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ENGLAND › CHAMPIONSHIP
--.--.---- --:--
Derby
FT
1 - 0
Middlesbrough
Pride Park
Referee: Andrew Kitchen, England
Derby
Match Timeline
Middlesbrough
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🔄
46'
M. K. Sene ↔ A. Gilbert
Middlesbrough
🟨
59'
Callum Elder
Derby
🔄
59'
P. Agyemang ↔ L. Salvesen
Derby
🔄
59'
R. Brewster ↔ B. Brereton Diaz
Derby
⚽
70'
B. Clark · Assist: L. Salvesen
Derby
🟨
73'
Lars-Jørgen Salvesen
Derby
🔄
76'
C. Brittain ↔ S. Silvera
Middlesbrough
🔄
77'
A. Morris ↔ S. Nypan
Middlesbrough
🔄
78'
B. Clark ↔ A. Weimann
Derby
🟨
84'
Alexander Gilbert
Middlesbrough
🔄
87'
A. Bangura ↔ A. Browne
Middlesbrough
🔄
87'
T. Conway ↔ M. Hamilton
Middlesbrough
🟨
90+4'
Matt Targett
Middlesbrough

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
Probability Distribution
Derby Win 0%
Draw 0%
Middlesbrough Win 0%
Expected Goals (xG)
Derby1.24
Middlesbrough1.38
Recent Form (Last 5)
Derby Derby
WWDLW
33 GF / 33 GA
Middlesbrough Middlesbrough
WLDWL
33 GF / 25 GA
Key Stats
1.38
Average Goals Scored
1.38
1.38
Average Goals Conceded
1.04
18
BTTS Yes
14
12
Over 2.5
12
3.17
Shots on Goal
4.04

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Derby Derby 24 matches
Middlesbrough Middlesbrough 24 matches
Derby Statistic Middlesbrough
8 Wins 12
8 Draws 7
8 Losses 5
33 Goals For 33
33 Goals Against 25
1.38 Avg Goals Scored 1.38
1.38 Avg Goals Conceded 1.04
18 BTTS Yes 14
19 Over 1.5 17
12 Over 2.5 12
6 Over 3.5 4
4 Clean Sheets 6
2 Failed To Score 6
3.17 Shots On Goal 4.04
9.46 Total Shots 14.08
4.88 Corners 6.17
41.9% Ball Possession 57%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Derby won 5 times, Middlesbrough won 6 times, while 4 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 16:19 from Derby's perspective. 7 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 7 matches, with an average of 2.33 goals per game.

Predicted formations: Derby 3-4-1-2 / Middlesbrough 4-2-2-2
H2H summary: Derby wins 5, draws 4, Middlesbrough wins 6
Stats
Derby Derby
Middlesbrough Middlesbrough
Shots on Goal
3
Shots on Goal
5
Shots off Goal
1
Shots off Goal
10
Blocked Shots
3
Blocked Shots
4
4 Corner Kicks 9
12 Fouls 9
1 Offsides 0
32% Ball Possession 68%
7 Total Shots 19
3 Shots on Goal 5
1 Shots off Goal 10
3 Blocked Shots 4
4 Shots insidebox 10
3 Shots outsidebox 9
5 Goalkeeper Saves 2
246 Total passes 531
179 Passes accurate 467
1.22 expected_goals 1.32
🟨 2 Yellow Cards 2 🟨
🟥 0 Red Cards 0 🟥

