ARGENTINA PRIMERA NACIONAL
--.--.---- --:--
Estadio Nuevo Francisco Urbano
Deportivo Moron
Match Timeline
Acassuso
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
17'
F. Fagundez
Deportivo Moron
🟨
20'
S. Kubiszyn
Deportivo Moron
24'
E. Iniguez · Assist: F. Fagundez
Deportivo Moron
36'
T. Rodriguez · Assist: K. Dubini
Acassuso
37'
F. Fagundez · Assist: S. Kubiszyn
Deportivo Moron
🟨
42'
N. Acosta
Acassuso
🔄
46'
D. N. Bellatti S. ↔ A. Ruiz
Acassuso
🔄
46'
R. Reynoso ↔ J. Raccio
Acassuso
🔄
46'
N. Acosta ↔ M. Monaco
Acassuso
🟨
63'
B. Dordoni
Acassuso
🔄
66'
M. Levato ↔ G. Berterame
Deportivo Moron
🔄
66'
M. Bittolo ↔ F. Toloza
Deportivo Moron
🔄
66'
L. Rey ↔ L. Romero
Acassuso
🟨
75'
J. Livera
Deportivo Moron
🔄
77'
S. Kubiszyn ↔ E. Contreras
Deportivo Moron
🔄
77'
E. Iniguez ↔ E. Franco
Deportivo Moron
🔄
77'
K. Dubini ↔ F. Senn
Acassuso
🟨
81'
M. Monaco
Acassuso
🟨
82'
B. Salvareschi
Deportivo Moron
🔄
85'
F. Fagundez ↔ G. Gonzalez
Deportivo Moron
🟥
88'
L. Pioli
Acassuso
🟨
89'
R. Etcheverri
Acassuso
🟨
90+1'
M. Monllor
Acassuso
90'
F. Toloza
Deportivo Moron

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 79.1%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 71.2%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 72%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
79.1%
-
BTTS Yes
71.2%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
72%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
87.7%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-1
-
-
Probability Distribution
Deportivo Moron Win 79.1%
Draw 4.4%
Acassuso Win 16.5%
Expected Goals (xG)
Deportivo Moron1.33
Acassuso0.83
Recent Form (Last 5)
Deportivo Moron Deportivo Moron
WWDLW
35 GF / 23 GA
Acassuso Acassuso
WLDWL
18 GF / 27 GA
Key Stats
1.46
Average Goals Scored
0.75
0.96
Average Goals Conceded
1.13
11
BTTS Yes
6
11
Over 2.5
7
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Deportivo Moron Deportivo Moron 24 matches
Acassuso Acassuso 24 matches
Deportivo Moron Statistic Acassuso
12 Wins 6
5 Draws 6
7 Losses 12
35 Goals For 18
23 Goals Against 27
1.46 Avg Goals Scored 0.75
0.96 Avg Goals Conceded 1.13
11 BTTS Yes 6
18 Over 1.5 14
11 Over 2.5 7
5 Over 3.5 2
9 Clean Sheets 8
5 Failed To Score 14
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This match appears to feature a noticeable gap in profile, built around Deportivo Moron's more proactive style and Acassuso's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Deportivo Moron arrive from the stronger league position, sitting 2 with 38 points compared to Acassuso in 16 on 20, which underlines the gap in season consistency. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Acassuso having the stronger overall control. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring Acassuso. Acassuso arrive with more visible recent inconsistency, which may leave them vulnerable if the match starts badly.

Deportivo Moron Analysis

Placed 2 with 38 points from 21 outings, Deportivo Moron continue to operate from a strong competitive position. Their overall return of 11 wins, 5 draws, and 5 losses with goals at 33:19 reflects mixed form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by their main attacking players, while defensively they have appeared very solid. At home, the record of 8 wins, 3 draws, and 0 losses points toward a very strong split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their broader style still suggests balanced attacking football.

Acassuso Analysis

Acassuso approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 16 with 20 points from 21 matches. Their record of 5 wins, 5 draws, and 11 losses, together with goals at 15:23, reflects poor form over their recent run. Much of their threat comes through their main attacking players, while the defensive numbers suggest they have been very solid. Away from home, they have managed 1 wins, 4 draws, and 7 losses, a return that supports a weak split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. In football terms they often show a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 14 head-to-head meetings, Deportivo Moron won 4 times, Acassuso won 7 times, while 3 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 16:16 from Deportivo Moron's perspective. 5 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 5 matches, with an average of 2.29 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (95.6%)
H2H summary: Deportivo Moron wins 4, draws 3, Acassuso wins 7

Lineups

Deportivo Moron
Formation
Acassuso
J. Salva
J. Salva
E. Iniguez
E. Iniguez
B. Salvareschi
B. Salvareschi
L. Cardozo
L. Cardozo
J. Livera
J. Livera
S. Kubiszyn
🎯
S. Kubiszyn
M. Burruchaga
M. Burruchaga
M. Bittolo
M. Bittolo
J. Olivares
J. Olivares
F. Fagundez
⚽ 2 🎯
F. Fagundez
M. Levato
M. Levato
M. Monllor
M. Monllor
R. Etcheverri
R. Etcheverri
D. N. Bellatti S.
D. N. Bellatti S.
L. Pioli
L. Pioli
B. Dordoni
B. Dordoni
R. Reynoso
R. Reynoso
K. Dubini
🎯
K. Dubini
A. Hermoso
A. Hermoso
L. Rey
L. Rey
T. Rodriguez
T. Rodriguez
N. Acosta
N. Acosta
Deportivo Moron 4-4-2 (estimated)
Starting XI
1
J. Salva
4
E. Iniguez
⚽ 24' ↓ 77'
2
B. Salvareschi
🟨 82'
6
L. Cardozo
3
J. Livera
🟨 75'
8
S. Kubiszyn
🎯 37' ↓ 77' 🟨 20'
5
M. Burruchaga
11
M. Bittolo
↓ 66'
10
J. Olivares
7
F. Fagundez
⚽ 17' ⚽ 37' 🎯 24' ↓ 85'
9
M. Levato
↓ 66'
Substitutes
18
M. Benitez
19
G. Berterame
↑ 66'
15
E. Contreras
↑ 77'
12
F. Diaz
13
F. Flores
16
E. Franco
↑ 77'
17
G. Gonzalez
↑ 85'
20
F. Toloza
⚽ 90' ↑ 66'
14
I. M. Vaquero
Acassuso 4-4-2 (estimated)
Starting XI
1
M. Monllor
🟨 90+1'
4
R. Etcheverri
🟨 89'
2
D. N. Bellatti S.
↓ 46'
6
L. Pioli
🟥 88'
3
B. Dordoni
🟨 63'
7
R. Reynoso
↓ 46'
5
K. Dubini
🎯 36' ↓ 77'
10
A. Hermoso
8
L. Rey
↓ 66'
9
T. Rodriguez
⚽ 36'
11
N. Acosta
↓ 46' 🟨 42'
Substitutes
12
J. Luque
13
J. Ponce
14
A. Ruiz
↑ 46'
15
J. Postigo
16
J. Raccio
↑ 46'
17
D. de Estefano
18
M. Monaco
↑ 46' 🟨 81'
19
L. Romero
↑ 66'
20
F. Senn
↑ 77'
Last matches: Deportivo Moron
21.08.26
Pri
Deportivo Moron
San Telmo
2
2
D
15.08.26
Pri
Deportivo Moron
Almagro
2
0
W
02.08.26
Pri
Deportivo Moron
Chaco For Ever
0
2
L
26.07.26
Pri
Deportivo Moron
Ferro Carril Oeste
4
0
W
11.07.26
Pri
Deportivo Moron
Deportivo Madryn
2
2
D
04.07.26
Pri
Deportivo Moron
Defensores De Belgrano
1
2
