ECUADOR LIGA PRO
02.09.2026 21:30
Estadio Alejandro Serrano Aguilar
Referee: A. Diaz
Deportivo Cuenca
Match Timeline
Guayaquil City FC
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
20'
Santiago Postel
Deportivo Cuenca
🟨
27'
Miller Bolaños
Guayaquil City FC
🟨
28'
Janvier Yardely Rodríguez López
Guayaquil City FC
🟨
35'
Mateo Maccari
Deportivo Cuenca
🔄
59'
Carlos Arboleda ↔ Jorge Ordonez
Deportivo Cuenca
🔄
65'
Lucas Mancinelli ↔ David Gonzalez
Deportivo Cuenca
🔄
74'
Miller Bolaños ↔ Diego Dorregaray
Guayaquil City FC
78'
Cristhian Alexander Benalcazar Folleco
Deportivo Cuenca
🔄
81'
S Laurino ↔ Pablo Mancilla
Guayaquil City FC
🔄
81'
P. González ↔ Anderson Naula
Guayaquil City FC
🔄
82'
Marcos Andres Lopez ↔ Eddie Guevara
Deportivo Cuenca
🔄
82'
Melvin Diaz ↔ David Alejandro Noboa
Deportivo Cuenca
🔄
82'
Dixon Arroyo ↔ Kevin Sambonino
Guayaquil City FC
🔄
87'
Edinson Mero ↔ Manuel de Jesús Palma Escobar
Guayaquil City FC

Deportivo Cuenca vs Guayaquil City FC Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away or Draw
Probability 72.4%
Odds 1.95
BTTS
Yes
Probability 67.1%
Odds 2.10
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 62.1%
Odds 2.23
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away or Draw
72.4%
1.95
BTTS Yes
67.1%
2.10
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
62.1%
2.23
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
83.9%
1.46
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
9.00
Correct Score 1-2
-
15.00
Probability Distribution
Deportivo Cuenca Win 27.6%
Draw 30.3%
Guayaquil City FC Win 42.1%
Expected Goals (xG)
Deportivo Cuenca1.01
Guayaquil City FC1.11
Recent Form (Last 5)
Deportivo Cuenca Deportivo Cuenca
WWDLW
27 GF / 37 GA
Guayaquil City FC Guayaquil City FC
WLDWL
30 GF / 34 GA
Key Stats
0.93
Average Goals Scored
1
1.28
Average Goals Conceded
1.13
14
BTTS Yes
15
11
Over 2.5
12
3.7
Shots on Goal
3.33

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Deportivo Cuenca Deportivo Cuenca 29 matches
Guayaquil City FC Guayaquil City FC 30 matches
Deportivo Cuenca Statistic Guayaquil City FC
11 Wins 10
5 Draws 9
13 Losses 11
27 Goals For 30
37 Goals Against 34
0.93 Avg Goals Scored 1
1.28 Avg Goals Conceded 1.13
14 BTTS Yes 15
19 Over 1.5 16
11 Over 2.5 12
4 Over 3.5 6
7 Clean Sheets 9
9 Failed To Score 10
3.7 Shots On Goal 3.33
12.41 Total Shots 8.56
4.52 Corners 3
50.7% Ball Possession 53%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This fixture has the profile of a tight matchup, with two sides with a fairly similar football identity likely to keep the contest close. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Deportivo Cuenca have shown more instability in their recent run, so confidence and game management may become important factors. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring Guayaquil City FC. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Deportivo Cuenca expected to line up in 4-4-2 and Guayaquil City FC in 4-2-3-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Guayaquil City FC having the stronger overall control. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely.

Deportivo Cuenca Analysis

Deportivo Cuenca approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 11 with 32 points from 26 matches. Their record of 9 wins, 5 draws, and 12 losses, together with goals at 22:32, reflects poor form over their recent run. Much of their threat comes through Jorge Ordóñez (5 goals), Matías Klimowicz (3 goals), David González (2 goals), with creative support from David González (2 assists), Germán Rivero (2 assists), Carlos Arboleda (2 assists), while the defensive numbers suggest they have been fairly stable. At home, they have returned 4 wins, 4 draws, and 5 losses, which indicates a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they tend to play with a more cautious and defensive approach.

Guayaquil City FC Analysis

From their first 26 matches, Guayaquil City FC have collected 33 points and now occupy 10 place in the table. Their overall return of 8 wins, 9 draws, and 9 losses with goals at 25:29 reflects poor form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by Edinson Mero (8 goals), Damián Díaz (4 goals), Pablo González (3 goals), with creative support from Junior Ayovi (4 assists), Edinson Mero (2 assists), Damián Díaz (2 assists), while defensively they have appeared fairly stable. Away from home, they have returned 4 wins, 3 draws, and 6 losses, a split that suggests a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms, they tend to show a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Deportivo Cuenca won 8 times, Guayaquil City FC won 4 times, while 3 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 21:13 from Deportivo Cuenca's perspective. 7 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 8 matches, with an average of 2.27 goals per game.

1X2: Away or Draw
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: X2 (72.4%)
Predicted formations: Deportivo Cuenca 4-4-2 / Guayaquil City FC 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: Deportivo Cuenca wins 8, draws 3, Guayaquil City FC wins 4

Standings

Liga Pro
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 30 24 2 4 73:33 40 74
W W L D W
2 30 14 9 7 51:27 24 51
L W W D D
3 30 15 6 9 41:33 8 51
W W L W W
4 30 14 8 8 33:28 5 50
L D D D W
5 30 13 7 10 31:24 7 46
W D W D L
6 30 11 11 8 32:25 7 44
D D W L W
7 30 11 8 11 33:34 -1 41
W L W D L
8 30 10 9 11 31:32 -1 39
D L D W L
9 30 10 9 11 33:36 -3 39
D W L L W
10 30 9 11 10 35:38 -3 38
D L D D W
11 30 10 9 11 25:34 -9 36
L L W D W
12 30 10 6 14 25:37 -12 36
D D L W L
13 30 9 6 15 36:47 -11 33
L W L L L
14 30 10 2 18 28:42 -14 32
D W L L W
15 30 7 7 16 19:31 -12 28
D D L W L
16 30 5 6 19 17:42 -25 21
D L L W L
Play-offs
Relegation Playoffs