26.09.2026 20:00
Armenia Stadium

Deportivo Armenio vs Deportivo Merlo Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 76.1%
Odds -
BTTS
No
Probability 76.3%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 72.8%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
76.1%
-
BTTS No
76.3%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
72.8%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
87.7%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-0
-
-
Probability Distribution
Deportivo Armenio Win 76.1%
Draw 5.6%
Deportivo Merlo Win 18.3%
Expected Goals (xG)
Deportivo Armenio1.19
Deportivo Merlo1.04
Recent Form (Last 5)
Deportivo Armenio Deportivo Armenio
WWDLW
39 GF / 42 GA
Deportivo Merlo Deportivo Merlo
WLDWL
34 GF / 49 GA
Key Stats
1.05
Average Goals Scored
0.97
1.14
Average Goals Conceded
1.4
19
BTTS Yes
18
16
Over 2.5
15
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Deportivo Armenio Deportivo Armenio 37 matches
Deportivo Merlo Deportivo Merlo 35 matches
Deportivo Armenio Statistic Deportivo Merlo
15 Wins 9
9 Draws 13
13 Losses 13
39 Goals For 34
42 Goals Against 49
1.05 Avg Goals Scored 0.97
1.14 Avg Goals Conceded 1.4
19 BTTS Yes 18
23 Over 1.5 24
16 Over 2.5 15
6 Over 3.5 9
14 Clean Sheets 10
8 Failed To Score 13
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This match appears to feature a noticeable gap in profile, built around two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Deportivo Armenio arrive from the stronger league position, sitting 9 with 51 points compared to Deportivo Merlo in 17 on 40, which underlines the gap in season consistency. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. Deportivo Merlo arrive with more visible recent inconsistency, which may leave them vulnerable if the match starts badly. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors Deportivo Merlo. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Deportivo Merlo having the stronger overall control. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent.

Deportivo Armenio Analysis

Deportivo Armenio sit 9 with 51 points after 35 league matches. Across the campaign, they have posted 14 wins, 9 draws, and 12 losses, while the 36:37 goal ratio supports the view of mixed form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on their main attacking players, and defensively they have been fairly stable. At home, their split return of 10 wins, 4 draws, and 4 losses fits a very strong split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they usually display a more cautious and defensive approach.

Deportivo Merlo Analysis

With 40 points from 35 games and a place of 17, Deportivo Merlo still have clear room for improvement in overall consistency. Across the season they have posted 9 wins, 13 draws, and 13 defeats, and the 34:49 goal record continues to suggest poor form over their recent run. Their attacking burden often falls on their main attacking players, while at the back they have been quite vulnerable. Away from home, they have returned 3 wins, 8 draws, and 7 losses, which indicates a weak split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. Stylistically, they tend to play with a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Deportivo Armenio won 7 times, Deportivo Merlo won 5 times, while 3 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 23:15 from Deportivo Armenio's perspective. 8 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 5 matches, with an average of 2.53 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: No
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (94.4%)
H2H summary: Deportivo Armenio wins 7, draws 3, Deportivo Merlo wins 5

Standings

Prim B Metro
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 36 21 8 7 56:29 27 71
W W W L W
2 36 18 12 6 48:24 24 66
L W W W W
3 36 17 12 7 42:24 18 63
L L W D W
4 35 18 9 8 37:19 18 63
L W W D L
5 36 17 12 7 38:21 17 63
W L L D D
6 36 16 11 9 41:27 14 59
D L W W L
7 36 16 10 10 40:35 5 58
W W L D W
8 36 15 9 12 38:38 0 54
W W D W L
9 36 14 11 11 38:33 5 53
W D W W L
10 36 12 12 12 43:47 -4 48
L D D D W
11 36 11 14 11 35:37 -2 47
W W D L W
12 35 10 13 12 38:38 0 43
L L W W D
13 35 10 11 14 30:35 -5 41
L L D L D
14 35 9 13 13 35:39 -4 40
D D L W W
15 35 9 13 13 29:35 -6 40
W D D W L
16 35 9 13 13 29:36 -7 40
W L L L L
17 35 9 13 13 34:49 -15 40
L D L L D
18 35 10 8 17 31:43 -12 38
W L W L W
19 36 8 13 15 31:38 -7 37
L W D D W
20 36 7 14 15 21:37 -16 35
D L D D L
21 36 4 19 13 18:33 -15 31
L L W L L
22 36 1 12 23 23:58 -35 15
L D L L L
Promotion - Primera Nacional
Promotion - Primera B (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - Primera C (Apertura)