L
21.06.26
Pri
Deportivo Moron
Ferro Carril Oeste
0
1
L
13.06.26
Pri
Deportivo Moron
Ciudad de Bolívar
2
1
W
07.06.26
Pri
Deportivo Moron
Almirante Brown
1
0
W
31.05.26
Pri
Deportivo Moron
Atletico Mitre
3
1
W
24.05.26
Pri
Deportivo Moron
CA Estudiantes
2
0
W
18.05.26
Pri
Deportivo Moron
All Boys
0
1
L
09.05.26
Pri
Deportivo Moron
Los Andes
0
0
D
03.05.26
Pri
Deportivo Moron
Godoy Cruz
2
2
D
26.04.26
Pri
Deportivo Moron
Racing Cordoba
2
1
W
23.04.26
Cop
Deportivo Moron
Midland
1
2
L
18.04.26
Pri
Deportivo Moron
Colon Santa Fe
2
0
W
11.04.26
Pri
Deportivo Moron
San Miguel
1
2
L
05.04.26
Pri
Deportivo Moron
San Telmo
1
0
W
28.03.26
Pri
Deportivo Moron
Almagro
0
2
L
Last matches: Acassuso
21.08.26
Pri
Acassuso
Godoy Cruz
0
1
L
14.08.26
Pri
Acassuso
Midland
1
1
D
01.08.26
Pri
Acassuso
Colon Santa Fe
1
1
D
26.07.26
Pri
Acassuso
San Miguel
0
0
D
12.07.26
Pri
Acassuso
Racing Cordoba
2
3
L
05.07.26
Pri
Acassuso
Chaco For Ever
1
1
D
20.06.26
Pri
Acassuso
San Miguel
0
2
L
14.06.26
Pri
Acassuso
Ferro Carril Oeste
1
2
L
06.06.26
Pri
Acassuso
Central Norte
2
1
W
31.05.26
Pri
Acassuso
Deportivo Madryn
0
0
D
24.05.26
Pri
Acassuso
Defensores De Belgrano
1
0
W
16.05.26
Pri
Acassuso
Ciudad de Bolívar
0
1
L
10.05.26
Pri
Acassuso
Almirante Brown
0
0
D
03.05.26
Pri
Acassuso
Atletico Mitre
0
2
L
26.04.26
Pri
Acassuso
CA Estudiantes
0
1
L
22.04.26
Cop
Acassuso
Gimnasia L.P.
0
3
L
18.04.26
Pri
Acassuso
All Boys
0
0
D
12.04.26
Pri
Acassuso
Los Andes
0
1
L
08.04.26
Pri
Acassuso
Midland
0
1
L
04.04.26
Pri
Acassuso
Godoy Cruz
0
2
L
H2H: Deportivo Moron vs Acassuso
09.08.26
H2H
Deportivo Moron
Acassuso
4
1
W
21.03.26
H2H
Acassuso
Deportivo Moron
0
3
W
02.04.17
H2H
Acassuso
Deportivo Moron
2
4
W
16.09.16
H2H
Deportivo Moron
Acassuso
2
0
W
26.07.15
H2H
Deportivo Moron
Acassuso
0
0
D
14.03.15
H2H
Acassuso
Deportivo Moron
2
1
L
05.11.14
H2H
Deportivo Moron
Acassuso
0
1
L
11.09.14
H2H
Acassuso
Deportivo Moron
1
0
L
12.02.14
H2H
Acassuso
Deportivo Moron
2
0
L
13.08.13
H2H
Deportivo Moron
Acassuso
0
0
D
26.05.13
H2H
Deportivo Moron
Acassuso
0
1
L
03.12.12
H2H
Acassuso
Deportivo Moron
2
0
L
09.05.12
H2H
Deportivo Moron
Acassuso
1
3
L
02.11.11
H2H
Acassuso
Deportivo Moron
1
1
D
Last matches: Deportivo Moron
15.08.26
Pri
Deportivo Moron
Almagro
2
0
W
26.07.26
Pri
Deportivo Moron
Ferro Carril Oeste
4
0
W
11.07.26
Pri
Deportivo Moron
Deportivo Madryn
2
2
D
07.06.26
Pri
Deportivo Moron
Almirante Brown
1
0
W
24.05.26
Pri
Deportivo Moron
CA Estudiantes
2
0
W
09.05.26
Pri
Deportivo Moron
Los Andes
0
0
D
26.04.26
Pri
Deportivo Moron
Racing Cordoba
2
1
W
23.04.26
Cop
Deportivo Moron
Midland
1
2
L
18.04.26
Pri
Deportivo Moron
Colon Santa Fe
2
0
W
05.04.26
Pri
Deportivo Moron
San Telmo
1
0
W
14.03.26
Pri
Deportivo Moron
Chaco For Ever
3
2
W
01.03.26
Pri
Deportivo Moron
