Predictions & Statistics
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Away Win |
48.8%
|
- | |
| BTTS | Yes |
71.2%
|
- | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 |
55.6%
|
- | |
| Corners O/U | Over 7.5 Corners |
87.7%
|
- | |
| HT / FT | Draw / Away |
-
|
- | |
| Correct Score | 1-2 |
-
|
- |
Deportivo Merlo
Sportivo Italiano
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Deportivo Merlo
28 matches
Sportivo Italiano
28 matches
| Deportivo Merlo | Statistic | Sportivo Italiano |
|---|---|---|
| 9 | Wins | 12 |
| 10 | Draws | 10 |
| 9 | Losses | 6 |
| 33 | Goals For | 28 |
| 41 | Goals Against | 22 |
| 1.18 | Avg Goals Scored | 1 |
| 1.46 | Avg Goals Conceded | 0.79 |
| 17 | BTTS Yes | 14 |
| 22 | Over 1.5 | 16 |
| 13 | Over 2.5 | 10 |
| 8 | Over 3.5 | 2 |
| 7 | Clean Sheets | 11 |
| 7 | Failed To Score | 9 |
| 0 | Shots On Goal | 0 |
| 0 | Total Shots | 0 |
| 0 | Corners | 0 |
| 0% | Ball Possession | 0% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
Looking at the broader profile of both teams, this encounter highlights Sportivo Italiano's more proactive style and Deportivo Merlo's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Sportivo Italiano having the stronger overall control. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring Sportivo Italiano.
Deportivo Merlo are currently 11 in the standings with 36 points from 27 matches. The record of 9 wins, 9 draws, and 9 defeats, together with a 32:40 goal balance, points toward poor form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through their main attacking players, while at the back they have looked fairly stable. At home, they have returned 6 wins, 4 draws, and 4 losses, a split that suggests a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms, they tend to show a more cautious and defensive approach.
From their first 27 matches, Sportivo Italiano have collected 45 points and now occupy 6 place in the table. The record of 12 wins, 9 draws, and 6 defeats, together with a 27:21 goal balance, points toward good form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through their main attacking players, while at the back they have looked very solid. Away from home, the record of 7 wins, 4 draws, and 3 losses points toward a very strong split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Their broader style still suggests balanced attacking football.
Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Deportivo Merlo won 1 times, Sportivo Italiano won 7 times, while 7 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 10:17 from Deportivo Merlo's perspective. 3 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 9 matches, with an average of 1.8 goals per game.
Deportivo Merlo
San Martín Burzaco
Deportivo Merlo
Villa San Carlos
Deportivo Merlo
Liniers
Deportivo Merlo
Real Pilar
Deportivo Merlo
UAI Urquiza
Deportivo Merlo
Villa Dalmine
Deportivo Merlo
Excursionistas
Deportivo Merlo
Arsenal Sarandi
Deportivo Merlo
Argentino de Merlo
Deportivo Merlo
Talleres Remedios
Deportivo Merlo
Deportivo Laferrere
Deportivo Merlo
Liniers
Deportivo Merlo
Brown DE Adrogue
Deportivo Merlo
Deportivo Armenio
Deportivo Merlo
Flandria
Deportivo Merlo
Argentino Quilmes
Deportivo Merlo
Defensores Unidos
Deportivo Merlo
Comunicaciones
Deportivo Merlo
