Derby
Match Timeline
Leeds
Predictions & Statistics
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
All Markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|
Probability Distribution
Derby Win 0%
Draw 0%
Leeds Win 0%
Expected Goals (xG)
Derby1.51
Leeds1.37
Recent Form (Last 5)
Derby
WWDLW
35 GF / 35 GA
Leeds
WLDWL
29 GF / 37 GA
Key Stats
1.35
Average Goals Scored
1.38
1.35
Average Goals Conceded
1.76
19
BTTS Yes
14
13
Over 2.5
13
3.23
Shots on Goal
4.1
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Derby
26 matches
Leeds
21 matches
| Derby | Statistic | Leeds |
|---|---|---|
| 9 | Wins | 5 |
| 8 | Draws | 7 |
| 9 | Losses | 9 |
| 35 | Goals For | 29 |
| 35 | Goals Against | 37 |
| 1.35 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.38 |
| 1.35 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.76 |
| 19 | BTTS Yes | 14 |
| 20 | Over 1.5 | 17 |
| 13 | Over 2.5 | 13 |
| 6 | Over 3.5 | 9 |
| 5 | Clean Sheets | 3 |
| 2 | Failed To Score | 6 |
| 3.23 | Shots On Goal | 4.1 |
| 9.5 | Total Shots | 12.76 |
| 5.12 | Corners | 4.48 |
| 41.9% | Ball Possession | 45.6% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
Predicted formations: Derby 4-4-1-1 / Leeds 3-4-1-2
Stats
Derby
Leeds
Shots on Goal
2
2
Shots on Goal
11
11
Shots off Goal
4
4
Shots off Goal
6
6
Blocked Shots
1
1
Blocked Shots
5
5
Lineups
Derby
Formation
Leeds
J. Widell Zetterstrom
J. Ward
S. Langas
D. Batth
C. Forsyth
B. Brereton Diaz
O. Fraulo
L. Travis
C. Blackett-Taylor
B. Clark
L. Salvesen
K. Darlow
S. Bornauw
J. Bijol
E. Ampadu
W. Gnonto
A. Tanaka
I. Gruev
J. Harrison
J. Piroe
L. Nmecha
N. Okafor
Derby
4-4-1-1
Starting XI
1
J. Widell Zetterstrom
G
23
J. Ward
D
6
S. Langas
D
4
D. Batth
D
3
C. Forsyth
D
25
B. Brereton Diaz
M
⚽ 35'
29
O. Fraulo
M
↓ 46'
🟨 18'
27
L. Travis
M
↓ 63'
11
C. Blackett-Taylor
M
↓ 63'
42
B. Clark
F
↓ 73'
15
L. Salvesen
F
↓ 73'
Substitutes
12
R. O'Donnell
G
7
P. Agyemang
F
↑ 73'
10
R. Brewster
F
↑ 63'
14
A. Weimann
F
18
D. Ozoh
M
↑ 63'
20
C. Elder
D
32
E. Adams
M
↑ 46'
35
C. Nelson
D
37
O. Eames
M
↑ 73'
Leeds
3-4-1-2
Starting XI
26
K. Darlow
G
23
S. Bornauw
D
↓ 46'
15
J. Bijol
D
🎯 55'
4
E. Ampadu
D
29
W. Gnonto
M
⚽ 55'
↓ 86'
22
A. Tanaka
M
⚽ 59'
44
I. Gruev
M
↓ 73'
20
J. Harrison
M
🟨 90+2'
10
J. Piroe
F
↓ 89'
14
L. Nmecha
F
🎯 90'
19
N. Okafor
F
↓ 89'
Substitutes
25
S. Byram
D
↑ 86'
1
Lucas Perri
G
5
P. Struijk
D
8
S. Longstaff
M
↑ 73'
18
A. Stach
M
↑ 89'
11
B. Aaronson
M
↑ 89'
42
S. Chambers
M
9
D. Calvert-Lewin
F
24
J. Justin
D
⚽ 90'
↑ 46'
Last matches: Derby
04.08.26
Fri
Derby
Rotherham
1
1
D
01.08.26
Fri
Derby
Burton Albion
0
1
L
31.07.26
Fri
Derby
Mansfield Town
3
1
W
28.07.26
Fri
Derby
Valencia
1
2
L
24.07.26
Fri
Derby
SC Freiburg
1
3
L
17.07.26
Fri
Derby
Alfreton Town
