Derby vs Bolton Prediction & Match Analysis
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
All Markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|
Probability Distribution
Derby Win 0%
Draw 0%
Bolton Win 0%
Expected Goals (xG)
Derby1.23
Bolton1.26
Recent Form (Last 5)
Derby
WWDLW
13 GF / 18 GA
Bolton
WLDWL
10 GF / 13 GA
Key Stats
1.18
Average Goals Scored
1
1.64
Average Goals Conceded
1.3
6
BTTS Yes
5
7
Over 2.5
5
4
Shots on Goal
4.5
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Derby
11 matches
Bolton
10 matches
| Derby | Statistic | Bolton |
|---|---|---|
| 3 | Wins | 3 |
| 2 | Draws | 3 |
| 6 | Losses | 4 |
| 13 | Goals For | 10 |
| 18 | Goals Against | 13 |
| 1.18 | Avg Goals Scored | 1 |
| 1.64 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.3 |
| 6 | BTTS Yes | 5 |
| 10 | Over 1.5 | 6 |
| 7 | Over 2.5 | 5 |
| 3 | Over 3.5 | 3 |
| 2 | Clean Sheets | 3 |
| 3 | Failed To Score | 4 |
| 4 | Shots On Goal | 4.5 |
| 11.5 | Total Shots | 14 |
| 4.5 | Corners | 6.5 |
| 43% | Ball Possession | 53.8% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
H2H Analysis
Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Derby won 8 times, Bolton won 2 times, while 5 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 26:10 from Derby's perspective. 8 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 7 matches, with an average of 2.4 goals per game.
Predicted formations: Derby 4-2-3-1 / Bolton 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: Derby wins 8, draws 5, Bolton wins 2
Standings
Championship
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 7:1 | 6 | 10 |
W
W
D
W
|
|
| 2 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 7:3 | 4 | 10 |
W
W
D
W
|
|
| 3 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 6:7 | -1 | 10 |
L
D
W
W
W
|
|
| 4 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 11:8 | 3 | 7 |
L
W
W
D
|
|
| 5 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 7:5 | 2 | 7 |
D
W
L
W
|
|
| 6 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 7:6 | 1 | 7 |
W
W
D
L
|
|
| 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 7:6 | 1 | 7 |
D
L
W
W
|
|
| 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 5:4 | 1 | 6 |
D
W
D
D
|
|
| 9 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 5:4 | 1 | 6 |
W
D
D
D
|
|
| 10 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 8:9 | -1 | 6 |
W
W
L
L
L
|
|
| 11 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 6:8 | -2 | 6 |
L
L
W
W
|
|
| 12 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 6:4 | 2 | 5 |
W
L
D
D
|
|
| 13 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 8:7 | 1 | 5 |
W
D
L
D
|
|
| 14 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 6:7 | -1 | 5 |
L
D
L
W
D
|
|
| 15 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 4:5 | -1 | 5 |
L
D
D
W
|
|
| 16 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 4:6 | -2 | 5 |
D
D
W
L
L
|
|
| 17 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 11:6 | 5 | 4 |
D
D
W
W
L
|
|
| 18 |
Bolton
Away
|
4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4:5 | -1 | 4 |
L
L
D
W
|
| 19 |
Derby
Home
|
4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 5:7 | -2 | 4 |
W
L
D
L
|
| 20 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 6:7 | -1 | 3 |
L
D
D
D
|
|
| 21 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 5:7 | -2 | 3 |
L
W
L
L
|
|
| 22 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 5:8 | -3 | 3 |
L
L
W
L
|
|
| 23 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 5:10 | -5 | 3 |
W
L
L
L
L
|
|
| 24 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 5:10 | -5 | 2 |
D
L
L
D
|
Promotion - Premier League
Promotion - Championship (Play Offs: Semi-finals)
Promotion - Championship (Play Offs: Quarter-finals)
Relegation - League One