ENGLAND › CHAMPIONSHIP

30.09.2025 19:00

Derby

1 - 1

Charlton

Pride Park

Referee: Gavin Ward, England

Derby

Match Timeline

Charlton

0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'

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Derby vs Charlton Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

All Markets

Market	Option	Probability	Odds	Stats & Analysis

Probability Distribution

Derby Win 0%

Draw 0%

Charlton Win 0%

Expected Goals (xG)

Derby1.06

Charlton1.34

Recent Form (Last 5)

Derby

WWDLW

9 GF / 13 GA

Charlton

WLDWL

7 GF / 5 GA

Key Stats

1.29

Average Goals Scored

1.86

Average Goals Conceded

0.71

BTTS Yes

Over 2.5

2.29

Shots on Goal

4.43

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Derby 7 matches

Charlton 7 matches

Derby	Statistic	Charlton
1	Wins	3
3	Draws	2
3	Losses	2
9	Goals For	7
13	Goals Against	5
1.29	Avg Goals Scored	1
1.86	Avg Goals Conceded	0.71
5	BTTS Yes	2
5	Over 1.5	3
3	Over 2.5	2
3	Over 3.5	1
1	Clean Sheets	4
1	Failed To Score	2
2.29	Shots On Goal	4.43
6.71	Total Shots	13.71
3.14	Corners	4.43
41.1%	Ball Possession	43.3%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Derby won 8 times, Charlton won 5 times, while 2 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 20:15 from Derby's perspective. 7 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 7 matches, with an average of 2.33 goals per game.

Predicted formations: Derby 4-2-3-1 / Charlton 3-5-2

H2H summary: Derby wins 8, draws 2, Charlton wins 5

Standings

Championship

#	Team	MP	W	D	L	G	GD	PTS	Form
1	Coventry	46	28	11	7	97:45	52	95	W W W D D
2	Ipswich	46	23	15	8	80:47	33	84	W D D W D
3	Millwall	46	24	11	11	64:49	15	83	L D W D W
4	Southampton	46	22	14	10	82:56	26	80	W D W D D
5	Middlesbrough	46	22	14	10	72:47	25	80	L L D D W
6	Hull City	46	21	10	15	70:66	4	73	W W D W L
7	Wrexham	46	19	14	13	69:65	4	71	D L W W L
8	Derby Home	46	20	9	17	67:59	8	69	L W L W L
9	Norwich	46	19	8	19	63:56	7	65	L D W W L
10	Birmingham	46	17	13	16	57:56	1	64	D W W D W
11	Swansea	46	18	10	18	57:59	-2	64	W D W L W
12	Bristol City	46	17	11	18	59:59	0	62	W L D L D
13	Sheffield Utd	46	18	6	22	66:66	0	60	W L L W W
14	Preston	46	15	15	16	55:62	-7	60	L W L L W
15	QPR	46	16	10	20	61:73	-12	58	L L L L D
16	Watford	46	14	15	17	53:65	-12	57	L L L L L
17	Stoke City	46	15	10	21	51:56	-5	55	L L L L D
18	Portsmouth	46	14	13	19	49:64	-15	55	D W L W W
19	Charlton Away	46	13	14	19	44:58	-14	53	L W L D L
20	Blackburn	46	13	13	20	42:56	-14	52	L W D L D
21	West Brom	46	13	14	19	48:58	-10	51	L D W W D
22	Oxford United	46	11	14	21	45:59	-14	47	L W L L W
23	Leicester	46	12	16	18	58:68	-10	46	W D D L L
24	Sheffield Wednesday	46	2	12	32	29:89	-60	0	W L L D D

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