Derby
Match Timeline
Leeds
Derby vs Leeds Prediction & Match Analysis
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
All Markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|
Probability Distribution
Derby Win 0%
Draw 0%
Leeds Win 0%
Expected Goals (xG)
Derby1.51
Leeds1.37
Recent Form (Last 5)
Derby
WWDLW
35 GF / 35 GA
Leeds
WLDWL
29 GF / 37 GA
Key Stats
1.35
Average Goals Scored
1.38
1.35
Average Goals Conceded
1.76
19
BTTS Yes
14
13
Over 2.5
13
3.23
Shots on Goal
4.1
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Derby
26 matches
Leeds
21 matches
| Derby | Statistic | Leeds |
|---|---|---|
| 9 | Wins | 5 |
| 8 | Draws | 7 |
| 9 | Losses | 9 |
| 35 | Goals For | 29 |
| 35 | Goals Against | 37 |
| 1.35 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.38 |
| 1.35 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.76 |
| 19 | BTTS Yes | 14 |
| 20 | Over 1.5 | 17 |
| 13 | Over 2.5 | 13 |
| 6 | Over 3.5 | 9 |
| 5 | Clean Sheets | 3 |
| 2 | Failed To Score | 6 |
| 3.23 | Shots On Goal | 4.1 |
| 9.5 | Total Shots | 12.76 |
| 5.12 | Corners | 4.48 |
| 41.9% | Ball Possession | 45.6% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
H2H Analysis
Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Derby won 3 times, Leeds won 9 times, while 3 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 16:27 from Derby's perspective. 8 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 9 matches, with an average of 2.87 goals per game.
Predicted formations: Derby 4-4-1-1 / Leeds 3-4-1-2
H2H summary: Derby wins 3, draws 3, Leeds wins 9