ARGENTINA PRIMERA B METROPOLITANA
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Jose Manuel Moreno Stadium

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home or Draw
Probability 64.2%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 62.8%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 55.6%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home or Draw
64.2%
-
BTTS Yes
62.8%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
55.6%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
87.7%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-1
-
-
Probability Distribution
Deportivo Merlo Win 38.5%
Draw 25.8%
Defensores Unidos Win 35.8%
Expected Goals (xG)
Deportivo Merlo1.05
Defensores Unidos1.09
Recent Form (Last 5)
Deportivo Merlo Deportivo Merlo
WWDLW
34 GF / 48 GA
Defensores Unidos Defensores Unidos
WLDWL
28 GF / 36 GA
Key Stats
1.03
Average Goals Scored
0.85
1.45
Average Goals Conceded
1.09
18
BTTS Yes
15
15
Over 2.5
8
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Deportivo Merlo Deportivo Merlo 33 matches
Defensores Unidos Defensores Unidos 33 matches
Deportivo Merlo Statistic Defensores Unidos
9 Wins 7
12 Draws 12
12 Losses 14
34 Goals For 28
48 Goals Against 36
1.03 Avg Goals Scored 0.85
1.45 Avg Goals Conceded 1.09
18 BTTS Yes 15
24 Over 1.5 22
15 Over 2.5 8
9 Over 3.5 3
9 Clean Sheets 8
11 Failed To Score 13
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

From a tactical perspective, this fixture features two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Defensores Unidos arrive with more visible recent inconsistency, which may leave them vulnerable if the match starts badly. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Defensores Unidos having the stronger overall control. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring Defensores Unidos.

Deportivo Merlo Analysis

Deportivo Merlo sit 14 with 39 points after 32 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. Across the season they have posted 9 wins, 12 draws, and 11 defeats, and the 34:47 goal record continues to suggest poor form over their recent run. Their attacking burden often falls on their main attacking players, while at the back they have been quite vulnerable. At home, they have returned 6 wins, 4 draws, and 6 losses, which indicates a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they tend to play with a more cautious and defensive approach.

Defensores Unidos Analysis

Defensores Unidos approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 18 with 32 points from 32 matches. The overall return of 7 wins, 11 draws, and 14 defeats with a 28:36 goal balance points toward mixed form over their recent run. Going forward they depend heavily on their main attacking players, while defensively they have looked fairly stable. Away from home, they have managed 1 wins, 4 draws, and 11 losses, a return that supports a weak split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. In football terms they often show a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 11 head-to-head meetings, Deportivo Merlo won 3 times, Defensores Unidos won 4 times, while 4 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 11:12 from Deportivo Merlo's perspective. 4 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 5 matches, with an average of 2.09 goals per game.

1X2: Home or Draw
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (74.2%)
H2H summary: Deportivo Merlo wins 3, draws 4, Defensores Unidos wins 4

Standings

Prim B Metro
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 33 18 8 7 49:27 22 62
L W W W L
2 33 16 12 5 44:22 22 60
W W D L D
3 33 16 12 5 39:20 19 60
D W D D W
4 33 16 12 5 35:16 19 60
D D W W L
5 33 17 9 7 35:17 18 60
W D L W L
6 33 15 10 8 38:25 13 55
W L L W W
7 33 14 10 9 37:32 5 52
D W W D D
8 33 13 8 12 35:37 -2 47
W L L W W
9 33 12 10 11 39:42 -3 46
D W L L D
10 33 10 13 10 38:34 4 43
W W D L W
11 32 11 10 11 32:31 1 43
L W D L D
12 33 10 11 12 30:32 -2 41
D L D D W
13 33 9 13 11 31:36 -5 40
L W L D L
14 32 9 12 11 34:47 -13 39
L D D L D
15 33 9 11 13 34:38 -4 38
L W W W W
16 33 8 13 12 28:35 -7 37
L L L W D
17 33 8 12 13 25:33 -8 36
D W L L W
18 33 9 8 16 28:39 -11 35
W L W D D
19 33 7 12 14 28:36 -8 33
D W W L L
20 33 7 12 14 21:35 -14 33
D L D L W
21 33 3 19 11 15:29 -14 28
L L D L D
22 33 1 11 21 19:51 -32 14
L L D D L
Promotion - Primera Nacional
Promotion - Primera B (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - Primera C (Apertura)