ARGENTINA PRIMERA NACIONAL
20.09.2026 19:30
Stadion Omar Higinio Sperdutti

Deportivo Maipu vs Gimnasia Jujuy Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 54.5%
Odds 2.02
BTTS
Yes
Probability 67.1%
Odds 2.00
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 58.6%
Odds 2.24
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
54.5%
2.02
BTTS Yes
67.1%
2.00
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
58.6%
2.24
Corners O/U Under 11.5 Corners
92%
1.23
HT / FT Home / Home
-
3.20
Correct Score 2-1
-
9.00
Probability Distribution
Deportivo Maipu Win 54.5%
Draw 8.4%
Gimnasia Jujuy Win 37.2%
Expected Goals (xG)
Deportivo Maipu1.22
Gimnasia Jujuy1.33
Recent Form (Last 5)
Deportivo Maipu Deportivo Maipu
WWDLW
37 GF / 31 GA
Gimnasia Jujuy Gimnasia Jujuy
WLDWL
48 GF / 39 GA
Key Stats
1.19
Average Goals Scored
1.55
1
Average Goals Conceded
1.26
13
BTTS Yes
20
13
Over 2.5
18
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Deportivo Maipu Deportivo Maipu 31 matches
Gimnasia Jujuy Gimnasia Jujuy 31 matches
Deportivo Maipu Statistic Gimnasia Jujuy
12 Wins 15
7 Draws 9
12 Losses 7
37 Goals For 48
31 Goals Against 39
1.19 Avg Goals Scored 1.55
1 Avg Goals Conceded 1.26
13 BTTS Yes 20
16 Over 1.5 27
13 Over 2.5 18
8 Over 3.5 7
10 Clean Sheets 6
12 Failed To Score 6
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This match looks like a contest between two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Gimnasia Jujuy having the stronger overall control. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors Gimnasia Jujuy. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent.

Deportivo Maipu Analysis

Deportivo Maipu sit 8 with 40 points after 29 league matches. Across the campaign, they have posted 11 wins, 7 draws, and 11 losses, while the 36:30 goal ratio supports the view of mixed form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on their main attacking players, and defensively they have been fairly stable. At home, their split return of 8 wins, 3 draws, and 3 losses fits a very strong split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they usually display balanced attacking football.

Gimnasia Jujuy Analysis

Placed 3 with 49 points from 28 outings, Gimnasia Jujuy continue to operate from a strong competitive position. Across the campaign, they have posted 14 wins, 7 draws, and 7 losses, while the 42:34 goal ratio supports the view of mixed form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on their main attacking players, and defensively they have been fairly stable. Away from home, their split return of 4 wins, 4 draws, and 6 losses fits a fairly balanced split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Stylistically, they usually display balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 6 head-to-head meetings, Deportivo Maipu won 3 times, Gimnasia Jujuy won 2 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 9:6 from Deportivo Maipu's perspective. 2 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 2 matches, with an average of 2.5 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (91.6%)
Predicted formations: Deportivo Maipu 4-2-3-1 / Gimnasia Jujuy -
H2H summary: Deportivo Maipu wins 3, draws 1, Gimnasia Jujuy wins 2

Standings

Group 2
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 29 14 11 4 31:15 16 53
D D W L W
2 30 14 11 5 36:24 12 53
W D W W W
3 29 15 7 7 44:35 9 52
W W D D W
4 29 15 3 11 34:28 6 48
W W L L W
5 29 12 9 8 31:26 5 45
D W W L D
6 29 12 8 9 32:25 7 44
W L L W L
7 29 11 9 9 31:27 4 42
D L W W W
8 30 11 9 10 25:26 -1 42
W L L W D
9 29 11 7 11 36:30 6 40
D D L W W
10 29 11 7 11 29:28 1 40
W L W W D
11 30 9 12 9 32:30 2 39
L W L D W
12 29 9 8 12 28:24 4 35
W L L L W
13 30 9 8 13 26:36 -10 35
L D L W D
14 29 8 9 12 25:34 -9 33
L W D L W
15 29 8 8 13 21:28 -7 32
L W L L L
16 29 5 15 9 23:30 -7 30
D D L W D
17 29 7 6 16 19:31 -12 27
L L L L D
18 29 5 8 16 23:49 -26 23
L L D D D
Promotion - Primera Nacional (Super final)
Promotion - Primera Nacional (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation