08.08.2026 17:45
Estadio Guillermo Laza
Referee: Andres Merlos, Argentina
Deportivo Riestra
Match Timeline
Estudiantes L.P.
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
7'
Santiago Núñez
Estudiantes L.P.
VAR
9'
Braian Sánchez
Deportivo Riestra
12'
M. Celiz
Deportivo Riestra
🟨
44'
Antony Alonso
Deportivo Riestra
🟨
45+2'
Carlos Quintana
Deportivo Riestra
🟨
53'
Milton Celiz
Deportivo Riestra
🟨
53'
José Sosa
Estudiantes L.P.
🔄
60'
E. Cetre ↔ B. Aguirre
Estudiantes L.P.
🔄
60'
V. Pierani ↔ A. Castro
Estudiantes L.P.
🔄
60'
J. Sosa ↔ T. Palacios
Estudiantes L.P.
🟨
61'
Ramiro Funes Mori
Estudiantes L.P.
🔄
66'
P. Monje ↔ J. Goitia
Deportivo Riestra
🔄
66'
B. Sanchez ↔ N. Watson
Deportivo Riestra
🔄
72'
A. Diaz ↔ T. Gonzalez
Deportivo Riestra
73'
A. Alonso · Assist: N. Watson
Deportivo Riestra
🔄
76'
A. Alonso ↔ G. Flores
Deportivo Riestra
🔄
77'
P. Ramirez ↔ M. Bracamonte
Deportivo Riestra
🔄
79'
F. Farias ↔ Perez Fabricio
Estudiantes L.P.
🔄
79'
J. Pereyra ↔ J. Burgos
Estudiantes L.P.
🟨
90+2'
Alexis Castro
Estudiantes L.P.

Deportivo Riestra vs Estudiantes L.P. Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away Win
Probability 51.6%
Odds -
BTTS
No
Probability 56%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 55.6%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away Win
51.6%
-
BTTS No
56%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
55.6%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
85.4%
-
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
-
Correct Score 0-3
-
-
Probability Distribution
Deportivo Riestra Win 33%
Draw 15.4%
Estudiantes L.P. Win 51.6%
Expected Goals (xG)
Deportivo Riestra0.54
Estudiantes L.P.1.05
Recent Form (Last 5)
Deportivo Riestra Deportivo Riestra
WWDLW
11 GF / 16 GA
Estudiantes L.P. Estudiantes L.P.
WLDWL
35 GF / 16 GA
Key Stats
0.52
Average Goals Scored
1.25
0.76
Average Goals Conceded
0.57
5
BTTS Yes
8
2
Over 2.5
8
3.47
Shots on Goal
5

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Deportivo Riestra Deportivo Riestra 21 matches
Estudiantes L.P. Estudiantes L.P. 28 matches
Deportivo Riestra Statistic Estudiantes L.P.
3 Wins 14
9 Draws 7
9 Losses 7
11 Goals For 35
16 Goals Against 16
0.52 Avg Goals Scored 1.25
0.76 Avg Goals Conceded 0.57
5 BTTS Yes 8
9 Over 1.5 15
2 Over 2.5 8
0 Over 3.5 2
8 Clean Sheets 13
13 Failed To Score 10
3.47 Shots On Goal 5
10 Total Shots 13.69
4.16 Corners 4.35
37.5% Ball Possession 51.4%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

From the opening view, this looks like a meeting between teams arriving with different levels of stability, reinforced by Estudiantes L.P.'s more proactive style and Deportivo Riestra's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Deportivo Riestra expected to line up in 3-4-3 and Estudiantes L.P. in 4-2-3-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Estudiantes L.P. having the stronger overall control. Estudiantes L.P. carry the stronger overall league profile, standing 1 with 31 points while Deportivo Riestra sit 15 on 11, suggesting a clearer edge in long-term output. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors Estudiantes L.P..

Deportivo Riestra Analysis

Deportivo Riestra sit 15 with 11 points after 16 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. Across the season they have posted 1 wins, 8 draws, and 7 defeats, and the 5:12 goal record continues to suggest mixed form over their recent run. Their attacking burden often falls on Antony Alonso (2 goals), Mariano Bracamonte (1 goals), Jonathan Herrera (1 goals), with creative support from Antony Alonso (1 assists), Nicolás Sansotre (1 assists), while at the back they have been very solid. At home, the split record of 1 wins, 5 draws, and 2 losses points to a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader football approach still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

Estudiantes L.P. Analysis

Estudiantes L.P. come into this match from a strong league position, sitting 1 with 31 points from 16 matches. Across the campaign, they have posted 9 wins, 4 draws, and 3 losses, while the 19:7 goal ratio supports the view of mixed form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on Adolfo Gaich (3 goals), Alexis Castro (2 goals), Mikel Amondarain (1 goals), with creative support from Tiago Palacios (3 assists), Mikel Amondarain (1 assists), Guido Carrillo (1 assists), and defensively they have been very solid. Away from home, the record of 4 wins, 3 draws, and 1 losses points toward a fairly balanced split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their broader style still suggests balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 3 head-to-head meetings, Deportivo Riestra won 1 times, Estudiantes L.P. won 2 times, while 0 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 2:3 from Deportivo Riestra's perspective. 0 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 0 matches, with an average of 1.67 goals per game.

1X2: Away Win
BTTS: No
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (84.6%)
Predicted formations: Deportivo Riestra 3-4-3 / Estudiantes L.P. 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: Deportivo Riestra wins 1, draws 0, Estudiantes L.P. wins 2

Standings

Apertura - Group A
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 16 9 4 3 19:7 12 31
W L D L W
2 16 8 6 2 22:9 13 30
W D W D D
3 16 7 7 2 18:12 6 28
D W D D D
4 16 7 5 4 17:13 4 26
W L D D L
5 16 6 6 4 24:20 4 24
D W L D W
6 16 6 6 4 18:15 3 24
W L D L W
7 16 5 7 4 14:14 0 22
D W L D W
8 16 5 6 5 24:20 4 21
L W W W L
9 16 6 3 7 17:17 0 21
L W D W W
10 16 4 7 5 18:21 -3 19
W L W W D
11 16 5 4 7 14:22 -8 19
L D W W W
12 16 3 7 6 10:15 -5 16
L D L W D
13 16 4 4 8 11:21 -10 16
L L D L L
14 16 3 6 7 15:27 -12 15
D D D W W
15 16 1 8 7 5:12 -7 11
D D D L W
Knockout Phase