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16.10.2026 22:20
Estadio Ricardo Gregor
Referee: D. Lopez
Deportivo Recoleta
Match Timeline
Rubio NU
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
27'
Kevin Daniel Parzajuk Rodríguez
Deportivo Recoleta
🟨
30'
Claudio Garay
Deportivo Recoleta
🔄
46'
L. Monzon ↔ M. Pereira
Deportivo Recoleta
🔄
46'
F. A. Echeguren Zarza ↔ B. Medina
Deportivo Recoleta
🔄
46'
K. Parzajuk ↔ W. Baez
Deportivo Recoleta
🔄
63'
C. Garay ↔ A. Silva
Deportivo Recoleta
🔄
66'
L. Montiel ↔ C. Gimenez
Rubio NU
🔄
66'
O. Alfonso ↔ R. Rojas
Rubio NU
⚽
67'
R. Martino · Assist: W. Baez
Deportivo Recoleta
🟥
70'
Maximiliano Garrone
Rubio NU
🔄
72'
S. Fretes ↔ E. Alfonso
Rubio NU
🔄
72'
T. Leiva ↔ A. Paez
Rubio NU
🔄
73'
R. Ruiz Diaz ↔ E. Perez
Rubio NU
🟨
82'
Cristian Nunez
Rubio NU
🔄
87'
J. Espinola ↔ R. Dominguez
Deportivo Recoleta
🟨
90+4'
Renzo José Martino Campuzano
Deportivo Recoleta
VAR
90+5'
Franco Fragueda
Rubio NU
🟥
90+5'
Franco Fragueda
Rubio NU

Deportivo Recoleta vs Rubio NU Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away Win
Probability 78.9%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 67.1%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 64.5%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away Win
78.9%
- ▥
BTTS Yes
67.1%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
64.5%
- ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
- ▥
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
- ▥
Correct Score 1-2
-
- ▥
Probability Distribution
Deportivo Recoleta Win 10.6%
Draw 10.6%
Rubio NU Win 78.9%
Expected Goals (xG)
Deportivo Recoleta1.37
Rubio NU1.15
Recent Form (Last 5)
Deportivo Recoleta Deportivo Recoleta
L L D L L
2 GF / 7 GA
Rubio NU Rubio NU
D W D L L
4 GF / 5 GA
Key Stats
1.36
Average Goals Scored
0.83
1.64
Average Goals Conceded
1.39
25
BTTS Yes
12
23
Over 2.5
13
3.5
Shots on Goal
3.28

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Deportivo Recoleta Deportivo Recoleta 36 matches
Rubio NU Rubio NU 36 matches
Deportivo Recoleta Statistic Rubio NU
10 Wins 9
6 Draws 9
20 Losses 18
49 Goals For 30
59 Goals Against 50
1.36 Avg Goals Scored 0.83
1.64 Avg Goals Conceded 1.39
25 BTTS Yes 12
29 Over 1.5 22
23 Over 2.5 13
13 Over 3.5 9
5 Clean Sheets 10
7 Failed To Score 18
3.5 Shots On Goal 3.28
10.58 Total Shots 11.28
4.08 Corners 3.89
48.1% Ball Possession 42.4%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

Looking at the broader profile of both teams, this encounter highlights two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward Rubio NU. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Deportivo Recoleta expected to line up in 4-4-2 and Rubio NU in 5-3-2, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Rubio NU having the stronger overall control.

Deportivo Recoleta Analysis

With 8 points from 13 games and a place of 11, Deportivo Recoleta still have clear room for improvement in overall consistency. Their record of 2 wins, 2 draws, and 9 losses, together with goals at 14:26, reflects poor form with results showing a clear downward trend. Much of their threat comes through A. González (2 goals), P. Charpentier (2 goals), H. López (2 goals), with creative support from W. Báez (2 assists), A. González (1 assists), P. Charpentier (1 assists), while the defensive numbers suggest they have been fairly stable. At home, they have managed 1 wins, 1 draws, and 5 losses, a return that supports a weak split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms they often show a more cautious and defensive approach.

Rubio NU Analysis

Rubio NU approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 10 with 12 points from 13 matches. Across the season they have posted 3 wins, 3 draws, and 7 defeats, and the 15:24 goal record continues to suggest poor form over their recent run. Their attacking burden often falls on J. Vallejos (2 goals), S. Fretes (2 goals), W. Mendieta (1 goals), with creative support from W. Mendieta (2 assists), J. Vallejos (1 assists), S. Fretes (1 assists), while at the back they have been very solid. Away from home, they have managed 2 wins, 0 draws, and 5 losses, a return that supports a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms they often show a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 7 head-to-head meetings, Deportivo Recoleta won 4 times, Rubio NU won 1 times, while 2 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 12:7 from Deportivo Recoleta's perspective. 3 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 4 matches, with an average of 2.71 goals per game.

1X2: Away Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: X2 (89.5%)
Predicted formations: Deportivo Recoleta 4-4-2 / Rubio NU 5-3-2
H2H summary: Deportivo Recoleta wins 4, draws 2, Rubio NU wins 1

Standings

Primera Division: Clausura
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 19 13 3 3 37:14 23 42
W W W W W
2 19 10 4 5 31:18 13 34
W D L W W
3 19 10 3 6 28:20 8 33
W L L W L
4 19 9 5 5 26:14 12 32
L L W L W
5 19 8 7 4 21:17 4 31
L W W W L
6 19 8 6 5 18:21 -3 30
L D L D L
7 19 8 4 7 25:20 5 28
D W L W D
8 19 7 1 11 25:33 -8 22
W W L L W
9 19 4 7 8 19:28 -9 19
L L L L D
10 19 4 5 10 21:36 -15 17
D L W L L
11 19 4 4 11 21:33 -12 16
D L W D W
12 19 2 5 12 14:32 -18 11
D W W L L
Promotion - Copa Libertadores (Group Stage)