Predictions & Statistics
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Away Win |
53.7%
|
- | |
| BTTS | Yes |
54.1%
|
- | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 |
55.6%
|
- | |
| Corners O/U | Under 11.5 Corners |
92%
|
- | |
| HT / FT | Draw / Away |
-
|
- | |
| Correct Score | 1-2 |
-
|
- |
Deportes Santa Cruz
San Marcos de Arica
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Deportes Santa Cruz
22 matches
San Marcos de Arica
20 matches
| Deportes Santa Cruz | Statistic | San Marcos de Arica |
|---|---|---|
| 7 | Wins | 6 |
| 7 | Draws | 8 |
| 8 | Losses | 6 |
| 32 | Goals For | 21 |
| 33 | Goals Against | 23 |
| 1.45 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.05 |
| 1.5 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.15 |
| 15 | BTTS Yes | 9 |
| 17 | Over 1.5 | 13 |
| 12 | Over 2.5 | 7 |
| 9 | Over 3.5 | 5 |
| 4 | Clean Sheets | 7 |
| 5 | Failed To Score | 7 |
| 0 | Shots On Goal | 0 |
| 0 | Total Shots | 0 |
| 0 | Corners | 0 |
| 0% | Ball Possession | 0% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
From the opening view, this looks like a meeting between teams arriving with different levels of stability, reinforced by San Marcos de Arica's more proactive style and Deportes Santa Cruz's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. San Marcos de Arica carry the stronger overall league profile, standing 3 with 25 points while Deportes Santa Cruz sit 15 on 12, suggesting a clearer edge in long-term output. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors San Marcos de Arica. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward San Marcos de Arica having the stronger overall control.
Deportes Santa Cruz approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 15 with 12 points from 15 matches. Across the season they have posted 2 wins, 6 draws, and 7 defeats, and the 19:26 goal record continues to suggest poor form over their recent run. Their attacking burden often falls on D. Arias (14 goals), F. Orellana (3 goals), H. Herrera (1 goals), while at the back they have been fairly stable. At home, the split record of 1 wins, 4 draws, and 2 losses points to a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader football approach still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.
San Marcos de Arica arrive from the upper part of the table, holding 3 place with 25 points after 15 matches. Across the campaign, they have posted 6 wins, 7 draws, and 2 losses, while the 19:11 goal ratio supports the view of poor form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on C. Melivilu Fuentes (9 goals), N. Donadell (3 goals), C. Guerra (2 goals), and defensively they have been very solid. Away from home, the record of 3 wins, 4 draws, and 1 losses points toward a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their broader style still suggests balanced attacking football.
Across those 11 head-to-head meetings, Deportes Santa Cruz won 5 times, San Marcos de Arica won 4 times, while 2 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 14:13 from Deportes Santa Cruz's perspective. 4 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 5 matches, with an average of 2.45 goals per game.
