PARAGUAY DIVISION PROFESIONAL - APERTURA
--.--.---- --:--
Estadio Roque F. Batelhana
Referee: C. Benitez
Deportivo Recoleta
Match Timeline
Cerro Porteno
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
-5'
Juan Iturbe
Cerro Porteno
14'
A. Wlk · Assist: R. Dominguez
Deportivo Recoleta
21'
A. Sonora
Cerro Porteno
🟥
41'
Rodrigo Gómez
Cerro Porteno
VAR
41'
Rodrigo Gómez
Cerro Porteno
🔄
46'
C. Franco ↔ J. Iturbe
Cerro Porteno
🔄
46'
F. Noguera ↔ J. Torres
Cerro Porteno
🔄
46'
C. Bobadilla ↔ M. Chaparro
Cerro Porteno
51'
A. Wlk
Deportivo Recoleta
🔄
55'
A. Sonora ↔ E. Paez
Cerro Porteno
🔄
64'
T. Vidal ↔ H. Lopez
Deportivo Recoleta
🔄
76'
J. Espinola ↔ F. Galeano
Deportivo Recoleta
🔄
76'
W. Baez ↔ B. Ferreira
Deportivo Recoleta
🟨
82'
Dairon Mosquera
Deportivo Recoleta
🟨
83'
da Motta
Cerro Porteno
🔄
83'
J. Falcon ↔ M. Schupp
Deportivo Recoleta
🔄
83'
R. Dominguez ↔ C. Garay
Deportivo Recoleta
🔄
84'
R. Piris ↔ F. Peralta
Cerro Porteno

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 53.7%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS No
Probability 40%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 39.8%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
53.7%
-
BTTS BTTS No
40%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
39.8%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
79.1%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-0
-
-
Probability Distribution
Deportivo Recoleta Win 53.7%
Draw 0%
Cerro Porteno Win 46.4%
Expected Goals (xG)
Deportivo Recoleta1.22
Cerro Porteno1.37
Recent Form (Last 5)
Deportivo Recoleta Deportivo Recoleta
WWDLW
27 GF / 24 GA
Cerro Porteno Cerro Porteno
WLDWL
28 GF / 16 GA
Key Stats
1.5
Average Goals Scored
1.4
1.33
Average Goals Conceded
0.8
11
BTTS Yes
7
10
Over 2.5
5
3.72
Shots on Goal
4.7

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Deportivo Recoleta Deportivo Recoleta 18 matches
Cerro Porteno Cerro Porteno 20 matches
Deportivo Recoleta Statistic Cerro Porteno
6 Wins 11
4 Draws 5
8 Losses 4
27 Goals For 28
24 Goals Against 16
1.5 Avg Goals Scored 1.4
1.33 Avg Goals Conceded 0.8
11 BTTS Yes 7
14 Over 1.5 14
10 Over 2.5 5
5 Over 3.5 3
4 Clean Sheets 9
3 Failed To Score 6
3.72 Shots On Goal 4.7
10.56 Total Shots 13.4
3.72 Corners 5.1
52.2% Ball Possession 54.1%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This match appears to feature a noticeable gap in profile, built around two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring Cerro Porteno. Both teams appear likely to operate from a similar base structure, so execution within the same shape could be more decisive than formation itself. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. Deportivo Recoleta have shown more instability in their recent run, so confidence and game management may become important factors. Cerro Porteno carry the stronger overall league profile, standing 2 with 34 points while Deportivo Recoleta sit 8 on 22, suggesting a clearer edge in long-term output.

Deportivo Recoleta Analysis

With 22 points from 18 games and a place of 8, Deportivo Recoleta still have clear room for improvement in overall consistency. The overall return of 6 wins, 4 draws, and 8 defeats with a 27:24 goal balance points toward mixed form over their recent run. Going forward they depend heavily on A. Wlk (8 goals), A. Gonzalez (6 goals), Richard Ortiz (3 goals), with creative support from W. Baez (7 assists), K. Parzajuk (3 assists), J. Noguera (2 assists), while defensively they have looked very solid. At home, they have managed 4 wins, 3 draws, and 2 losses, a return that supports a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms they often show balanced attacking football.

Cerro Porteno Analysis

Placed 2 with 34 points from 17 outings, Cerro Porteno continue to operate from a strong competitive position. Across the campaign, they have posted 10 wins, 4 draws, and 3 losses, while the 26:14 goal ratio supports the view of mixed form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on Cecilio Domínguez (5 goals), I. Aliseda (4 goals), J. Iturbe (3 goals), with creative support from Cecilio Domínguez (2 assists), I. Aliseda (2 assists), J. Morel (2 assists), and defensively they have been very solid. Away from home, they have returned 5 wins, 2 draws, and 1 losses, a split that suggests a very strong split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. In football terms, they tend to show balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 7 head-to-head meetings, Deportivo Recoleta won 1 times, Cerro Porteno won 5 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 7:15 from Deportivo Recoleta's perspective. 5 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 5 matches, with an average of 3.14 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: BTTS No
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (100%)
Predicted formations: Deportivo Recoleta 4-4-2 / Cerro Porteno 4-4-2
H2H summary: Deportivo Recoleta wins 1, draws 1, Cerro Porteno wins 5
Stats
Deportivo Recoleta Deportivo Recoleta
Cerro Porteno Cerro Porteno
Shots on Goal
3
Shots on Goal
2
Shots off Goal
6
Shots off Goal
4
Blocked Shots
2
Blocked Shots
1
3 Corner Kicks 2
10 Fouls 11
4 Offsides 1
49% Ball Possession 51%
11 Total Shots 7
3 Shots on Goal 2
6 Shots off Goal 4
2 Blocked Shots 1
8 Shots insidebox 4
3 Shots outsidebox 3
1 Goalkeeper Saves 1
434 Total passes 455
361 Passes accurate 389
0 expected_goals 0
🟨 1 Yellow Cards 2 🟨
🟥 0 Red Cards 1 🟥

Lineups

Deportivo Recoleta
Formation
Cerro Porteno
N. Ferreira
N. Ferreira
F. A. Echeguren Zarza
F. A. Echeguren Zarza
N. Marotta
N. Marotta
L. Cardozo
L. Cardozo
D. Mosquera
D. Mosquera
J. Falcon
J. Falcon
R. Dominguez
🎯
R. Dominguez
J. Espinola
J. Espinola
W. Baez
W. Baez
T. Vidal
T. Vidal
A. Wlk
⚽ 2
A. Wlk
A. Martin
A. Martin
R. Gomez
R. Gomez
R. Melgarejo
R. Melgarejo
L. A. Quintana Rodriguez
L. A. Quintana Rodriguez
A. G. Benitez
A. G. Benitez
C. Bobadilla
C. Bobadilla
R. Piris
R. Piris
A. Sonora
A. Sonora
C. Franco
C. Franco
F. Noguera
F. Noguera
M. Klimowicz
M. Klimowicz
Deportivo Recoleta 4-4-2
Starting XI
12
N. Ferreira
G
2
F. A. Echeguren Zarza
D
5
N. Marotta
D
3
L. Cardozo
D
25
D. Mosquera
🟨 82'
D
37
J. Falcon
↓ 83'
M
7
R. Dominguez
🎯 14' ↓ 83'
M
6
J. Espinola
↓ 76'
M
17
W. Baez
↓ 76'
M
24
T. Vidal
↓ 64'
F
29
A. Wlk
⚽ 14' ⚽ 51'
F
Substitutes
1
A. Marsengo
G
40
P. Zeballos
F
20
M. Canete
M
4
M. Pereira
D
8
F. Galeano
↑ 76'
M
31
M. Schupp
↑ 83'
M
23
J. Nunez
M
21
C. Garay
↑ 83'
M
28
L. Mendoza
D
19
H. Lopez
↑ 64'
M
36
B. Ferreira
↑ 76'
39
G. Guggiari
F
Cerro Porteno 4-3-3
Starting XI
1
A. Martin
G
33
R. Gomez
🟥 41'
D
18
R. Melgarejo
14
L. A. Quintana Rodriguez
D
13
A. G. Benitez
D
32
C. Bobadilla
↓ 46'
M
26
R. Piris
↓ 84' 🟨 83'
M
7
A. Sonora
⚽ 21' ↓ 55'
M
28
C. Franco
↓ 46'
F
36
F. Noguera
↓ 46'
F
40
M. Klimowicz
F
Substitutes
12
A. Martinez
G
11
J. Iturbe
↑ 46' 🟨 -5'
F
24
E. Paez
↑ 55'
F
38
A. Cristaldo
8
C. Paredes
M
27
J. Torres
↑ 46'
F
16
F. Peralta
↑ 84'
M
17
D. Espinola
M
34
M. De Carvalho
F
39
L. J. Servin
D
35
M. Chaparro
↑ 46'
D
37
V. Sanchez
D
Last matches: Deportivo Recoleta
23.05.26
Div
Deportivo Recoleta
Club Guarani
2
1
W
15.05.26
Div
Deportivo Recoleta
Olimpia
2
3
L
11.05.26
Div
Deportivo Recoleta
Sportivo Ameliano
2
3
L
24.04.26
Div
Deportivo Recoleta
Nacional Asuncion
1
2
L
18.04.26
Div
Deportivo Recoleta
2 de Mayo
5
0
W
11.04.26
Div
Deportivo Recoleta
Sportivo Luqueno
1
2
L
04.04.26
Div
Deportivo Recoleta
Club Sp. San Lorenzo
4
2
W
30.03.26
Div
Deportivo Recoleta
Libertad Asuncion
0
1
L
26.03.26
Div
Deportivo Recoleta
Rubio NU
1
0
W
23.03.26
Div
Deportivo Recoleta
Sportivo Trinidense
2
3
L
18.03.26
Div
Deportivo Recoleta
Club Guarani
1
3
L
14.03.26
Div
Deportivo Recoleta
Olimpia
0
1
L
09.03.26
Div
Deportivo Recoleta
Sportivo Ameliano
1
1
D
01.03.26
Div
Deportivo Recoleta
Cerro Porteno
0
2
L
26.02.26
Div
Deportivo Recoleta
Nacional Asuncion
2
2
D
20.02.26
Div
Deportivo Recoleta
2 de Mayo
1
0
W
13.02.26
Div
Deportivo Recoleta
Sportivo Luqueno
1
2
L
06.02.26
Div
Deportivo Recoleta
Club Sp. San Lorenzo
3
0
W
02.02.26
Div
Deportivo Recoleta
Libertad Asuncion
2
1
W
29.01.26
Div
Deportivo Recoleta
Rubio NU
1
1
D
Last matches: Cerro Porteno
28.05.26
CON
Cerro Porteno
Sporting Cristal
2
0
W
24.05.26
Div
Cerro Porteno
Rubio NU
2
0
W
21.05.26
CON
Cerro Porteno
Palmeiras
1
0
W
15.05.26
Div
Cerro Porteno
Sportivo Trinidense
1
3
L
11.05.26
Div
Cerro Porteno
Club Guarani
0
0
D
08.05.26
CON
Cerro Porteno
Junior
1
0
W
30.04.26
CON
Cerro Porteno
Palmeiras
1
1
D
24.04.26
Div
Cerro Porteno
Sportivo Ameliano
1
1
D
14.04.26
CON
Cerro Porteno
Junior
1
0
W
11.04.26
Div
Cerro Porteno
Nacional Asuncion
0
0
D
09.04.26
CON
Cerro Porteno
Sporting Cristal
0
1
L
04.04.26
Div
Cerro Porteno
2 de Mayo
3
0
W
31.03.26
Div
Cerro Porteno
Sportivo Luqueno
3
2
W
28.03.26
Div
Cerro Porteno
Club Sp. San Lorenzo
2
0
W
21.03.26
Div
Cerro Porteno
Libertad Asuncion
3
2
W
18.03.26
Div
Cerro Porteno
Rubio NU
0
2
L
14.03.26
Div
Cerro Porteno
Sportivo Trinidense
2
1
W
07.03.26
Div
Cerro Porteno
Club Guarani
2
0
W
01.03.26
Div
Cerro Porteno
Deportivo Recoleta
2
0
W
25.02.26
Div
Cerro Porteno
Sportivo Ameliano
1
0
W
H2H: Deportivo Recoleta vs Cerro Porteno
03.05.26
H2H
Deportivo Recoleta
Cerro Porteno
2
1
W
01.03.26
H2H
Cerro Porteno
Deportivo Recoleta
2
0
L
03.10.25
H2H
Cerro Porteno
Deportivo Recoleta
2
0
L
26.07.25
H2H
Deportivo Recoleta
Cerro Porteno
1
3
L
28.04.25
H2H
Deportivo Recoleta
Cerro Porteno
1
3
L
15.02.25
H2H
Cerro Porteno
Deportivo Recoleta
2
1
L
18.09.24
H2H
Deportivo Recoleta
Cerro Porteno
2
2
D
Last matches: Deportivo Recoleta
23.05.26
Div
Deportivo Recoleta
Club Guarani
2
1
W
18.04.26
Div
Deportivo Recoleta
2 de Mayo
5
0
W
04.04.26
Div
Deportivo Recoleta
Club Sp. San Lorenzo
4
2
W
26.03.26
Div
Deportivo Recoleta
Rubio NU
1
0
W
14.03.26
Div
Deportivo Recoleta
Olimpia
0
1
L
09.03.26
Div
Deportivo Recoleta
Sportivo Ameliano
1
1
D
26.02.26
Div
Deportivo Recoleta
Nacional Asuncion
2
2
D
13.02.26
Div
Deportivo Recoleta
Sportivo Luqueno
1
2
L
02.02.26
Div
Deportivo Recoleta
Libertad Asuncion
2
1
W
23.01.26
Div
Deportivo Recoleta
Sportivo Trinidense
1
1
D
H2H at home: Deportivo Recoleta
03.05.26
H2H
Deportivo Recoleta
Cerro Porteno
2
1
W
26.07.25
H2H
Deportivo Recoleta
Cerro Porteno
1
3
L
28.04.25
H2H
Deportivo Recoleta
Cerro Porteno
1
3
L
18.09.24
H2H
Deportivo Recoleta
Cerro Porteno
2
2
D
Last matches: Cerro Porteno
21.05.26
CON
Cerro Porteno
Palmeiras
1
0
W
15.05.26
Div
Cerro Porteno
Sportivo Trinidense
1
3
L
08.05.26
CON
Cerro Porteno
Junior
1
0
W
11.04.26
Div
Cerro Porteno
Nacional Asuncion
0
0
D
09.04.26
CON
Cerro Porteno
Sporting Cristal
0
1
L
31.03.26
Div
Cerro Porteno
Sportivo Luqueno
3
2
W
21.03.26
Div
Cerro Porteno
Libertad Asuncion
3
2
W
18.03.26
Div
Cerro Porteno
Rubio NU
0
2
L
07.03.26
Div
Cerro Porteno
Club Guarani
2
0
W
25.02.26
Div
Cerro Porteno
Sportivo Ameliano
1
0
W
07.02.26
Div
Cerro Porteno
2 de Mayo
0
0
D
27.01.26
Div
Cerro Porteno
Club Sp. San Lorenzo
4
2
W
H2H away: Cerro Porteno
03.05.26
H2H
Deportivo Recoleta
Cerro Porteno
2
1
L
26.07.25
H2H
Deportivo Recoleta
Cerro Porteno
1
3
W
28.04.25
H2H
Deportivo Recoleta
Cerro Porteno
1
3
W
18.09.24
H2H
Deportivo Recoleta
Cerro Porteno
2
2
D

Standings

# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 22 15 4 3 37:17 20 49
W W L D L
2 22 10 9 3 31:22 9 39
W D W W W
3 22 11 5 6 30:22 8 38
W L D L D
4 22 8 9 5 27:21 6 33
L L W D D
5 22 8 8 6 30:24 6 32
W W L L L
6 22 9 4 9 34:26 8 31
L D W W W
7 22 7 8 7 27:23 4 29
L W D L D
8 22 8 4 10 35:32 3 28
W L L W L
9 22 6 5 11 15:26 -11 23
L D L D W
10 22 5 7 10 18:35 -17 22
L D W W D
11 22 5 5 12 24:33 -9 20
L D L D W
12 22 3 6 13 14:41 -27 15
W D W L L