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ARGENTINA › PRIMERA NACIONAL
18.10.2026 18:00
Estadio Nuevo Francisco Urbano

Deportivo Moron vs Atletico Mitre Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 71.1%
Odds 1.56
BTTS
Yes
Probability 58.8%
Odds 3.00
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 62.1%
Odds 2.72
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
71.1%
1.56 ▥
BTTS Yes
58.8%
3.00 ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
62.1%
2.72 ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
87.7%
1.58 ▥
HT / FT Home / Home
-
2.50 ▥
Correct Score 2-1
-
10.00 ▥
Probability Distribution
Deportivo Moron Win 71.1%
Draw 3.6%
Atletico Mitre Win 25.2%
Expected Goals (xG)
Deportivo Moron1.38
Atletico Mitre0.94
Recent Form (Last 5)
Deportivo Moron Deportivo Moron
WWDLW
53 GF / 36 GA
Atletico Mitre Atletico Mitre
WLDWL
29 GF / 39 GA
Key Stats
1.51
Average Goals Scored
0.88
1.03
Average Goals Conceded
1.18
19
BTTS Yes
14
19
Over 2.5
12
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Deportivo Moron Deportivo Moron 35 matches
Atletico Mitre Atletico Mitre 33 matches
Deportivo Moron Statistic Atletico Mitre
18 Wins 7
7 Draws 15
10 Losses 11
53 Goals For 29
36 Goals Against 39
1.51 Avg Goals Scored 0.88
1.03 Avg Goals Conceded 1.18
19 BTTS Yes 14
28 Over 1.5 23
19 Over 2.5 12
7 Over 3.5 7
11 Clean Sheets 13
7 Failed To Score 13
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This match appears to feature a noticeable gap in profile, built around Deportivo Moron's more proactive style and Atletico Mitre's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward Atletico Mitre. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Deportivo Moron arrive from the stronger league position, sitting 2 with 58 points compared to Atletico Mitre in 14 on 35, which underlines the gap in season consistency. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Atletico Mitre having the stronger overall control. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely.

Deportivo Moron Analysis

Deportivo Moron approach this game with the confidence of a side sitting 2 on 58 points after 32 outings. With 17 wins, 7 draws, and 8 defeats plus a goal balance of 51:32, they continue to show good form over their recent run. Their attacking quality is driven by their main attacking players, and at the back they have appeared fairly stable. At home, they have managed 12 wins, 3 draws, and 1 losses, which underlines a very strong split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. In stylistic terms they continue to show balanced attacking football.

Atletico Mitre Analysis

With 35 points from 32 games and a place of 14, Atletico Mitre still have clear room for improvement in overall consistency. Their record of 7 wins, 14 draws, and 11 losses, together with goals at 29:39, reflects poor form over their recent run. Much of their threat comes through their main attacking players, while the defensive numbers suggest they have been fairly stable. Away from home, they have managed 2 wins, 8 draws, and 6 losses, a return that supports a weak split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms they often show a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 9 head-to-head meetings, Deportivo Moron won 3 times, Atletico Mitre won 2 times, while 4 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 10:6 from Deportivo Moron's perspective. 3 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 4 matches, with an average of 1.78 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (96.4%)
H2H summary: Deportivo Moron wins 3, draws 4, Atletico Mitre wins 2

Standings

Group 1
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 33 18 8 7 37:28 9 62
D L W W D
2 33 17 7 9 51:34 17 58
L W L L W
3 33 16 9 8 42:29 13 57
D W D W W
4 33 14 11 8 47:30 17 53
L W D W L
5 33 14 11 8 39:25 14 53
D W D W L
6 33 13 9 11 31:27 4 48
W L W W W
7 33 12 12 9 28:28 0 48
W W W L D
8 33 12 11 10 26:22 4 47
D L L L D
9 33 9 13 11 25:24 1 40
L L W L D
10 33 10 10 13 32:34 -2 40
W D L W D
11 33 10 10 13 30:39 -9 40
W D D L L
12 33 8 13 12 25:32 -7 37
L D L W W
13 33 9 10 14 28:37 -9 37
L W W L W
14 33 7 15 11 29:39 -10 36
D W L L D
15 33 6 16 11 21:30 -9 34
D D D L D
16 33 6 16 11 18:28 -10 34
D L D D L
17 33 8 8 17 25:35 -10 32
W L W W L
18 33 6 14 13 26:39 -13 32
D L L D D
Promotion - Primera Nacional (Super final)
Promotion - Primera Nacional (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation