VENEZUELA PRIMERA DIVISIóN
--.--.---- --:--
Estadio Olimpico de la UCV

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 79.7%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 82.5%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 77.2%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
79.7%
-
BTTS Yes
82.5%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
77.2%
-
Corners O/U Under 7.5 Corners
92%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-1
-
-
Probability Distribution
Deportivo La Guaira Win 79.7%
Draw 10.2%
Estudiantes de Merida FC Win 10.2%
Expected Goals (xG)
Deportivo La Guaira1.34
Estudiantes de Merida FC1.13
Recent Form (Last 5)
Deportivo La Guaira Deportivo La Guaira
WWDLW
43 GF / 34 GA
Estudiantes de Merida FC Estudiantes de Merida FC
WLDWL
28 GF / 32 GA
Key Stats
1.34
Average Goals Scored
1.17
1.06
Average Goals Conceded
1.33
19
BTTS Yes
11
12
Over 2.5
11
1.73
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Deportivo La Guaira Deportivo La Guaira 32 matches
Estudiantes de Merida FC Estudiantes de Merida FC 24 matches
Deportivo La Guaira Statistic Estudiantes de Merida FC
12 Wins 9
13 Draws 4
7 Losses 11
43 Goals For 28
34 Goals Against 32
1.34 Avg Goals Scored 1.17
1.06 Avg Goals Conceded 1.33
19 BTTS Yes 11
23 Over 1.5 17
12 Over 2.5 11
7 Over 3.5 5
12 Clean Sheets 4
6 Failed To Score 9
1.73 Shots On Goal 0
4.73 Total Shots 0
1.91 Corners 0
23.5% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This match looks like a contest between two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors Estudiantes de Merida FC. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Estudiantes de Merida FC having the stronger overall control. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent.

Deportivo La Guaira Analysis

Operating from 1 place with 27 points from 13 games, Deportivo La Guaira bring one of the stronger season profiles into this match. With 7 wins, 6 draws, and 0 defeats plus a goal balance of 15:6, they continue to show good form over their recent run. Their attacking quality is driven by their main attacking players, and at the back they have appeared very solid. At home, they have managed 3 wins, 3 draws, and 0 losses, which underlines a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. In stylistic terms they continue to show balanced attacking football.

Estudiantes de Merida FC Analysis

So far, Estudiantes de Merida FC have built a campaign that leaves them 6 in the table on 20 points from 13 matches. The record of 6 wins, 2 draws, and 5 defeats, together with a 21:18 goal balance, points toward good form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through their main attacking players, while at the back they have looked very solid. Away from home, they have returned 3 wins, 1 draws, and 3 losses, a split that suggests a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. In football terms, they tend to show balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Deportivo La Guaira won 7 times, Estudiantes de Merida FC won 4 times, while 4 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 18:18 from Deportivo La Guaira's perspective. 7 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 10 matches, with an average of 2.4 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 1X (89.8%)
H2H summary: Deportivo La Guaira wins 7, draws 4, Estudiantes de Merida FC wins 4
Last matches: Deportivo La Guaira
22.08.26
Pri
Deportivo La Guaira
Rayo Zuliano
4
1
W
16.08.26
Pri
Deportivo La Guaira
Zamora FC
6
1
W
10.08.26
Pri
Deportivo La Guaira
Caracas FC
2
1
W
05.08.26
Pri
Deportivo La Guaira
Metropolitanos FC
1
2
L
01.08.26
Pri
Deportivo La Guaira
Monagas SC
2
1
W
31.05.26
Pri
Deportivo La Guaira
Puerto Cabello
0
2
L
28.05.26
CON
Deportivo La Guaira
Fluminense
1
3
L
23.05.26
Pri
Deportivo La Guaira
Portuguesa FC
2
0
W
21.05.26
CON
Deportivo La Guaira
Independ. Rivadavia
2
4
L
15.05.26
Pri
Deportivo La Guaira
UCV
0
0
D
12.05.26
Pri
Deportivo La Guaira
UCV
1
1
D
09.05.26
Pri
Deportivo La Guaira
Portuguesa FC
1
1
D
06.05.26
CON
Deportivo La Guaira
Bolívar
1
1
D
03.05.26
Pri
Deportivo La Guaira
Puerto Cabello
1
1
D
30.04.26
CON
Deportivo La Guaira
Independ. Rivadavia
1
4
L
25.04.26
Pri
Deportivo La Guaira
Trujillanos FC
1
0
W
20.04.26
Pri
Deportivo La Guaira
Portuguesa FC
0
0
D
15.04.26
CON
Deportivo La Guaira
Bolívar
1
1
D
10.04.26
Pri
Deportivo La Guaira
Deportivo Tachira FC
3
2
W
07.04.26
CON
Deportivo La Guaira
Fluminense
0
0
D
Last matches: Estudiantes de Merida FC
22.08.26
Pri
Estudiantes de Merida FC
Puerto Cabello
1
1
D
15.08.26
Pri
Estudiantes de Merida FC
Anzoátegui FC
1
0
W
10.08.26
Pri
Estudiantes de Merida FC
Rayo Zuliano
0
3
L
06.08.26
Pri
Estudiantes de Merida FC
Zamora FC
1
0
W
03.08.26
Pri
Estudiantes de Merida FC
Caracas FC
2
2
D
31.05.26
Pri
Estudiantes de Merida FC
Deportivo Tachira FC
0
1
L
24.05.26
Pri
Estudiantes de Merida FC
Metropolitanos FC
0
1
L
17.05.26
Pri
Estudiantes de Merida FC
Carabobo FC
0
2
L
13.05.26
Pri
Estudiantes de Merida FC
Carabobo FC
0
1
L
08.05.26
Pri
Estudiantes de Merida FC
Metropolitanos FC
0
2
L
02.05.26
Pri
Estudiantes de Merida FC
Deportivo Tachira FC
2
1
W
26.04.26
Pri
Estudiantes de Merida FC
Metropolitanos FC
0
2
L
19.04.26
Pri
Estudiantes de Merida FC
Monagas SC
3
2
W
12.04.26
Pri
Estudiantes de Merida FC
Trujillanos FC
2
0
W
05.04.26
Pri
Estudiantes de Merida FC
Portuguesa FC
2
1
W
22.03.26
Pri
Estudiantes de Merida FC
Deportivo Tachira FC
0
1
L
18.03.26
Pri
Estudiantes de Merida FC
Carabobo FC
3
2
W
14.03.26
Pri
Estudiantes de Merida FC
UCV
1
1
D
06.03.26
Pri
Estudiantes de Merida FC
Deportivo La Guaira
0
1
L
27.02.26
Pri
Estudiantes de Merida FC
Puerto Cabello
2
1
W
H2H: Deportivo La Guaira vs Estudiantes de Merida FC
06.03.26
H2H
Estudiantes de Merida FC
Deportivo La Guaira
0
1
W
24.08.25
H2H
Estudiantes de Merida FC
Deportivo La Guaira
1
2
W
16.03.25
H2H
Deportivo La Guaira
Estudiantes de Merida FC
2
1
W
14.11.24
H2H
Deportivo La Guaira
Estudiantes de Merida FC
3
1
W
30.10.24
H2H
Estudiantes de Merida FC
Deportivo La Guaira
0
1
W
27.09.24
H2H
Deportivo La Guaira
Estudiantes de Merida FC
1
1
D
07.07.24
H2H
Deportivo La Guaira
Estudiantes de Merida FC
0
0
D
31.03.24
H2H
Estudiantes de Merida FC
Deportivo La Guaira
1
2
W
02.09.23
H2H
Estudiantes de Merida FC
Deportivo La Guaira
2
1
L
04.03.23
H2H
Deportivo La Guaira
Estudiantes de Merida FC
1
3
L
18.10.22
H2H
Estudiantes de Merida FC
Deportivo La Guaira
1
1
D
04.10.22
H2H
Deportivo La Guaira
Estudiantes de Merida FC
1
0
W
21.08.22
H2H
Estudiantes de Merida FC
Deportivo La Guaira
2
0
L
02.04.22
H2H
Deportivo La Guaira
Estudiantes de Merida FC
1
1
D
01.12.21
H2H
Estudiantes de Merida FC
Deportivo La Guaira
4
1
L
Last matches: Deportivo La Guaira
16.08.26
Pri
Deportivo La Guaira
Zamora FC
6
1
W
05.08.26
Pri
Deportivo La Guaira
Metropolitanos FC
1
2
L
31.05.26
Pri
Deportivo La Guaira
Puerto Cabello
0
2
L
21.05.26
CON
Deportivo La Guaira
Independ. Rivadavia
2
4
L
15.05.26
Pri
Deportivo La Guaira
UCV
0
0
D
09.05.26
Pri
Deportivo La Guaira
Portuguesa FC
1
1
D
06.05.26
CON
Deportivo La Guaira
Bolívar
1
1
D
20.04.26
Pri
Deportivo La Guaira
Portuguesa FC
0
0
D
07.04.26
CON
Deportivo La Guaira
Fluminense
0
0
D
02.04.26
Pri
Deportivo La Guaira
Carabobo FC
1
1
D
13.03.26
Pri
Deportivo La Guaira
Puerto Cabello
0
0
D
01.03.26
Pri
Deportivo La Guaira
Rayo Zuliano
1
0
W
14.02.26
Pri
Deportivo La Guaira
Caracas FC
2
0
W
31.01.26
Pri
Deportivo La Guaira
Monagas SC
2
0
W
19.01.26
Fri
Deportivo La Guaira
Puerto Cabello
1
2
L
H2H at home: Deportivo La Guaira
16.03.25
H2H
Deportivo La Guaira
Estudiantes de Merida FC
2
1
W
14.11.24
H2H
Deportivo La Guaira
Estudiantes de Merida FC
3
1
W
27.09.24
H2H
Deportivo La Guaira
Estudiantes de Merida FC
1
1
D
07.07.24
H2H
Deportivo La Guaira
Estudiantes de Merida FC
0
0
D
04.03.23
H2H
Deportivo La Guaira
Estudiantes de Merida FC
1
3
L
04.10.22
H2H
Deportivo La Guaira
Estudiantes de Merida FC
1
0
W
02.04.22
H2H
Deportivo La Guaira
Estudiantes de Merida FC
1
1
D
Last matches: Estudiantes de Merida FC
10.08.26
Pri
Estudiantes de Merida FC
Rayo Zuliano
0
3
L
03.08.26
Pri
Estudiantes de Merida FC
Caracas FC
2
2
D
31.05.26
Pri
Estudiantes de Merida FC
Deportivo Tachira FC
0
1
L
13.05.26
Pri
Estudiantes de Merida FC
Carabobo FC
0
1
L
08.05.26
Pri
Estudiantes de Merida FC
Metropolitanos FC
0
2
L
26.04.26
Pri
Estudiantes de Merida FC
Metropolitanos FC
0
2
L
12.04.26
Pri
Estudiantes de Merida FC
Trujillanos FC
2
0
W
22.03.26
Pri
Estudiantes de Merida FC
Deportivo Tachira FC
0
1
L
14.03.26
Pri
Estudiantes de Merida FC
UCV
1
1
D
27.02.26
Pri
Estudiantes de Merida FC
Puerto Cabello
2
1
W
23.02.26
Pri
Estudiantes de Merida FC
Anzoátegui FC
3
0
W
07.02.26
Pri
Estudiantes de Merida FC
Zamora FC
2
3
L
H2H away: Estudiantes de Merida FC
16.03.25
H2H
Deportivo La Guaira
Estudiantes de Merida FC
2
1
L
14.11.24
H2H
Deportivo La Guaira
Estudiantes de Merida FC
3
1
L
27.09.24
H2H
Deportivo La Guaira
Estudiantes de Merida FC
1
1
D
07.07.24
H2H
Deportivo La Guaira
Estudiantes de Merida FC
0
0
D
04.03.23
H2H
Deportivo La Guaira
Estudiantes de Merida FC
1
3
W
04.10.22
H2H
Deportivo La Guaira
Estudiantes de Merida FC
1
0
L
02.04.22
H2H
Deportivo La Guaira
Estudiantes de Merida FC
1
1
D

Standings

Primera Division: Apertura
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 13 7 6 0 15:6 9 27
W D W D W
2 13 7 4 2 17:10 7 25
W W D L W
3 13 7 3 3 17:12 5 24
W D L W W
4 13 7 2 4 24:20 4 23
L D L W L
5 13 5 5 3 20:12 8 20
W D W L D
6 13 6 2 5 21:18 3 20
L W W W L
7 13 4 7 2 23:14 9 19
L W W D D
8 13 4 5 4 16:14 2 17
D W L L D
9 13 4 5 4 14:14 0 17
D D D W W
10 13 3 6 4 15:17 -2 15
W D L W D
11 13 4 2 7 13:23 -10 14
L L L W D
12 13 3 2 8 14:22 -8 11
D L W L D
13 13 2 3 8 15:25 -10 9
D L W L L
14 13 0 4 9 9:26 -17 4
L L L L L
Promotion - Liga FUTVE (Apertura - Quadrangular)