ARGENTINA PRIMERA NACIONAL
06.09.2026 19:00
Estadio Abel Sastre
Deportivo Madryn
Match Timeline
Ciudad de Bolívar
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
24'
A. Carrion
Ciudad de Bolívar
27'
A. Gonzalez · Assist: B. Quintana
Ciudad de Bolívar
🟨
30'
B. Quintana
Ciudad de Bolívar
🟨
32'
J. Cosi
Deportivo Madryn
🟨
40'
E. Navarro
Ciudad de Bolívar
42'
N. Solis
Deportivo Madryn
🟨
45'
B. Quintana
Ciudad de Bolívar
🟥
45'
B. Quintana
Ciudad de Bolívar
🔄
46'
J. Cosi ↔ A. Dionisio
Deportivo Madryn
🔄
46'
C. Machado ↔ F. Recalde
Deportivo Madryn
🔄
46'
G. Sanchez ↔ T. Fernandez
Ciudad de Bolívar
🔄
46'
A. Carrion ↔ T. Guiacobini
Ciudad de Bolívar
🟨
58'
T. Fernandez
Ciudad de Bolívar
🔄
62'
L. Diarte ↔ J. Peinipil
Deportivo Madryn
🔄
66'
A. Gonzalez ↔ M. Gutierrez
Ciudad de Bolívar
🟨
67'
F. Recalde
Deportivo Madryn
71'
L. Silba · Assist: M. Meli
Deportivo Madryn
🟨
72'
N. Servetto
Deportivo Madryn
🔄
73'
F. Mucignat ↔ L. Villegas
Ciudad de Bolívar
🔄
75'
N. Servetto ↔ D. Martinez
Deportivo Madryn
🔄
75'
L. Marinucci ↔ E. Montagna
Deportivo Madryn
🟨
82'
N. D. Ortiz
Deportivo Madryn
🔄
84'
K. Caraballo ↔ F. Ilarregui
Ciudad de Bolívar
90'
L. Silba
Deportivo Madryn

Deportivo Madryn vs Ciudad de Bolívar Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 76.1%
Odds 1.71
BTTS
No
Probability 50.8%
Odds 1.50
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 52.4%
Odds 2.62
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
76.1%
1.71
BTTS No
50.8%
1.50
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
52.4%
2.62
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
87.7%
1.37
HT / FT Home / Home
-
2.62
Correct Score 3-0
-
12.00
Probability Distribution
Deportivo Madryn Win 76.1%
Draw 4.8%
Ciudad de Bolívar Win 19.2%
Expected Goals (xG)
Deportivo Madryn1.16
Ciudad de Bolívar0.88
Recent Form (Last 5)
Deportivo Madryn Deportivo Madryn
WWDLW
38 GF / 27 GA
Ciudad de Bolívar Ciudad de Bolívar
WLDWL
23 GF / 24 GA
Key Stats
1.36
Average Goals Scored
0.82
0.96
Average Goals Conceded
0.86
14
BTTS Yes
11
14
Over 2.5
6
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Deportivo Madryn Deportivo Madryn 28 matches
Ciudad de Bolívar Ciudad de Bolívar 28 matches
Deportivo Madryn Statistic Ciudad de Bolívar
11 Wins 9
10 Draws 11
7 Losses 8
38 Goals For 23
27 Goals Against 24
1.36 Avg Goals Scored 0.82
0.96 Avg Goals Conceded 0.86
14 BTTS Yes 11
19 Over 1.5 14
14 Over 2.5 6
7 Over 3.5 3
9 Clean Sheets 13
9 Failed To Score 10
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

From a tactical perspective, this fixture features Deportivo Madryn's more proactive style and Ciudad de Bolívar's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Deportivo Madryn come in with stronger recent momentum, which could help them control the rhythm for longer periods. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors Ciudad de Bolívar. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Ciudad de Bolívar having the stronger overall control.

Deportivo Madryn Analysis

Deportivo Madryn approach this game with the confidence of a side sitting 4 on 43 points after 26 outings. The return of 11 wins, 10 draws, and 5 defeats, together with goals at 38:24, reflects very strong form with results showing strong momentum. Much of their attacking edge comes through their main attacking players, while their defending has remained very solid. At home, their record of 7 wins, 4 draws, and 2 losses points to a very strong split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Their overall playing style can be described as balanced attacking football.

Ciudad de Bolívar Analysis

Ciudad de Bolívar approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 8 with 35 points from 26 matches. The overall return of 8 wins, 11 draws, and 7 defeats with a 22:23 goal balance points toward poor form over their recent run. Going forward they depend heavily on their main attacking players, while defensively they have looked very solid. Away from home, the split record of 5 wins, 5 draws, and 3 losses points to a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader football approach still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 3 head-to-head meetings, Deportivo Madryn won 1 times, Ciudad de Bolívar won 2 times, while 0 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 1:2 from Deportivo Madryn's perspective. 0 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 0 matches, with an average of 1 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: No
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (95.3%)
Predicted formations: Deportivo Madryn - / Ciudad de Bolívar 4-4-2
H2H summary: Deportivo Madryn wins 1, draws 0, Ciudad de Bolívar wins 2

Standings

Group 1
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 30 17 7 6 35:25 10 58
W D D D W
2 29 16 7 6 47:27 20 55
W W W D D
3 29 14 7 8 36:25 11 49
W W W L W
4 29 12 10 7 42:28 14 46
L W L W W
5 29 12 10 7 23:16 7 46
D D W W L
6 29 12 9 8 35:25 10 45
L L L W W
7 30 11 9 10 27:25 2 42
W W L D L
8 30 9 12 9 24:27 -3 39
L D L W D
9 29 8 13 8 22:17 5 37
D D D D L
10 29 9 8 12 26:34 -8 35
L L W D D
11 29 8 9 12 26:29 -3 33
D W D W W
12 29 7 12 10 22:26 -4 33
W D W L L
13 30 6 14 10 17:26 -9 32
D L W D L
14 30 6 14 10 27:37 -10 32
L D D D L
15 29 6 13 10 19:27 -8 31
D D D D W
16 30 6 13 11 24:34 -10 31
D D L L L
17 30 7 10 13 23:34 -11 31
L W D L W
18 30 6 8 16 21:34 -13 26
W L L D L
Promotion - Primera Nacional (Super final)
Promotion - Primera Nacional (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation