Predictions & Statistics
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home Win |
63.7%
|
2.77 | |
| BTTS | No |
55%
|
1.67 | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
72.8%
|
1.52 | |
| Corners O/U | Under 7.5 Corners |
92%
|
1.91 | |
| HT / FT | Home / Home |
-
|
4.33 | |
| Correct Score | 2-0 |
-
|
11.00 |
Deportivo Maldonado
Racing Montevideo
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Deportivo Maldonado
22 matches
Racing Montevideo
22 matches
| Deportivo Maldonado | Statistic | Racing Montevideo |
|---|---|---|
| 12 | Wins | 11 |
| 5 | Draws | 8 |
| 5 | Losses | 3 |
| 36 | Goals For | 27 |
| 22 | Goals Against | 17 |
| 1.64 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.23 |
| 1 | Avg Goals Conceded | 0.77 |
| 13 | BTTS Yes | 11 |
| 16 | Over 1.5 | 13 |
| 11 | Over 2.5 | 6 |
| 5 | Over 3.5 | 3 |
| 8 | Clean Sheets | 9 |
| 3 | Failed To Score | 4 |
| 0 | Shots On Goal | 0 |
| 0 | Total Shots | 0 |
| 0 | Corners | 0 |
| 0% | Ball Possession | 0% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
There is very little separating these two teams on paper, and two sides with a fairly similar football identity points toward a competitive game. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Even if this develops into a close game, the analytical lean still edges toward Away Win, with a cautious clean-sheet angle toward Racing Montevideo. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Deportivo Maldonado expected to line up in 4-3-1-2 and Racing Montevideo in 4-4-2, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Racing Montevideo having the stronger overall control.
Placed 2 with 41 points from 22 outings, Deportivo Maldonado continue to operate from a strong competitive position. The record of 12 wins, 5 draws, and 5 defeats, together with a 36:22 goal balance, points toward mixed form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through their main attacking players, while at the back they have looked very solid. At home, they have returned - wins, - draws, and - losses, a split that suggests an unclear split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. In football terms, they tend to show balanced attacking football.
Racing Montevideo come into this match from a strong league position, sitting 3 with 41 points from 22 matches. Across the campaign, they have posted 11 wins, 8 draws, and 3 losses, while the 27:17 goal ratio supports the view of poor form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on their main attacking players, and defensively they have been very solid. Away from home, the record of - wins, - draws, and - losses points toward an unclear split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their broader style still suggests balanced attacking football.
Across those 7 head-to-head meetings, Deportivo Maldonado won 2 times, Racing Montevideo won 2 times, while 3 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 8:8 from Deportivo Maldonado's perspective. 1 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 4 matches, with an average of 2.29 goals per game.
Deportivo Maldonado
Juventud
Deportivo Maldonado
Progreso
Deportivo Maldonado
Albion FC
Deportivo Maldonado
Atletico Torque
Deportivo Maldonado
Club Nacional
Deportivo Maldonado
Wanderers
Deportivo Maldonado
Danubio
Deportivo Maldonado
Boston River
Deportivo Maldonado
Cerro
Deportivo Maldonado
Albion FC
Deportivo Maldonado
Danubio
Deportivo Maldonado
Club Nacional
Deportivo Maldonado
Liverpool Montevideo
Deportivo Maldonado
Central Espanol
Deportivo Maldonado
Atletico Torque
Deportivo Maldonado
Cerro Largo
Deportivo Maldonado
Defensor Sporting
Deportivo Maldonado
Wanderers
Deportivo Maldonado
Juventud
Deportivo Maldonado
Penarol
Racing Montevideo
Boston River
Racing Montevideo
Cerro
Racing Montevideo
Penarol
Racing Montevideo
Central Espanol
Racing Montevideo
Defensor Sporting
Racing Montevideo
Liverpool Montevideo
Racing Montevideo
Cerro Largo
Racing Montevideo
Central Espanol
Racing Montevideo
Atletico Torque
Racing Montevideo
Cerro Largo
Racing Montevideo
Defensor Sporting
Racing Montevideo
Wanderers
Racing Montevideo
Juventud
Racing Montevideo
Penarol
Racing Montevideo
Progreso
Racing Montevideo
Liverpool Montevideo
Racing Montevideo
Boston River
Racing Montevideo
Cerro
Racing Montevideo
Albion FC
Racing Montevideo
Danubio
Deportivo Maldonado
Juventud
Deportivo Maldonado
Albion FC
Deportivo Maldonado
Club Nacional
Deportivo Maldonado
Danubio
Deportivo Maldonado
Boston River
Deportivo Maldonado
Albion FC
Deportivo Maldonado
Club Nacional
Deportivo Maldonado
Atletico Torque
Deportivo Maldonado
Defensor Sporting
Deportivo Maldonado
Juventud
Deportivo Maldonado
Progreso
Deportivo Maldonado
Atenas
Deportivo Maldonado
Colón
Deportivo Maldonado
La Luz
Deportivo Maldonado
Colón
Deportivo Maldonado
Artigas
Deportivo Maldonado
Uruguay Montevideo
Deportivo Maldonado
Fenix
Deportivo Maldonado
Atenas
Deportivo Maldonado
Tacuarembo
Racing Montevideo
Cerro
Racing Montevideo
Central Espanol
Racing Montevideo
Liverpool Montevideo
Racing Montevideo
Central Espanol
Racing Montevideo
Cerro Largo
Racing Montevideo
Wanderers
Racing Montevideo
Penarol
Racing Montevideo
Boston River
Racing Montevideo
Albion FC
Racing Montevideo
Club Nacional
Racing Montevideo
Miramar
Racing Montevideo
Cerro Largo
Racing Montevideo
Liverpool Montevideo
Racing Montevideo
CA River Plate
Racing Montevideo
Club Nacional
Racing Montevideo
Atletico Torque
Racing Montevideo
Cerro
Racing Montevideo
Villa Espanola
Racing Montevideo
Central Espanol
Racing Montevideo
Cerro
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 22 | 13 | 4 | 5 | 35:19 | 16 | 43 |
W
W
D
W
L
|
|
| 2 |
Deportivo Maldonado
Home
|
22 | 12 | 5 | 5 | 36:22 | 14 | 41 |
D
L
D
W
W
|
| 3 |
Racing Montevideo
Away
|
22 | 11 | 8 | 3 | 27:17 | 10 | 41 |
W
L
D
D
D
|
| 4 | 23 | 11 | 5 | 7 | 29:25 | 4 | 38 |
W
W
W
W
D
|
|
| 5 | 23 | 10 | 6 | 7 | 28:26 | 2 | 36 |
W
D
L
D
D
|
|
| 6 | 22 | 10 | 5 | 7 | 33:27 | 6 | 35 |
L
W
W
L
W
|
|
| 7 | 22 | 11 | 2 | 9 | 34:29 | 5 | 35 |
W
L
D
W
L
|
|
| 8 | 23 | 9 | 7 | 7 | 32:25 | 7 | 34 |
L
D
L
D
W
|
|
| 9 | 23 | 8 | 8 | 7 | 26:23 | 3 | 32 |
W
D
W
L
D
|
|
| 10 | 23 | 8 | 5 | 10 | 24:25 | -1 | 29 |
D
L
W
D
D
|
|
| 11 | 23 | 6 | 9 | 8 | 19:21 | -2 | 27 |
L
W
L
D
D
|
|
| 12 | 23 | 6 | 6 | 11 | 26:34 | -8 | 24 |
D
D
W
L
D
|
|
| 13 | 23 | 4 | 10 | 9 | 22:31 | -9 | 22 |
L
D
L
D
D
|
|
| 14 | 22 | 6 | 4 | 12 | 19:30 | -11 | 22 |
L
L
D
D
L
|
|
| 15 | 23 | 6 | 4 | 13 | 15:34 | -19 | 22 |
W
L
W
W
L
|
|
| 16 | 23 | 4 | 4 | 15 | 18:35 | -17 | 16 |
L
L
W
L
L
|