Lineups

Derby
Formation
Middlesbrough
J. Widell Zetterstrom
J. Widell Zetterstrom
S. Langas
S. Langas
D. Sanderson
D. Sanderson
M. Clarke
M. Clarke
J. Ward
J. Ward
L. Thompson
L. Thompson
E. Adams
E. Adams
C. Elder
C. Elder
B. Clark
⚽ ↓
B. Clark
R. Brewster
↓
R. Brewster
P. Agyemang
↓
P. Agyemang
S. Brynn
S. Brynn
C. Brittain
↓
C. Brittain
L. Ayling
L. Ayling
M. Targett
M. Targett
A. Bangura
↓
A. Bangura
A. Morris
↓
A. Morris
H. Hackney
H. Hackney
M. K. Sene
↓
M. K. Sene
T. Conway
↓
T. Conway
M. Whittaker
M. Whittaker
D. Burgzorg
D. Burgzorg
Derby 3-4-1-2
Starting XI
1
J. Widell Zetterstrom
G
6
S. Langas
D
28
D. Sanderson
D
5
M. Clarke
D
23
J. Ward
M
16
L. Thompson
M
32
E. Adams
M
20
C. Elder
🟨 59'
M
42
B. Clark
⚽ 70' ↓ 78'
F
10
R. Brewster
↓ 59'
F
7
P. Agyemang
↓ 59'
F
Substitutes
12
R. O'Donnell
G
3
C. Forsyth
D
4
D. Batth
D
11
C. Blackett-Taylor
F
14
A. Weimann
↑ 78'
F
15
L. Salvesen
🎯 70' ↑ 59' 🟨 73'
F
19
K. Jackson
F
25
B. Brereton Diaz
↑ 59'
F
27
L. Travis
M
Middlesbrough 4-2-2-2
Starting XI
31
S. Brynn
G
2
C. Brittain
↓ 76'
D
12
L. Ayling
D
3
M. Targett
🟨 90+4'
D
24
A. Bangura
↓ 87'
D
18
A. Morris
↓ 77'
M
7
H. Hackney
M
20
M. K. Sene
↓ 46'
M
9
T. Conway
↓ 87'
M
11
M. Whittaker
F
10
D. Burgzorg
F
Substitutes
33
J. McLaughlin
G
14
A. Gilbert
↑ 46' 🟨 84'
F
16
A. Browne
↑ 87'
M
17
M. Hamilton
↑ 87'
F
19
S. Nypan
↑ 77'
M
22
S. Silvera
↑ 76'
F
27
S. Hansen
F
42
A. Kante
M
47
A. Baptiste
Last matches: Derby
04.08.26
Fri
Derby
Rotherham
1
1
D
01.08.26
Fri
Derby
Burton Albion
0
1
L
31.07.26
Fri
Derby
Mansfield Town
3
1
W
28.07.26
Fri
Derby
Valencia
1
2
L
24.07.26
Fri
Derby
SC Freiburg
1
3
L
17.07.26
Fri
Derby
Alfreton Town
2
0
W
02.05.26
Cha
Derby
Sheffield Utd
1
2
L
25.04.26
Cha
Derby
QPR
3
2
W
21.04.26
Cha
Derby
Norwich
1
2
L
18.04.26
Cha
Derby
Oxford United
1
0
W
11.04.26
Cha
Derby
Southampton
1
2
L
06.04.26
Cha
Derby
Stoke City
2
0
W
03.04.26
Cha
Derby
Coventry
2
3
L
21.03.26
Cha
Derby
Birmingham
1
0
W
16.03.26
Cha
Derby
Portsmouth
1
0
W
10.03.26
Cha
Derby
Millwall
0
1
L
07.03.26
Cha
Derby
Sheffield Wednesday
2
1
W
28.02.26
Cha
Derby
Blackburn
3
1
W
24.02.26
Cha
Derby
Hull City
2
4
L
21.02.26
Cha
Derby
Watford
0
2
L
Last matches: Middlesbrough
01.08.26
Fri
Middlesbrough
Espanyol
3
3
D
25.07.26
Fri
Middlesbrough
Huddersfield
1
3
L
18.07.26
Fri
Middlesbrough
Celtic
1
1
D
23.05.26
Cha
Middlesbrough
Hull City
0
1
L
12.05.26
Cha
Middlesbrough
Southampton
1
2
L
09.05.26
Cha
Middlesbrough
Southampton
0
0
D
02.05.26
Cha
Middlesbrough
Wrexham
2
2
D
25.04.26
Cha
Middlesbrough
Watford
5
1
W
22.04.26
Cha
Middlesbrough
Sheffield Wednesday
1
0
W
19.04.26
Cha
Middlesbrough
Ipswich
2
2
D
11.04.26
Cha
Middlesbrough
Portsmouth
0
1
L
06.04.26
Cha
Middlesbrough
Swansea
2
2
D
03.04.26
Cha
Middlesbrough
Millwall
1
2
L
21.03.26
Cha
Middlesbrough
Blackburn
0
0
D
14.03.26
Cha
Middlesbrough
Bristol City
1
1
D
11.03.26
Cha
Middlesbrough
Charlton
0
1
L
08.03.26
Cha
Middlesbrough
QPR
4
0
W
02.03.26
