06.11.2026 20:00

Derby

3 - 1

Bolton

Pride Park Stadium

Referee: James Bell

Derby vs Bolton H2H Stats

Compare football head-to-head records, previous meetings, wins, draws, BTTS and Over 2.5 trends before reading the match prediction.

View today's football H2H stats

Derby

Match Timeline

Bolton

0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'

⚽

🟨

🔄

⚽

🟨

Derby vs Bolton Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2

Draw or Away

Probability 72.2%

Odds 1.44

BTTS

Yes

Probability 78.9%

Odds 1.53

Over / Under 2.5

Over 2.5

Probability 66.7%

Odds 1.70

All Markets

Market	Option	Probability	Odds	Stats & Analysis
1X2	Draw or Away	72.2%	1.44	▥
BTTS	Yes	78.9%	1.53	▥
Over / Under 2.5	Over 2.5	66.7%	1.70	▥
Corners O/U	Over 7.5 Corners	92%	1.13	▥
HT / FT	Draw / Away	-	6.50	▥
Correct Score	1-2	-	10.00	▥

Probability Distribution

Derby Win 27.8%

Draw 24.9%

Bolton Win 47.3%

Expected Goals (xG)

Derby1.2

Bolton1.53

Recent Form (Last 5)

Derby

L L D L L

3 GF / 14 GA

Bolton

W L L D W

7 GF / 9 GA

Key Stats

0.95

Average Goals Scored

1.32

1.85

Average Goals Conceded

1.58

BTTS Yes

Over 2.5

3.71

Shots on Goal

4.64

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Derby 20 matches

Bolton 19 matches

Derby	Statistic	Bolton
3	Wins	7
5	Draws	4
12	Losses	8
19	Goals For	25
37	Goals Against	30
0.95	Avg Goals Scored	1.32
1.85	Avg Goals Conceded	1.58
12	BTTS Yes	11
17	Over 1.5	12
11	Over 2.5	11
6	Over 3.5	8
2	Clean Sheets	6
6	Failed To Score	5
3.71	Shots On Goal	4.64
12.14	Total Shots	13.86
5.5	Corners	5.36
48.1%	Ball Possession	50%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Derby won 8 times, Bolton won 2 times, while 5 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 26:10 from Derby's perspective. 8 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 7 matches, with an average of 2.4 goals per game.

1X2: Draw or Away

BTTS: Yes

Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5

Highest model probability: 12 (75.1%)

Predicted formations: Derby 4-2-3-1 / Bolton 4-2-3-1

Missing players: Derby 8, Bolton 6

H2H summary: Derby wins 8, draws 5, Bolton wins 2

Standings

Championship

#	Team	MP	W	D	L	G	GD	PTS	Form
1	Birmingham	15	8	5	2	28:14	14	29	W W W L W
2	Middlesbrough	15	8	5	2	30:19	11	29	D L W W D
3	Stoke City	15	9	2	4	24:18	6	29	W W W D W
4	Wolves	15	8	4	3	26:18	8	28	D W W W D
5	West Brom	15	8	4	3	23:15	8	28	W D W D W
6	Swansea	15	8	2	5	22:18	4	26	L L W L L
7	Southampton	15	8	4	3	29:15	14	24	L D W W D
8	QPR	15	6	6	3	24:18	6	24	W D L W L
9	West Ham	15	6	5	4	37:23	14	23	L D L L W
10	Sheffield Utd	15	6	4	5	21:19	2	22	L W W D W
11	Portsmouth	15	6	4	5	20:18	2	22	L W D W D
12	Norwich	15	7	0	8	32:24	8	21	W W W W L
13	Blackburn	15	6	3	6	22:23	-1	21	W L L W L
14	Cardiff	15	4	6	5	27:27	0	18	W D L W D
15	Wrexham	15	4	6	5	18:20	-2	18	D W L L W
16	Millwall	15	5	3	7	23:27	-4	18	L L W L D
17	Bristol City	15	5	3	7	16:24	-8	18	L L W D L
18	Bolton Away	15	5	2	8	20:29	-9	17	L W L L D
19	Charlton	15	4	5	6	13:23	-10	17	W L L L L
20	Watford	15	4	3	8	13:23	-10	15	D W L L W
21	Lincoln	15	4	3	8	15:26	-11	15	L L L W D
22	Burnley	15	1	7	7	22:31	-9	10	L D D L L
23	Derby Home	15	2	4	9	14:30	-16	10	W L L D L
24	Preston	15	2	2	11	13:30	-17	8	W L L D L

Promotion - Premier League

Promotion - Championship (Play Offs: Semi-finals)

Promotion - Championship (Play Offs: Quarter-finals)

Relegation - League One