ARGENTINA PRIMERA NACIONAL
--.--.---- --:--
Estadio Abel Sastre
Deportivo Madryn
Match Timeline
San Miguel
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
32'
L. Silba
Deportivo Madryn
🟨
35'
M. Serra
San Miguel
🟨
37'
D. Adin
San Miguel
🟨
42'
F. Giacopuzzi
Deportivo Madryn
🟨
45'
A. Cruz
San Miguel
🔄
46'
F. Almeida ↔ J. Ferrero
San Miguel
56'
B. Nasta · Assist: J. Ferrero
San Miguel
🟥
58'
B. Nasta
San Miguel
🔄
61'
L. Desabato ↔ I. Ramirez
San Miguel
🔄
61'
T. Diaz ↔ E. De la Cruz
San Miguel
🔄
64'
M. Meli ↔ M. Cuero
Deportivo Madryn
🔄
64'
C. Machado ↔ N. Servetto
Deportivo Madryn
68'
L. Delgado · Assist: A. Cruz
San Miguel
🔄
75'
G. Gudino ↔ E. Jara
Deportivo Madryn
78'
N. Solis · Assist: N. D. Ortiz
Deportivo Madryn
🔄
81'
D. Adin ↔ D. Renteria
San Miguel
🔄
81'
L. Delgado ↔ F. Coronel
San Miguel
🔄
86'
E. Ayala ↔ P. Bonacci
Deportivo Madryn

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 74.3%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 67.1%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 55.6%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
74.3%
-
BTTS Yes
67.1%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
55.6%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
87.7%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-1
-
-
Probability Distribution
Deportivo Madryn Win 74.3%
Draw 7.1%
San Miguel Win 18.6%
Expected Goals (xG)
Deportivo Madryn1.18
San Miguel0.83
Recent Form (Last 5)
Deportivo Madryn Deportivo Madryn
WWDLW
20 GF / 17 GA
San Miguel San Miguel
WLDWL
12 GF / 20 GA
Key Stats
1.18
Average Goals Scored
0.71
1
Average Goals Conceded
1.18
9
BTTS Yes
7
8
Over 2.5
5
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Deportivo Madryn Deportivo Madryn 17 matches
San Miguel San Miguel 17 matches
Deportivo Madryn Statistic San Miguel
6 Wins 4
6 Draws 8
5 Losses 5
20 Goals For 12
17 Goals Against 20
1.18 Avg Goals Scored 0.71
1 Avg Goals Conceded 1.18
9 BTTS Yes 7
11 Over 1.5 12
8 Over 2.5 5
3 Over 3.5 1
4 Clean Sheets 6
7 Failed To Score 7
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This match looks like a contest between Deportivo Madryn's more proactive style and San Miguel's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward San Miguel. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward San Miguel having the stronger overall control. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent.

Deportivo Madryn Analysis

Deportivo Madryn sit 6 with 23 points after 15 league matches. Across the campaign, they have posted 6 wins, 5 draws, and 4 losses, while the 20:15 goal ratio supports the view of poor form . Going forward they rely heavily on their main attacking players, and defensively they have been very solid. At home, they have returned 3 wins, 3 draws, and 1 losses, a split that suggests a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. In football terms, they tend to show balanced attacking football.

San Miguel Analysis

San Miguel are currently 11 in the standings with 20 points from 16 matches. Their overall return of 4 wins, 8 draws, and 4 losses with goals at 12:17 reflects poor form . Their attacking weight is carried by their main attacking players, while defensively they have appeared very solid. Away from home, they have returned 0 wins, 5 draws, and 2 losses, a split that suggests a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms, they tend to show a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 4 head-to-head meetings, Deportivo Madryn won 1 times, San Miguel won 0 times, while 3 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 5:4 from Deportivo Madryn's perspective. 2 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 3 matches, with an average of 2.25 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (92.9%)
H2H summary: Deportivo Madryn wins 1, draws 3, San Miguel wins 0