Dock Sud
Deportivo Merlo
Ituzaingó
Sportivo Italiano
Deportivo Camioneros
Sportivo Italiano
Ituzaingó
Sportivo Italiano
San Martín Burzaco
Sportivo Italiano
Villa San Carlos
Sportivo Italiano
Liniers
Sportivo Italiano
Real Pilar
Sportivo Italiano
UAI Urquiza
Sportivo Italiano
Villa Dalmine
Sportivo Italiano
Excursionistas
Sportivo Italiano
Arsenal Sarandi
Sportivo Italiano
Argentino de Merlo
Sportivo Italiano
San Martín Burzaco
Sportivo Italiano
Talleres Remedios
Sportivo Italiano
Deportivo Laferrere
Sportivo Italiano
Brown DE Adrogue
Sportivo Italiano
Deportivo Armenio
Sportivo Italiano
Flandria
Sportivo Italiano
Argentino Quilmes
Sportivo Italiano
Defensores Unidos
Sportivo Italiano
Comunicaciones
Deportivo Merlo
Villa San Carlos
Deportivo Merlo
Real Pilar
Deportivo Merlo
Villa Dalmine
Deportivo Merlo
Argentino de Merlo
Deportivo Merlo
Deportivo Laferrere
Deportivo Merlo
Liniers
Deportivo Merlo
Deportivo Armenio
Deportivo Merlo
Argentino Quilmes
Deportivo Merlo
Comunicaciones
Deportivo Merlo
Ituzaingó
Deportivo Merlo
Deportivo Camioneros
Deportivo Merlo
San Martín Burzaco
Deportivo Merlo
UAI Urquiza
Deportivo Merlo
Excursionistas
Deportivo Merlo
Sacachispas
Deportivo Merlo
Villa San Carlos
Deportivo Merlo
UAI Urquiza
Deportivo Merlo
Midland
Deportivo Merlo
Acassuso
Deportivo Merlo
Argentino de Merlo
Sportivo Italiano
Ituzaingó
Sportivo Italiano
San Martín Burzaco
Sportivo Italiano
Liniers
Sportivo Italiano
UAI Urquiza
Sportivo Italiano
Villa Dalmine
Sportivo Italiano
Arsenal Sarandi
Sportivo Italiano
Talleres Remedios
Sportivo Italiano
Brown DE Adrogue
Sportivo Italiano
Flandria
Sportivo Italiano
Defensores Unidos
Sportivo Italiano
Dock Sud
Sportivo Italiano
Deportivo Camioneros
Sportivo Italiano
Villa San Carlos
Sportivo Italiano
Real Pilar
Sportivo Italiano
Deportivo Armenio
Sportivo Italiano
Fénix
Sportivo Italiano
Liniers
Sportivo Italiano
Deportivo Armenio
Sportivo Italiano
Sacachispas
Sportivo Italiano
Dock Sud
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 28 | 15 | 8 | 5 | 40:19 | 21 | 53 |
W
D
D
W
L
|
|
| 2 | 28 | 15 | 8 | 5 | 31:13 | 18 | 53 |
D
W
W
L
D
|
|
| 3 | 28 | 14 | 10 | 4 | 38:20 | 18 | 52 |
D
D
W
L
W
|
|
| 4 | 28 | 14 | 10 | 4 | 32:15 | 17 | 52 |
W
D
D
D
W
|
|
| 5 | 28 | 14 | 9 | 5 | 34:18 | 16 | 51 |
D
W
W
W
L
|
|
| 6 |
Sportivo Italiano
Away
|
28 | 12 | 10 | 6 | 28:22 | 6 | 46 |
D
D
W
W
W
|
| 7 | 28 | 12 | 7 | 9 | 33:31 | 2 | 43 |
W
W
L
L
W
|
|
| 8 | 28 | 11 | 8 | 9 | 32:33 | -1 | 41 |
W
L
W
W
D
|
|
| 9 | 28 | 10 | 9 | 9 | 31:28 | 3 | 39 |
D
L
W
D
W
|
|
| 10 | 28 | 10 | 8 | 10 | 31:33 | -2 | 38 |
L
D
D
W
D
|
|
| 11 |
Deportivo Merlo
Home
|
28 | 9 | 10 | 9 | 33:41 | -8 | 37 |
D
L
D
W
D
|
| 12 | 28 | 8 | 12 | 8 | 27:26 | 1 | 36 |
D
L
L
W
D
|
|
| 13 | 28 | 9 | 8 | 11 | 27:28 | -1 | 35 |
L
L
D
L
W
|
|
| 14 | 28 | 7 | 12 | 9 | 28:26 | 2 | 33 |
D
D
W
D
L
|
|
| 15 | 28 | 7 | 12 | 9 | 25:28 | -3 | 33 |
D
D
D
W
L
|
|
| 16 | 28 | 6 | 11 | 11 | 18:27 | -9 | 29 |
D
D
D
L
L
|
|
| 17 | 28 | 6 | 10 | 12 | 18:30 | -12 | 28 |
D
W
L
L
D
|
|
| 18 | 28 | 7 | 6 | 15 | 22:35 | -13 | 27 |
L
D
L
W
D
|
|
| 19 | 28 | 5 | 11 | 12 | 27:35 | -8 | 26 |
D
W
L
L
D
|
|
| 20 | 28 | 5 | 11 | 12 | 22:32 | -10 | 26 |
L
D
D
L
L
|
|
| 21 | 28 | 3 | 17 | 8 | 13:23 | -10 | 26 |
D
D
L
D
D
|
|
| 22 | 28 | 1 | 9 | 18 | 18:45 | -27 | 12 |
D
D
L
L
D
|