VENEZUELA PRIMERA DIVISIóN
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Estadio Olimpico de la UCV

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
No Draw
Probability 86.8%
Odds 1.25
BTTS
Yes
Probability 75.1%
Odds 2.20
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 64.5%
Odds 2.30
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 No Draw
86.8%
1.25
BTTS Yes
75.1%
2.20
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
64.5%
2.30
Corners O/U Under 7.5 Corners
92%
2.32
HT / FT Home / Home
-
2.60
Correct Score 2-1
-
9.00
Probability Distribution
Deportivo La Guaira Win 42.9%
Draw 13.2%
Zamora FC Win 43.8%
Expected Goals (xG)
Deportivo La Guaira1.08
Zamora FC1.03
Recent Form (Last 5)
Deportivo La Guaira Deportivo La Guaira
WWDLW
33 GF / 32 GA
Zamora FC Zamora FC
WLDWL
16 GF / 17 GA
Key Stats
1.1
Average Goals Scored
1
1.07
Average Goals Conceded
1.06
17
BTTS Yes
8
10
Over 2.5
6
2.11
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Deportivo La Guaira Deportivo La Guaira 30 matches
Zamora FC Zamora FC 16 matches
Deportivo La Guaira Statistic Zamora FC
10 Wins 5
13 Draws 5
7 Losses 6
33 Goals For 16
32 Goals Against 17
1.1 Avg Goals Scored 1
1.07 Avg Goals Conceded 1.06
17 BTTS Yes 8
21 Over 1.5 11
10 Over 2.5 6
5 Over 3.5 1
12 Clean Sheets 4
6 Failed To Score 6
2.11 Shots On Goal 0
5.78 Total Shots 0
2.33 Corners 0
28.7% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

On paper, this fixture places two sides in different competitive situations, shaped by Deportivo La Guaira's more proactive style and Zamora FC's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. Deportivo La Guaira arrive from the stronger league position, sitting 1 with 27 points compared to Zamora FC in 9 on 17, which underlines the gap in season consistency. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Zamora FC having the stronger overall control. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring Zamora FC.

Deportivo La Guaira Analysis

Deportivo La Guaira approach this game with the confidence of a side sitting 1 on 27 points after 13 outings. With 7 wins, 6 draws, and 0 defeats plus a goal balance of 15:6, they continue to show good form over their recent run. Their attacking quality is driven by their main attacking players, and at the back they have appeared very solid. At home, the split of 3 wins, 3 draws, and 0 losses supports the view of a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their football identity still points toward balanced attacking football.

Zamora FC Analysis

Zamora FC sit 9 with 17 points after 13 league matches. The record of 4 wins, 5 draws, and 4 defeats, together with a 14:14 goal balance, points toward mixed form and have been stuck in a sequence of draws. Much of their attacking threat comes through their main attacking players, while at the back they have looked very solid. Away from home, they have returned 2 wins, 2 draws, and 3 losses, a split that suggests a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms, they tend to show a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 13 head-to-head meetings, Deportivo La Guaira won 7 times, Zamora FC won 2 times, while 4 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 21:11 from Deportivo La Guaira's perspective. 6 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 7 matches, with an average of 2.46 goals per game.

