ECUADOR LIGA PRO
--.--.---- --:--
Alejandro Serrano Aguilar
Referee: Alex Fabricio Cajas Torres, Ecuador
Deportivo Cuenca
Match Timeline
Orense SC
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
14'
Beder Caicedo
Orense SC
🟨
31'
Jeremy Chacon
Deportivo Cuenca
35'
A. Herrera
Orense SC
🟨
38'
Edison Vega
Deportivo Cuenca
VAR
45+4'
Marcos Andrés López
Deportivo Cuenca
🟨
45+4'
Óscar Quiñónez
Orense SC
🔄
46'
E. Vega ↔ J. Ordonez
Deportivo Cuenca
58'
P. Boolsen
Deportivo Cuenca
65'
A. Herrera · Assist: E. S. Zambrano Pesantez
Orense SC
67'
A. Herrera · Assist: B. Caicedo
Orense SC
🔄
71'
L. Mancinelli ↔ M. Diaz
Deportivo Cuenca
🔄
71'
N. Leguizamon ↔ G. Rivero
Deportivo Cuenca
🔄
74'
E. S. Zambrano Pesantez ↔ B. Vinan
Orense SC
🔄
77'
A. Lopez ↔ S. Morocho
Deportivo Cuenca
🔄
77'
D. Gonzalez ↔ J. Mejia
Deportivo Cuenca
🟨
81'
Jorge Ordóñez
Deportivo Cuenca
VAR
84'
Germán Rivero
Deportivo Cuenca
🟥
85'
Germán Rivero
Deportivo Cuenca
🔄
86'
S. Vasquez ↔ E. Pluas
Orense SC
🟨
90+1'
Ángel Mena
Orense SC
🟨
90'
Erick Plúas
Orense SC
🔄
90+1'
A. Mena ↔ G. Rostagno
Orense SC

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 67.3%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS Yes
Probability 77.8%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 52.6%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
67.3%
-
BTTS BTTS Yes
77.8%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
52.6%
-
Probability Distribution
Deportivo Cuenca Win 67.3%
Draw 7.6%
Orense SC Win 25.2%
Expected Goals (xG)
Deportivo Cuenca1.39
Orense SC1.1
Recent Form (Last 5)
Deportivo Cuenca Deportivo Cuenca
WWDLW
14 GF / 10 GA
Orense SC Orense SC
WLDWL
11 GF / 14 GA
Key Stats
1.27
Average Goals Scored
1.22
0.91
Average Goals Conceded
1.56
6
BTTS Yes
7
4
Over 2.5
5
3.22
Shots on Goal
3

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Deportivo Cuenca Deportivo Cuenca 11 matches
Orense SC Orense SC 9 matches
Deportivo Cuenca Statistic Orense SC
6 Wins 2
2 Draws 3
3 Losses 4
14 Goals For 11
10 Goals Against 14
1.27 Avg Goals Scored 1.22
0.91 Avg Goals Conceded 1.56
6 BTTS Yes 7
7 Over 1.5 8
4 Over 2.5 5
1 Over 3.5 2
3 Clean Sheets 1
2 Failed To Score 2
3.22 Shots On Goal 3
10.67 Total Shots 8.22
3.78 Corners 3.11
44.8% Ball Possession 46.1%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

On paper, this fixture places two sides in different competitive situations, shaped by Deportivo Cuenca's more proactive style and Orense SC's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Deportivo Cuenca arrive from the stronger league position, sitting 5 with 14 points compared to Orense SC in 13 on 9, which underlines the gap in season consistency. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. Given the broader gap between the sides, Away Win looks like the most logical direction, while the clean-sheet expectation leans toward Orense SC. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Deportivo Cuenca expected to line up in 4-1-4-1 and Orense SC in 4-2-3-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Orense SC having the stronger overall control.

Deportivo Cuenca Analysis

Deportivo Cuenca come into this match from a strong league position, sitting 5 with 14 points from 9 matches. Their overall return of 4 wins, 2 draws, and 3 losses with goals at 9:8 reflects mixed form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by J. Ordonez (3 goals), G. Rivero (2 goals), N. Leguizamon (2 goals), with creative support from G. Rivero (2 assists), C. Arboleda (2 assists), J. Ordonez (1 assists), while defensively they have appeared very solid. At home, their split return of 1 wins, 2 draws, and 1 losses fits a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Stylistically, they usually display balanced attacking football.

Orense SC Analysis

So far, Orense SC have built a campaign that leaves them 13 in the table on 9 points from 9 matches. Their overall return of 2 wins, 3 draws, and 4 losses with goals at 11:14 reflects mixed form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by Agustin Herrera (2 goals), S. Vasquez (2 goals), A. Lorenzo (1 goals), with creative support from P. Velasco (2 assists), V. Burgoa (2 assists), M. Bermudez (1 assists), while defensively they have appeared very solid. Away from home, their split return of 0 wins, 1 draws, and 3 losses fits a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they usually display a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 13 head-to-head meetings, Deportivo Cuenca won 2 times, Orense SC won 5 times, while 6 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 11:16 from Deportivo Cuenca's perspective. 3 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 8 matches, with an average of 2.08 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: BTTS Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (92.4%)
Predicted formations: Deportivo Cuenca 4-1-4-1 / Orense SC 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: Deportivo Cuenca wins 2, draws 6, Orense SC wins 5
Stats
Deportivo Cuenca Deportivo Cuenca
Orense SC Orense SC
Shots on Goal
7
Shots on Goal
8
Shots off Goal
7
Shots off Goal
9
Blocked Shots
2
Blocked Shots
1
4 Corner Kicks 2
9 Fouls 11
1 Offsides 0
59% Ball Possession 41%
16 Total Shots 17
7 Shots on Goal 8
7 Shots off Goal 9
2 Blocked Shots 1
12 Shots insidebox 8
4 Shots outsidebox 9
4 Goalkeeper Saves 6
506 Total passes 357
434 Passes accurate 289
1.97 expected_goals 2.17
🟨 3 Yellow Cards 4 🟨
🟥 1 Red Cards 0 🟥

Lineups

Deportivo Cuenca
Formation
Orense SC
F. Ferrero
F. Ferrero
A. Lopez
A. Lopez
P. Boolsen
P. Boolsen
S. Postel
S. Postel
C. Arboleda
C. Arboleda
M. Maccari
M. Maccari
L. Mancinelli
L. Mancinelli
E. Vega
E. Vega
J. Chacon
J. Chacon
D. Gonzalez
D. Gonzalez
N. Leguizamon
N. Leguizamon
J. Ortiz
J. Ortiz
P. Velasco
P. Velasco
A. Lorenzo
A. Lorenzo
O. Quinonez
O. Quinonez
B. Caicedo
🎯
B. Caicedo
R. Jaramilo
R. Jaramilo
E. S. Zambrano Pesantez
🎯
E. S. Zambrano Pesantez
A. Mena
A. Mena
S. Vasquez
S. Vasquez
V. Burgoa
V. Burgoa
A. Herrera
⚽ 3
A. Herrera
Deportivo Cuenca 4-1-4-1
Starting XI
1
F. Ferrero
G
25
A. Lopez
↓ 77'
D
28
P. Boolsen
⚽ 58'
D
6
S. Postel
D
37
C. Arboleda
D
30
M. Maccari
M
7
L. Mancinelli
↓ 71'
M
8
E. Vega
↓ 46' 🟨 38'
M
14
J. Chacon
🟨 31'
M
49
D. Gonzalez
↓ 77'
M
9
N. Leguizamon
↓ 71'
F
Substitutes
12
E. Minda
G
23
E. Guevara
D
43
J. Ordonez
↑ 46' 🟨 81'
F
18
M. Piedra
D
19
M. Diaz
↑ 71'
F
21
S. Morocho
↑ 77'
D
2
I. Mosquera
D
29
M. Klimowicz
F
11
G. Rivero
↑ 71' 🟥 85'
F
20
B. Garcia
M
53
Y. H. Erique Villigua
D
16
J. Mejia
↑ 77'
Orense SC 4-1-4-1
Starting XI
22
J. Ortiz
G
31
P. Velasco
D
5
A. Lorenzo
D
45
O. Quinonez
🟨 45+4'
D
15
B. Caicedo
🎯 67' 🟨 14'
D
25
R. Jaramilo
M
54
E. S. Zambrano Pesantez
🎯 65' ↓ 74'
M
13
A. Mena
↓ 90+1' 🟨 90+1'
M
7
S. Vasquez
↓ 86'
M
10
V. Burgoa
M
11
A. Herrera
⚽ 35' ⚽ 65' ⚽ 67'
F
Substitutes
58
G. Toledo
G
21
G. Rostagno
↑ 90+1'
M
17
E. Caicedo
F
9
P. Charpentier
F
8
D. Armas
M
77
B. Vinan
↑ 74'
D
14
E. Pluas
↑ 86' 🟨 90'
M
4
S. Quinonez
D
19
M. Bermudez
51
C. Ortiz
53
L. Garces
F
Last matches: Deportivo Cuenca
22.07.26
Lig
Deportivo Cuenca
Macara
0
3
L
18.07.26
Lig
Deportivo Cuenca
Universidad Catolica
0
2
L
15.07.26
Lig
Deportivo Cuenca
Leones del Norte
1
1
D
12.07.26
Lig
Deportivo Cuenca
Aucas
0
1
L
05.07.26
Lig
Deportivo Cuenca
Barcelona SC
0
2
L
31.05.26
Lig
Deportivo Cuenca
Delfin SC
1
0
W
24.05.26
Lig
Deportivo Cuenca
LDU de Quito
1
1
D
16.05.26
Lig
Deportivo Cuenca
Libertad
1
0
W
09.05.26
Lig
Deportivo Cuenca
Guayaquil City FC
1
0
W
02.05.26
Lig
Deportivo Cuenca
Tecnico Universitario
2
1
W
25.04.26
Lig
Deportivo Cuenca
Mushuc Runa SC
1
4
L
19.04.26
Lig
Deportivo Cuenca
Manta FC
1
0
W
12.04.26
Lig
Deportivo Cuenca
Independiente del Valle
2
3
L
05.04.26
Lig
Deportivo Cuenca
Emelec
2
0
W
21.03.26
Lig
Deportivo Cuenca
Macara
1
1
D
17.03.26
Lig
Deportivo Cuenca
Universidad Catolica
0
1
L
14.03.26
Lig
Deportivo Cuenca
Leones del Norte
1
1
D
08.03.26
Lig
Deportivo Cuenca
Aucas
1
0
W
01.03.26
Lig
Deportivo Cuenca
Barcelona SC
2
1
W
22.02.26
Lig
Deportivo Cuenca
Delfin SC
0
1
L
Last matches: Orense SC
23.07.26
Lig
Orense SC
Aucas
2
1
W
20.07.26
Lig
Orense SC
Mushuc Runa SC
1
2
L
17.07.26
Lig
Orense SC
Emelec
0
2
L
11.07.26
Lig
Orense SC
Manta FC
0
0
D
07.07.26
Lig
Orense SC
Tecnico Universitario
1
2
L
01.07.26
Lig
Orense SC
LDU de Quito
0
3
L
23.05.26
Lig
Orense SC
Universidad Catolica
1
2
L
19.05.26
Lig
Orense SC
Guayaquil City FC
1
0
W
09.05.26
Lig
Orense SC
Leones del Norte
2
0
W
03.05.26
Lig
Orense SC
Macara
2
1
W
26.04.26
Lig
Orense SC
Barcelona SC
1
1
D
19.04.26
Lig
Orense SC
Delfin SC
0
0
D
12.04.26
Lig
Orense SC
Libertad
2
1
W
04.04.26
Lig
Orense SC
Independiente del Valle
0
2
L
24.03.26
Lig
Orense SC
Aucas
2
3
L
19.03.26
Lig
Orense SC
Mushuc Runa SC
3
2
W
15.03.26
Lig
Orense SC
Emelec
1
2
L
10.03.26
Lig
Orense SC
Manta FC
1
1
D
28.02.26
Lig
Orense SC
Tecnico Universitario
1
1
D
21.02.26
Lig
Orense SC
LDU de Quito
1
2
L
H2H: Deportivo Cuenca vs Orense SC
22.04.26
H2H
Deportivo Cuenca
Orense SC
1
3
L
31.08.25
H2H
Deportivo Cuenca
Orense SC
1
1
D
10.05.25
H2H
Orense SC
Deportivo Cuenca
1
0
L
10.08.24
H2H
Deportivo Cuenca
Orense SC
1
2
L
10.03.24
H2H
Orense SC
Deportivo Cuenca
1
1
D
03.09.23
H2H
Deportivo Cuenca
Orense SC
1
0
W
08.04.23
H2H
Orense SC
Deportivo Cuenca
2
0
L
15.10.22
H2H
Orense SC
Deportivo Cuenca
1
0
L
24.05.22
H2H
Deportivo Cuenca
Orense SC
1
1
D
22.08.21
H2H
Orense SC
Deportivo Cuenca
1
1
D
23.03.21
H2H
Deportivo Cuenca
Orense SC
1
0
W
10.11.20
H2H
Orense SC
Deportivo Cuenca
1
1
D
25.08.20
H2H
Deportivo Cuenca
Orense SC
2
2
D
Last matches: Deportivo Cuenca
18.07.26
Lig
Deportivo Cuenca
Universidad Catolica
0
2
L
12.07.26
Lig
Deportivo Cuenca
Aucas
0
1
L
31.05.26
Lig
Deportivo Cuenca
Delfin SC
1
0
W
24.05.26
Lig
Deportivo Cuenca
LDU de Quito
1
1
D
02.05.26
Lig
Deportivo Cuenca
Tecnico Universitario
2
1
W
12.04.26
Lig
Deportivo Cuenca
Independiente del Valle
2
3
L
21.03.26
Lig
Deportivo Cuenca
Macara
1
1
D
14.03.26
Lig
Deportivo Cuenca
Leones del Norte
1
1
D
01.03.26
Lig
Deportivo Cuenca
Barcelona SC
2
1
W
08.02.26
Fri
Deportivo Cuenca
Guayaquil City FC
2
1
W
H2H at home: Deportivo Cuenca
22.04.26
H2H
Deportivo Cuenca
Orense SC
1
3
L
31.08.25
H2H
Deportivo Cuenca
Orense SC
1
1
D
10.08.24
H2H
Deportivo Cuenca
Orense SC
1
2
L
03.09.23
H2H
Deportivo Cuenca
Orense SC
1
0
W
24.05.22
H2H
Deportivo Cuenca
Orense SC
1
1
D
23.03.21
H2H
Deportivo Cuenca
Orense SC
1
0
W
25.08.20
H2H
Deportivo Cuenca
Orense SC
2
2
D
Last matches: Orense SC
20.07.26
Lig
Orense SC
Mushuc Runa SC
1
2
L
11.07.26
Lig
Orense SC
Manta FC
0
0
D
01.07.26
Lig
Orense SC
LDU de Quito
0
3
L
19.05.26
Lig
Orense SC
Guayaquil City FC
1
0
W
03.05.26
Lig
Orense SC
Macara
2
1
W
04.04.26
Lig
Orense SC
Independiente del Valle
0
2
L
24.03.26
Lig
Orense SC
Aucas
2
3
L
15.03.26
Lig
Orense SC
Emelec
1
2
L
28.02.26
Lig
Orense SC
Tecnico Universitario
1
1
D
H2H away: Orense SC
22.04.26
H2H
Deportivo Cuenca
Orense SC
1
3
W
31.08.25
H2H
Deportivo Cuenca
Orense SC
1
1
D
10.08.24
H2H
Deportivo Cuenca
Orense SC
1
2
W
03.09.23
H2H
Deportivo Cuenca
Orense SC
1
0
L
24.05.22
H2H
Deportivo Cuenca
Orense SC
1
1
D
23.03.21
H2H
Deportivo Cuenca
Orense SC
1
0
L
25.08.20
H2H
Deportivo Cuenca
Orense SC
2
2
D

Standings

Liga Pro
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 21 17 1 3 52:20 32 52
W W W W W
2 21 10 5 6 33:19 14 35
W W W L L
3 21 10 5 6 23:21 2 35
L W L W W
4 21 9 7 5 23:16 7 34
L W D D W
5 21 9 5 7 24:21 3 32
W L W W W
6 21 8 5 8 20:17 3 29
D L L D L
7 21 7 7 7 22:21 1 28
D W D W W
8 21 8 4 9 19:26 -7 28
L L D L L
9 21 7 6 8 19:23 -4 27
D W D W L
10 21 7 5 9 25:29 -4 26
W L L D L
11 21 6 7 8 27:31 -4 25
D W L L W
12 21 7 7 7 18:24 -6 25
D L W D D
13 21 6 6 9 19:26 -7 24
W L W D L
14 21 7 2 12 19:24 -5 23
L L L L W
15 21 6 5 10 13:20 -7 23
L W W L D
16 21 3 5 13 8:26 -18 14
D L L D L
Play-offs
Relegation Playoffs