Deportes Santa Cruz
Palestino
Deportes Santa Cruz
A. Italiano
Deportes Santa Cruz
Palestino
Deportes Santa Cruz
A. Italiano
Deportes Santa Cruz
Rangers de Talca
Deportes Santa Cruz
Deportes Copiapo
Deportes Santa Cruz
Antofagasta
Deportes Santa Cruz
Deportes Temuco
Deportes Santa Cruz
Recoleta
Deportes Santa Cruz
Deportes Iquique
Deportes Santa Cruz
Union Espanola
Deportes Santa Cruz
Union San Felipe
Deportes Santa Cruz
Magallanes
Deportes Santa Cruz
San Luis
Deportes Santa Cruz
Curico Unido
Deportes Santa Cruz
D. Puerto Montt
Deportes Santa Cruz
Santiago Wanderers
Deportes Santa Cruz
Cobreloa
Deportes Santa Cruz
San Marcos de Arica
Deportes Santa Cruz
Colchagua
San Marcos de Arica
Deportes Limache
San Marcos de Arica
Coquimbo Unido
San Marcos de Arica
Deportes Limache
San Marcos de Arica
San Luis
San Marcos de Arica
Deportes Temuco
San Marcos de Arica
D. Puerto Montt
San Marcos de Arica
Antofagasta
San Marcos de Arica
Curico Unido
San Marcos de Arica
Recoleta
San Marcos de Arica
Deportes Copiapo
San Marcos de Arica
Cobreloa
San Marcos de Arica
Rangers de Talca
San Marcos de Arica
Union Espanola
San Marcos de Arica
Union San Felipe
San Marcos de Arica
Santiago Wanderers
San Marcos de Arica
Deportes Iquique
San Marcos de Arica
Magallanes
San Marcos de Arica
Deportes Santa Cruz
San Marcos de Arica
Deportes Iquique
San Marcos de Arica
Deportes Iquique
Deportes Santa Cruz
A. Italiano
Deportes Santa Cruz
Palestino
Deportes Santa Cruz
Deportes Copiapo
Deportes Santa Cruz
Deportes Temuco
Deportes Santa Cruz
Deportes Iquique
Deportes Santa Cruz
Union San Felipe
Deportes Santa Cruz
Magallanes
Deportes Santa Cruz
Curico Unido
Deportes Santa Cruz
Cobreloa
Deportes Santa Cruz
Magallanes
San Marcos de Arica
Deportes Limache
San Marcos de Arica
San Luis
San Marcos de Arica
D. Puerto Montt
San Marcos de Arica
Curico Unido
San Marcos de Arica
Deportes Copiapo
San Marcos de Arica
Rangers de Talca
San Marcos de Arica
Union San Felipe
San Marcos de Arica
Deportes Iquique
San Marcos de Arica
Magallanes
San Marcos de Arica
Deportes Iquique
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 15 | 8 | 5 | 2 | 30:17 | 13 | 29 |
D
W
D
W
L
|
|
| 2 | 15 | 7 | 5 | 3 | 29:18 | 11 | 26 |
L
D
W
W
W
|
|
| 3 |
San Marcos de Arica
Away
|
15 | 6 | 7 | 2 | 19:11 | 8 | 25 |
L
L
W
D
D
|
| 4 | 15 | 6 | 5 | 4 | 26:18 | 8 | 23 |
L
W
W
W
L
|
|
| 5 | 15 | 6 | 5 | 4 | 22:16 | 6 | 23 |
D
L
D
D
W
|
|
| 6 | 15 | 6 | 5 | 4 | 24:21 | 3 | 23 |
W
D
W
W
L
|
|
| 7 | 15 | 7 | 2 | 6 | 17:16 | 1 | 23 |
D
L
L
L
W
|
|
| 8 | 15 | 6 | 4 | 5 | 21:19 | 2 | 22 |
D
D
L
W
W
|
|
| 9 | 15 | 6 | 4 | 5 | 24:24 | 0 | 22 |
D
W
L
W
L
|
|
| 10 | 15 | 6 | 4 | 5 | 24:24 | 0 | 22 |
D
D
D
L
W
|
|
| 11 | 15 | 6 | 4 | 5 | 21:23 | -2 | 22 |
W
D
W
L
W
|
|
| 12 | 15 | 4 | 6 | 5 | 16:24 | -8 | 18 |
W
W
D
L
D
|
|
| 13 | 15 | 4 | 4 | 7 | 13:27 | -14 | 16 |
D
W
L
W
L
|
|
| 14 | 15 | 2 | 7 | 6 | 19:23 | -4 | 13 |
D
L
D
L
D
|
|
| 15 |
Deportes Santa Cruz
Home
|
15 | 2 | 6 | 7 | 19:26 | -7 | 12 |
W
D
D
L
L
|
| 16 | 15 | 0 | 3 | 12 | 11:28 | -17 | 3 |
L
L
L
L
D
|