19.09.2026 20:00
Jose Manuel Moreno Stadium

Deportivo Merlo vs Flandria Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 62.2%
Odds -
BTTS
No
Probability 50.8%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 65.5%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
62.2%
-
BTTS No
50.8%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
65.5%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
87.7%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 1-0
-
-
Probability Distribution
Deportivo Merlo Win 62.2%
Draw 19.6%
Flandria Win 18.3%
Expected Goals (xG)
Deportivo Merlo1.07
Flandria1.09
Recent Form (Last 5)
Deportivo Merlo Deportivo Merlo
WWDLW
34 GF / 49 GA
Flandria Flandria
WLDWL
31 GF / 43 GA
Key Stats
0.97
Average Goals Scored
0.89
1.4
Average Goals Conceded
1.23
18
BTTS Yes
15
15
Over 2.5
12
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Deportivo Merlo Deportivo Merlo 35 matches
Flandria Flandria 35 matches
Deportivo Merlo Statistic Flandria
9 Wins 10
13 Draws 8
13 Losses 17
34 Goals For 31
49 Goals Against 43
0.97 Avg Goals Scored 0.89
1.4 Avg Goals Conceded 1.23
18 BTTS Yes 15
24 Over 1.5 21
15 Over 2.5 12
9 Over 3.5 7
10 Clean Sheets 12
13 Failed To Score 13
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

Looking at the broader profile of both teams, this encounter highlights two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Flandria having the stronger overall control. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors Flandria. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest.

Deportivo Merlo Analysis

With 40 points from 34 games and a place of 14, Deportivo Merlo still have clear room for improvement in overall consistency. The overall return of 9 wins, 13 draws, and 12 defeats with a 34:48 goal balance points toward poor form over their recent run. Going forward they depend heavily on their main attacking players, while defensively they have looked quite vulnerable. At home, they have returned 6 wins, 5 draws, and 6 losses, which indicates a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they tend to play with a more cautious and defensive approach.

Flandria Analysis

Flandria approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 18 with 35 points from 34 matches. Their record of 9 wins, 8 draws, and 17 losses, together with goals at 29:42, reflects mixed form over their recent run. Much of their threat comes through their main attacking players, while the defensive numbers suggest they have been quite vulnerable. Away from home, they have managed 2 wins, 4 draws, and 11 losses, a return that supports a weak split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. In football terms they often show a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 11 head-to-head meetings, Deportivo Merlo won 3 times, Flandria won 2 times, while 6 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 10:9 from Deportivo Merlo's perspective. 3 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 3 matches, with an average of 1.73 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: No
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 1X (81.7%)
H2H summary: Deportivo Merlo wins 3, draws 6, Flandria wins 2

Standings

Prim B Metro
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 35 20 8 7 54:28 26 68
W W L W W
2 35 18 12 5 47:22 25 66
W W W W D
3 35 17 12 6 41:22 19 63
L W D W D
4 35 18 9 8 37:19 18 63
L W W D L
5 35 16 12 7 35:20 15 60
L L D D W
6 35 16 10 9 41:27 14 58
L W W L L
7 35 15 10 10 38:34 4 55
W L D W W
8 35 14 9 12 36:37 -1 51
W D W L L
9 35 13 11 11 36:33 3 50
D W W L W
10 35 12 12 11 42:45 -3 48
D D D W L
11 35 10 14 11 33:36 -3 44
W D L W L
12 35 10 13 12 38:38 0 43
L L W W D
13 35 10 11 14 30:35 -5 41
L L D L D
14 35 9 13 13 35:39 -4 40
D D L W W
15 35 9 13 13 29:35 -6 40
W D D W L
16 35 9 13 13 29:36 -7 40
W L L L L
17 35 9 13 13 34:49 -15 40
L D L L D
18 35 10 8 17 31:43 -12 38
W L W L W
19 35 8 13 14 31:36 -5 37
W D D W W
20 35 7 13 15 21:37 -16 34
L D D L D
21 35 4 19 12 17:31 -14 31
L W L L D
22 35 1 12 22 22:55 -33 15
D L L L D
Promotion - Primera Nacional
Promotion - Primera B (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - Primera C (Apertura)