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17.10.2026 20:00
Estadio Olimpico de la UCV
Referee: J. Valenzuela
Deportivo La Guaira
Match Timeline
Trujillanos FC
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
⚽
14'
J. Castellanos
Deportivo La Guaira
🔄
27'
A. Araujo ↔ J. Carmona
Trujillanos FC
🟨
31'
Ezequiel Gnemmi
Trujillanos FC
🟨
31'
Guillermo Ortíz
Deportivo La Guaira
⚽
32'
Franklin González
Trujillanos FC
🔄
36'
G. Ortiz ↔ M. Villero
Deportivo La Guaira
🔄
46'
M. Gonzalez ↔ C. Faya
Deportivo La Guaira
🔄
66'
D. Linarez ↔ G. Parra
Trujillanos FC
🔄
66'
E. Abreu ↔ J. Rivas
Trujillanos FC
🟨
69'
Mayker González
Trujillanos FC
🔄
69'
J. Meza ↔ J. Herrera
Deportivo La Guaira
🔄
76'
M. Gonzalez ↔ L. Mosquera
Trujillanos FC
🔄
77'
F. Gonzalez ↔ C. Gil
Trujillanos FC
🟨
78'
Juan Castellanos
Deportivo La Guaira
⚽
81'
M. Sulbaran
Trujillanos FC
🔄
83'
J. Castellanos ↔ J. Perdomo
Deportivo La Guaira
🔄
84'
F. Londono ↔ A. Uribe
Deportivo La Guaira
⚽
88'
C. Santos · Assist: K. Gonzalez
Trujillanos FC

Deportivo La Guaira vs Trujillanos FC Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 62.7%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 78.8%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 61.1%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
62.7%
- ▥
BTTS Yes
78.8%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
61.1%
- ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
87.7%
- ▥
HT / FT Home / Home
-
- ▥
Correct Score 2-1
-
- ▥
Probability Distribution
Deportivo La Guaira Win 62.7%
Draw 14.8%
Trujillanos FC Win 22.5%
Expected Goals (xG)
Deportivo La Guaira1.51
Trujillanos FC0.98
Recent Form (Last 5)
Deportivo La Guaira Deportivo La Guaira
D L L L W
4 GF / 7 GA
Trujillanos FC Trujillanos FC
L D L L W
7 GF / 11 GA
Key Stats
1.26
Average Goals Scored
0.88
1.13
Average Goals Conceded
1.88
22
BTTS Yes
14
14
Over 2.5
12
3.17
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Deportivo La Guaira Deportivo La Guaira 39 matches
Trujillanos FC Trujillanos FC 26 matches
Deportivo La Guaira Statistic Trujillanos FC
13 Wins 3
15 Draws 6
11 Losses 17
49 Goals For 23
44 Goals Against 49
1.26 Avg Goals Scored 0.88
1.13 Avg Goals Conceded 1.88
22 BTTS Yes 14
28 Over 1.5 19
14 Over 2.5 12
8 Over 3.5 10
14 Clean Sheets 3
9 Failed To Score 11
3.17 Shots On Goal 0
8.67 Total Shots 0
3.5 Corners 0
43% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

On paper, this fixture places two sides in different competitive situations, shaped by Deportivo La Guaira's more proactive style and Trujillanos FC's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Deportivo La Guaira arrive from the stronger league position, sitting 3 with 43 points compared to Trujillanos FC in 13 on 15, which underlines the gap in season consistency. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Given the broader gap between the sides, Away Win looks like the most logical direction, while the clean-sheet expectation leans toward Trujillanos FC. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Deportivo La Guaira expected to line up in 4-3-3 and Trujillanos FC in 4-4-2, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Trujillanos FC having the stronger overall control. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely.

Deportivo La Guaira Analysis

Deportivo La Guaira approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 3 with 43 points from 24 matches. Their record of 12 wins, 7 draws, and 5 losses, together with goals at 36:22, reflects poor form and are going through a difficult losing run. Much of their threat comes through their main attacking players, while the defensive numbers suggest they have been very solid. At home, the split record of - wins, - draws, and - losses points to an unclear split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their broader football approach still suggests balanced attacking football.

Trujillanos FC Analysis

Trujillanos FC sit 13 with 15 points after 24 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. The overall return of 3 wins, 6 draws, and 15 defeats with a 21:44 goal balance points toward poor form over their recent run. Going forward they depend heavily on their main attacking players, while defensively they have looked quite vulnerable. Away from home, the split record of - wins, - draws, and - losses points to an unclear split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader football approach still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 4 head-to-head meetings, Deportivo La Guaira won 3 times, Trujillanos FC won 1 times, while 0 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 6:2 from Deportivo La Guaira's perspective. 1 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 1 matches, with an average of 2 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (85.2%)
Predicted formations: Deportivo La Guaira 4-3-3 / Trujillanos FC 4-4-2
H2H summary: Deportivo La Guaira wins 3, draws 0, Trujillanos FC wins 1

Standings

Primera Division: Tabla Anual
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 26 17 6 3 47:21 26 57
D W W W W
2 26 15 6 5 47:29 18 51
D W W D L
3 26 12 8 6 37:24 13 44
L D L L L
4 26 10 11 5 38:24 14 41
D W D W W
5 26 10 10 6 35:26 9 40
D W W D L
6 26 9 12 5 34:24 10 39
D D L W D
7 26 11 6 9 37:35 2 39
D L D W W
8 26 10 7 9 36:34 2 37
D L D L W
9 26 7 11 8 30:33 -3 32
W W D L L
10 26 8 5 13 31:39 -8 29
D W D W W
11 26 6 7 13 26:41 -15 25
L L L L L
12 26 7 4 15 31:52 -21 25
L L D W D
13 26 4 6 16 23:46 -23 18
W L D L W
14 26 4 5 17 23:47 -24 17
W L D L L
Promotion - Copa Libertadores (Group Stage)
Promotion - Copa Libertadores (Qualification)
Promotion - Copa Sudamericana (Qualification)
Relegation - Liga FUTVE 2