H
Derby
Millwall
0
1
W
23.12.17
H2H
Derby
Millwall
3
0
L

Standings

Championship
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1
Coventry
46 28 11 7 97:45 52 95
W W W D D
2
Ipswich
46 23 15 8 80:47 33 84
W D D W D
3
Millwall Away
46 24 11 11 64:49 15 83
L D W D W
4
Southampton
46 22 14 10 82:56 26 80
W D W D D
5
Middlesbrough
46 22 14 10 72:47 25 80
L L D D W
6
Hull City
46 21 10 15 70:66 4 73
W W D W L
7
Wrexham
46 19 14 13 69:65 4 71
D L W W L
8
Derby Home
46 20 9 17 67:59 8 69
L W L W L
9
Norwich
46 19 8 19 63:56 7 65
L D W W L
10
Birmingham
46 17 13 16 57:56 1 64
D W W D W
11
Swansea
46 18 10 18 57:59 -2 64
W D W L W
12
Bristol City
46 17 11 18 59:59 0 62
W L D L D
13
Sheffield Utd
46 18 6 22 66:66 0 60
W L L W W
14
Preston
46 15 15 16 55:62 -7 60
L W L L W
15
QPR
46 16 10 20 61:73 -12 58
L L L L D
16
Watford
46 14 15 17 53:65 -12 57
L L L L L
17
Stoke City
46 15 10 21 51:56 -5 55
L L L L D
18
Portsmouth
46 14 13 19 49:64 -15 55
D W L W W
19
Charlton
46 13 14 19 44:58 -14 53
L W L D L
20
Blackburn
46 13 13 20 42:56 -14 52
L W D L D
21
West Brom
46 13 14 19 48:58 -10 51
L D W W D
22
Oxford United
46 11 14 21 45:59 -14 47
L W L L W
23
Leicester
46 12 16 18 58:68 -10 46
W D D L L
24
Sheffield Wednesday
46 2 12 32 29:89 -60 0
W L L D D
Promotion
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Relegation