Cha
Middlesbrough
Birmingham
3
1
W
24.02.26
Cha
Middlesbrough
Leicester
1
1
D
21.02.26
Cha
Middlesbrough
Oxford United
0
0
D
H2H: Derby vs Middlesbrough
01.01.26
H2H
Derby
Middlesbrough
1
0
W
29.11.25
H2H
Middlesbrough
Derby
2
1
L
01.03.25
H2H
Middlesbrough
Derby
1
0
L
17.08.24
H2H
Derby
Middlesbrough
1
0
W
12.02.22
H2H
Middlesbrough
Derby
4
1
L
21.08.21
H2H
Derby
Middlesbrough
0
0
D
13.02.21
H2H
Derby
Middlesbrough
2
1
W
25.11.20
H2H
Middlesbrough
Derby
3
0
L
11.01.20
H2H
Middlesbrough
Derby
2
2
D
02.11.19
H2H
Derby
Middlesbrough
2
0
W
01.01.19
H2H
Derby
Middlesbrough
1
1
D
27.10.18
H2H
Middlesbrough
Derby
1
1
D
21.04.18
H2H
Derby
Middlesbrough
1
2
L
25.11.17
H2H
Middlesbrough
Derby
0
3
W
02.01.16
H2H
Middlesbrough
Derby
2
0
L
Last matches: Derby
28.07.26
Fri
Derby
Valencia
1
2
L
02.05.26
Cha
Derby
Sheffield Utd
1
2
L
18.04.26
Cha
Derby
Oxford United
1
0
W
06.04.26
Cha
Derby
Stoke City
2
0
W
21.03.26
Cha
Derby
Birmingham
1
0
W
07.03.26
Cha
Derby
Sheffield Wednesday
2
1
W
28.02.26
Cha
Derby
Blackburn
3
1
W
14.02.26
Cha
Derby
Swansea
2
0
W
07.02.26
Cha
Derby
Ipswich
1
2
L
23.01.26
Cha
Derby
West Brom
1
1
D
11.01.26
FA
Derby
Leeds
1
3
L
04.01.26
Cha
Derby
Wrexham
1
2
L
20.12.25
Cha
Derby
Portsmouth
1
1
D
10.12.25
Cha
Derby
Millwall
1
1
D
06.12.25
Cha
Derby
Leicester
1
3
L
22.11.25
Cha
Derby
Watford
2
3
L
04.11.25
Cha
Derby
Hull City
2
1
W
25.10.25
Cha
Derby
QPR
1
0
W
21.10.25
Cha
Derby
Norwich
1
0
W
04.10.25
Cha
Derby
Southampton
1
1
D
H2H at home: Derby
01.01.26
H2H
Derby
Middlesbrough
1
0
W
17.08.24
H2H
Derby
Middlesbrough
1
0
W
21.08.21
H2H
Derby
Middlesbrough
0
0
D
13.02.21
H2H
Derby
Middlesbrough
2
1
W
02.11.19
H2H
Derby
Middlesbrough
2
0
W
01.01.19
H2H
Derby
Middlesbrough
1
1
D
21.04.18
H2H
Derby
Middlesbrough
1
2
L
Last matches: Middlesbrough
18.07.26
Fri
Middlesbrough
Celtic
1
1
D
23.05.26
Cha
Middlesbrough
Hull City
0
1
L
12.05.26
Cha
Middlesbrough
Southampton
1
2
L
02.05.26
Cha
Middlesbrough
Wrexham
2
2
D
19.04.26
Cha
Middlesbrough
Ipswich
2
2
D
06.04.26
Cha
Middlesbrough
Swansea
2
2
D
21.03.26
Cha
Middlesbrough
Blackburn
0
0
D
08.03.26
Cha
Middlesbrough
QPR
4
0
W
02.03.26
Cha
Middlesbrough
Birmingham
3
1
W
16.02.26
Cha
Middlesbrough
Coventry
1
3
L
09.02.26
Cha
Middlesbrough
Sheffield Utd
2
1
W
21.01.26
Cha
Middlesbrough
Stoke City
2
1
W
16.01.26
Cha
Middlesbrough
West Brom
3
2
W
10.01.26
FA
Middlesbrough
Fulham
1
3
L
20.12.25
Cha
Middlesbrough
Bristol City
0
2
L
09.12.25
Cha
Middlesbrough
Charlton
2
1
W
05.12.25
Cha
Middlesbrough
Hull City
4
1
W
22.11.25
Cha
Middlesbrough
Oxford United
1
1
D
04.11.25
Cha
Middlesbrough
Leicester
1
1
D
01.11.25
Cha
Middlesbrough
Watford
0
3
L
H2H away: Middlesbrough
01.01.26
H2H
Derby
Middlesbrough
1
0
L
17.08.24
H2H
Derby
Middlesbrough
1
0
L
21.08.21
H2H
Derby
Middlesbrough
0
0
D
13.02.21
H2H
Derby
Middlesbrough
2
1
L
02.11.19
H2H
Derby
Middlesbrough
2
0
L
01.01.19
H2H
Derby
Middlesbrough
1
1
D
21.04.18
H2H
Derby
Middlesbrough
1
2
W

