CHILE PRIMERA B
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Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away Win
Probability 53.7%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 54.1%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 55.6%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away Win
53.7%
-
BTTS Yes
54.1%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
55.6%
-
Corners O/U Under 11.5 Corners
92%
-
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
-
Correct Score 1-2
-
-
Probability Distribution
Deportes Santa Cruz Win 28.8%
Draw 17.5%
San Marcos de Arica Win 53.7%
Expected Goals (xG)
Deportes Santa Cruz1.33
San Marcos de Arica1.23
Recent Form (Last 5)
Deportes Santa Cruz Deportes Santa Cruz
WWDLW
32 GF / 33 GA
San Marcos de Arica San Marcos de Arica
WLDWL
21 GF / 23 GA
Key Stats
1.45
Average Goals Scored
1.05
1.5
Average Goals Conceded
1.15
15
BTTS Yes
9
12
Over 2.5
7
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Deportes Santa Cruz Deportes Santa Cruz 22 matches
San Marcos de Arica San Marcos de Arica 20 matches
Deportes Santa Cruz Statistic San Marcos de Arica
7 Wins 6
7 Draws 8
8 Losses 6
32 Goals For 21
33 Goals Against 23
1.45 Avg Goals Scored 1.05
1.5 Avg Goals Conceded 1.15
15 BTTS Yes 9
17 Over 1.5 13
12 Over 2.5 7
9 Over 3.5 5
4 Clean Sheets 7
5 Failed To Score 7
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

From the opening view, this looks like a meeting between teams arriving with different levels of stability, reinforced by San Marcos de Arica's more proactive style and Deportes Santa Cruz's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. San Marcos de Arica carry the stronger overall league profile, standing 3 with 25 points while Deportes Santa Cruz sit 15 on 12, suggesting a clearer edge in long-term output. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors San Marcos de Arica. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward San Marcos de Arica having the stronger overall control.

Deportes Santa Cruz Analysis

Deportes Santa Cruz approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 15 with 12 points from 15 matches. Across the season they have posted 2 wins, 6 draws, and 7 defeats, and the 19:26 goal record continues to suggest poor form over their recent run. Their attacking burden often falls on D. Arias (14 goals), F. Orellana (3 goals), H. Herrera (1 goals), while at the back they have been fairly stable. At home, the split record of 1 wins, 4 draws, and 2 losses points to a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader football approach still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

San Marcos de Arica Analysis

San Marcos de Arica arrive from the upper part of the table, holding 3 place with 25 points after 15 matches. Across the campaign, they have posted 6 wins, 7 draws, and 2 losses, while the 19:11 goal ratio supports the view of poor form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on C. Melivilu Fuentes (9 goals), N. Donadell (3 goals), C. Guerra (2 goals), and defensively they have been very solid. Away from home, the record of 3 wins, 4 draws, and 1 losses points toward a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their broader style still suggests balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 11 head-to-head meetings, Deportes Santa Cruz won 5 times, San Marcos de Arica won 4 times, while 2 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 14:13 from Deportes Santa Cruz's perspective. 4 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 5 matches, with an average of 2.45 goals per game.

1X2: Away Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (82.5%)
Predicted formations: Deportes Santa Cruz 4-4-2 / San Marcos de Arica -
H2H summary: Deportes Santa Cruz wins 5, draws 2, San Marcos de Arica wins 4
Last matches: Deportes Santa Cruz
11.07.26
Cop
Deportes Santa Cruz
Palestino
2
3
L
05.07.26
Cop
Deportes Santa Cruz
A. Italiano
2
1
W
27.06.26
Cop
Deportes Santa Cruz
Palestino
0
0
D
19.06.26
Cop
Deportes Santa Cruz
A. Italiano
1
0
W
07.06.26
Pri
Deportes Santa Cruz
Rangers de Talca
1
0
W
01.06.26
Pri
Deportes Santa Cruz
Deportes Copiapo
1
1
D
24.05.26
Pri
Deportes Santa Cruz
Antofagasta
1
1
D
18.05.26
Pri
Deportes Santa Cruz
Deportes Temuco
2
3
L
09.05.26
Pri
Deportes Santa Cruz
Recoleta
0
1
L
02.05.26
Pri
Deportes Santa Cruz
Deportes Iquique
2
2
D
27.04.26
Pri
Deportes Santa Cruz
Union Espanola
0
2
L
19.04.26
Pri
Deportes Santa Cruz
Union San Felipe
1
3
L
11.04.26
Pri
Deportes Santa Cruz
Magallanes
2
2
D
29.03.26
Pri
Deportes Santa Cruz
San Luis
2
3
L
21.03.26
Pri
Deportes Santa Cruz
Curico Unido
4
2
W
15.03.26
Pri
Deportes Santa Cruz
D. Puerto Montt
0
2
L
09.03.26
Pri
Deportes Santa Cruz
Santiago Wanderers
2
3
L
27.02.26
Pri
Deportes Santa Cruz
Cobreloa
0
0
D
20.02.26
Pri
Deportes Santa Cruz
San Marcos de Arica
1
1
D
13.02.26
Fri
Deportes Santa Cruz
Colchagua
2
1
W
Last matches: San Marcos de Arica
06.07.26
Cop
San Marcos de Arica
Deportes Limache
1
4
L
27.06.26
Cop
San Marcos de Arica
Coquimbo Unido
0
1
L
20.06.26
Cop
San Marcos de Arica
Deportes Limache
1
3
L
06.06.26
Pri
San Marcos de Arica
San Luis
0
1
L
31.05.26
Pri
San Marcos de Arica
Deportes Temuco
0
1
L
24.05.26
Pri
San Marcos de Arica
D. Puerto Montt
2
0
W
17.05.26
Pri
San Marcos de Arica
Antofagasta
1
1
D
12.05.26
Pri
San Marcos de Arica
Curico Unido
2
2
D
05.05.26
Pri
San Marcos de Arica
Recoleta
1
0
W
25.04.26
Pri
San Marcos de Arica
Deportes Copiapo
3
0
W
18.04.26
Pri
San Marcos de Arica
Cobreloa
2
1
W
13.04.26
Pri
San Marcos de Arica
Rangers de Talca
3
2
W
28.03.26
Pri
San Marcos de Arica
Union Espanola
2
0
W
23.03.26
Pri
San Marcos de Arica
Union San Felipe
1
1
D
16.03.26
Pri
San Marcos de Arica
Santiago Wanderers
0
0
D
07.03.26
Pri
San Marcos de Arica
Deportes Iquique
0
0
D
02.03.26
Pri
San Marcos de Arica
Magallanes
1
1
D
20.02.26
Pri
San Marcos de Arica
Deportes Santa Cruz
1
1
D
07.02.26
Cop
San Marcos de Arica
Deportes Iquique
0
0
D
31.01.26
Cop
San Marcos de Arica
Deportes Iquique
0
4
L
H2H: Deportes Santa Cruz vs San Marcos de Arica
20.02.26
H2H
San Marcos de Arica
Deportes Santa Cruz
1
1
D
25.10.25
H2H
Deportes Santa Cruz
San Marcos de Arica
1
0
W
15.06.25
H2H
San Marcos de Arica
Deportes Santa Cruz
2
1
L
10.08.24
H2H
Deportes Santa Cruz
San Marcos de Arica
1
0
W
31.03.24
H2H
San Marcos de Arica
Deportes Santa Cruz
3
4
W
03.10.23
H2H
San Marcos de Arica
Deportes Santa Cruz
3
2
L
23.05.23
H2H
Deportes Santa Cruz
San Marcos de Arica
1
0
W
13.11.21
H2H
San Marcos de Arica
Deportes Santa Cruz
0
0
D
15.08.21
H2H
Deportes Santa Cruz
San Marcos de Arica
2
0
W
24.11.20
H2H
Deportes Santa Cruz
San Marcos de Arica
0
2
L
08.10.20
H2H
San Marcos de Arica
Deportes Santa Cruz
2
1
L
Last matches: Deportes Santa Cruz
05.07.26
Cop
Deportes Santa Cruz
A. Italiano
2
1
W
27.06.26
Cop
Deportes Santa Cruz
Palestino
0
0
D
01.06.26
Pri
Deportes Santa Cruz
Deportes Copiapo
1
1
D
18.05.26
Pri
Deportes Santa Cruz
Deportes Temuco
2
3
L
02.05.26
Pri
Deportes Santa Cruz
Deportes Iquique
2
2
D
19.04.26
Pri
Deportes Santa Cruz
Union San Felipe
1
3
L
11.04.26
Pri
Deportes Santa Cruz
Magallanes
2
2
D
21.03.26
Pri
Deportes Santa Cruz
Curico Unido
4
2
W
27.02.26
Pri
Deportes Santa Cruz
Cobreloa
0
0
D
31.01.26
Cop
Deportes Santa Cruz
Magallanes
4
1
W
H2H at home: Deportes Santa Cruz
25.10.25
H2H
Deportes Santa Cruz
San Marcos de Arica
1
0
W
10.08.24
H2H
Deportes Santa Cruz
San Marcos de Arica
1
0
W
23.05.23
H2H
Deportes Santa Cruz
San Marcos de Arica
1
0
W
15.08.21
H2H
Deportes Santa Cruz
San Marcos de Arica
2
0
W
24.11.20
H2H
Deportes Santa Cruz
San Marcos de Arica
0
2
L
Last matches: San Marcos de Arica
06.07.26
Cop
San Marcos de Arica
Deportes Limache
1
4
L
06.06.26
Pri
San Marcos de Arica
San Luis
0
1
L
24.05.26
Pri
San Marcos de Arica
D. Puerto Montt
2
0
W
12.05.26
Pri
San Marcos de Arica
Curico Unido
2
2
D
25.04.26
Pri
San Marcos de Arica
Deportes Copiapo
3
0
W
13.04.26
Pri
San Marcos de Arica
Rangers de Talca
3
2
W
23.03.26
Pri
San Marcos de Arica
Union San Felipe
1
1
D
07.03.26
Pri
San Marcos de Arica
Deportes Iquique
0
0
D
02.03.26
Pri
San Marcos de Arica
Magallanes
1
1
D
31.01.26
Cop
San Marcos de Arica
Deportes Iquique
0
4
L
H2H away: San Marcos de Arica
25.10.25
H2H
Deportes Santa Cruz
San Marcos de Arica
1
0
L
10.08.24
H2H
Deportes Santa Cruz
San Marcos de Arica
1
0
L
23.05.23
H2H
Deportes Santa Cruz
San Marcos de Arica
1
0
L
15.08.21
H2H
Deportes Santa Cruz
San Marcos de Arica
2
0
L
24.11.20
H2H
Deportes Santa Cruz
San Marcos de Arica
0
2
W

Standings

Primera B
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 15 8 5 2 30:17 13 29
D W D W L
2 15 7 5 3 29:18 11 26
L D W W W
3 15 6 7 2 19:11 8 25
L L W D D
4 15 6 5 4 26:18 8 23
L W W W L
5 15 6 5 4 22:16 6 23
D L D D W
6 15 6 5 4 24:21 3 23
W D W W L
7 15 7 2 6 17:16 1 23
D L L L W
8 15 6 4 5 21:19 2 22
D D L W W
9 15 6 4 5 24:24 0 22
D W L W L
10 15 6 4 5 24:24 0 22
D D D L W
11 15 6 4 5 21:23 -2 22
W D W L W
12 15 4 6 5 16:24 -8 18
W W D L D
13 15 4 4 7 13:27 -14 16
D W L W L
14 15 2 7 6 19:23 -4 13
D L D L D
15 15 2 6 7 19:26 -7 12
W D D L L
16 15 0 3 12 11:28 -17 3
L L L L D
Promotion - Liga de Primera
Promotion - Liga de Primera (Promotion - Play Offs: Semi-finals)
Promotion - Liga de Primera (Promotion - Play Offs: Quarter-finals)
Relegation - Segunda Division