Lineups

Deportivo Madryn
Formation
San Miguel
Y. Bonnin
Y. Bonnin
A. Sosa
A. Sosa
F. Giacopuzzi
F. Giacopuzzi
N. D. Ortiz
🎯
N. D. Ortiz
E. Ayala
E. Ayala
F. Recalde
F. Recalde
M. Meli
M. Meli
G. Gudino
G. Gudino
N. Solis
N. Solis
C. Machado
C. Machado
L. Silba
L. Silba
M. Ledesma Reynoso
M. Ledesma Reynoso
D. Adin
D. Adin
F. Cardozo
F. Cardozo
K. Ceceri
K. Ceceri
A. Cruz
🎯
A. Cruz
L. Desabato
L. Desabato
M. Serra
M. Serra
T. Diaz
T. Diaz
F. Almeida
F. Almeida
L. Delgado
L. Delgado
B. Nasta
B. Nasta
Deportivo Madryn 4-4-2 (estimated)
Starting XI
1
Y. Bonnin
4
A. Sosa
2
F. Giacopuzzi
🟨 42'
6
N. D. Ortiz
🎯 78'
3
E. Ayala
↓ 86'
5
F. Recalde
8
M. Meli
↓ 64'
7
G. Gudino
↓ 75'
10
N. Solis
⚽ 78'
11
C. Machado
↓ 64'
9
L. Silba
⚽ 32'
Substitutes
12
M. Montero
13
D. Martinez
14
A. Gutierrez
15
Y. Calleros
16
E. Jara
↑ 75'
17
A. Martinez
18
M. Cuero
↑ 64'
20
P. Bonacci
↑ 86'
19
N. Servetto
↑ 64'
San Miguel 4-4-2 (estimated)
Starting XI
1
M. Ledesma Reynoso
4
D. Adin
↓ 81' 🟨 37'
2
F. Cardozo
6
K. Ceceri
3
A. Cruz
🎯 68' 🟨 45'
5
L. Desabato
↓ 61'
8
M. Serra
🟨 35'
7
T. Diaz
↓ 61'
10
F. Almeida
↓ 46'
11
L. Delgado
⚽ 68' ↓ 81'
9
B. Nasta
⚽ 56' 🟥 58'
Substitutes
12
R. Sosa
13
F. Aguirre
14
D. Renteria
↑ 81'
16
F. Coronel
↑ 81'
18
I. Ramirez
↑ 61'
15
J. Ferrero
🎯 56' ↑ 46'
17
E. De la Cruz
↑ 61'
20
T. Gordillo
19
T. Jerez
Last matches: Deportivo Madryn
07.06.26
Pri
Deportivo Madryn
San Telmo
0
0
D
31.05.26
Pri
Deportivo Madryn
Acassuso
0
0
D
24.05.26
Pri
Deportivo Madryn
Chaco For Ever
2
1
W
17.05.26
Pri
Deportivo Madryn
Ferro Carril Oeste
0
1
L
10.05.26
Pri
Deportivo Madryn
Central Norte
3
2
W
03.05.26
Pri
Deportivo Madryn
Racing Cordoba
2
2
D
26.04.26
Pri
Deportivo Madryn
Defensores De Belgrano
2
1
W
18.04.26
Pri
Deportivo Madryn
Ciudad de Bolívar
0
1
L
12.04.26
Pri
Deportivo Madryn
Almirante Brown
2
1
W
05.04.26
Pri
Deportivo Madryn
Atletico Mitre
3
1
W
29.03.26
Pri
Deportivo Madryn
San Martin Tucuman
1
1
D
21.03.26
Pri
Deportivo Madryn
CA Estudiantes
3
0
W
14.03.26
Pri
Deportivo Madryn
All Boys
0
1
L
01.03.26
Pri
Deportivo Madryn
Godoy Cruz
0
0
D
25.02.26
Cop
Deportivo Madryn
San Martin S.J.
0
2
L
21.02.26
Pri
Deportivo Madryn
Deportivo Moron
1
1
D
14.02.26
Pri
Deportivo Madryn
Colon Santa Fe
1
2
L
Last matches: San Miguel
20.06.26
Pri
San Miguel
Acassuso
2
0
W
06.06.26
Pri
San Miguel
Defensores De Belgrano
0
0
D
31.05.26
Pri
San Miguel
Ciudad de Bolívar
1
1
D
23.05.26
Pri
San Miguel
Almirante Brown
1
0
W
17.05.26
Pri
San Miguel
Atletico Mitre
0
4
L
09.05.26
Pri
San Miguel
CA Estudiantes
1
1
D
30.04.26
Pri
San Miguel
All Boys
1
1
D
25.04.26
Pri
San Miguel
Los Andes
0
2
L
18.04.26
Pri
San Miguel
Godoy Cruz
0
0
D
11.04.26
Pri
San Miguel
Deportivo Moron
2
1
W
04.04.26
Pri
San Miguel
Colon Santa Fe
0
3
L
28.03.26
Pri
San Miguel
Colegiales
0
0
D
21.03.26
Pri
San Miguel
Racing Cordoba
1
2
L
14.03.26
Pri
San Miguel
San Telmo
1
1
D
28.02.26
Pri
San Miguel
Chaco For Ever
2
0
W
21.02.26
Pri
San Miguel
Ferro Carril Oeste
1
1
D
17.02.26
Cop
San Miguel
Aldosivi
0
3
L
13.02.26
Pri
San Miguel
Central Norte
1
0
W
H2H: Deportivo Madryn vs San Miguel
14.06.26
H2H
Deportivo Madryn
San Miguel
2
2
D
05.07.25
H2H
San Miguel
Deportivo Madryn
1
1
D
02.03.25
H2H
Deportivo Madryn
San Miguel
2
1
W
03.11.24
H2H
Deportivo Madryn
San Miguel
0
0
D
Last matches: Deportivo Madryn
31.05.26
Pri
Deportivo Madryn
Acassuso
0
0
D
17.05.26
Pri
Deportivo Madryn
Ferro Carril Oeste
0
1
L
26.04.26
Pri
Deportivo Madryn
Defensores De Belgrano
2
1
W
12.04.26
Pri
Deportivo Madryn
Almirante Brown
2
1
W
29.03.26
Pri
Deportivo Madryn
San Martin Tucuman
1
1
D
21.03.26
Pri
Deportivo Madryn
CA Estudiantes
3
0
W
21.02.26
Pri
Deportivo Madryn
Deportivo Moron
1
1
D
H2H at home: Deportivo Madryn
14.06.26
H2H
Deportivo Madryn
San Miguel
2
2
D
02.03.25
H2H
Deportivo Madryn
San Miguel
2
1
W
03.11.24
H2H
Deportivo Madryn
San Miguel
0
0
D
Last matches: San Miguel
20.06.26
Pri
San Miguel
Acassuso
2
0
W
31.05.26
Pri
San Miguel
Ciudad de Bolívar
1
1
D
17.05.26
Pri
San Miguel
Atletico Mitre
0
4
L
30.04.26
Pri
San Miguel
All Boys
1
1
D
18.04.26
Pri
San Miguel
Godoy Cruz
0
0
D
04.04.26
Pri
San Miguel
Colon Santa Fe
0
3
L
28.03.26
Pri
San Miguel
Colegiales
0
0
D
21.02.26
Pri
San Miguel
Ferro Carril Oeste
1
1
D
17.02.26
Cop
San Miguel
Aldosivi
0
3
L
H2H away: San Miguel
14.06.26
H2H
Deportivo Madryn
San Miguel
2
2
D
02.03.25
H2H
Deportivo Madryn
San Miguel
2
1
L
03.11.24
H2H
Deportivo Madryn
San Miguel
0
0
D

Standings

Group 1
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 17 10 4 3 26:14 12 34
W W W W L
2 17 9 4 4 19:13 6 31
W W D W W
3 17 7 8 2 15:4 11 29
W D D W W
4 18 7 8 3 21:14 7 29
L W D D D
5 18 6 9 3 15:12 3 27
L L D D W
6 18 7 5 6 14:15 -1 26
W W D W L
7 17 6 7 4 22:17 5 25
D D D W L
8 17 6 7 4 18:13 5 25
L W L W L
9 18 5 9 4 16:19 -3 24
W D D D W
10 17 6 5 6 10:11 -1 23
W L D L D
11 18 4 8 6 14:16 -2 20
W D D L L
12 17 4 8 5 12:15 -3 20
L D W L D
13 18 5 5 8 16:21 -5 20
L W D D L
14 18 5 3 10 12:19 -7 18
L L W D W
15 17 3 8 6 17:20 -3 17
L L L D W
16 17 3 7 7 10:18 -8 16
L D D L W
17 17 3 6 8 10:16 -6 15
D L D L W
18 18 2 6 10 13:24 -11 12
W L L D L
Promotion - Primera Nacional (Super final)
Promotion - Primera Nacional (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation