ECUADOR LIGA PRO
--.--.---- --:--
Alejandro Serrano Aguilar
Referee: Jennifer Mishel Canchingre Preciado, Ecuador
Deportivo Cuenca
Live Timeline
Manta FC
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
15'
J. Nazareno · Assist: R. Burbano
Manta FC
44'
L. Mancinelli · Assist: M. Maccari
Deportivo Cuenca
🟨
45+4'
J. Nazareno
Manta FC

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 84.9%
Odds 1.68
BTTS
Yes
Probability 54.1%
Odds 2.00
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 48.9%
Odds 2.26
1 agree / 0 disagree
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
84.9%
1.68
BTTS Yes
54.1%
2.00
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
48.9%
2.26
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
86.1%
2.10
HT / FT Home / Home
-
2.75
Correct Score 2-1
-
9.00
Probability Distribution
Deportivo Cuenca Win 84.9%
Draw 7.6%
Manta FC Win 7.6%
Expected Goals (xG)
Deportivo Cuenca1.1
Manta FC0.71
Recent Form (Last 5)
Deportivo Cuenca Deportivo Cuenca
WWDLW
25 GF / 30 GA
Manta FC Manta FC
WLDWL
9 GF / 29 GA
Key Stats
1
Average Goals Scored
0.39
1.2
Average Goals Conceded
1.26
12
BTTS Yes
6
9
Over 2.5
5
3.57
Shots on Goal
2.65

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Deportivo Cuenca Deportivo Cuenca 25 matches
Manta FC Manta FC 23 matches
Deportivo Cuenca Statistic Manta FC
11 Wins 3
4 Draws 5
10 Losses 15
25 Goals For 9
30 Goals Against 29
1 Avg Goals Scored 0.39
1.2 Avg Goals Conceded 1.26
12 BTTS Yes 6
16 Over 1.5 10
9 Over 2.5 5
3 Over 3.5 2
6 Clean Sheets 4
7 Failed To Score 15
3.57 Shots On Goal 2.65
12.09 Total Shots 9.65
4.39 Corners 4.61
50% Ball Possession 47.5%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This match appears to feature a noticeable gap in profile, built around two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors Manta FC. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Deportivo Cuenca arrive from the stronger league position, sitting 8 with 31 points compared to Manta FC in 16 on 14, which underlines the gap in season consistency. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Deportivo Cuenca expected to line up in 5-4-1 and Manta FC in 4-5-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Manta FC having the stronger overall control.

Deportivo Cuenca Analysis

Deportivo Cuenca sit 8 with 31 points after 23 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. Their record of 9 wins, 4 draws, and 10 losses, together with goals at 21:28, reflects poor form over their recent run. Much of their threat comes through Jorge Ordóñez (5 goals), Matías Klimowicz (3 goals), David González (2 goals), with creative support from David González (2 assists), Germán Rivero (2 assists), Carlos Arboleda (2 assists), while the defensive numbers suggest they have been fairly stable. At home, they have returned 4 wins, 3 draws, and 4 losses, which indicates a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they tend to play with a more cautious and defensive approach.