Central Norte
2
0
W
14.02.26
Pri
Deportivo Moron
Defensores De Belgrano
1
1
D
30.06.17
Pri
Deportivo Moron
Deportivo Riestra
1
1
D
21.06.17
Pri
Deportivo Moron
Almirante Brown
0
0
D
06.06.17
Pri
Deportivo Moron
Platense
2
1
W
24.05.17
Pri
Deportivo Moron
Barracas Central
1
1
D
10.05.17
Pri
Deportivo Moron
Villa San Carlos
0
0
D
28.04.17
Pri
Deportivo Moron
Excursionistas
5
0
W
12.04.17
Pri
Deportivo Moron
Colegiales
1
0
W
H2H at home: Deportivo Moron
09.08.26
H2H
Deportivo Moron
Acassuso
4
1
W
16.09.16
H2H
Deportivo Moron
Acassuso
2
0
W
26.07.15
H2H
Deportivo Moron
Acassuso
0
0
D
05.11.14
H2H
Deportivo Moron
Acassuso
0
1
L
13.08.13
H2H
Deportivo Moron
Acassuso
0
0
D
26.05.13
H2H
Deportivo Moron
Acassuso
0
1
L
09.05.12
H2H
Deportivo Moron
Acassuso
1
3
L
Last matches: Acassuso
26.07.26
Pri
Acassuso
San Miguel
0
0
D
12.07.26
Pri
Acassuso
Racing Cordoba
2
3
L
05.07.26
Pri
Acassuso
Chaco For Ever
1
1
D
14.06.26
Pri
Acassuso
Ferro Carril Oeste
1
2
L
31.05.26
Pri
Acassuso
Deportivo Madryn
0
0
D
16.05.26
Pri
Acassuso
Ciudad de Bolívar
0
1
L
03.05.26
Pri
Acassuso
Atletico Mitre
0
2
L
18.04.26
Pri
Acassuso
All Boys
0
0
D
08.04.26
Pri
Acassuso
Midland
0
1
L
04.04.26
Pri
Acassuso
Godoy Cruz
0
2
L
29.03.26
Cop
Acassuso
Newells Old Boys
2
0
W
14.03.26
Pri
Acassuso
Colon Santa Fe
0
1
L
01.03.26
Pri
Acassuso
San Telmo
3
2
W
21.12.25
Pri
Acassuso
Deportivo Armenio
1
1
D
10.12.25
Pri
Acassuso
Real Pilar
1
1
D
22.11.25
Pri
Acassuso
Villa San Carlos
0
0
D
16.11.25
Pri
Acassuso
Argentino Quilmes
0
2
L
01.11.25
Pri
Acassuso
Flandria
2
1
W
10.10.25
Pri
Acassuso
Deportivo Laferrere
1
2
L
29.09.25
Pri
Acassuso
Comunicaciones
0
0
D
H2H away: Acassuso
09.08.26
H2H
Deportivo Moron
Acassuso
4
1
L
16.09.16
H2H
Deportivo Moron
Acassuso
2
0
L
26.07.15
H2H
Deportivo Moron
Acassuso
0
0
D
05.11.14
H2H
Deportivo Moron
Acassuso
0
1
W
13.08.13
H2H
Deportivo Moron
Acassuso
0
0
D
26.05.13
H2H
Deportivo Moron
Acassuso
0
1
W
09.05.12
H2H
Deportivo Moron
Acassuso
1
3
W

Standings

Group 1
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 26 16 4 6 32:23 9 52
W W W L L
2 25 13 6 6 41:24 17 45
D W W L W
3 26 12 9 5 34:20 14 45
W W W D L
4 26 11 8 7 22:16 6 41
W L W W D
5 25 10 10 5 36:24 12 40
W D W W D
6 25 11 7 7 29:22 7 40
W L W W W
7 26 9 8 9 23:22 1 35
L W L D L
8 26 8 11 7 22:23 -1 35
D L L L W
9 25 8 9 8 20:15 5 33
L L L L D
10 26 8 8 10 24:29 -5 32
D D W L W
11 25 6 11 8 20:25 -5 29
L W L L D
12 26 6 11 9 25:33 -8 29
L D W W D
13 25 6 9 10 17:25 -8 27
W D D W L
14 26 5 12 9 15:24 -9 27
L W D L D
15 25 5 11 9 16:23 -7 26
L D L D D
16 25 6 7 12 22:29 -7 25
W L L W W
17 25 5 9 11 20:29 -9 24
D L L W L
18 25 5 7 13 18:30 -12 22
L D L D D
Promotion - Primera Nacional (Super final)
Promotion - Primera Nacional (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation