PARAGUAY DIVISION PROFESIONAL - APERTURA
18.04.2026 23:30
Estadio Ricardo Gregor
Referee: A. Colman
Deportivo Recoleta
Match Timeline
2 de Mayo
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🔄
15'
A. Gonzalez ↔ J. Noguera
Deportivo Recoleta
39'
A. Wlk
Deportivo Recoleta
🔄
46'
K. Parzajuk ↔ R. Ortiz
Deportivo Recoleta
50'
R. Ortiz · Assist: J. Noguera
Deportivo Recoleta
54'
R. Ortiz · Assist: W. Baez
Deportivo Recoleta
🔄
57'
A. Gomez ↔ E. Alfonso
2 de Mayo
🔄
57'
D. Acosta ↔ F. M. Caceres Aguero
2 de Mayo
64'
W. Baez · Assist: R. Ortiz
Deportivo Recoleta
🔄
65'
A. Wlk ↔ J. Falcon
Deportivo Recoleta
VAR
71'
Fernando Cáceres
2 de Mayo
🔄
71'
U. Coronel ↔ R. Ruiz Diaz
2 de Mayo
🟨
76'
Marcelo Acosta
2 de Mayo
🔄
79'
W. Baez ↔ T. Vidal
Deportivo Recoleta
🔄
79'
F. A. Echeguren Zarza ↔ B. Medina
Deportivo Recoleta
🔄
83'
A. Farina ↔ O. Colman
2 de Mayo
🔄
83'
M. Acosta ↔ O. Romero
2 de Mayo
🟥
85'
Oscar Romero
2 de Mayo
VAR
85'
Oscar Romero
2 de Mayo
86'
N. Marotta · Assist: J. Noguera
Deportivo Recoleta

Deportivo Recoleta vs 2 de Mayo Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 77.8%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS Yes
Probability 67.7%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 65.5%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
77.8%
-
BTTS BTTS Yes
67.7%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
65.5%
-
Probability Distribution
Deportivo Recoleta Win 77.8%
Draw 0%
2 de Mayo Win 22.2%
Expected Goals (xG)
Deportivo Recoleta1.37
2 de Mayo1.03
Recent Form (Last 5)
Deportivo Recoleta Deportivo Recoleta
WWDLW
21 GF / 22 GA
2 de Mayo 2 de Mayo
WLDWL
16 GF / 29 GA
Key Stats
1.31
Average Goals Scored
0.8
1.38
Average Goals Conceded
1.45
10
BTTS Yes
10
8
Over 2.5
7
3.63
Shots on Goal
2.6

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Deportivo Recoleta Deportivo Recoleta 16 matches
2 de Mayo 2 de Mayo 20 matches
Deportivo Recoleta Statistic 2 de Mayo
5 Wins 4
4 Draws 8
7 Losses 8
21 Goals For 16
22 Goals Against 29
1.31 Avg Goals Scored 0.8
1.38 Avg Goals Conceded 1.45
10 BTTS Yes 10
12 Over 1.5 14
8 Over 2.5 7
4 Over 3.5 3
3 Clean Sheets 6
3 Failed To Score 6
3.63 Shots On Goal 2.6
10.75 Total Shots 10.5
3.81 Corners 3.7
53.3% Ball Possession 47.8%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

From a tactical perspective, this fixture features two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward 2 de Mayo. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward 2 de Mayo having the stronger overall control. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected.

Deportivo Recoleta Analysis

Deportivo Recoleta sit 8 with 19 points after 16 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. The overall return of 5 wins, 4 draws, and 7 defeats with a -:- goal balance points toward mixed form over their recent run. Going forward they depend heavily on A. Gonzalez (6 goals), A. Wlk (6 goals), Jose Espinola (2 goals), with creative support from W. Baez (6 assists), K. Parzajuk (3 assists), P. Rios (2 assists), while defensively they have looked fairly stable. At home, the split record of - wins, - draws, and - losses points to an unclear split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader football approach still suggests a balanced approach.

2 de Mayo Analysis

2 de Mayo approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 11 with 14 points from 16 matches. Their record of 3 wins, 5 draws, and 8 losses, together with goals at -:-, reflects poor form over their recent run. Much of their threat comes through D. Acosta (4 goals), F. M. Caceres Aguero (2 goals), R. Ruiz Diaz (2 goals), with creative support from A. Farina (3 assists), A. Gomez (2 assists), P. Delvalle (2 assists), while the defensive numbers suggest they have been fairly stable. Away from home, they have returned - wins, - draws, and - losses, which indicates an unclear split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they tend to play with a balanced approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 9 head-to-head meetings, Deportivo Recoleta won 5 times, 2 de Mayo won 3 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 19:12 from Deportivo Recoleta's perspective. 4 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 3 matches, with an average of 3.44 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: BTTS Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (100%)
Predicted formations: Deportivo Recoleta 4-4-2 / 2 de Mayo -
H2H summary: Deportivo Recoleta wins 5, draws 1, 2 de Mayo wins 3

Standings

Primera Division: Apertura
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 22 15 4 3 37:17 20 49
W W L D L
2 22 10 9 3 31:22 9 39
W D W W W
3 22 11 5 6 30:22 8 38
W L D L D
4 22 8 9 5 27:21 6 33
L L W D D
5 22 8 8 6 30:24 6 32
W W L L L
6 22 9 4 9 34:26 8 31
L D W W W
7 22 7 8 7 27:23 4 29
L W D L D
8 22 8 4 10 35:32 3 28
W L L W L
9 22 6 5 11 15:26 -11 23
L D L D W
10 22 5 7 10 18:35 -17 22
L D W W D
11 22 5 5 12 24:33 -9 20
L D L D W
12 22 3 6 13 14:41 -27 15
W D W L L
Promotion - Copa Libertadores (Group Stage)