Standings

Championship
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1
Coventry
46 28 11 7 97:45 52 95
W W W D D
2
Ipswich
46 23 15 8 80:47 33 84
W D D W D
3
Millwall
46 24 11 11 64:49 15 83
L D W D W
4
Southampton
46 22 14 10 82:56 26 80
W D W D D
5
Middlesbrough Away
46 22 14 10 72:47 25 80
L L D D W
6
Hull City
46 21 10 15 70:66 4 73
W W D W L
7
Wrexham
46 19 14 13 69:65 4 71
D L W W L
8
Derby Home
46 20 9 17 67:59 8 69
L W L W L
9
Norwich
46 19 8 19 63:56 7 65
L D W W L
10
Birmingham
46 17 13 16 57:56 1 64
D W W D W
11
Swansea
46 18 10 18 57:59 -2 64
W D W L W
12
Bristol City
46 17 11 18 59:59 0 62
W L D L D
13
Sheffield Utd
46 18 6 22 66:66 0 60
W L L W W
14
Preston
46 15 15 16 55:62 -7 60
L W L L W
15
QPR
46 16 10 20 61:73 -12 58
L L L L D
16
Watford
46 14 15 17 53:65 -12 57
L L L L L
17
Stoke City
46 15 10 21 51:56 -5 55
L L L L D
18
Portsmouth
46 14 13 19 49:64 -15 55
D W L W W
19
Charlton
46 13 14 19 44:58 -14 53
L W L D L
20
Blackburn
46 13 13 20 42:56 -14 52
L W D L D
21
West Brom
46 13 14 19 48:58 -10 51
L D W W D
22
Oxford United
46 11 14 21 45:59 -14 47
L W L L W
23
Leicester
46 12 16 18 58:68 -10 46
W D D L L
24
Sheffield Wednesday
46 2 12 32 29:89 -60 0
W L L D D
Promotion
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Relegation