CHILE PRIMERA B
19.04.2026 00:00
Deportes Santa Cruz
Match Timeline
Union San Felipe
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
10'
L. Garcia
Union San Felipe
26'
B. Guajardo Barrera
Union San Felipe
🟨
34'
B. Guajardo Barrera
Union San Felipe
45'
D. Arias
Deportes Santa Cruz
🔄
46'
J. Delgado ↔ M. Pinto
Deportes Santa Cruz
🔄
46'
R. Diaz Orostegui ↔ B. Riveros
Union San Felipe
🔄
46'
N. Brun ↔ N. Palmieri
Union San Felipe
🔄
60'
P. Munoz ↔ A. Fontana
Union San Felipe
🔄
66'
D. Acevedo ↔ H. Herrera
Deportes Santa Cruz
🟨
69'
M. Pinto
Deportes Santa Cruz
🟨
72'
B. Camisassa
Deportes Santa Cruz
🔄
82'
B. Aravena ↔ D. Fuentes
Union San Felipe
🔄
85'
V. Sanchez ↔ I. Jara
Union San Felipe
🔄
90+1'
G. Alucema ↔ N. Zeineddin
Deportes Santa Cruz
90'
B. Riveros
Union San Felipe
90'
A. Fontana
Union San Felipe

Deportes Santa Cruz vs Union San Felipe Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 66.6%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS Yes
Probability 70.5%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 56.1%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
66.6%
-
BTTS BTTS Yes
70.5%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
56.1%
-
Probability Distribution
Deportes Santa Cruz Win 66.6%
Draw 33.4%
Union San Felipe Win 0%
Expected Goals (xG)
Deportes Santa Cruz1.81
Union San Felipe1.11
Recent Form (Last 5)
Deportes Santa Cruz Deportes Santa Cruz
WWDLW
19 GF / 16 GA
Union San Felipe Union San Felipe
WLDWL
7 GF / 15 GA
Key Stats
1.9
Average Goals Scored
0.78
1.6
Average Goals Conceded
1.67
8
BTTS Yes
4
7
Over 2.5
3
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Deportes Santa Cruz Deportes Santa Cruz 10 matches
Union San Felipe Union San Felipe 9 matches
Deportes Santa Cruz Statistic Union San Felipe
4 Wins 2
3 Draws 3
3 Losses 4
19 Goals For 7
16 Goals Against 15
1.9 Avg Goals Scored 0.78
1.6 Avg Goals Conceded 1.67
8 BTTS Yes 4
9 Over 1.5 8
7 Over 2.5 3
5 Over 3.5 2
1 Clean Sheets 2
2 Failed To Score 4
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This contest looks finely balanced, with two sides with a fairly similar football identity suggesting a close tactical battle. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. Even if this develops into a close game, the analytical lean still edges toward Away Win, with a cautious clean-sheet angle toward Union San Felipe. Deportes Santa Cruz have shown more instability in their recent run, so confidence and game management may become important factors. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Union San Felipe having the stronger overall control.

Deportes Santa Cruz Analysis

Deportes Santa Cruz sit 12 with 6 points after 7 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. The overall return of 1 wins, 3 draws, and 3 defeats with a 11:13 goal balance points toward poor form over their recent run. Going forward they depend heavily on D. Arias (9 goals), F. Orellana (2 goals), while defensively they have looked very solid. At home, they have managed 1 wins, 2 draws, and 0 losses, a return that supports a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms they often show a more cautious and defensive approach.

Union San Felipe Analysis

With 6 points from 7 games and a place of 15, Union San Felipe still have clear room for improvement in overall consistency. Their record of 1 wins, 3 draws, and 3 losses, together with goals at 4:11, reflects poor form over their recent run. Much of their threat comes through P. Munoz (2 goals), G. A. Jara Gonzalez (1 goals), K. Serrano (1 goals), while the defensive numbers suggest they have been very solid. Away from home, they have returned 0 wins, 0 draws, and 3 losses, which indicates a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they tend to play with a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Deportes Santa Cruz won 3 times, Union San Felipe won 7 times, while 5 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 13:18 from Deportes Santa Cruz's perspective. 5 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 6 matches, with an average of 2.07 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: BTTS Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 1X (100%)
Predicted formations: Deportes Santa Cruz 5-2-3 / Union San Felipe 4-5-1
H2H summary: Deportes Santa Cruz wins 3, draws 5, Union San Felipe wins 7

Standings

Primera B
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 22 11 8 3 40:23 17 41
W L W D D
2 22 11 8 3 39:22 17 41
W W D D D
3 22 10 7 5 40:22 18 37
W W D D W
4 22 9 8 5 32:26 6 35
W L W D D
5 22 10 5 7 38:37 1 35
L W W D W
6 22 10 4 8 29:28 1 34
L W W W L
7 22 8 7 7 32:31 1 31
D W D W D
8 22 9 4 9 23:27 -4 31
L L D L D
9 22 7 9 6 25:20 5 30
L L L L D
10 22 8 6 8 31:35 -4 30
L L W L D
11 22 7 7 8 36:33 3 28
W L D D L
12 22 5 10 7 31:27 4 25
L W D W D
13 22 5 9 8 20:32 -12 24
D W L L D
14 22 5 6 11 15:37 -22 21
D L L W D
15 22 3 8 11 24:37 -13 17
D L L W D
16 22 2 6 14 19:37 -18 12
W W L L D