CHILE PRIMERA DIVISIóN
18.04.2026 00:00
Estadio Gustavo Ocaranza
Referee: Hector Jona, Chile
Deportes Limache
Match Timeline
Universidad de Concepcion
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
7'
G. Sosa · Assist: D. Castro
Deportes Limache
🟨
15'
David Retamal
Universidad de Concepcion
🟨
40'
Cristhofer Mesías
Universidad de Concepcion
🔄
46'
V. Alvarez ↔ C. Fuentes
Deportes Limache
72'
C. Fuentes · Assist: D. Castro
Deportes Limache
🔄
74'
M. Llanten ↔ F. Moya
Deportes Limache
🔄
74'
G. Sosa ↔ M. Arturia
Deportes Limache
🔄
77'
B. Saez ↔ A. Uribe
Universidad de Concepcion
🔄
77'
J. Fuentealba ↔ A. Diaz
Universidad de Concepcion
🔄
77'
C. Mesias ↔ B. Ogaz
Universidad de Concepcion
🔄
77'
A. Urzi ↔ H. Salgado
Universidad de Concepcion
83'
D. Castro · Assist: Jean David
Deportes Limache
🔄
87'
D. Castro ↔ J. Montecinos
Deportes Limache
🔄
87'
Jean David ↔ F. Marin
Deportes Limache
🟨
90+2'
Harol Salgado
Universidad de Concepcion

Deportes Limache vs Universidad de Concepcion Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 83.4%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS No
Probability 56.2%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 54.2%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
83.4%
-
BTTS BTTS No
56.2%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
54.2%
-
Probability Distribution
Deportes Limache Win 83.4%
Draw 0%
Universidad de Concepcion Win 16.6%
Expected Goals (xG)
Deportes Limache1.96
Universidad de Concepcion0.93
Recent Form (Last 5)
Deportes Limache Deportes Limache
WWDLW
20 GF / 9 GA
Universidad de Concepcion Universidad de Concepcion
WLDWL
8 GF / 14 GA
Key Stats
2.22
Average Goals Scored
0.89
1
Average Goals Conceded
1.56
5
BTTS Yes
4
6
Over 2.5
4
4.78
Shots on Goal
4.11

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Deportes Limache Deportes Limache 9 matches
Universidad de Concepcion Universidad de Concepcion 9 matches
Deportes Limache Statistic Universidad de Concepcion
5 Wins 4
2 Draws 2
2 Losses 3
20 Goals For 8
9 Goals Against 14
2.22 Avg Goals Scored 0.89
1 Avg Goals Conceded 1.56
5 BTTS Yes 4
7 Over 1.5 6
6 Over 2.5 4
4 Over 3.5 1
2 Clean Sheets 3
2 Failed To Score 2
4.78 Shots On Goal 4.11
10.44 Total Shots 13
3.11 Corners 5.44
43.2% Ball Possession 47.4%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

Looking at the broader profile of both teams, this encounter highlights Deportes Limache's more proactive style and Universidad de Concepcion's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward Universidad de Concepcion. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Deportes Limache expected to line up in 4-2-3-1 and Universidad de Concepcion in 3-5-2, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Universidad de Concepcion having the stronger overall control. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected.

Deportes Limache Analysis

Deportes Limache come into this fixture from a strong position, holding 2 place with 17 points after 9 matches. With 5 wins, 2 draws, and 2 defeats plus a goal balance of 20:9, they continue to show good form over their recent run. Their attacking quality is driven by D. Castro (7 goals), Jean David (4 goals), G. Sosa (3 goals), with creative support from Jean David (6 assists), D. Castro (5 assists), Y. Gonzalez (1 assists), and at the back they have appeared very solid. At home, they have managed 4 wins, 0 draws, and 0 losses, which underlines a very strong split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. In stylistic terms they continue to show balanced attacking football.

Universidad de Concepcion Analysis

So far, Universidad de Concepcion have built a campaign that leaves them 6 in the table on 14 points from 9 matches. Their overall return of 4 wins, 2 draws, and 3 losses with goals at 8:14 reflects mixed form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by A. Diaz (1 goals), Agustín Urzi (1 goals), C. Waterman (1 goals), with creative support from A. Diaz (1 assists), C. Waterman (1 assists), Bryan Ogaz (1 assists), while defensively they have appeared very solid. Away from home, the record of 0 wins, 2 draws, and 2 losses points toward a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Their broader style still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 3 head-to-head meetings, Deportes Limache won 1 times, Universidad de Concepcion won 2 times, while 0 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 3:3 from Deportes Limache's perspective. 1 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 0 matches, with an average of 2 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: BTTS No
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (100%)
Predicted formations: Deportes Limache 4-2-3-1 / Universidad de Concepcion 3-5-2
H2H summary: Deportes Limache wins 1, draws 0, Universidad de Concepcion wins 2

Standings

Primera División
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 21 17 1 3 47:21 26 52
W W D W W
2 21 11 3 7 46:31 15 36
W W L W L
3 21 10 6 5 28:17 11 36
L L W W W
4 21 9 6 6 34:23 11 33
W W D W L
5 21 10 3 8 32:29 3 33
L W W L W
6 21 8 8 5 26:26 0 32
L L W W D
7 21 9 3 9 40:34 6 30
W L W L W
8 21 9 3 9 24:24 0 30
W D W W W
9 20 8 5 7 27:24 3 29
W L D D L
10 21 6 9 6 32:34 -2 27
W D W D L
11 21 7 3 11 26:34 -8 24
L L D L W
12 20 7 3 10 29:39 -10 24
L L L L D
13 21 5 7 9 24:31 -7 22
L D D D W
14 21 6 4 11 16:35 -19 22
L W L L L
15 21 6 3 12 31:39 -8 21
W D L L W
16 21 3 5 13 17:38 -21 14
L D L L L