Deportivo Cuenca vs Mushuc Runa SC Prediction & Match Analysis
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Away Win |
58.6%
|
- | |
| BTTS | Yes |
67.1%
|
- | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 |
70.3%
|
- | |
| Corners O/U | Over 7.5 Corners |
92%
|
- | |
| HT / FT | Draw / Away |
-
|
- | |
| Correct Score | 1-2 |
-
|
- |
Deportivo Cuenca
Mushuc Runa SC
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Deportivo Cuenca
27 matches
Mushuc Runa SC
25 matches
| Deportivo Cuenca | Statistic | Mushuc Runa SC |
|---|---|---|
| 11 | Wins | 8 |
| 4 | Draws | 8 |
| 12 | Losses | 9 |
| 26 | Goals For | 32 |
| 34 | Goals Against | 34 |
| 0.96 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.28 |
| 1.26 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.36 |
| 13 | BTTS Yes | 15 |
| 18 | Over 1.5 | 18 |
| 10 | Over 2.5 | 14 |
| 3 | Over 3.5 | 9 |
| 6 | Clean Sheets | 8 |
| 8 | Failed To Score | 6 |
| 3.8 | Shots On Goal | 3.88 |
| 12.68 | Total Shots | 12.84 |
| 4.52 | Corners | 4.8 |
| 50.6% | Ball Possession | 48% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
There is very little separating these two teams on paper, and two sides with a fairly similar football identity points toward a competitive game. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns. Deportivo Cuenca have shown more instability in their recent run, so confidence and game management may become important factors. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Deportivo Cuenca expected to line up in 4-2-3-1 and Mushuc Runa SC in 4-4-2, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Mushuc Runa SC having the stronger overall control. Even if this develops into a close game, the analytical lean still edges toward Away Win, with a cautious clean-sheet angle toward Mushuc Runa SC. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent.
Deportivo Cuenca approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 10 with 31 points from 24 matches. Across the season they have posted 9 wins, 4 draws, and 11 defeats, and the 22:30 goal record continues to suggest poor form with results showing a clear downward trend. Their attacking burden often falls on Jorge Ordóñez (5 goals), Matías Klimowicz (3 goals), David González (2 goals), with creative support from David González (2 assists), Germán Rivero (2 assists), Carlos Arboleda (2 assists), while at the back they have been fairly stable. At home, they have managed 4 wins, 3 draws, and 5 losses, a return that supports a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms they often show a more cautious and defensive approach.
Mushuc Runa SC sit 9 with 31 points after 24 league matches. The record of 8 wins, 7 draws, and 9 defeats, together with a 32:34 goal balance, points toward good form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through Ronie Carrillo (6 goals), Renato Ibarra (4 goals), Cristopher Angulo (3 goals), with creative support from Nicolás Dávila (3 assists), Renato Ibarra (2 assists), Kevin Velasco (2 assists), while at the back they have looked fairly stable. Away from home, they have returned 3 wins, 3 draws, and 6 losses, a split that suggests a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms, they tend to show a more cautious and defensive approach.
Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Deportivo Cuenca won 6 times, Mushuc Runa SC won 5 times, while 4 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 22:16 from Deportivo Cuenca's perspective. 7 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 8 matches, with an average of 2.53 goals per game.
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 27 | 22 | 2 | 3 | 66:28 | 38 | 68 |
D
W
W
W
W
|
|
| 2 | 27 | 14 | 5 | 8 | 31:26 | 5 | 47 |
W
W
L
W
W
|
|
| 3 | 27 | 13 | 6 | 8 | 35:27 | 8 | 45 |
W
L
D
W
W
|
|
| 4 | 27 | 12 | 8 | 7 | 47:25 | 22 | 44 |
D
W
D
L
W
|
|
| 5 | 28 | 12 | 6 | 10 | 27:22 | 5 | 42 |
D
L
W
W
L
|
|
| 6 | 27 | 10 | 9 | 8 | 28:22 | 6 | 39 |
L
W
D
L
D
|
|
| 7 |
Mushuc Runa SC
Away
|
28 | 9 | 10 | 9 | 33:34 | -1 | 37 |
D
W
D
D
W
|
| 8 | 27 | 10 | 7 | 10 | 29:30 | -1 | 37 |
L
W
D
W
W
|
|
| 9 | 27 | 9 | 9 | 9 | 27:30 | -3 | 36 |
W
W
D
D
L
|
|
| 10 | 27 | 9 | 8 | 10 | 29:30 | -1 | 35 |
L
L
W
L
D
|
|
| 11 | 27 | 9 | 8 | 10 | 23:32 | -9 | 32 |
W
L
W
D
L
|
|
| 12 |
Deportivo Cuenca
Home
|
27 | 9 | 5 | 13 | 23:35 | -12 | 32 |
L
D
L
L
L
|
| 13 | 27 | 8 | 6 | 13 | 31:41 | -10 | 30 |
L
L
W
D
L
|
|
| 14 | 28 | 9 | 2 | 17 | 26:39 | -13 | 29 |
L
W
L
L
L
|
|
| 15 | 28 | 7 | 6 | 15 | 18:29 | -11 | 27 |
W
L
L
L
D
|
|
| 16 | 27 | 5 | 5 | 17 | 14:37 | -23 | 20 |
W
L
L
W
L
|