2
0
W
02.05.26
Cha
Derby
Sheffield Utd
1
2
L
25.04.26
Cha
Derby
QPR
3
2
W
21.04.26
Cha
Derby
Norwich
1
2
L
18.04.26
Cha
Derby
Oxford United
1
0
W
11.04.26
Cha
Derby
Southampton
1
2
L
06.04.26
Cha
Derby
Stoke City
2
0
W
03.04.26
Cha
Derby
Coventry
2
3
L
21.03.26
Cha
Derby
Birmingham
1
0
W
16.03.26
Cha
Derby
Portsmouth
1
0
W
10.03.26
Cha
Derby
Millwall
0
1
L
07.03.26
Cha
Derby
Sheffield Wednesday
2
1
W
28.02.26
Cha
Derby
Blackburn
3
1
W
24.02.26
Cha
Derby
Hull City
2
4
L
21.02.26
Cha
Derby
Watford
0
2
L
Last matches: Leeds
12.08.26
Fri
Leeds
Manchester United
1
1
D
08.08.26
Fri
Leeds
RB Leipzig
2
0
W
24.05.26
Pre
Leeds
West Ham
0
3
L
17.05.26
Pre
Leeds
Brighton
1
0
W
11.05.26
Pre
Leeds
Tottenham
1
1
D
01.05.26
Pre
Leeds
Burnley
3
1
W
26.04.26
FA
Leeds
Chelsea
0
1
L
22.04.26
Pre
Leeds
Bournemouth
2
2
D
18.04.26
Pre
Leeds
Wolves
3
0
W
13.04.26
Pre
Leeds
Manchester United
2
1
W
05.04.26
FA
Leeds
West Ham
2
2
D
21.03.26
Pre
Leeds
Brentford
0
0
D
15.03.26
Pre
Leeds
Crystal Palace
0
0
D
08.03.26
FA
Leeds
Norwich
3
0
W
03.03.26
Pre
Leeds
Sunderland
0
1
L
28.02.26
Pre
Leeds
Manchester City
0
1
L
21.02.26
Pre
Leeds
Aston Villa
1
1
D
15.02.26
FA
Leeds
Birmingham
1
1
D
10.02.26
Pre
Leeds
Chelsea
2
2
D
06.02.26
Pre
Leeds
Nottingham Forest
3
1
W
Last matches: Derby
28.07.26
Fri
Derby
Valencia
1
2
L
02.05.26
Cha
Derby
Sheffield Utd
1
2
L
18.04.26
Cha
Derby
Oxford United
1
0
W
06.04.26
Cha
Derby
Stoke City
2
0
W
21.03.26
Cha
Derby
Birmingham
1
0
W
07.03.26
Cha
Derby
Sheffield Wednesday
2
1
W
28.02.26
Cha
Derby
Blackburn
3
1
W
14.02.26
Cha
Derby
Swansea
2
0
W
07.02.26
Cha
Derby
Ipswich
1
2
L
23.01.26
Cha
Derby
West Brom
1
1
D
04.01.26
Cha
Derby
Wrexham
1
2
L
01.01.26
Cha
Derby
Middlesbrough
1
0
W
20.12.25
Cha
Derby
Portsmouth
1
1
D
10.12.25
Cha
Derby
Millwall
1
1
D
06.12.25
Cha
Derby
Leicester
1
3
L
22.11.25
Cha
Derby
Watford
2
3
L
04.11.25
Cha
Derby
Hull City
2
1
W
25.10.25
Cha
Derby
QPR
1
0
W
21.10.25
Cha
Derby
Norwich
1
0
W
04.10.25
Cha
Derby
Southampton
1
1
D
Last matches: Leeds
12.08.26
Fri
Leeds
Manchester United
1
1
D
24.05.26
Pre
Leeds
West Ham
0
3
L
11.05.26
Pre
Leeds
Tottenham
1
1
D
26.04.26
FA
Leeds
Chelsea
0
1
L
22.04.26
Pre
Leeds
Bournemouth
2
2
D
13.04.26
Pre
Leeds
Manchester United
2
1
W
05.04.26
FA
Leeds
West Ham
2
2
D
15.03.26
Pre
Leeds
Crystal Palace
0
0
D
21.02.26
Pre
Leeds
Aston Villa
1
1
D
15.02.26
FA
Leeds
Birmingham
1
1
D
10.02.26
Pre
Leeds
Chelsea
2
2
D
26.01.26
Pre
Leeds
Everton
1
1
D
07.01.26
Pre
Leeds
Newcastle
3
4
L
01.01.26
Pre
Leeds
Liverpool
0
0
D
28.12.25
Pre
Leeds
Sunderland
1
1
D
14.12.25
Pre
Leeds
Brentford
1
1
D
29.11.25
Pre
Leeds
Manchester City
2
3
L
09.11.25
Pre
Leeds
Nottingham Forest
1
3
L
01.11.25
Pre
Leeds
Brighton
0
3
L
18.10.25
Pre
Leeds
Burnley
0
2
L