Deportivo Garcilaso vs Universitario Prediction & Match Analysis
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home Win |
56.3%
|
- | |
| BTTS | Yes |
71.2%
|
- | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 |
72%
|
- | |
| Corners O/U | Over 7.5 Corners |
92%
|
- | |
| HT / FT | Home / Home |
-
|
- | |
| Correct Score | 2-1 |
-
|
- |
Deportivo Garcilaso
Universitario
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Deportivo Garcilaso
26 matches
Universitario
36 matches
| Deportivo Garcilaso | Statistic | Universitario |
|---|---|---|
| 13 | Wins | 18 |
| 6 | Draws | 10 |
| 7 | Losses | 8 |
| 35 | Goals For | 56 |
| 24 | Goals Against | 36 |
| 1.35 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.56 |
| 0.92 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1 |
| 12 | BTTS Yes | 19 |
| 14 | Over 1.5 | 26 |
| 9 | Over 2.5 | 19 |
| 6 | Over 3.5 | 9 |
| 10 | Clean Sheets | 13 |
| 7 | Failed To Score | 10 |
| 4.46 | Shots On Goal | 4.31 |
| 12.23 | Total Shots | 13.47 |
| 3.77 | Corners | 5.63 |
| 45.5% | Ball Possession | 51.2% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
There is very little separating these two teams on paper, and two sides with a fairly similar football identity points toward a competitive game. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward Universitario. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Deportivo Garcilaso expected to line up in 4-2-3-1 and Universitario in 3-5-2, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Universitario having the stronger overall control. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. Deportivo Garcilaso come in with stronger recent momentum, which could help them control the rhythm for longer periods.
Deportivo Garcilaso approach this game with the confidence of a side sitting 3 on 45 points after 25 outings. They have recorded 13 wins, 6 draws, and 6 losses, with a 35:23 goal return and very strong form and are on a winning streak. In attack they lean heavily on L. da Silva (7 goals), C. Olivares (6 goals), F. Arancibia (3 goals), with creative support from F. Arancibia (5 assists), C. Olivares (2 assists), A. Ascues (2 assists), while defensively they have looked very solid. At home, their record of - wins, - draws, and - losses points to an unclear split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their overall playing style can be described as balanced attacking football.
Operating from 2 place with 46 points from 25 games, Universitario bring one of the stronger season profiles into this match. The return of 13 wins, 7 draws, and 5 defeats, together with goals at 41:26, reflects good form over their recent run. Much of their attacking edge comes through A. Valera (7 goals), G. Lapadula (4 goals), Edison Flores (3 goals), with creative support from J. Concha (4 assists), P. Reyna (3 assists), A. Valera (2 assists), while their defending has remained fairly stable. Away from home, they have managed - wins, - draws, and - losses, which underlines an unclear split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. In stylistic terms they continue to show balanced attacking football.
Across those 7 head-to-head meetings, Deportivo Garcilaso won 0 times, Universitario won 3 times, while 4 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 5:11 from Deportivo Garcilaso's perspective. 3 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 4 matches, with an average of 2.29 goals per game.
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 28 | 17 | 8 | 3 | 46:19 | 27 | 59 |
W
W
L
D
L
|
|
| 2 |
Universitario
Away
|
28 | 14 | 8 | 6 | 45:33 | 12 | 50 |
D
L
W
D
W
|
| 3 |
Deportivo Garcilaso
Home
|
28 | 14 | 6 | 8 | 39:25 | 14 | 48 |
L
W
L
W
W
|
| 4 | 28 | 13 | 8 | 7 | 47:31 | 16 | 47 |
D
D
W
W
L
|
|
| 5 | 28 | 14 | 3 | 11 | 41:40 | 1 | 45 |
L
W
L
W
W
|
|
| 6 | 28 | 13 | 5 | 10 | 48:40 | 8 | 44 |
W
D
L
W
L
|
|
| 7 | 28 | 12 | 7 | 9 | 43:36 | 7 | 43 |
W
W
L
W
W
|
|
| 8 | 28 | 12 | 7 | 9 | 36:45 | -9 | 43 |
D
D
L
L
L
|
|
| 9 | 28 | 12 | 5 | 11 | 49:40 | 9 | 41 |
W
W
W
W
L
|
|
| 10 | 28 | 10 | 8 | 10 | 30:29 | 1 | 38 |
L
D
W
L
W
|
|
| 11 | 28 | 11 | 5 | 12 | 38:44 | -6 | 38 |
W
W
W
W
W
|
|
| 12 | 28 | 9 | 8 | 11 | 43:53 | -10 | 35 |
D
W
W
D
W
|
|
| 13 | 28 | 9 | 6 | 13 | 26:31 | -5 | 33 |
D
L
W
L
W
|
|
| 14 | 28 | 7 | 10 | 11 | 36:39 | -3 | 31 |
D
L
L
D
L
|
|
| 15 | 28 | 7 | 7 | 14 | 41:52 | -11 | 28 |
D
L
W
L
W
|
|
| 16 | 28 | 6 | 8 | 14 | 29:42 | -13 | 26 |
D
W
L
L
L
|
|
| 17 | 28 | 6 | 7 | 15 | 24:43 | -19 | 25 |
L
L
L
L
L
|
|
| 18 | 28 | 4 | 8 | 16 | 32:51 | -19 | 15 |
L
L
L
L
L
|