29.08.2026 21:30
Estadio Luis Alberto Salinas Tanasio
Referee: M. D. de Vivar
Deportivo Recoleta
Match Timeline
Olimpia
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
7'
A. F. Rodriguez Armoa · Assist: R. Benitez
Olimpia
🟨
22'
Richard Ortiz
Olimpia
29'
F. Alfonso · Assist: F. Cardozo
Olimpia
🟨
34'
Franco Alfonso
Olimpia
🟨
43'
Marcos Pereira
Deportivo Recoleta
🔄
46'
R. Benitez ↔ S. Quintana
Olimpia
🔄
54'
F. Alfonso ↔ E. Delmas
Olimpia
🔄
62'
P. Rios ↔ L. Cardozo
Deportivo Recoleta
🔄
62'
K. Parzajuk ↔ F. Galeano
Deportivo Recoleta
🔄
62'
N. Marotta ↔ P. Charpentier
Deportivo Recoleta
🔄
64'
T. Payne ↔ R. Caceres
Olimpia
🔄
64'
F. Cardozo ↔ R. Lezcano
Olimpia
🔄
72'
A. Silva ↔ M. Schupp
Deportivo Recoleta
🔄
72'
A. Gonzalez ↔ R. Ortiz
Deportivo Recoleta
🔄
78'
R. Sanchez ↔ J. Dominguez
Olimpia
🔄
85'
R. Dominguez ↔ B. Medina
Deportivo Recoleta
🔄
86'
T. I. Caballero Fleytas ↔ H. Sandoval
Olimpia
🟨
90+2'
Héctor López
Deportivo Recoleta
🟨
90+2'
Mateo Gamarra
Olimpia
90'
R. Ortiz · Assist: B. Medina
Deportivo Recoleta

Deportivo Recoleta vs Olimpia Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 73.3%
Odds 4.90
BTTS
Yes
Probability 78.8%
Odds 1.73
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 72%
Odds 1.75
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
73.3%
4.90
BTTS Yes
78.8%
1.73
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
72%
1.75
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
1.80
HT / FT Home / Home
-
8.50
Correct Score 2-1
-
17.00
Probability Distribution
Deportivo Recoleta Win 73.3%
Draw 6.1%
Olimpia Win 20.6%
Expected Goals (xG)
Deportivo Recoleta1.37
Olimpia1.6
Recent Form (Last 5)
Deportivo Recoleta Deportivo Recoleta
WWDLW
45 GF / 45 GA
Olimpia Olimpia
WLDWL
46 GF / 29 GA
Key Stats
1.61
Average Goals Scored
1.59
1.61
Average Goals Conceded
1
21
BTTS Yes
15
19
Over 2.5
14
3.79
Shots on Goal
5.11

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Deportivo Recoleta Deportivo Recoleta 28 matches
Olimpia Olimpia 29 matches
Deportivo Recoleta Statistic Olimpia
10 Wins 17
5 Draws 4
13 Losses 8
45 Goals For 46
45 Goals Against 29
1.61 Avg Goals Scored 1.59
1.61 Avg Goals Conceded 1
21 BTTS Yes 15
24 Over 1.5 20
19 Over 2.5 14
11 Over 3.5 6
4 Clean Sheets 10
3 Failed To Score 5
3.79 Shots On Goal 5.11
10.5 Total Shots 15.07
3.71 Corners 5.19
48.8% Ball Possession 55.1%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

Looking at the broader profile of both teams, this encounter highlights Olimpia's more proactive style and Deportivo Recoleta's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring Olimpia. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Deportivo Recoleta expected to line up in 4-4-2 and Olimpia in 4-1-4-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Olimpia having the stronger overall control. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Olimpia arrive with more visible recent inconsistency, which may leave them vulnerable if the match starts badly. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day.

Deportivo Recoleta Analysis

Placed 5 with 7 points from 5 outings, Deportivo Recoleta continue to operate from a strong competitive position. The record of 2 wins, 1 draws, and 2 defeats, together with a 9:10 goal balance, points toward mixed form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through Héctor López (2 goals), Wilfrido Baez (1 goals), Aldo Gonzalez (1 goals), with creative support from Wilfrido Baez (1 assists), Aldo Gonzalez (1 assists), Paul Charpentier (1 assists), while at the back they have looked very solid. At home, their split return of 1 wins, 1 draws, and 1 losses fits a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Stylistically, they usually display a more cautious and defensive approach.

Olimpia Analysis

Olimpia sit 9 with 6 points after 5 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. The overall return of 2 wins, 0 draws, and 3 defeats with a 7:5 goal balance points toward mixed form over their recent run. Going forward they depend heavily on Romeo Benítez (1 goals), Eduardo Delmas (1 goals), Braian Romero (1 goals), with creative support from Romeo Benítez (1 assists), Eduardo Delmas (1 assists), Alan Rodríguez (1 assists), while defensively they have looked very solid. Away from home, the split record of 0 wins, 0 draws, and 2 losses points to a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader football approach still suggests balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 7 head-to-head meetings, Deportivo Recoleta won 1 times, Olimpia won 4 times, while 2 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 5:8 from Deportivo Recoleta's perspective. 2 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 3 matches, with an average of 1.86 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (93.9%)
Predicted formations: Deportivo Recoleta 4-4-2 / Olimpia 4-1-4-1
H2H summary: Deportivo Recoleta wins 1, draws 2, Olimpia wins 4

Standings

Primera Division: Clausura
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 10 7 1 2 18:11 7 22
W W L D W
2 10 6 3 1 12:8 4 21
L W D W D
3 10 6 1 3 17:9 8 19
W W D W W
4 10 5 3 2 15:6 9 18
W L W W W
5 10 5 2 3 18:9 9 17
W L W L D
6 10 4 4 2 12:11 1 16
W W L D W
7 10 4 2 4 13:10 3 14
D W W D L
8 10 3 5 2 11:9 2 14
D W D D D
9 10 3 1 6 11:20 -9 10
L L D W L
10 10 2 2 6 11:20 -9 8
L L W L D
11 10 2 1 7 13:23 -10 7
L L L L L
12 10 0 1 9 3:18 -15 1
L L L L L
Promotion - Copa Libertadores (Group Stage)