ARGENTINA PRIMERA NACIONAL
17.07.2026 18:00
Stadion Omar Higinio Sperdutti
Deportivo Maipu
Match Timeline
San Martin Tucuman
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
6'
A. Graneros
San Martin Tucuman
🟨
25'
E. Perez
Deportivo Maipu
🔄
26'
L. Arfaras ↔ D. Diellos
San Martin Tucuman
🟨
37'
N. Ferreyra
San Martin Tucuman
🔄
46'
A. Graneros ↔ L. Rodriguez
San Martin Tucuman
🟨
52'
N. Manganelli
San Martin Tucuman
🔄
58'
J. Giacone ↔ M. Viguet
Deportivo Maipu
🔄
58'
G. Carabajal ↔ M. Veron
San Martin Tucuman
🔄
69'
J. de la Reta ↔ N. Fernandez
Deportivo Maipu
🔄
69'
E. Perez ↔ M. Bonfigli
Deportivo Maipu
🔄
76'
A. Veliez ↔ G. Monroy
San Martin Tucuman
🔄
76'
B. Cabrera ↔ G. Rodriguez
San Martin Tucuman
🔄
78'
T. Silva ↔ V. Barrera
Deportivo Maipu
🔄
78'
J. Gobetto ↔ J. Vera
Deportivo Maipu
🟨
80'
M. Veron
San Martin Tucuman
🟨
84'
S. Brinone
San Martin Tucuman
🟨
85'
V. Salazar
San Martin Tucuman
🟨
90+4'
G. Monroy
San Martin Tucuman

Deportivo Maipu vs San Martin Tucuman Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 62%
Odds -
BTTS
No
Probability 56%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 72.8%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
62%
-
BTTS No
56%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
72.8%
-
Corners O/U Under 11.5 Corners
92%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-0
-
-
Probability Distribution
Deportivo Maipu Win 62%
Draw 13%
San Martin Tucuman Win 25%
Expected Goals (xG)
Deportivo Maipu1.05
San Martin Tucuman0.95
Recent Form (Last 5)
Deportivo Maipu Deportivo Maipu
WWDLW
28 GF / 22 GA
San Martin Tucuman San Martin Tucuman
WLDWL
20 GF / 16 GA
Key Stats
1.27
Average Goals Scored
0.91
1
Average Goals Conceded
0.73
10
BTTS Yes
7
10
Over 2.5
3
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Deportivo Maipu Deportivo Maipu 22 matches
San Martin Tucuman San Martin Tucuman 22 matches
Deportivo Maipu Statistic San Martin Tucuman
9 Wins 7
4 Draws 10
9 Losses 5
28 Goals For 20
22 Goals Against 16
1.27 Avg Goals Scored 0.91
1 Avg Goals Conceded 0.73
10 BTTS Yes 7
12 Over 1.5 14
10 Over 2.5 3
6 Over 3.5 1
7 Clean Sheets 10
7 Failed To Score 9
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This fixture has the profile of a tight matchup, with two sides with a fairly similar football identity likely to keep the contest close. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring San Martin Tucuman. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward San Martin Tucuman having the stronger overall control. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent.

Deportivo Maipu Analysis

From their first 20 matches, Deportivo Maipu have collected 28 points and now occupy 7 place in the table. Across the campaign, they have posted 8 wins, 4 draws, and 8 losses, while the 27:21 goal ratio supports the view of mixed form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on their main attacking players, and defensively they have been very solid. At home, their split return of 6 wins, 1 draws, and 3 losses fits a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Stylistically, they usually display balanced attacking football.

San Martin Tucuman Analysis

San Martin Tucuman are currently 6 in the standings with 29 points from 20 matches. Their overall return of 7 wins, 8 draws, and 5 losses with goals at 19:15 reflects mixed form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by their main attacking players, while defensively they have appeared very solid. Away from home, the record of 3 wins, 3 draws, and 4 losses points toward a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Their broader style still suggests balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 10 head-to-head meetings, Deportivo Maipu won 1 times, San Martin Tucuman won 7 times, while 2 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 6:14 from Deportivo Maipu's perspective. 3 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 3 matches, with an average of 2 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: No
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (87%)
Predicted formations: Deportivo Maipu 4-2-3-1 / San Martin Tucuman -
H2H summary: Deportivo Maipu wins 1, draws 2, San Martin Tucuman wins 7

Standings

Group 2
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 30 14 12 4 31:15 16 54
D D D W L
2 30 14 11 5 36:24 12 53
W D W W W
3 30 15 8 7 45:36 9 53
D W W D D
4 30 15 4 11 34:28 6 49
D W W L L
5 30 13 8 9 34:25 9 47
W W L L W
6 30 12 9 9 33:27 6 45
W D L W W
7 30 12 9 9 31:27 4 45
L D W W L
8 30 11 9 10 25:26 -1 42
W L L W D
9 30 11 8 11 37:31 6 41
D D D L W
10 30 11 7 12 29:30 -1 40
L W L W W
11 30 9 12 9 32:30 2 39
L W L D W
12 30 9 9 12 26:34 -8 36
W L W D L
13 30 9 8 13 28:27 1 35
L W L L L
14 30 9 8 13 26:36 -10 35
L D L W D
15 30 8 9 13 22:29 -7 33
D L W L L
16 30 5 16 9 24:31 -7 31
D D D L W
17 30 8 6 16 22:31 -9 30
W L L L L
18 30 5 8 17 23:51 -28 23
L L L D D
Promotion - Primera Nacional (Super final)
Promotion - Primera Nacional (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation