VENEZUELA PRIMERA DIVISIóN
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Estadio Olimpico de la UCV

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away or Draw
Probability 73.8%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 78.8%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 66.7%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away or Draw
73.8%
-
BTTS Yes
78.8%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
66.7%
-
Corners O/U Under 8.5 Corners
92%
-
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
-
Correct Score 1-2
-
-
Probability Distribution
Deportivo La Guaira Win 26.2%
Draw 20.1%
Metropolitanos FC Win 53.7%
Expected Goals (xG)
Deportivo La Guaira1
Metropolitanos FC1.14
Recent Form (Last 5)
Deportivo La Guaira Deportivo La Guaira
WWDLW
30 GF / 29 GA
Metropolitanos FC Metropolitanos FC
WLDWL
24 GF / 18 GA
Key Stats
1.07
Average Goals Scored
1.2
1.04
Average Goals Conceded
0.9
15
BTTS Yes
8
8
Over 2.5
5
2.71
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Deportivo La Guaira Deportivo La Guaira 28 matches
Metropolitanos FC Metropolitanos FC 20 matches
Deportivo La Guaira Statistic Metropolitanos FC
9 Wins 10
13 Draws 6
6 Losses 4
30 Goals For 24
29 Goals Against 18
1.07 Avg Goals Scored 1.2
1.04 Avg Goals Conceded 0.9
15 BTTS Yes 8
19 Over 1.5 11
8 Over 2.5 5
5 Over 3.5 4
12 Clean Sheets 10
6 Failed To Score 4
2.71 Shots On Goal 0
7.43 Total Shots 0
3 Corners 0
36.9% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This contest looks finely balanced, with two sides with a fairly similar football identity suggesting a close tactical battle. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Metropolitanos FC having the stronger overall control. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors Metropolitanos FC. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns.

Deportivo La Guaira Analysis

Operating from 1 place with 27 points from 13 games, Deportivo La Guaira bring one of the stronger season profiles into this match. They have recorded 7 wins, 6 draws, and 0 losses, with a 15:6 goal return and good form over their recent run. In attack they lean heavily on their main attacking players, while defensively they have looked very solid. At home, they have managed 3 wins, 3 draws, and 0 losses, which underlines a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. In stylistic terms they continue to show balanced attacking football.

Metropolitanos FC Analysis

Operating from 2 place with 25 points from 13 games, Metropolitanos FC bring one of the stronger season profiles into this match. The return of 7 wins, 4 draws, and 2 defeats, together with goals at 17:10, reflects good form over their recent run. Much of their attacking edge comes through their main attacking players, while their defending has remained very solid. Away from home, their record of 3 wins, 1 draws, and 2 losses points to a fairly balanced split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their overall playing style can be described as balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 13 head-to-head meetings, Deportivo La Guaira won 6 times, Metropolitanos FC won 4 times, while 3 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 21:15 from Deportivo La Guaira's perspective. 9 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 9 matches, with an average of 2.77 goals per game.

1X2: Away or Draw
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (80%)
Predicted formations: Deportivo La Guaira 4-1-4-1 / Metropolitanos FC -
H2H summary: Deportivo La Guaira wins 6, draws 3, Metropolitanos FC wins 4
Last matches: Deportivo La Guaira
01.08.26
Pri
Deportivo La Guaira
Monagas SC
2
1
W
31.05.26
Pri
Deportivo La Guaira
Puerto Cabello
0
2
L
28.05.26
CON
Deportivo La Guaira
Fluminense
1
3
L
23.05.26
Pri
Deportivo La Guaira
Portuguesa FC
2
0
W
21.05.26
CON
Deportivo La Guaira
Independ. Rivadavia
2
4
L
15.05.26
Pri
Deportivo La Guaira
UCV
0
0
D
12.05.26
Pri
Deportivo La Guaira
UCV
1
1
D
09.05.26
Pri
Deportivo La Guaira
Portuguesa FC
1
1
D
06.05.26
CON
Deportivo La Guaira
Bolívar
1
1
D
03.05.26
Pri
Deportivo La Guaira
Puerto Cabello
1
1
D
30.04.26
CON
Deportivo La Guaira
Independ. Rivadavia
1
4
L
25.04.26
Pri
Deportivo La Guaira
Trujillanos FC
1
0
W
20.04.26
Pri
Deportivo La Guaira
Portuguesa FC
0
0
D
15.04.26
CON
Deportivo La Guaira
Bolívar
1
1
D
10.04.26
Pri
Deportivo La Guaira
Deportivo Tachira FC
3
2
W
07.04.26
CON
Deportivo La Guaira
Fluminense
0
0
D
02.04.26
Pri
Deportivo La Guaira
Carabobo FC
1
1
D
21.03.26
Pri
Deportivo La Guaira
UCV
1
0
W
17.03.26
Pri
Deportivo La Guaira
Anzoátegui FC
0
0
D
13.03.26
Pri
Deportivo La Guaira
Puerto Cabello
0
0
D
Last matches: Metropolitanos FC
02.08.26
Pri
Metropolitanos FC
Puerto Cabello
2
1
W
31.05.26
Pri
Metropolitanos FC
Carabobo FC
1
5
L
24.05.26
Pri
Metropolitanos FC
Estudiantes de Merida FC
1
0
W
17.05.26
Pri
Metropolitanos FC
Deportivo Tachira FC
0
1
L
12.05.26
Pri
Metropolitanos FC
Deportivo Tachira FC
1
1
D
08.05.26
Pri
Metropolitanos FC
Estudiantes de Merida FC
2
0
W
03.05.26
Pri
Metropolitanos FC
Carabobo FC
0
0
D
26.04.26
Pri
Metropolitanos FC
Estudiantes de Merida FC
2
0
W
18.04.26
Pri
Metropolitanos FC
Rayo Zuliano
1
0
W
11.04.26
Pri
Metropolitanos FC
Zamora FC
0
0
D
03.04.26
Pri
Metropolitanos FC
Caracas FC
0
1
L
23.03.26
Pri
Metropolitanos FC
Anzoátegui FC
2
0
W
18.03.26
Pri
Metropolitanos FC
Monagas SC
1
0
W
14.03.26
Pri
Metropolitanos FC
Trujillanos FC
1
0
W
08.03.26
Pri
Metropolitanos FC
Portuguesa FC
3
2
W
01.03.26
Pri
Metropolitanos FC
Deportivo Tachira FC
1
0
W
20.02.26
Pri
Metropolitanos FC
Carabobo FC
1
1
D
13.02.26
Pri
Metropolitanos FC
UCV
2
3
L
08.02.26
Pri
Metropolitanos FC
Deportivo La Guaira
2
2
D
30.01.26
Pri
Metropolitanos FC
Puerto Cabello
1
1
D
H2H: Deportivo La Guaira vs Metropolitanos FC
08.02.26
H2H
Metropolitanos FC
Deportivo La Guaira
2
2
D
10.08.25
H2H
Metropolitanos FC
Deportivo La Guaira
1
3
W
01.03.25
H2H
Deportivo La Guaira
Metropolitanos FC
4
1
W
27.08.24
H2H
Metropolitanos FC
Deportivo La Guaira
0
0
D
20.07.24
H2H
Metropolitanos FC
Deportivo La Guaira
0
1
W
11.05.24
H2H
Metropolitanos FC
Deportivo La Guaira
2
1
L
04.05.24
H2H
Deportivo La Guaira
Metropolitanos FC
1
2
L
10.03.24
H2H
Deportivo La Guaira
Metropolitanos FC
1
2
L
28.01.24
H2H
Deportivo La Guaira
Metropolitanos FC
1
2
L
24.09.23
H2H
Metropolitanos FC
Deportivo La Guaira
2
2
D
18.02.23
H2H
Deportivo La Guaira
Metropolitanos FC
2
0
W
18.09.22
H2H
Metropolitanos FC
Deportivo La Guaira
1
2
W
24.02.22
H2H
Deportivo La Guaira
Metropolitanos FC
1
0
W
27.09.20
H2H
Metropolitanos FC
Deportivo La Guaira
0
0
D
19.04.20
H2H
Deportivo La Guaira
Metropolitanos FC
0
0
D
Last matches: Deportivo La Guaira
31.05.26
Pri
Deportivo La Guaira
Puerto Cabello
0
2
L
21.05.26
CON
Deportivo La Guaira
Independ. Rivadavia
2
4
L
15.05.26
Pri
Deportivo La Guaira
UCV
0
0
D
09.05.26
Pri
Deportivo La Guaira
Portuguesa FC
1
1
D
06.05.26
CON
Deportivo La Guaira
Bolívar
1
1
D
20.04.26
Pri
Deportivo La Guaira
Portuguesa FC
0
0
D
07.04.26
CON
Deportivo La Guaira
Fluminense
0
0
D
02.04.26
Pri
Deportivo La Guaira
Carabobo FC
1
1
D
13.03.26
Pri
Deportivo La Guaira
Puerto Cabello
0
0
D
01.03.26
Pri
Deportivo La Guaira
Rayo Zuliano
1
0
W
14.02.26
Pri
Deportivo La Guaira
Caracas FC
2
0
W
31.01.26
Pri
Deportivo La Guaira
Monagas SC
2
0
W
19.01.26
Fri
Deportivo La Guaira
Puerto Cabello
1
2
L
H2H at home: Deportivo La Guaira
01.03.25
H2H
Deportivo La Guaira
Metropolitanos FC
4
1
W
04.05.24
H2H
Deportivo La Guaira
Metropolitanos FC
1
2
L
10.03.24
H2H
Deportivo La Guaira
Metropolitanos FC
1
2
L
28.01.24
H2H
Deportivo La Guaira
Metropolitanos FC
1
2
L
18.02.23
H2H
Deportivo La Guaira
Metropolitanos FC
2
0
W
24.02.22
H2H
Deportivo La Guaira
Metropolitanos FC
1
0
W
19.04.20
H2H
Deportivo La Guaira
Metropolitanos FC
0
0
D
Last matches: Metropolitanos FC
24.05.26
Pri
Metropolitanos FC
Estudiantes de Merida FC
1
0
W
12.05.26
Pri
Metropolitanos FC
Deportivo Tachira FC
1
1
D
03.05.26
Pri
Metropolitanos FC
Carabobo FC
0
0
D
18.04.26
Pri
Metropolitanos FC
Rayo Zuliano
1
0
W
03.04.26
Pri
Metropolitanos FC
Caracas FC
0
1
L
14.03.26
Pri
Metropolitanos FC
Trujillanos FC
1
0
W
01.03.26
Pri
Metropolitanos FC
Deportivo Tachira FC
1
0
W
13.02.26
Pri
Metropolitanos FC
UCV
2
3
L
30.01.26
Pri
Metropolitanos FC
Puerto Cabello
1
1
D
H2H away: Metropolitanos FC
01.03.25
H2H
Deportivo La Guaira
Metropolitanos FC
4
1
L
04.05.24
H2H
Deportivo La Guaira
Metropolitanos FC
1
2
W
10.03.24
H2H
Deportivo La Guaira
Metropolitanos FC
1
2
W
28.01.24
H2H
Deportivo La Guaira
Metropolitanos FC
1
2
W
18.02.23
H2H
Deportivo La Guaira
Metropolitanos FC
2
0
L
24.02.22
H2H
Deportivo La Guaira
Metropolitanos FC
1
0
L
19.04.20
H2H
Deportivo La Guaira
Metropolitanos FC
0
0
D

Standings

Primera Division: Apertura
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 13 7 6 0 15:6 9 27
W D W D W
2 13 7 4 2 17:10 7 25
W W D L W
3 13 7 3 3 17:12 5 24
W D L W W
4 13 7 2 4 24:20 4 23
L D L W L
5 13 5 5 3 20:12 8 20
W D W L D
6 13 6 2 5 21:18 3 20
L W W W L
7 13 4 7 2 23:14 9 19
L W W D D
8 13 4 5 4 16:14 2 17
D W L L D
9 13 4 5 4 14:14 0 17
D D D W W
10 13 3 6 4 15:17 -2 15
W D L W D
11 13 4 2 7 13:23 -10 14
L L L W D
12 13 3 2 8 14:22 -8 11
D L W L D
13 13 2 3 8 15:25 -10 9
D L W L L
14 13 0 4 9 9:26 -17 4
L L L L L
Promotion - Liga FUTVE (Apertura - Quadrangular)