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ENGLAND › CHAMPIONSHIP
06.12.2025 12:30
Derby
FT
1 - 3
Leicester
Pride Park
Referee: Josh Smith, England
Derby
Match Timeline
Leicester
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
⚽
8'
B. De Cordova-Reid · Assist: J. James
Leicester
⚽
15'
O. Skipp
Leicester
🟨
19'
Jannik Vestergaard
Leicester
🟨
22'
Ebou Adams
Derby
🟨
24'
Sondre Klingen Langås
Derby
⚽
31'
J. James · Assist: L. Thomas
Leicester
🔄
46'
L. Salvesen ↔ A. Weimann
Derby
🔄
46'
E. Adams ↔ L. Thompson
Derby
⚽
63'
S. Langas · Assist: J. Ward
Derby
🟨
64'
Bobby Decordova-Reid
Leicester
🔄
65'
B. De Cordova-Reid ↔ H. Choudhury
Leicester
🔄
66'
B. Brereton Diaz ↔ C. Blackett-Taylor
Derby
🔄
66'
D. Sanderson ↔ K. Jackson
Derby
🟨
77'
Liam Thompson
Derby
🔄
78'
J. Ayew ↔ S. Thomas
Leicester
🔄
78'
I. Fatawu ↔ P. Daka
Leicester
🔄
87'
S. Mavididi ↔ O. Aluko
Leicester
🔄
87'
J. James ↔ L. Page
Leicester
🔄
90+1'
C. Elder ↔ C. Nelson
Derby

Derby vs Leicester Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
Probability Distribution
Derby Win 0%
Draw 0%
Leicester Win 0%
Expected Goals (xG)
Derby1.35
Leicester1.29
Recent Form (Last 5)
Derby Derby
WWDLW
25 GF / 25 GA
Leicester Leicester
WLDWL
22 GF / 23 GA
Key Stats
1.39
Average Goals Scored
1.22
1.39
Average Goals Conceded
1.28
13
BTTS Yes
12
9
Over 2.5
9
2.83
Shots on Goal
4

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Derby Derby 18 matches
Leicester Leicester 18 matches
Derby Statistic Leicester
7 Wins 6
5 Draws 6
6 Losses 6
25 Goals For 22
25 Goals Against 23
1.39 Avg Goals Scored 1.22
1.39 Avg Goals Conceded 1.28
13 BTTS Yes 12
13 Over 1.5 15
9 Over 2.5 9
5 Over 3.5 3
3 Clean Sheets 3
2 Failed To Score 4
2.83 Shots On Goal 4
8.61 Total Shots 12.89
4.67 Corners 5.56
39.8% Ball Possession 55.6%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

H2H Analysis

Across those 12 head-to-head meetings, Derby won 1 times, Leicester won 10 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 11:30 from Derby's perspective. 10 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 9 matches, with an average of 3.42 goals per game.

Predicted formations: Derby 4-4-2 / Leicester 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: Derby wins 1, draws 1, Leicester wins 10

Standings

Championship
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1
Coventry
46 28 11 7 97:45 52 95
W W W D D
2
Ipswich
46 23 15 8 80:47 33 84
W D D W D
3
Millwall
46 24 11 11 64:49 15 83
L D W D W
4
Southampton
46 22 14 10 82:56 26 80
W D W D D
5
Middlesbrough
46 22 14 10 72:47 25 80
L L D D W
6
Hull City
46 21 10 15 70:66 4 73
W W D W L
7
Wrexham
46 19 14 13 69:65 4 71
D L W W L
8
Derby Home
46 20 9 17 67:59 8 69
L W L W L
9
Norwich
46 19 8 19 63:56 7 65
L D W W L
10
Birmingham
46 17 13 16 57:56 1 64
D W W D W
11
Swansea
46 18 10 18 57:59 -2 64
W D W L W
12
Bristol City
46 17 11 18 59:59 0 62
W L D L D
13
Sheffield Utd
46 18 6 22 66:66 0 60
W L L W W
14
Preston
46 15 15 16 55:62 -7 60
L W L L W
15
QPR
46 16 10 20 61:73 -12 58
L L L L D
16
Watford
46 14 15 17 53:65 -12 57
L L L L L
17
Stoke City
46 15 10 21 51:56 -5 55
L L L L D
18
Portsmouth
46 14 13 19 49:64 -15 55
D W L W W
19
Charlton
46 13 14 19 44:58 -14 53
L W L D L
20
Blackburn
46 13 13 20 42:56 -14 52
L W D L D
21
West Brom
46 13 14 19 48:58 -10 51
L D W W D
22
Oxford United
46 11 14 21 45:59 -14 47
L W L L W
23
Leicester Away
46 12 16 18 58:68 -10 46
W D D L L
24
Sheffield Wednesday
46 2 12 32 29:89 -60 0
W L L D D
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