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ENGLAND › CHAMPIONSHIP
--.--.---- --:--
Derby
FT
1 - 3
Leicester
Pride Park
Referee: Josh Smith, England
Derby
Match Timeline
Leicester
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
⚽
8'
B. De Cordova-Reid · Assist: J. James
Leicester
⚽
15'
O. Skipp
Leicester
🟨
19'
Jannik Vestergaard
Leicester
🟨
22'
Ebou Adams
Derby
🟨
24'
Sondre Klingen Langås
Derby
⚽
31'
J. James · Assist: L. Thomas
Leicester
🔄
46'
L. Salvesen ↔ A. Weimann
Derby
🔄
46'
E. Adams ↔ L. Thompson
Derby
⚽
63'
S. Langas · Assist: J. Ward
Derby
🟨
64'
Bobby Decordova-Reid
Leicester
🔄
65'
B. De Cordova-Reid ↔ H. Choudhury
Leicester
🔄
66'
B. Brereton Diaz ↔ C. Blackett-Taylor
Derby
🔄
66'
D. Sanderson ↔ K. Jackson
Derby
🟨
77'
Liam Thompson
Derby
🔄
78'
J. Ayew ↔ S. Thomas
Leicester
🔄
78'
I. Fatawu ↔ P. Daka
Leicester
🔄
87'
S. Mavididi ↔ O. Aluko
Leicester
🔄
87'
J. James ↔ L. Page
Leicester
🔄
90+1'
C. Elder ↔ C. Nelson
Derby

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
Probability Distribution
Derby Win 0%
Draw 0%
Leicester Win 0%
Expected Goals (xG)
Derby1.35
Leicester1.29
Recent Form (Last 5)
Derby Derby
WWDLW
25 GF / 25 GA
Leicester Leicester
WLDWL
22 GF / 23 GA
Key Stats
1.39
Average Goals Scored
1.22
1.39
Average Goals Conceded
1.28
13
BTTS Yes
12
9
Over 2.5
9
2.83
Shots on Goal
4

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Derby Derby 18 matches
Leicester Leicester 18 matches
Derby Statistic Leicester
7 Wins 6
5 Draws 6
6 Losses 6
25 Goals For 22
25 Goals Against 23
1.39 Avg Goals Scored 1.22
1.39 Avg Goals Conceded 1.28
13 BTTS Yes 12
13 Over 1.5 15
9 Over 2.5 9
5 Over 3.5 3
3 Clean Sheets 3
2 Failed To Score 4
2.83 Shots On Goal 4
8.61 Total Shots 12.89
4.67 Corners 5.56
39.8% Ball Possession 55.6%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

H2H Analysis

Across those 12 head-to-head meetings, Derby won 1 times, Leicester won 10 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 11:30 from Derby's perspective. 10 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 9 matches, with an average of 3.42 goals per game.

Predicted formations: Derby 4-4-2 / Leicester 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: Derby wins 1, draws 1, Leicester wins 10
Stats
Derby Derby
Leicester Leicester
Shots on Goal
5
Shots on Goal
4
Shots off Goal
2
Shots off Goal
0
Blocked Shots
11
Blocked Shots
0
6 Corner Kicks 2
11 Fouls 11
2 Offsides 1
62% Ball Possession 38%
18 Total Shots 4
5 Shots on Goal 4
2 Shots off Goal 0
11 Blocked Shots 0
10 Shots insidebox 4
8 Shots outsidebox 0
2 Goalkeeper Saves 4
432 Total passes 274
352 Passes accurate 197
1.43 expected_goals 1.20
🟨 3 Yellow Cards 2 🟨
🟥 0 Red Cards 0 🟥

Lineups

Derby
Formation
Leicester
J. Widell Zetterstrom
J. Widell Zetterstrom
S. Langas
⚽
S. Langas
D. Sanderson
↓
D. Sanderson
M. Clarke
M. Clarke
C. Elder
↓
C. Elder
J. Ward
🎯
J. Ward
E. Adams
↓
E. Adams
B. Clark
B. Clark
B. Brereton Diaz
↓
B. Brereton Diaz
P. Agyemang
P. Agyemang
L. Salvesen
↓
L. Salvesen
J. Stolarczyk
J. Stolarczyk
R. Pereira
R. Pereira
B. Nelson
B. Nelson
J. Vestergaard
J. Vestergaard
L. Thomas
🎯
L. Thomas
J. James
⚽ 🎯 ↓
J. James
O. Skipp
⚽
O. Skipp
I. Fatawu
↓
I. Fatawu
B. De Cordova-Reid
⚽ ↓
B. De Cordova-Reid
S. Mavididi
↓
S. Mavididi
J. Ayew
↓
J. Ayew
Derby 4-4-2
Starting XI
1
J. Widell Zetterstrom
G
6
S. Langas
⚽ 63' 🟨 24'
D
28
D. Sanderson
↓ 66'
D
5
M. Clarke
D
20
C. Elder
↓ 90+1'
D
23
J. Ward
🎯 63'
M
32
E. Adams
↓ 46' 🟨 22'
M
42
B. Clark
M
25
B. Brereton Diaz
↓ 66'
M
7
P. Agyemang
F
15
L. Salvesen
↓ 46'
F
Substitutes
31
J. Vickers
G
3
C. Forsyth
D
4
D. Batth
D
11
C. Blackett-Taylor
↑ 66'
F
14
A. Weimann
↑ 46'
F
16
L. Thompson
↑ 46' 🟨 77'
M
19
K. Jackson
↑ 66'
F
24
R. Nyambe
D
35
C. Nelson
↑ 90+1'
D
Leicester 4-2-3-1
Starting XI
1
J. Stolarczyk
G
21
R. Pereira
D
4
B. Nelson
D
23
J. Vestergaard
🟨 19'
D
33
L. Thomas
🎯 31'
D
6
J. James
⚽ 31' 🎯 8' ↓ 87'
M
22
O. Skipp
⚽ 15'
M
7
I. Fatawu
↓ 78'
M
14
B. De Cordova-Reid
⚽ 8' ↓ 65' 🟨 64'
M
10
S. Mavididi
↓ 87'
M
9
J. Ayew
↓ 78'
F
Substitutes
31
A. Begovic
G
3
W. Faes
D
56
O. Aluko
↑ 87'
D
17
H. Choudhury
↑ 65'
M
25
L. Page
↑ 87'
M
39
S. Thomas
↑ 78'
F
65
J. Evans
F
20
P. Daka
↑ 78'
F
18
J. Carranza
F
Last matches: Derby
15.08.26
Cha
Derby
Charlton
1
2
L
04.08.26
Fri
Derby
Rotherham
1
1
D
01.08.26
Fri
Derby
Burton Albion
0
1
L
31.07.26
Fri
Derby
Mansfield Town
3
1
W
28.07.26
Fri
Derby
Valencia
1
2
L
24.07.26
Fri
Derby
SC Freiburg
1
3
L
17.07.26
Fri
Derby
Alfreton Town
2
0
W
02.05.26
Cha
Derby
Sheffield Utd
1
2
L
25.04.26
Cha
Derby
QPR
3
2
W
21.04.26
Cha
Derby
Norwich
1
2
L
18.04.26
Cha
Derby
Oxford United
1
0
W
11.04.26
Cha
Derby
Southampton
1
2
L
06.04.26
Cha
Derby
Stoke City
2
0
W
03.04.26
Cha
Derby
Coventry
2
3
L
21.03.26
Cha
Derby
Birmingham
1
0
W
16.03.26
Cha
Derby
Portsmouth
1
0
W
10.03.26
Cha
Derby
Millwall
0
1
L
07.03.26
Cha
Derby
Sheffield Wednesday
2
1
W
28.02.26
Cha
Derby
Blackburn
3
1
W
24.02.26
Cha
Derby
Hull City
2
4
L
Last matches: Leicester
15.08.26
Lea
Leicester
Notts County
1
1
D
01.08.26
Fri
Leicester
Genoa
0
1
L
25.07.26
Fri
Leicester
Malaga
3
3
D
22.07.26
Fri
Leicester
Cadiz
1
0
W
18.07.26
Fri
Leicester
Burton Albion
3
0
W
14.07.26
Fri
Leicester
Bristol Rovers
2
1
W
11.07.26
Fri
Leicester
Northampton
3
0
W
02.05.26
Cha
Leicester
Blackburn
1
0
W
24.04.26
Cha
Leicester
Millwall
1
1
D
21.04.26
Cha
Leicester
Hull City
2
2
D
18.04.26
Cha
Leicester
Portsmouth
0
1
L
11.04.26
Cha
Leicester
Swansea
0
1
L
06.04.26
Cha
Leicester
Sheffield Wednesday
1
1
D
03.04.26
Cha
Leicester
Preston
2
2
D
21.03.26
Cha
Leicester
Watford
0
0
D
14.03.26
Cha
Leicester
QPR
1
3
L
10.03.26
Cha
Leicester
Bristol City
2
0
W
07.03.26
Cha
Leicester
Ipswich
1
1
D
28.02.26
Cha
Leicester
Norwich
0
2
L
24.02.26
Cha
Leicester
Middlesbrough
1
1
D
H2H: Derby vs Leicester
29.12.25
H2H
Leicester
Derby
2
1
L
06.12.25
H2H
Derby
Leicester
1
3
L
23.07.22
H2H
Derby
Leicester
1
3
L
08.02.17
H2H
Leicester
Derby
3
1
L
27.01.17
H2H
Derby
Leicester
2
2
D
10.01.14
H2H
Leicester
Derby
4
1
L
24.09.13
H2H
Leicester
Derby
2
1
L
17.08.13
H2H
Derby
Leicester
0
1
L
16.03.13
H2H
Derby
Leicester
2
1
W
01.12.12
H2H
Leicester
Derby
4
1
L
23.02.12
H2H
Derby
Leicester
0
1
L
01.10.11
H2H
Leicester
Derby
4
0
L
Last matches: Derby
28.07.26
Fri
Derby
Valencia
1
2
L
02.05.26
Cha
Derby
Sheffield Utd
1
2
L
18.04.26
Cha
Derby
Oxford United
1
0
W
06.04.26
Cha
Derby
Stoke City
2
0
W
21.03.26
Cha
Derby
Birmingham
1
0
W
07.03.26
Cha
Derby
Sheffield Wednesday
2
1
W
28.02.26
Cha
Derby
Blackburn
3
1
W
14.02.26
Cha
Derby
Swansea
2
0
W
07.02.26
Cha
Derby
Ipswich
1
2
L
23.01.26
Cha
Derby
West Brom
1
1
D
11.01.26
FA
Derby
Leeds
1
3
L
04.01.26
Cha
Derby
Wrexham
1
2
L
01.01.26
Cha
Derby
Middlesbrough
1
0
W
20.12.25
Cha
Derby
Portsmouth
1
1
D
10.12.25
Cha
Derby
Millwall
1
1
D
22.11.25
Cha
Derby
Watford
2
3
L
04.11.25
Cha
Derby
Hull City
2
1
W
25.10.25
Cha
Derby
QPR
1
0
W
21.10.25
Cha
Derby
Norwich
1
0
W
04.10.25
Cha
Derby
Southampton
1
1
D
H2H at home: Derby
06.12.25
H2H
Derby
Leicester
1
3
L
23.07.22
H2H
Derby
Leicester
1
3
L
27.01.17
H2H
Derby
Leicester
2
2
D
17.08.13
H2H
Derby
Leicester
0
1
L
16.03.13
H2H
Derby
Leicester
2
1
W
23.02.12
H2H
Derby
Leicester
0
1
L
Last matches: Leicester
15.08.26
Lea
Leicester
Notts County
1
1
D
25.07.26
Fri
Leicester
Malaga
3
3
D
22.07.26
Fri
Leicester
Cadiz
1
0
W
18.07.26
Fri
Leicester
Burton Albion
3
0
W
14.07.26
Fri
Leicester
Bristol Rovers
2
1
W
02.05.26
Cha
Leicester
Blackburn
1
0
W
18.04.26
Cha
Leicester
Portsmouth
0
1
L
06.04.26
Cha
Leicester
Sheffield Wednesday
1
1
D
21.03.26
Cha
Leicester
Watford
0
0
D
07.03.26
Cha
Leicester
Ipswich
1
1
D
24.02.26
Cha
Leicester
Middlesbrough
1
1
D
21.02.26
Cha
Leicester
Stoke City
2
2
D
14.02.26
FA
Leicester
Southampton
1
2
L
07.02.26
Cha
Leicester
Birmingham
1
2
L
20.01.26
Cha
Leicester
Wrexham
1
1
D
17.01.26
Cha
Leicester
Coventry
1
2
L
10.01.26
FA
Leicester
Cheltenham
2
0
W
01.01.26
Cha
Leicester
Sheffield Utd
1
3
L
20.12.25
Cha
Leicester
QPR
1
4
L
10.12.25
Cha
Leicester
Bristol City
2
2
D
H2H away: Leicester
06.12.25
H2H
Derby
Leicester
1
3
W
23.07.22
H2H
Derby
Leicester
1
3
W
27.01.17
H2H
Derby
Leicester
2
2
D
17.08.13
H2H
Derby
Leicester
0
1
W
16.03.13
H2H
Derby
Leicester
2
1
L
23.02.12
H2H
Derby
Leicester
0
1
W

Standings

Championship
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1
Coventry
46 28 11 7 97:45 52 95
W W W D D
2
Ipswich
46 23 15 8 80:47 33 84
W D D W D
3
Millwall
46 24 11 11 64:49 15 83
L D W D W
4
Southampton
46 22 14 10 82:56 26 80
W D W D D
5
Middlesbrough
46 22 14 10 72:47 25 80
L L D D W
6
Hull City
46 21 10 15 70:66 4 73
W W D W L
7
Wrexham
46 19 14 13 69:65 4 71
D L W W L
8
Derby Home
46 20 9 17 67:59 8 69
L W L W L
9
Norwich
46 19 8 19 63:56 7 65
L D W W L
10
Birmingham
46 17 13 16 57:56 1 64
D W W D W
11
Swansea
46 18 10 18 57:59 -2 64
W D W L W
12
Bristol City
46 17 11 18 59:59 0 62
W L D L D
13
Sheffield Utd
46 18 6 22 66:66 0 60
W L L W W
14
Preston
46 15 15 16 55:62 -7 60
L W L L W
15
QPR
46 16 10 20 61:73 -12 58
L L L L D
16
Watford
46 14 15 17 53:65 -12 57
L L L L L
17
Stoke City
46 15 10 21 51:56 -5 55
L L L L D
18
Portsmouth
46 14 13 19 49:64 -15 55
D W L W W
19
Charlton
46 13 14 19 44:58 -14 53
L W L D L
20
Blackburn
46 13 13 20 42:56 -14 52
L W D L D
21
West Brom
46 13 14 19 48:58 -10 51
L D W W D
22
Oxford United
46 11 14 21 45:59 -14 47
L W L L W
23
Leicester Away
46 12 16 18 58:68 -10 46
W D D L L
24
Sheffield Wednesday
46 2 12 32 29:89 -60 0
W L L D D
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