ARGENTINA PRIMERA NACIONAL
20.09.2026 19:00
Estadio Abel Sastre

Deportivo Madryn vs Racing Cordoba Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 85.7%
Odds 1.61
BTTS
No
Probability 60.3%
Odds 1.50
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 55.6%
Odds 2.51
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
85.7%
1.61
BTTS No
60.3%
1.50
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
55.6%
2.51
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
87.7%
1.41
HT / FT Home / Home
-
2.60
Correct Score 3-0
-
11.00
Probability Distribution
Deportivo Madryn Win 85.7%
Draw 4.8%
Racing Cordoba Win 9.5%
Expected Goals (xG)
Deportivo Madryn1.31
Racing Cordoba0.94
Recent Form (Last 5)
Deportivo Madryn Deportivo Madryn
WWDLW
42 GF / 30 GA
Racing Cordoba Racing Cordoba
WLDWL
26 GF / 34 GA
Key Stats
1.4
Average Goals Scored
0.9
1
Average Goals Conceded
1.17
16
BTTS Yes
12
16
Over 2.5
12
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Deportivo Madryn Deportivo Madryn 30 matches
Racing Cordoba Racing Cordoba 29 matches
Deportivo Madryn Statistic Racing Cordoba
12 Wins 9
10 Draws 8
8 Losses 12
42 Goals For 26
30 Goals Against 34
1.4 Avg Goals Scored 0.9
1 Avg Goals Conceded 1.17
16 BTTS Yes 12
21 Over 1.5 20
16 Over 2.5 12
8 Over 3.5 2
9 Clean Sheets 9
9 Failed To Score 12
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This match looks like a contest between Deportivo Madryn's more proactive style and Racing Cordoba's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring Racing Cordoba. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Racing Cordoba having the stronger overall control. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent.

Deportivo Madryn Analysis

Operating from 3 place with 46 points from 28 games, Deportivo Madryn bring one of the stronger season profiles into this match. With 12 wins, 10 draws, and 6 defeats plus a goal balance of 41:26, they continue to show good form over their recent run. Their attacking quality is driven by their main attacking players, and at the back they have appeared fairly stable. At home, they have managed 8 wins, 4 draws, and 2 losses, which underlines a very strong split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. In stylistic terms they continue to show balanced attacking football.

Racing Cordoba Analysis

Racing Cordoba are currently 10 in the standings with 35 points from 28 matches. Across the campaign, they have posted 9 wins, 8 draws, and 11 losses, while the 25:32 goal ratio supports the view of mixed form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on their main attacking players, and defensively they have been fairly stable. Away from home, they have returned 1 wins, 4 draws, and 9 losses, a split that suggests a weak split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms, they tend to show a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 6 head-to-head meetings, Deportivo Madryn won 3 times, Racing Cordoba won 2 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 9:9 from Deportivo Madryn's perspective. 4 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 4 matches, with an average of 3 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: No
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (95.2%)
H2H summary: Deportivo Madryn wins 3, draws 1, Racing Cordoba wins 2

Standings

Group 1
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 30 17 7 6 35:25 10 58
W D D D W
2 29 16 7 6 47:27 20 55
W W W D D
3 29 14 7 8 36:25 11 49
W W W L W
4 29 12 10 7 42:28 14 46
L W L W W
5 29 12 10 7 23:16 7 46
D D W W L
6 29 12 9 8 35:25 10 45
L L L W W
7 30 11 9 10 27:25 2 42
W W L D L
8 30 9 12 9 24:27 -3 39
L D L W D
9 29 8 13 8 22:17 5 37
D D D D L
10 29 9 8 12 26:34 -8 35
L L W D D
11 29 8 9 12 26:29 -3 33
D W D W W
12 29 7 12 10 22:26 -4 33
W D W L L
13 30 6 14 10 17:26 -9 32
D L W D L
14 30 6 14 10 27:37 -10 32
L D D D L
15 29 6 13 10 19:27 -8 31
D D D D W
16 30 6 13 11 24:34 -10 31
D D L L L
17 30 7 10 13 23:34 -11 31
L W D L W
18 30 6 8 16 21:34 -13 26
W L L D L
Promotion - Primera Nacional (Super final)
Promotion - Primera Nacional (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation