Predictions & Statistics
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
All Markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|
Probability Distribution
Derby Win 0%
Draw 0%
Bolton Win 0%
Expected Goals (xG)
Derby1.6
Bolton1.6
Recent Form (Last 5)
Derby
WWDLW
2 GF / 0 GA
Bolton
WLDWL
8 GF / 3 GA
Key Stats
2
Average Goals Scored
2.67
0
Average Goals Conceded
1
0
BTTS Yes
2
0
Over 2.5
3
0
Shots on Goal
0
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Derby
1 matches
Bolton
3 matches
| Derby | Statistic | Bolton |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Wins | 2 |
| 0 | Draws | 0 |
| 0 | Losses | 1 |
| 2 | Goals For | 8 |
| 0 | Goals Against | 3 |
| 2 | Avg Goals Scored | 2.67 |
| 0 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1 |
| 0 | BTTS Yes | 2 |
| 1 | Over 1.5 | 3 |
| 0 | Over 2.5 | 3 |
| 0 | Over 3.5 | 2 |
| 1 | Clean Sheets | 1 |
| 0 | Failed To Score | 0 |
| 0 | Shots On Goal | 0 |
| 0 | Total Shots | 0 |
| 0 | Corners | 0 |
| 0% | Ball Possession | 0% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
H2H Analysis
Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Derby won 8 times, Bolton won 2 times, while 5 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 26:10 from Derby's perspective. 8 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 7 matches, with an average of 2.4 goals per game.
Predicted formations: Derby 4-2-3-1 / Bolton 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: Derby wins 8, draws 5, Bolton wins 2
Last matches: Derby
17.07.26
Fri
Derby
Alfreton Town
2
0
W
02.05.26
Cha
Derby
Sheffield Utd
1
2
L
25.04.26
Cha
Derby
QPR
3
2
W
21.04.26
Cha
Derby
Norwich
1
2
L
18.04.26
Cha
Derby
Oxford United
1
0
W
11.04.26
Cha
Derby
Southampton
1
2
L
06.04.26
Cha
Derby
Stoke City
2
0
W
03.04.26
Cha
Derby
Coventry
2
3
L
21.03.26
Cha
Derby
Birmingham
1
0
W
16.03.26
Cha
Derby
Portsmouth
1
0
W
10.03.26
Cha
Derby
Millwall
0
1
L
07.03.26
Cha
Derby
Sheffield Wednesday
2
1
W
28.02.26
Cha
Derby
Blackburn
3
1
W
24.02.26
Cha
Derby
Hull City
2
4
L
21.02.26
Cha
Derby
Watford
0
2
L
14.02.26
Cha
Derby
Swansea
2
0
W
07.02.26
Cha
Derby
Ipswich
1
2
L
30.01.26
Cha
Derby
Bristol City
5
0
W
23.01.26
Cha
Derby
West Brom
1
1
D
20.01.26
Cha
Derby
Charlton
2
1
W
Last matches: Bolton
21.07.26
Fri
Bolton
Oldham
3
1
W
17.07.26
Fri
Bolton
Dunajska Streda
1
2
L
11.07.26
Fri
Bolton
Longridge Town
4
0
W
24.05.26
Lea
Bolton
Stockport County
4
1
W
14.05.26
Lea
Bolton
Bradford
1
0
W
09.05.26
Lea
Bolton
Bradford
1
0
W
02.05.26
Lea
Bolton
Luton
2
3
L
25.04.26
Lea
Bolton
Bradford
1
1
D
18.04.26
Lea
Bolton
Huddersfield
3
3
D
14.04.26
Lea
Bolton
Stevenage
5
1
W
11.04.26
Lea
Bolton
Cardiff
0
2
L
06.04.26
Lea
Bolton
Stockport County
2
2
D
03.04.26
Lea
Bolton
Plymouth
2
1
W
21.03.26
Lea
Bolton
Port Vale
0
1
L
17.03.26
Lea
Bolton
Doncaster
0
0
D
14.03.26
Lea
Bolton
Rotherham
2
2
D
07.03.26
Lea
Bolton
Wycombe
3
2
W
28.02.26
Lea
Bolton
Exeter City
5
1
W
21.02.26
Lea
Bolton
Blackpool
2
2
D
17.02.26
Lea
Bolton
Reading
1
1
D
H2H: Derby vs Bolton
16.03.24
H2H
Derby
Bolton
1
0
W
02.09.23
H2H
Bolton
Derby
2
1
L
21.01.23
H2H
Derby
Bolton
2
1
W
27.12.22
H2H
Bolton
Derby
0
0
D
13.04.19
H2H
Derby
Bolton
4
0
W
29.09.18
H2H
Bolton
Derby
1
0
L
07.04.18
H2H
Derby
Bolton
3
0
W
19.08.17
H2H
Bolton
Derby
1
2
W
09.04.16
H2H
Derby
Bolton
4
1
W
08.08.15
H2H
Bolton
Derby
0
0
D
07.02.15
H2H
Derby
Bolton
4
1
W
27.09.14
H2H
Bolton
Derby
0
2
W
11.03.14
H2H
Derby
Bolton
0
0
D
17.09.13
H2H
Bolton
Derby
2
2
D
19.02.13
H2H
Derby
Bolton
1
1
D
Last matches: Derby
02.05.26
Cha
Derby
Sheffield Utd
1
2
L
18.04.26
Cha
Derby
Oxford United
1
0
W
06.04.26
Cha
Derby
Stoke City
2
0
W
21.03.26
Cha
Derby
Birmingham
1
0
W
07.03.26
Cha
Derby
Sheffield Wednesday
2
1
W
28.02.26
Cha
Derby
Blackburn
3
1
W
14.02.26
Cha
Derby
Swansea
2
0
W
07.02.26
Cha
Derby
Ipswich
1
2
L
23.01.26
Cha
Derby
West Brom
1
1
D
11.01.26
FA
Derby
Leeds
1
3
L
04.01.26
Cha
Derby
Wrexham
1
2
L
01.01.26
Cha
Derby
Middlesbrough
1
0
W
20.12.25
Cha
Derby
Portsmouth
1
1
D
10.12.25
Cha
Derby
Millwall
1
1
D
06.12.25
Cha
Derby
Leicester
1
3
L
22.11.25
Cha
Derby
Watford
2
3
L
04.11.25
Cha
Derby
Hull City
2
1
W
25.10.25
Cha
Derby
QPR
1
0
W
21.10.25
Cha
Derby
Norwich
1
0
W
04.10.25
Cha
Derby
Southampton
1
1
D
H2H at home: Derby
16.03.24
H2H
Derby
Bolton
1
0
W
21.01.23
H2H
Derby
Bolton
2
1
W
13.04.19
H2H
Derby
Bolton
4
0
W
07.04.18
H2H
Derby
Bolton
3
0
W
09.04.16
H2H
Derby
Bolton
4
1
W
07.02.15
H2H
Derby
Bolton
4
1
W
11.03.14
H2H
Derby
Bolton
0
0
D
19.02.13
H2H
Derby
Bolton
1
1
D
Last matches: Bolton
21.07.26
Fri
Bolton
Oldham
3
1
W
17.07.26
Fri
Bolton
Dunajska Streda
1
2
L
11.07.26
Fri
Bolton
Longridge Town
4
0
W
14.05.26
Lea
Bolton
Bradford
1
0
W
25.04.26
Lea
Bolton
Bradford
1
1
D
11.04.26
Lea
Bolton
Cardiff
0
2
L
03.04.26
Lea
Bolton
Plymouth
2
1
W
21.03.26
Lea
Bolton
Port Vale
0
1
L
14.03.26
Lea
Bolton
Rotherham
2
2
D
28.02.26
Lea
Bolton
Exeter City
5
1
W
17.02.26
Lea
Bolton
Reading
1
1
D
14.02.26
Lea
Bolton
Lincoln
1
1
D
31.01.26
Lea
Bolton
AFC Wimbledon
1
0
W
20.01.26
Lea
Bolton
Stevenage
0
0
D
17.01.26
Lea
Bolton
Wigan
1
0
W
10.01.26
Lea
Bolton
Peterborough
1
3
L
01.01.26
Lea
Bolton
Doncaster
1
1
D
20.12.25
Lea
Bolton
Wycombe
1
2
L
09.12.25
Lea
Bolton
Mansfield Town
1
0
W
06.12.25
FA
Bolton
Swindon Town
0
4
L
H2H away: Bolton
16.03.24
H2H
Derby
Bolton
1
0
L
21.01.23
H2H
Derby
Bolton
2
1
L
13.04.19
H2H
Derby
Bolton
4
0
L
07.04.18
H2H
Derby
Bolton
3
0
L
09.04.16
H2H
Derby
Bolton
4
1
L
07.02.15
H2H
Derby
Bolton
4
1
L
11.03.14
H2H
Derby
Bolton
0
0
D
19.02.13
H2H
Derby
Bolton
1
1
D
Standings
Championship
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
?
|
|
| 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
?
|
|
| 3 |
Bolton
Away
|
0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
?
|
| 4 |
Derby
Home
|
0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
?
|
| 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
?
|
|
| 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
?
|
|
| 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
?
|
|
| 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
?
|
|
| 9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
?
|
|
| 10 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
?
|
|
| 11 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
?
|
|
| 12 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
?
|
|
| 13 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
?
|
|
| 14 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
?
|
|
| 15 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
?
|
|
| 16 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
?
|
|
| 17 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
?
|
|
| 18 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
?
|
|
| 19 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
?
|
|
| 20 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
?
|
|
| 21 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
?
|
|
| 22 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
?
|
|
| 23 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
?
|
|
| 24 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
?
|
Promotion - Premier League
Promotion - Championship (Play Offs: Semi-finals)
Promotion - Championship (Play Offs: Quarter-finals)
Relegation - League One