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ENGLAND › CHAMPIONSHIP
04.11.2025 19:45
Derby
FT
2 - 1
Hull City
Pride Park
Referee: Stephen Martin, England
Derby
Match Timeline
Hull City
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
⚽
27'
C. Morris · Assist: J. Ward
Derby
⚽
50'
J. Ndala
Hull City
🔄
68'
P. Agyemang ↔ R. Brewster
Derby
🔄
70'
J. Ndala ↔ D. Gyabi
Hull City
🔄
77'
B. Brereton Diaz ↔ A. Weimann
Derby
🔄
77'
D. Ozoh ↔ E. Adams
Derby
🔄
81'
J. Gelhardt ↔ B. Akintola
Hull City
🔄
81'
K. Joseph ↔ E. Destan
Hull City
🔄
83'
C. Morris ↔ L. Salvesen
Derby
⚽
83'
L. Salvesen · Assist: A. Weimann
Derby
🟨
85'
Lars-Jørgen Salvesen
Derby
🔄
86'
J. Egan ↔ A. Hadziahmetovic
Hull City

Derby vs Hull City Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
Probability Distribution
Derby Win 0%
Draw 0%
Hull City Win 0%
Expected Goals (xG)
Derby1.35
Hull City1.54
Recent Form (Last 5)
Derby Derby
WWDLW
16 GF / 17 GA
Hull City Hull City
WLDWL
22 GF / 20 GA
Key Stats
1.23
Average Goals Scored
1.69
1.31
Average Goals Conceded
1.54
8
BTTS Yes
9
4
Over 2.5
9
2.77
Shots on Goal
4.85

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Derby Derby 13 matches
Hull City Hull City 13 matches
Derby Statistic Hull City
4 Wins 6
5 Draws 4
4 Losses 3
16 Goals For 22
17 Goals Against 20
1.23 Avg Goals Scored 1.69
1.31 Avg Goals Conceded 1.54
8 BTTS Yes 9
8 Over 1.5 11
4 Over 2.5 9
4 Over 3.5 6
3 Clean Sheets 3
2 Failed To Score 2
2.77 Shots On Goal 4.85
8.62 Total Shots 11.77
4.31 Corners 4.23
42% Ball Possession 44.3%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Derby won 10 times, Hull City won 3 times, while 2 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 26:13 from Derby's perspective. 7 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 5 matches, with an average of 2.6 goals per game.

Predicted formations: Derby 3-4-2-1 / Hull City 3-4-2-1
H2H summary: Derby wins 10, draws 2, Hull City wins 3

Standings

Championship
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1
Coventry
46 28 11 7 97:45 52 95
W W W D D
2
Ipswich
46 23 15 8 80:47 33 84
W D D W D
3
Millwall
46 24 11 11 64:49 15 83
L D W D W
4
Southampton
46 22 14 10 82:56 26 80
W D W D D
5
Middlesbrough
46 22 14 10 72:47 25 80
L L D D W
6
Hull City Away
46 21 10 15 70:66 4 73
W W D W L
7
Wrexham
46 19 14 13 69:65 4 71
D L W W L
8
Derby Home
46 20 9 17 67:59 8 69
L W L W L
9
Norwich
46 19 8 19 63:56 7 65
L D W W L
10
Birmingham
46 17 13 16 57:56 1 64
D W W D W
11
Swansea
46 18 10 18 57:59 -2 64
W D W L W
12
Bristol City
46 17 11 18 59:59 0 62
W L D L D
13
Sheffield Utd
46 18 6 22 66:66 0 60
W L L W W
14
Preston
46 15 15 16 55:62 -7 60
L W L L W
15
QPR
46 16 10 20 61:73 -12 58
L L L L D
16
Watford
46 14 15 17 53:65 -12 57
L L L L L
17
Stoke City
46 15 10 21 51:56 -5 55
L L L L D
18
Portsmouth
46 14 13 19 49:64 -15 55
D W L W W
19
Charlton
46 13 14 19 44:58 -14 53
L W L D L
20
Blackburn
46 13 13 20 42:56 -14 52
L W D L D
21
West Brom
46 13 14 19 48:58 -10 51
L D W W D
22
Oxford United
46 11 14 21 45:59 -14 47
L W L L W
23
Leicester
46 12 16 18 58:68 -10 46
W D D L L
24
Sheffield Wednesday
46 2 12 32 29:89 -60 0
W L L D D
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