Manta FC Analysis

Manta FC sit 16 with 14 points after 23 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. Their record of 3 wins, 5 draws, and 15 losses, together with goals at 9:29, reflects poor form with results showing a clear downward trend. Much of their threat comes through José Angulo (3 goals), Jean Carlos Blanco (2 goals), Octavio Moscarelli (1 goals), with creative support from Braian Ramírez (2 assists), Jean Carlos Blanco (1 assists), while the defensive numbers suggest they have been fairly stable. Away from home, they have managed 1 wins, 2 draws, and 8 losses, a return that supports a weak split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. In football terms they often show a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 12 head-to-head meetings, Deportivo Cuenca won 7 times, Manta FC won 4 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 14:10 from Deportivo Cuenca's perspective. 4 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 3 matches, with an average of 2 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 1X (92.4%)
Predicted formations: Deportivo Cuenca 5-4-1 / Manta FC 4-5-1
H2H summary: Deportivo Cuenca wins 7, draws 1, Manta FC wins 4
Stats
Deportivo Cuenca Deportivo Cuenca
Manta FC Manta FC
Shots on Goal
6
Shots on Goal
1
Shots off Goal
6
Shots off Goal
3
Blocked Shots
4
Blocked Shots
0
4 Corner Kicks 1
5 Fouls 6
0 Offsides 0
60% Ball Possession 40%
16 Total Shots 4
6 Shots on Goal 1
6 Shots off Goal 3
4 Blocked Shots 0
9 Shots insidebox 0
7 Shots outsidebox 4
0 Goalkeeper Saves 4
280 Total passes 199
245 Passes accurate 160
0 expected_goals 0
🟨 0 Yellow Cards 1 🟨
🟥 0 Red Cards 0 🟥

