BELGIUM JUPILER PRO LEAGUE
--.--.---- --:--
Dender Football Complex
Referee: B. Verbeke
Dender
Match Timeline
RAAL La Louvière
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
31'
P. M. Fall
RAAL La Louvière
🔄
32'
A. Jahanbakhsh ↔ B. Nsimba
Dender
34'
M. Berte · Assist: D. Acquah
Dender
44'
B. Nsimba
Dender
🟨
46'
Nachon Nsingi
RAAL La Louvière
🔄
46'
D. Acquah ↔ R. Oratmangoen
Dender
🔄
46'
A. Beka Beka ↔ M. Ashimeru
RAAL La Louvière
🔄
46'
B. Soumare ↔ J. Afriyie
RAAL La Louvière
🟨
53'
Ragnar Oratmangoen
Dender
🔄
60'
L. De Fougerolles ↔ M. Sambu
Dender
🔄
61'
N. Nsingi ↔ S. Gueulette
RAAL La Louvière
🔄
72'
J. Liongola ↔ T. Lutonda
RAAL La Louvière
🔄
75'
M. Viltard ↔ R. Kvet
Dender
🔄
76'
↔ A. Daali
Dender
🟥
88'
Bo De Kerf
Dender

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away Win
Probability 94.8%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS No
Probability 21.6%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 18.2%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away Win
94.8%
-
BTTS BTTS No
21.6%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
18.2%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
-
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
-
Correct Score 0-2
-
-
Probability Distribution
Dender Win 5.2%
Draw 0%
RAAL La Louvière Win 94.8%
Expected Goals (xG)
Dender1.04
RAAL La Louvière1.22
Recent Form (Last 5)
Dender Dender
WWDLW
28 GF / 59 GA
RAAL La Louvière RAAL La Louvière
WLDWL
30 GF / 47 GA
Key Stats
0.82
Average Goals Scored
0.88
1.74
Average Goals Conceded
1.38
20
BTTS Yes
16
18
Over 2.5
15
3.79
Shots on Goal
3.06

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Dender Dender 34 matches
RAAL La Louvière RAAL La Louvière 34 matches
Dender Statistic RAAL La Louvière
4 Wins 6
10 Draws 13
20 Losses 15
28 Goals For 30
59 Goals Against 47
0.82 Avg Goals Scored 0.88
1.74 Avg Goals Conceded 1.38
20 BTTS Yes 16
24 Over 1.5 21
18 Over 2.5 15
10 Over 3.5 7
6 Clean Sheets 10
12 Failed To Score 16
3.79 Shots On Goal 3.06
10.88 Total Shots 10.59
3.74 Corners 5
47.8% Ball Possession 38.4%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

From a tactical perspective, this fixture features two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward RAAL La Louvière. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Dender expected to line up in 4-2-3-1 and RAAL La Louvière in 3-5-2, which may reinforce the expected flow toward RAAL La Louvière having the stronger overall control. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent.

Dender Analysis

With 19 points from 30 games and a place of 16, Dender still have clear room for improvement in overall consistency. The overall return of 3 wins, 10 draws, and 17 defeats with a 24:51 goal balance points toward poor form and are going through a difficult losing run. Going forward they depend heavily on Aurélien Scheidler (8 goals), Bruny Nsimba (8 goals), R. Kvet (5 goals), with creative support from Bruny Nsimba (4 assists), M. Sambu (4 assists), F. Ferraro (3 assists), while defensively they have looked quite vulnerable. At home, they have managed 1 wins, 5 draws, and 9 losses, a return that supports a weak split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. In football terms they often show a more cautious and defensive approach.

RAAL La Louvière Analysis

RAAL La Louvière sit 15 with 31 points after 30 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. The overall return of 6 wins, 13 draws, and 11 defeats with a 30:37 goal balance points toward poor form and are going through a difficult losing run. Going forward they depend heavily on P. M. Fall (8 goals), J. Afriyie (5 goals), N. Gillot (2 goals), with creative support from N. Gillot (4 assists), Jordi Liongola (4 assists), P. M. Fall (1 assists), while defensively they have looked fairly stable. Away from home, they have returned 3 wins, 6 draws, and 6 losses, which indicates a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they tend to play with a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 5 head-to-head meetings, Dender won 3 times, RAAL La Louvière won 1 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 5:5 from Dender's perspective. 3 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 2 matches, with an average of 2 goals per game.

