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12.09.2026 18:00
Armenia Stadium
Deportivo Armenio
Match Timeline
Sportivo Italiano
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
24'
F. Centurion
Sportivo Italiano
🟨
26'
F. Almanza
Deportivo Armenio
🟨
31'
D. Barrionuevo
Deportivo Armenio
🟨
60'
L. Palma
Deportivo Armenio
🔄
61'
L. Palma ↔ L. Pellegrino
Deportivo Armenio
🔄
61'
L. Laborda ↔ R. Fortino
Sportivo Italiano
🔄
61'
K. Gimenez ↔ T. Hirigoyen
Sportivo Italiano
🟨
68'
Sportivo Italiano
Sportivo Italiano
🔄
76'
L. Villalva ↔ T. Suanez
Deportivo Armenio
🔄
76'
F. Almanza ↔ N. Herrera Jonathan
Deportivo Armenio
🔄
79'
F. Centurion ↔ J. De Cuadro
Sportivo Italiano
🔄
80'
F. Molina ↔ F. Gomez
Sportivo Italiano
⚽
84'
N. Herrera Jonathan
Deportivo Armenio
🔄
88'
A. Daivez ↔ P. Caceres
Sportivo Italiano
🟨
90+2'
F. Marchesini
Deportivo Armenio
🔄
90+2'
D. Barrionuevo ↔ F. Marchesini
Deportivo Armenio

Deportivo Armenio vs Sportivo Italiano Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away Win
Probability 49.4%
Odds -
BTTS
No
Probability 71.7%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 51.1%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away Win
49.4%
- ▥
BTTS No
71.7%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
51.1%
- ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
87.7%
- ▥
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
- ▥
Correct Score 0-1
-
- ▥
Probability Distribution
Deportivo Armenio Win 37.7%
Draw 12.9%
Sportivo Italiano Win 49.4%
Expected Goals (xG)
Deportivo Armenio0.92
Sportivo Italiano1.19
Recent Form (Last 5)
Deportivo Armenio Deportivo Armenio
D W L L W
3 GF / 4 GA
Sportivo Italiano Sportivo Italiano
W W L L W
9 GF / 4 GA
Key Stats
1.03
Average Goals Scored
1.21
1.17
Average Goals Conceded
0.76
18
BTTS Yes
15
15
Over 2.5
13
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Deportivo Armenio Deportivo Armenio 35 matches
Sportivo Italiano Sportivo Italiano 34 matches
Deportivo Armenio Statistic Sportivo Italiano
13 Wins 16
9 Draws 10
13 Losses 8
36 Goals For 41
41 Goals Against 26
1.03 Avg Goals Scored 1.21
1.17 Avg Goals Conceded 0.76
18 BTTS Yes 15
22 Over 1.5 21
15 Over 2.5 13
6 Over 3.5 5
13 Clean Sheets 14
8 Failed To Score 11
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

There is very little separating these two teams on paper, and Sportivo Italiano's more proactive style and Deportivo Armenio's more cautious structure points toward a competitive game. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Even if this develops into a close game, the analytical lean still edges toward Away Win, with a cautious clean-sheet angle toward Sportivo Italiano. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Sportivo Italiano having the stronger overall control.

Deportivo Armenio Analysis

Deportivo Armenio sit 8 with 47 points after 33 league matches. The record of 13 wins, 8 draws, and 12 defeats, together with a 35:37 goal balance, points toward good form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through their main attacking players, while at the back they have looked fairly stable. At home, their split return of 9 wins, 4 draws, and 4 losses fits a very strong split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they usually display a more cautious and defensive approach.

Sportivo Italiano Analysis

From their first 33 matches, Sportivo Italiano have collected 55 points and now occupy 6 place in the table. Their overall return of 15 wins, 10 draws, and 8 losses with goals at 38:25 reflects good form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by their main attacking players, while defensively they have appeared very solid. Away from home, the record of 9 wins, 4 draws, and 4 losses points toward a very strong split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Their broader style still suggests balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Deportivo Armenio won 8 times, Sportivo Italiano won 3 times, while 4 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 23:12 from Deportivo Armenio's perspective. 6 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 7 matches, with an average of 2.33 goals per game.

1X2: Away Win
BTTS: No
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (87.1%)
H2H summary: Deportivo Armenio wins 8, draws 4, Sportivo Italiano wins 3

Standings

Prim B Metro: Regular season
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 42 24 9 9 69:33 36 81
L W D W L
2 42 21 14 7 56:28 28 77
D W D W L
3 42 20 12 10 48:33 15 72
W L D W W
4 42 20 11 11 46:27 19 71
L W L D L
5 42 19 13 10 50:35 15 70
W L W D L
6 42 18 14 10 40:28 12 68
L W L D L
7 42 18 12 12 45:41 4 66
D W D L W
8 42 17 12 13 43:40 3 63
D L D D W
9 42 15 15 12 40:35 5 60
W L D D D
10 42 15 14 13 51:53 -2 59
D W W D W
11 42 12 15 15 41:46 -5 51
D L W L W
12 42 12 15 15 43:49 -6 51
L L D L W
13 42 13 11 18 39:45 -6 50
W W L L L
14 42 13 10 19 40:50 -10 49
D W W W D
15 42 11 16 15 40:55 -15 49
D L W D D
16 42 11 15 16 36:43 -7 48
W L D D W
17 42 10 17 15 33:41 -8 47
L W L D D
18 42 11 14 17 42:51 -9 47
L L L L L
19 42 10 16 16 35:41 -6 46
D W D L D
20 42 10 16 16 26:38 -12 46
W L D W D
21 42 8 21 13 28:38 -10 45
W W D W W
22 42 1 14 27 28:69 -41 17
L L D D L
Promotion - Primera Nacional
Promotion - Primera B (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - Primera C (Apertura)