ECUADOR LIGA PRO
11.08.2026 00:00
Alejandro Serrano Aguilar
Referee: Jennifer Mishel Canchingre Preciado, Ecuador
Deportivo Cuenca
Match Timeline
Manta FC
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
15'
J. Nazareno · Assist: R. Burbano
Manta FC
44'
L. Mancinelli · Assist: M. Maccari
Deportivo Cuenca
🟨
45+4'
Juan Nazareno
Manta FC
🔄
62'
G. Rivero ↔ C. Benalcazar
Deportivo Cuenca
🔄
71'
J. Blanco ↔ J. Verges
Manta FC
🔄
71'
G. Mina ↔ J. Chala
Manta FC
🔄
73'
D. Gonzalez ↔ M. A. Solis Jaramillo
Deportivo Cuenca
🟨
75'
Octavio Moscarelli
Manta FC
84'
J. Verges · Assist: J. Alman
Manta FC
🔄
86'
M. Diaz ↔ J. Ordonez
Deportivo Cuenca
🔄
88'
J. Troya ↔ W. Chala
Manta FC
🔄
88'
R. Burbano ↔ J. Jimenez
Manta FC
🔄
90+5'
J. Alman ↔ J. Nazareno
Manta FC

Deportivo Cuenca vs Manta FC Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 84.9%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 54.1%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 48.9%
Odds -
1 agree / 0 disagree
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
84.9%
-
BTTS Yes
54.1%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
48.9%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
86.1%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-1
-
-
Probability Distribution
Deportivo Cuenca Win 84.9%
Draw 7.6%
Manta FC Win 7.6%
Expected Goals (xG)
Deportivo Cuenca1.1
Manta FC0.71
Recent Form (Last 5)
Deportivo Cuenca Deportivo Cuenca
WWDLW
25 GF / 30 GA
Manta FC Manta FC
WLDWL
9 GF / 29 GA
Key Stats
1
Average Goals Scored
0.39
1.2
Average Goals Conceded
1.26
12
BTTS Yes
6
9
Over 2.5
5
3.57
Shots on Goal
2.65

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Deportivo Cuenca Deportivo Cuenca 25 matches
Manta FC Manta FC 23 matches
Deportivo Cuenca Statistic Manta FC
11 Wins 3
4 Draws 5
10 Losses 15
25 Goals For 9
30 Goals Against 29
1 Avg Goals Scored 0.39
1.2 Avg Goals Conceded 1.26
12 BTTS Yes 6
16 Over 1.5 10
9 Over 2.5 5
3 Over 3.5 2
6 Clean Sheets 4
7 Failed To Score 15
3.57 Shots On Goal 2.65
12.09 Total Shots 9.65
4.39 Corners 4.61
50% Ball Possession 47.5%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This match appears to feature a noticeable gap in profile, built around two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors Manta FC. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Deportivo Cuenca arrive from the stronger league position, sitting 8 with 31 points compared to Manta FC in 16 on 14, which underlines the gap in season consistency. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Deportivo Cuenca expected to line up in 5-4-1 and Manta FC in 4-5-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Manta FC having the stronger overall control.

Deportivo Cuenca Analysis

Deportivo Cuenca sit 8 with 31 points after 23 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. Their record of 9 wins, 4 draws, and 10 losses, together with goals at 21:28, reflects poor form over their recent run. Much of their threat comes through Jorge Ordóñez (5 goals), Matías Klimowicz (3 goals), David González (2 goals), with creative support from David González (2 assists), Germán Rivero (2 assists), Carlos Arboleda (2 assists), while the defensive numbers suggest they have been fairly stable. At home, they have returned 4 wins, 3 draws, and 4 losses, which indicates a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they tend to play with a more cautious and defensive approach.

Manta FC Analysis

Manta FC sit 16 with 14 points after 23 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. Their record of 3 wins, 5 draws, and 15 losses, together with goals at 9:29, reflects poor form with results showing a clear downward trend. Much of their threat comes through José Angulo (3 goals), Jean Carlos Blanco (2 goals), Octavio Moscarelli (1 goals), with creative support from Braian Ramírez (2 assists), Jean Carlos Blanco (1 assists), while the defensive numbers suggest they have been fairly stable. Away from home, they have managed 1 wins, 2 draws, and 8 losses, a return that supports a weak split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. In football terms they often show a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 13 head-to-head meetings, Deportivo Cuenca won 7 times, Manta FC won 5 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 15:12 from Deportivo Cuenca's perspective. 5 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 4 matches, with an average of 2.08 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 1X (92.4%)
Predicted formations: Deportivo Cuenca 5-4-1 / Manta FC 4-5-1
H2H summary: Deportivo Cuenca wins 7, draws 1, Manta FC wins 5

Standings

Liga Pro: Relegation Group
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
11 31 9 12 10 36:39 -3 39
D L D D W
12 31 10 7 14 26:38 -12 37
D D L W L
13 31 9 6 16 37:49 -12 33
L L W L L
14 31 10 3 18 29:43 -14 33
D W L L W
15 31 7 8 16 20:32 -12 29
D D L W L
16 31 6 6 19 19:43 -24 24
W D L L W
Relegation - Serie B