1X2: Away Win
BTTS: BTTS No
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (100%)
Predicted formations: Dender 4-2-3-1 / RAAL La Louvière 3-5-2
H2H summary: Dender wins 3, draws 1, RAAL La Louvière wins 1
Stats
Dender Dender
RAAL La Louvière RAAL La Louvière
Shots on Goal
2
Shots on Goal
5
Shots off Goal
5
Shots off Goal
5
Blocked Shots
1
Blocked Shots
3
4 Corner Kicks 5
20 Fouls 10
6 Offsides 2
50% Ball Possession 50%
8 Total Shots 13
2 Shots on Goal 5
5 Shots off Goal 5
1 Blocked Shots 3
7 Shots insidebox 10
1 Shots outsidebox 3
4 Goalkeeper Saves 0
379 Total passes 374
276 Passes accurate 288
1.47 expected_goals 1.67
🟨 1 Yellow Cards 1 🟨
🟥 1 Red Cards 0 🟥

Lineups

Dender
Formation
RAAL La Louvière
G. Dietsch
G. Dietsch
B. De Kerf
B. De Kerf
L. De Fougerolles
L. De Fougerolles
B. Goncalves
B. Goncalves
L. Marijnissen
L. Marijnissen
N. Rodes
N. Rodes
M. Viltard
M. Viltard
K. Koton
K. Koton
D. Acquah
🎯
D. Acquah
M. Berte
M. Berte
A. Jahanbakhsh
A. Jahanbakhsh
C. De Schrevel
C. De Schrevel
W. Faye
W. Faye
Y. Okou
Y. Okou
M. Maisonneuve
M. Maisonneuve
J. Liongola
J. Liongola
J. Ito
J. Ito
A. Beka Beka
A. Beka Beka
N. Gillot
N. Gillot
B. Soumare
B. Soumare
N. Nsingi
N. Nsingi
P. M. Fall
P. M. Fall
Dender 3-4-3
Starting XI
30
G. Dietsch
G
6
B. De Kerf
44
L. De Fougerolles
↓ 60'
D
7
B. Goncalves
D
5
L. Marijnissen
M
18
N. Rodes
M
24
M. Viltard
↓ 75'
M
15
K. Koton
M
23
D. Acquah
🎯 34' ↓ 46'
F
90
M. Berte
⚽ 34'
F
27
A. Jahanbakhsh
↓ 32'
F
Substitutes
1
L. Fortin
G
16
R. Kvet
↑ 75'
M
9
D. Toshevski
F
67
N. Moutha-Sebtaoui
D
70
M. Sambu
↑ 60'
D
11
R. Oratmangoen
↑ 46' 🟨 53'
F
77
B. Nsimba
⚽ 44' ↑ 32'
F
45
A. Daali
↑ 76'
M
46
E. Lembi
D
RAAL La Louvière 3-4-2-1
Starting XI
1
C. De Schrevel
G
4
W. Faye
D
99
Y. Okou
D
13
M. Maisonneuve
D
11
J. Liongola
↓ 72'
M
23
J. Ito
M
6
A. Beka Beka
↓ 46'
M
3
N. Gillot
M
28
B. Soumare
↓ 46'
F
27
N. Nsingi
↓ 61' 🟨 46'
F
7
P. M. Fall
⚽ 31'
F
Substitutes
21
M. Peano
G
18
M. Ashimeru
↑ 46'
M
25
D. Lamego
D
5
T. Lutonda
↑ 72'
D
15
S. Lahssaini
M
8
S. Gueulette
↑ 61'
M
20
N. Makembo-Ntemo
M
91
S. Traore
D
22
J. Afriyie
↑ 46'
F
Last matches: Dender
23.05.26
Jup
Dender
Lommel United
0
0
D
17.05.26
Jup
Dender
Lommel United
2
3
L
09.05.26
Jup
Dender
Zulte Waregem
1
2
L
24.04.26
Jup
Dender
Cercle Brugge
1
2
L
19.04.26
Jup
Dender
Cercle Brugge
1
4
L
12.04.26
Jup
Dender
Zulte Waregem
1
2
L
06.04.26
Jup
Dender
RAAL La Louvière
1
0
W
22.03.26
Jup
Dender
Gent
1
3
L
14.03.26
Jup
Dender
Union St. Gilloise
0
2
L
07.03.26
Jup
Dender
Charleroi
2
2
D
01.03.26
Jup
Dender
Cercle Brugge
0
0
D
21.02.26
Jup
Dender
St. Truiden
1
4
L
14.02.26
Jup
Dender
OH Leuven
2
3
L
07.02.26
Jup
Dender
Zulte Waregem
0
1
L
01.02.26
Jup
Dender
Genk
1
2
L
25.01.26
Jup
Dender
Anderlecht
0
0
D
18.01.26
Jup
Dender
Antwerp
1
0
W
27.12.25
Jup
Dender
KV Mechelen
1
1
D
20.12.25
Jup
Dender
Standard Liege
0
1
L
14.12.25
Jup
Dender
Club Brugge KV
1
5
L
Last matches: RAAL La Louvière
22.07.26
Fri
RAAL La Louvière
Kifisia
1
1
D
18.07.26
Fri
RAAL La Louvière
Lille
0
3
L
15.07.26
Fri
RAAL La Louvière
Excelsior Virton
3
1
W
11.07.26
Fri
RAAL La Louvière
Lokeren-Temse
3
2
W
04.07.26
Fri
RAAL La Louvière
Rochefort
0
3
L
09.05.26
