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ENGLAND › CHAMPIONSHIP
01.01.2026 15:00
Derby
FT
1 - 0
Middlesbrough
Pride Park
Referee: Andrew Kitchen, England
Derby
Match Timeline
Middlesbrough
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🔄
46'
M. K. Sene ↔ A. Gilbert
Middlesbrough
🟨
59'
Callum Elder
Derby
🔄
59'
P. Agyemang ↔ L. Salvesen
Derby
🔄
59'
R. Brewster ↔ B. Brereton Diaz
Derby
⚽
70'
B. Clark · Assist: L. Salvesen
Derby
🟨
73'
Lars-Jørgen Salvesen
Derby
🔄
76'
C. Brittain ↔ S. Silvera
Middlesbrough
🔄
77'
A. Morris ↔ S. Nypan
Middlesbrough
🔄
78'
B. Clark ↔ A. Weimann
Derby
🟨
84'
Alexander Gilbert
Middlesbrough
🔄
87'
A. Bangura ↔ A. Browne
Middlesbrough
🔄
87'
T. Conway ↔ M. Hamilton
Middlesbrough
🟨
90+4'
Matt Targett
Middlesbrough

Derby vs Middlesbrough Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
Probability Distribution
Derby Win 0%
Draw 0%
Middlesbrough Win 0%
Expected Goals (xG)
Derby1.24
Middlesbrough1.38
Recent Form (Last 5)
Derby Derby
WWDLW
33 GF / 33 GA
Middlesbrough Middlesbrough
WLDWL
33 GF / 25 GA
Key Stats
1.38
Average Goals Scored
1.38
1.38
Average Goals Conceded
1.04
18
BTTS Yes
14
12
Over 2.5
12
3.17
Shots on Goal
4.04

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Derby Derby 24 matches
Middlesbrough Middlesbrough 24 matches
Derby Statistic Middlesbrough
8 Wins 12
8 Draws 7
8 Losses 5
33 Goals For 33
33 Goals Against 25
1.38 Avg Goals Scored 1.38
1.38 Avg Goals Conceded 1.04
18 BTTS Yes 14
19 Over 1.5 17
12 Over 2.5 12
6 Over 3.5 4
4 Clean Sheets 6
2 Failed To Score 6
3.17 Shots On Goal 4.04
9.46 Total Shots 14.08
4.88 Corners 6.17
41.9% Ball Possession 57%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Derby won 5 times, Middlesbrough won 6 times, while 4 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 16:19 from Derby's perspective. 7 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 7 matches, with an average of 2.33 goals per game.

Predicted formations: Derby 3-4-1-2 / Middlesbrough 4-2-2-2
H2H summary: Derby wins 5, draws 4, Middlesbrough wins 6

Standings

Championship
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1
Coventry
46 28 11 7 97:45 52 95
W W W D D
2
Ipswich
46 23 15 8 80:47 33 84
W D D W D
3
Millwall
46 24 11 11 64:49 15 83
L D W D W
4
Southampton
46 22 14 10 82:56 26 80
W D W D D
5
Middlesbrough Away
46 22 14 10 72:47 25 80
L L D D W
6
Hull City
46 21 10 15 70:66 4 73
W W D W L
7
Wrexham
46 19 14 13 69:65 4 71
D L W W L
8
Derby Home
46 20 9 17 67:59 8 69
L W L W L
9
Norwich
46 19 8 19 63:56 7 65
L D W W L
10
Birmingham
46 17 13 16 57:56 1 64
D W W D W
11
Swansea
46 18 10 18 57:59 -2 64
W D W L W
12
Bristol City
46 17 11 18 59:59 0 62
W L D L D
13
Sheffield Utd
46 18 6 22 66:66 0 60
W L L W W
14
Preston
46 15 15 16 55:62 -7 60
L W L L W
15
QPR
46 16 10 20 61:73 -12 58
L L L L D
16
Watford
46 14 15 17 53:65 -12 57
L L L L L
17
Stoke City
46 15 10 21 51:56 -5 55
L L L L D
18
Portsmouth
46 14 13 19 49:64 -15 55
D W L W W
19
Charlton
46 13 14 19 44:58 -14 53
L W L D L
20
Blackburn
46 13 13 20 42:56 -14 52
L W D L D
21
West Brom
46 13 14 19 48:58 -10 51
L D W W D
22
Oxford United
46 11 14 21 45:59 -14 47
L W L L W
23
Leicester
46 12 16 18 58:68 -10 46
W D D L L
24
Sheffield Wednesday
46 2 12 32 29:89 -60 0
W L L D D
Promotion
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