Lineups

Deportivo Cuenca
Formation
Manta FC
Facundo Ferrero
Facundo Ferrero
Eddie Guevara
Eddie Guevara
Gian Nardelli
Gian Nardelli
Mateo Piedra
Mateo Piedra
Carlos Arboleda
Carlos Arboleda
Edison Vega
Edison Vega
Mateo Maccari
🎯
Mateo Maccari
Lucas Mancinelli
Lucas Mancinelli
Melvin Diaz
Melvin Diaz
David González
David González
Germán Rivero
Germán Rivero
Walter Chávez
Walter Chávez
Edison Alexander Medina Caicedo
Edison Alexander Medina Caicedo
Octavio Moscarelli
Octavio Moscarelli
Mateo Ortíz
Mateo Ortíz
Glendys Mina
Glendys Mina
Jefferson Troya
Jefferson Troya
Juan Nazareno
Juan Nazareno
Braian Ramírez
Braian Ramírez
Robert Burbano
🎯
Robert Burbano
Jostin Alman
Jostin Alman
Jean Carlos Blanco
Jean Carlos Blanco
Deportivo Cuenca 4-2-3-1
Starting XI
1
Facundo Ferrero
G
23
Eddie Guevara
D
3
Gian Nardelli
D
18
Mateo Piedra
D
37
Carlos Arboleda
D
8
Edison Vega
M
30
Mateo Maccari
🎯 44'
M
7
Lucas Mancinelli
⚽ 44'
M
19
Melvin Diaz
M
49
David González
M
11
Germán Rivero
F
Substitutes
12
Ethan Minda
G
6
Santiago Postel
D
53
Yeltzin Erique
D
2
Ignacio Mosquera
D
25
Marcos Andrés López
D
16
Jeremy Mejia
M
20
Bryan García
M
5
David Noboa
M
88
Cristhian Benalcazar
M
15
Mathías Solís
F
43
Jorge Ordóñez
F
21
Marcel Jiménez
M
Manta FC 4-4-2
Starting XI
1
Walter Chávez
G
23
Edison Alexander Medina Caicedo
D
24
Octavio Moscarelli
D
21
Mateo Ortíz
D
31
Glendys Mina
D
27
Jefferson Troya
M
70
Juan Nazareno
⚽ 15' 🟨 45+4'
M
5
Braian Ramírez
M
10
Robert Burbano
🎯 15'
M
19
Jostin Alman
F
9
Jean Carlos Blanco
F
Substitutes
12
Felix Zambrano
G
4
Jefferson Nazareno
D
20
Josué Chalá
M
6
Juan Jimenez
M
55
Joaquín Vergés
M
14
Jeremy Mina
M
8
Maikel Valencia
F
11
Feyiseitan Asagidigbi
F
7
Walter Chalá
F
33
Anderson Castillo
F
Last matches: Deportivo Cuenca
02.08.26
Lig
Deportivo Cuenca
Independiente del Valle
0
1
L
28.07.26
Lig
Deportivo Cuenca
Emelec
2
1
W
22.07.26
Lig
Deportivo Cuenca
Macara
0
3
L
18.07.26
Lig
Deportivo Cuenca
Universidad Catolica
0
2
L
15.07.26
Lig
Deportivo Cuenca
Leones del Norte
1
1
D
12.07.26
Lig
Deportivo Cuenca
Aucas
0
1
L
05.07.26
Lig
Deportivo Cuenca
Barcelona SC
0
2
L
31.05.26
Lig
Deportivo Cuenca
Delfin SC
1
0
W
24.05.26
Lig
Deportivo Cuenca
LDU de Quito
1
1
D
16.05.26
Lig
Deportivo Cuenca
Libertad
1
0
W
09.05.26
Lig
Deportivo Cuenca
Guayaquil City FC
1
0
W
02.05.26
Lig
Deportivo Cuenca
Tecnico Universitario
2
1
W
25.04.26
Lig
Deportivo Cuenca
Mushuc Runa SC
1
4
L
22.04.26
Lig
Deportivo Cuenca
Orense SC
1
3
L
19.04.26
Lig
Deportivo Cuenca
Manta FC
1
0
W
12.04.26
Lig
Deportivo Cuenca
Independiente del Valle
2
3
L
05.04.26
Lig
Deportivo Cuenca
Emelec
2
0
W
21.03.26
Lig
Deportivo Cuenca
Macara
1
1
D
17.03.26
Lig
Deportivo Cuenca
Universidad Catolica
0
1
L
14.03.26
Lig
Deportivo Cuenca
Leones del Norte
1
1
D
Last matches: Manta FC
01.08.26
Lig
Manta FC
Mushuc Runa SC
1
2
L
26.07.26
Lig
Manta FC
Tecnico Universitario
0
1
L
23.07.26
Lig
Manta FC
LDU de Quito
1
1
D
19.07.26
Lig
Manta FC
Guayaquil City FC
0
1
L
15.07.26
Lig
Manta FC
Delfin SC
0
1
L
11.07.26
Lig
Manta FC
Orense SC
0
0
D
04.07.26
Lig
Manta FC
Independiente del Valle
0
4
L
30.05.26
Lig
Manta FC
Libertad
2
1
W
26.05.26
Lig
Manta FC
Aucas
1
3
L
17.05.26
Lig
Manta FC
Emelec
0
0
D
10.05.26
Lig
Manta FC
Macara
0
1
L
03.05.26
Lig
Manta FC
Barcelona SC
1
1
D
27.04.26
Lig
Manta FC
Universidad Catolica
1
0
W
22.04.26
Lig
Manta FC
Leones del Norte
0
3
L
19.04.26
Lig
Manta FC
Deportivo Cuenca
0
1
L
11.04.26
Lig
Manta FC
Mushuc Runa SC
0
1
L
05.04.26
Lig
Manta FC
Tecnico Universitario
0
2
L
22.03.26
Lig
Manta FC
LDU de Quito
0
1
L
18.03.26
Lig
Manta FC
Guayaquil City FC
0
1
L
14.03.26
Lig
Manta FC
Delfin SC
1
0
W
H2H: Deportivo Cuenca vs Manta FC
19.04.26
H2H
Manta FC
Deportivo Cuenca
0
1
W
23.08.25
H2H
Manta FC
Deportivo Cuenca
0
1
W
03.05.25
H2H
Deportivo Cuenca
Manta FC
2
0
W
22.07.24
H2H
Manta FC
Deportivo Cuenca
1
3
W
07.08.21
H2H
Deportivo Cuenca
Manta FC
1
0
W
07.03.21
H2H
Manta FC
Deportivo Cuenca
1
0
L
05.07.14
H2H
Deportivo Cuenca
Manta FC
3
0
W
15.02.14
H2H
Manta FC
Deportivo Cuenca
2
0
L
26.05.13
H2H
Deportivo Cuenca
Manta FC
0
2
L
24.02.13
H2H
Manta FC
Deportivo Cuenca
3
1
L
24.05.12
H2H
Deportivo Cuenca
Manta FC
2
1
W
04.03.12
H2H
Manta FC
Deportivo Cuenca
0
0
D
Last matches: Deportivo Cuenca
28.07.26
Lig
Deportivo Cuenca
Emelec
2
1
W
18.07.26
Lig
Deportivo Cuenca
Universidad Catolica
0
2
L
12.07.26
Lig
Deportivo Cuenca
Aucas
0
1
L
31.05.26
Lig
Deportivo Cuenca
Delfin SC
1
0
W
24.05.26
Lig
Deportivo Cuenca
LDU de Quito
1
1
D
02.05.26
Lig
Deportivo Cuenca
Tecnico Universitario
2
1
W
22.04.26
Lig
Deportivo Cuenca
Orense SC
1
3
L
12.04.26
Lig
Deportivo Cuenca
Independiente del Valle
2
3
L
21.03.26
Lig
Deportivo Cuenca
Macara
1
1
D
14.03.26
Lig
Deportivo Cuenca
Leones del Norte
1
1
D
01.03.26
Lig
Deportivo Cuenca
Barcelona SC
2
1
W
08.02.26
Fri
Deportivo Cuenca
Guayaquil City FC
2
1
W
H2H at home: Deportivo Cuenca
03.05.25
H2H
Deportivo Cuenca
Manta FC
2
0
W
07.08.21
H2H
Deportivo Cuenca
Manta FC
1
0
W
05.07.14
H2H
Deportivo Cuenca
Manta FC
3
0
W
26.05.13
H2H
Deportivo Cuenca
Manta FC
0
2
L
24.05.12
H2H
Deportivo Cuenca
Manta FC
2
1
W
Last matches: Manta FC
26.07.26
Lig
Manta FC
Tecnico Universitario
0
1
L
19.07.26
Lig
Manta FC
Guayaquil City FC
0
1
L
04.07.26
Lig
Manta FC
Independiente del Valle
0
4
L
26.05.26
Lig
Manta FC
Aucas
1
3
L
03.05.26
Lig
Manta FC
Barcelona SC
1
1
D
22.04.26
Lig
Manta FC
Leones del Norte
0
3
L
11.04.26
Lig
Manta FC
Mushuc Runa SC
0
1
L
22.03.26
Lig
Manta FC
LDU de Quito
0
1
L
14.03.26
Lig
Manta FC
Delfin SC
1
0
W
10.03.26
Lig
Manta FC
Orense SC
1
1
D
24.02.26
Lig
Manta FC
Libertad
0
1
L
H2H away: Manta FC
03.05.25
H2H
Deportivo Cuenca
Manta FC
2
0
L
07.08.21
H2H
Deportivo Cuenca
Manta FC
1
0
L
05.07.14
H2H
Deportivo Cuenca
Manta FC
3
0
L
26.05.13
H2H
Deportivo Cuenca
Manta FC
0
2
W
24.05.12
H2H
Deportivo Cuenca
Manta FC
2
1
L
Showing odds from: 1xBet
Main markets
MATCH WINNER
Away 5.58
Draw 3.55
Home 1.68
FIRST HALF WINNER
Away 6.04
Draw 2.21
Home 2.27
GOALS OVER/UNDER
Over 0.5 1.10
Over 1.5 1.39
Over 1.75 1.50
Over 2.0 1.67
Over 2.25 1.97
Over 2.5 2.26
Over 2.75 2.67
Over 3.5 4.30
Under 0.5 6.45
Under 1.5 2.97
Under 1.75 2.61
Under 2.0 2.23
Under 2.25 1.86
Under 2.5 1.65
Under 2.75 1.48
Under 3.5 1.22
Main markets
MATCH WINNER
Away 4.75
Draw 3.60
Home 1.70
FIRST HALF WINNER
Away 5.50
Draw 2.10
Home 2.38
SECOND HALF WINNER
Away 4.50
Draw 2.40
Home 2.10
GOALS OVER/UNDER
Over 0.5 1.06
Over 1.5 1.36
Over 2.5 2.15
Over 3.5 4.00
Over 4.5 9.00
Over 5.5 19.00
Over 6.5 41.00
Under 0.5 10.00
Under 1.5 3.00
Under 2.5 1.67
Under 3.5 1.22
Under 4.5 1.07
Under 5.5 1.02
Under 6.5 1.00
Main markets
MATCH WINNER
Away 5.29
Draw 3.52
Home 1.68
FIRST HALF WINNER
Away 5.85
Draw 2.00
Home 2.24
SECOND HALF WINNER
Away 5.10
Draw 2.38
Home 2.00
GOALS OVER/UNDER
Over 0.5 1.03
Over 0.75 1.04
Over 1.0 1.06
Over 1.25 1.21
Over 1.5 1.36
Over 1.75 1.46
Over 2.0 1.62
Over 2.25 1.91
Over 2.5 2.17
Over 2.75 2.51
Over 3.0 3.20
Over 3.25 3.54
Over 3.5 3.90
Over 3.75 4.92
Over 4.0 7.09
Over 4.25 7.40
Over 4.5 7.80
Over 5.5 15.50
Over 6.5 41.00
Under 0.5 7.50
Under 0.75 6.90
Under 1.0 6.22
Under 1.25 3.70
Under 1.5 2.81
Under 1.75 2.47
Under 2.0 2.14
Under 2.25 1.83
Under 2.5 1.64
Under 2.75 1.46
Under 3.0 1.30
Under 3.25 1.23
Under 3.5 1.19
Under 3.75 1.12
Under 4.0 1.04
Under 4.25 1.03
Under 4.5 1.02
Under 5.5 1.01
Under 6.5 1.00
Main markets
MATCH WINNER
Away 5.10
Draw 3.45
Home 1.68
FIRST HALF WINNER
Away 5.50
Draw 2.12
Home 2.28
SECOND HALF WINNER
Away 4.80
Draw 2.38
Home 2.10
GOALS OVER/UNDER
Over 1.5 1.38
Over 2.0 1.67
Over 2.25 1.95
Over 2.5 2.23
Over 2.75 2.60
Over 3.0 3.35
Over 3.25 3.70
Over 3.5 4.00
Over 3.75 5.00
Over 4.0 7.00
Under 1.5 2.70
Under 2.0 2.04
Under 2.25 1.74
Under 2.5 1.56
Under 2.75 1.41
Under 3.0 1.26
Under 3.25 1.22
Under 3.5 1.19
Under 3.75 1.12
Under 4.0 1.06

Standings

Liga Pro
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 24 20 1 3 58:22 36 61
W W W W W
2 24 12 5 7 32:24 8 41
W W W W L
3 24 12 5 7 29:25 4 41
W W L L W
4 23 11 6 6 38:19 19 39
W D W W W
5 24 9 8 7 25:20 5 35
L D L L W
6 24 10 5 9 23:20 3 35
L W W D L
7 24 8 8 8 24:25 -1 32
L D W D W
8 23 9 4 10 21:28 -7 31
L W L L D
9 23 8 6 9 24:26 -2 30
W W W L W
10 24 7 8 9 20:25 -5 29
D L D D W
11 23 7 7 9 29:34 -5 28
W L D W L
12 24 7 6 11 28:36 -8 27
D L L W L
13 23 8 2 13 20:29 -9 26
L W L L L
14 24 7 8 9 19:28 -9 26
D L L D L
15 24 6 6 12 15:24 -9 24
D L L L W
16 23 3 5 15 9:29 -20 14
L L D L L
Play-offs
Relegation Playoffs