Jup
RAAL La Louvière
Cercle Brugge
4
1
W
26.04.26
Jup
RAAL La Louvière
Zulte Waregem
0
4
L
19.04.26
Jup
RAAL La Louvière
Zulte Waregem
0
2
L
11.04.26
Jup
RAAL La Louvière
Cercle Brugge
0
3
L
06.04.26
Jup
RAAL La Louvière
Dender
0
1
L
22.03.26
Jup
RAAL La Louvière
Genk
5
5
D
15.03.26
Jup
RAAL La Louvière
Cercle Brugge
3
1
W
06.03.26
Jup
RAAL La Louvière
Antwerp
0
0
D
27.02.26
Jup
RAAL La Louvière
Standard Liege
1
1
D
22.02.26
Jup
RAAL La Louvière
KV Mechelen
0
2
L
15.02.26
Jup
RAAL La Louvière
Anderlecht
0
0
D
08.02.26
Jup
RAAL La Louvière
Union St. Gilloise
1
2
L
30.01.26
Jup
RAAL La Louvière
Gent
1
1
D
24.01.26
Jup
RAAL La Louvière
St. Truiden
1
2
L
16.01.26
Jup
RAAL La Louvière
Club Brugge KV
3
2
W
H2H: Dender vs RAAL La Louvière
03.05.26
H2H
Dender
RAAL La Louvière
2
1
W
06.04.26
H2H
RAAL La Louvière
Dender
0
1
W
05.12.25
H2H
RAAL La Louvière
Dender
1
2
W
28.09.25
H2H
Dender
RAAL La Louvière
0
0
D
20.07.24
H2H
Dender
RAAL La Louvière
0
3
L
Last matches: Dender
23.05.26
Jup
Dender
Lommel United
0
0
D
19.04.26
Jup
Dender
Cercle Brugge
1
4
L
12.04.26
Jup
Dender
Zulte Waregem
1
2
L
22.03.26
Jup
Dender
Gent
1
3
L
07.03.26
Jup
Dender
Charleroi
2
2
D
21.02.26
Jup
Dender
St. Truiden
1
4
L
01.02.26
Jup
Dender
Genk
1
2
L
18.01.26
Jup
Dender
Antwerp
1
0
W
20.12.25
Jup
Dender
Standard Liege
0
1
L
14.12.25
Jup
Dender
Club Brugge KV
1
5
L
29.11.25
Jup
Dender
KVC Westerlo
2
2
D
07.11.25
Jup
Dender
Zulte Waregem
2
2
D
19.10.25
Jup
Dender
KV Mechelen
1
3
L
28.09.25
Jup
Dender
RAAL La Louvière
0
0
D
13.09.25
Jup
Dender
Union St. Gilloise
0
1
L
24.08.25
Jup
Dender
OH Leuven
0
1
L
17.08.25
Jup
Dender
Anderlecht
0
2
L
26.07.25
Jup
Dender
Cercle Brugge
0
0
D
H2H at home: Dender
03.05.26
H2H
Dender
RAAL La Louvière
2
1
W
28.09.25
H2H
Dender
RAAL La Louvière
0
0
D
20.07.24
H2H
Dender
RAAL La Louvière
0
3
L
Last matches: RAAL La Louvière
18.07.26
Fri
RAAL La Louvière
Lille
0
3
L
11.07.26
Fri
RAAL La Louvière
Lokeren-Temse
3
2
W
26.04.26
Jup
RAAL La Louvière
Zulte Waregem
0
4
L
11.04.26
Jup
RAAL La Louvière
Cercle Brugge
0
3
L
15.03.26
Jup
RAAL La Louvière
Cercle Brugge
3
1
W
27.02.26
Jup
RAAL La Louvière
Standard Liege
1
1
D
15.02.26
Jup
RAAL La Louvière
Anderlecht
0
0
D
08.02.26
Jup
RAAL La Louvière
Union St. Gilloise
1
2
L
16.01.26
Jup
RAAL La Louvière
Club Brugge KV
3
2
W
20.12.25
Jup
RAAL La Louvière
KVC Westerlo
1
2
L
13.12.25
Jup
RAAL La Louvière
Zulte Waregem
2
2
D
29.11.25
Jup
RAAL La Louvière
Charleroi
0
0
D
08.11.25
Jup
RAAL La Louvière
Antwerp
1
3
L
26.10.25
Jup
RAAL La Louvière
Genk
1
1
D
28.09.25
Jup
RAAL La Louvière
Dender
0
0
D
20.09.25
Jup
RAAL La Louvière
OH Leuven
2
1
W
30.08.25
Jup
RAAL La Louvière
KV Mechelen
2
3
L
17.08.25
Jup
RAAL La Louvière
St. Truiden
1
2
L
02.08.25
Jup
RAAL La Louvière
Gent
0
1
L
H2H away: RAAL La Louvière
03.05.26
H2H
Dender
RAAL La Louvière
2
1
L
28.09.25
H2H
Dender
RAAL La Louvière
0
0
D
20.07.24
H2H
Dender
RAAL La Louvière
0
3
W

Standings

Pro League , Relegation Round
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 36 13 9 14 53:53 0 48
W W W W W
2 36 10 11 15 53:58 -5 41
L L W W W
3 36 7 13 16 35:50 -15 34
W L L L L
4 36 5 10 21 31:62 -31 25
D L L W L
Relegation Playoffs