1X2: No Draw
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (86.8%)
H2H summary: Deportivo La Guaira wins 7, draws 4, Zamora FC wins 2
Last matches: Deportivo La Guaira
10.08.26
Pri
Deportivo La Guaira
Caracas FC
2
1
W
05.08.26
Pri
Deportivo La Guaira
Metropolitanos FC
1
2
L
01.08.26
Pri
Deportivo La Guaira
Monagas SC
2
1
W
31.05.26
Pri
Deportivo La Guaira
Puerto Cabello
0
2
L
28.05.26
CON
Deportivo La Guaira
Fluminense
1
3
L
23.05.26
Pri
Deportivo La Guaira
Portuguesa FC
2
0
W
21.05.26
CON
Deportivo La Guaira
Independ. Rivadavia
2
4
L
15.05.26
Pri
Deportivo La Guaira
UCV
0
0
D
12.05.26
Pri
Deportivo La Guaira
UCV
1
1
D
09.05.26
Pri
Deportivo La Guaira
Portuguesa FC
1
1
D
06.05.26
CON
Deportivo La Guaira
Bolívar
1
1
D
03.05.26
Pri
Deportivo La Guaira
Puerto Cabello
1
1
D
30.04.26
CON
Deportivo La Guaira
Independ. Rivadavia
1
4
L
25.04.26
Pri
Deportivo La Guaira
Trujillanos FC
1
0
W
20.04.26
Pri
Deportivo La Guaira
Portuguesa FC
0
0
D
15.04.26
CON
Deportivo La Guaira
Bolívar
1
1
D
10.04.26
Pri
Deportivo La Guaira
Deportivo Tachira FC
3
2
W
07.04.26
CON
Deportivo La Guaira
Fluminense
0
0
D
02.04.26
Pri
Deportivo La Guaira
Carabobo FC
1
1
D
21.03.26
Pri
Deportivo La Guaira
UCV
1
0
W
Last matches: Zamora FC
09.08.26
Pri
Zamora FC
Puerto Cabello
0
1
L
06.08.26
Pri
Zamora FC
Estudiantes de Merida FC
0
1
L
02.08.26
Pri
Zamora FC
Rayo Zuliano
2
1
W
25.04.26
Pri
Zamora FC
Anzoátegui FC
1
1
D
20.04.26
Pri
Zamora FC
Caracas FC
1
1
D
11.04.26
Pri
Zamora FC
Metropolitanos FC
0
0
D
04.04.26
Pri
Zamora FC
Monagas SC
2
1
W
22.03.26
Pri
Zamora FC
Trujillanos FC
3
0
W
18.03.26
Pri
Zamora FC
Portuguesa FC
0
2
L
15.03.26
Pri
Zamora FC
Deportivo Tachira FC
1
2
L
07.03.26
Pri
Zamora FC
Carabobo FC
0
0
D
28.02.26
Pri
Zamora FC
UCV
1
2
L
23.02.26
Pri
Zamora FC
Deportivo La Guaira
1
1
D
14.02.26
Pri
Zamora FC
Puerto Cabello
0
2
L
07.02.26
Pri
Zamora FC
Estudiantes de Merida FC
3
2
W
31.01.26
Pri
Zamora FC
Rayo Zuliano
1
0
W
H2H: Deportivo La Guaira vs Zamora FC
23.02.26
H2H
Zamora FC
Deportivo La Guaira
1
1
D
04.11.25
H2H
Zamora FC
Deportivo La Guaira
2
0
L
21.10.25
H2H
Deportivo La Guaira
Zamora FC
1
1
D
04.10.25
H2H
Deportivo La Guaira
Zamora FC
2
0
W
25.04.25
H2H
Zamora FC
Deportivo La Guaira
1
2
W
22.09.24
H2H
Zamora FC
Deportivo La Guaira
0
0
D
24.03.24
H2H
Deportivo La Guaira
Zamora FC
2
1
W
20.08.23
H2H
Zamora FC
Deportivo La Guaira
2
1
L
18.03.23
H2H
Deportivo La Guaira
Zamora FC
3
0
W
16.06.22
H2H
Zamora FC
Deportivo La Guaira
2
3
W
28.05.22
H2H
Deportivo La Guaira
Zamora FC
1
1
D
06.09.20
H2H
Deportivo La Guaira
Zamora FC
0
0
D
22.03.20
H2H
Zamora FC
Deportivo La Guaira
0
0
D
25.09.19
H2H
Zamora FC
Deportivo La Guaira
0
1
W
03.04.19
H2H
Deportivo La Guaira
Zamora FC
4
0
W
Last matches: Deportivo La Guaira
05.08.26
Pri
Deportivo La Guaira
Metropolitanos FC
1
2
L
31.05.26
Pri
Deportivo La Guaira
Puerto Cabello
0
2
L
21.05.26
CON
Deportivo La Guaira
Independ. Rivadavia
2
4
L
15.05.26
Pri
Deportivo La Guaira
UCV
0
0
D
09.05.26
Pri
Deportivo La Guaira
Portuguesa FC
1
1
D
06.05.26
CON
Deportivo La Guaira
Bolívar
1
1
D
20.04.26
Pri
Deportivo La Guaira
Portuguesa FC
0
0
D
07.04.26
CON
Deportivo La Guaira
Fluminense
0
0
D
02.04.26
Pri
Deportivo La Guaira
Carabobo FC
1
1
D
13.03.26
Pri
Deportivo La Guaira
Puerto Cabello
0
0
D
01.03.26
Pri
Deportivo La Guaira
Rayo Zuliano
1
0
W
14.02.26
Pri
Deportivo La Guaira
Caracas FC
2
0
W
31.01.26
Pri
Deportivo La Guaira
Monagas SC
2
0
W
19.01.26
Fri
Deportivo La Guaira
Puerto Cabello
1
2
L
H2H at home: Deportivo La Guaira
21.10.25
H2H
Deportivo La Guaira
Zamora FC
1
1
D
04.10.25
H2H
Deportivo La Guaira
Zamora FC
2
0
W
24.03.24
H2H
Deportivo La Guaira
Zamora FC
2
1
W
18.03.23
H2H
Deportivo La Guaira
Zamora FC
3
0
W
28.05.22
H2H
Deportivo La Guaira
Zamora FC
1
1
D
06.09.20
H2H
Deportivo La Guaira
Zamora FC
0
0
D
03.04.19
H2H
Deportivo La Guaira
Zamora FC
4
0
W
Last matches: Zamora FC
06.08.26
Pri
Zamora FC
Estudiantes de Merida FC
0
1
L
25.04.26
Pri
Zamora FC
Anzoátegui FC
1
1
D
11.04.26
Pri
Zamora FC
Metropolitanos FC
0
0
D
22.03.26
Pri
Zamora FC
Trujillanos FC
3
0
W
15.03.26
Pri
Zamora FC
Deportivo Tachira FC
1
2
L
28.02.26
Pri
Zamora FC
UCV
1
2
L
14.02.26
Pri
Zamora FC
Puerto Cabello
0
2
L
31.01.26
Pri
Zamora FC
Rayo Zuliano
1
0
W
H2H away: Zamora FC
21.10.25
H2H
Deportivo La Guaira
Zamora FC
1
1
D
04.10.25
H2H
Deportivo La Guaira
Zamora FC
2
0
L
24.03.24
H2H
Deportivo La Guaira
Zamora FC
2
1
L
18.03.23
H2H
Deportivo La Guaira
Zamora FC
3
0
L
28.05.22
H2H
Deportivo La Guaira
Zamora FC
1
1
D
06.09.20
H2H
Deportivo La Guaira
Zamora FC
0
0
D
03.04.19
H2H
Deportivo La Guaira
Zamora FC
4
0
L
Showing odds from: 1xBet
Main markets
MATCH WINNER
Away 5.84
Draw 3.43
Home 1.59
GOALS OVER/UNDER
Over 1.25 1.28
Over 1.5 1.41
Over 1.75 1.52
Over 2.0 1.72
Over 2.25 2.03
Over 2.5 2.30
Over 2.75 2.68
Over 3.0 3.45
Under 1.25 3.43
Under 1.5 2.73
Under 1.75 2.39
Under 2.0 2.07
Under 2.25 1.78
Under 2.5 1.59
Under 2.75 1.43
Under 3.0 1.27
Main markets
MATCH WINNER
Away 5.00
Draw 3.60
Home 1.57
FIRST HALF WINNER
Away 6.00
Draw 2.10
Home 2.25
SECOND HALF WINNER
Away 5.00
Draw 2.38
Home 2.00
GOALS OVER/UNDER
Over 0.5 1.07
Over 1.5 1.40
Over 2.5 2.20
Over 3.5 4.00
Over 4.5 9.00
Over 5.5 21.00
Over 6.5 41.00
Under 0.5 9.00
Under 1.5 2.75
Under 2.5 1.65
Under 3.5 1.22
Under 4.5 1.07
Under 5.5 1.01
Under 6.5 1.00
Main markets
MATCH WINNER
Away 5.71
Draw 3.36
Home 1.59
FIRST HALF WINNER
Away 6.68
Draw 1.98
Home 2.20
SECOND HALF WINNER
Away 5.66
Draw 2.34
Home 1.97
GOALS OVER/UNDER
Over 0.5 1.05
Over 0.75 1.06
Over 1.0 1.08
Over 1.25 1.23
Over 1.5 1.38
Over 1.75 1.51
Over 2.0 1.65
Over 2.25 1.94
Over 2.5 2.23
Over 2.75 2.56
Over 3.0 3.28
Over 3.25 3.58
Over 3.5 3.96
Over 3.75 5.00
Over 4.0 7.10
Over 4.25 7.39
Over 4.5 7.70
Over 5.5 17.00
Over 6.5 41.00
Under 0.5 6.70
Under 0.75 6.14
Under 1.0 5.55
Under 1.25 3.42
Under 1.5 2.62
Under 1.75 2.37
Under 2.0 2.00
Under 2.25 1.75
Under 2.5 1.57
Under 2.75 1.40
Under 3.0 1.25
Under 3.25 1.21
Under 3.5 1.17
Under 3.75 1.11
Under 4.0 1.04
Under 4.25 1.03
Under 4.5 1.02
Under 5.5 1.01
Under 6.5 1.00
Main markets
MATCH WINNER
Away 4.40
Draw 3.35
Home 1.68
FIRST HALF WINNER
Away 4.80
Draw 2.14
Home 2.28
GOALS OVER/UNDER
Over 1.5 1.33
Over 2.5 2.02
Over 3.5 3.50
Under 1.5 2.85
Under 2.5 1.65
Under 3.5 1.23

Standings

Primera Division: Apertura
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 13 7 6 0 15:6 9 27
W D W D W
2 13 7 4 2 17:10 7 25
W W D L W
3 13 7 3 3 17:12 5 24
W D L W W
4 13 7 2 4 24:20 4 23
L D L W L
5 13 5 5 3 20:12 8 20
W D W L D
6 13 6 2 5 21:18 3 20
L W W W L
7 13 4 7 2 23:14 9 19
L W W D D
8 13 4 5 4 16:14 2 17
D W L L D
9 13 4 5 4 14:14 0 17
D D D W W
10 13 3 6 4 15:17 -2 15
W D L W D
11 13 4 2 7 13:23 -10 14
L L L W D
12 13 3 2 8 14:22 -8 11
D L W L D
13 13 2 3 8 15:25 -10 9
D L W L L
14 13 0 4 9 9:26 -17 4
L L L L L
Promotion - Liga FUTVE (Apertura - Quadrangular)