NETHERLANDS › EERSTE DIVISIE
--.--.---- --:--
Den Bosch
FT
1 - 3
ADO Den Haag
De Vliert
Referee: R. Dieperink
Den Bosch
Match Timeline
ADO Den Haag
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
⚽
25'
S. Sylla · Assist: N. Thomas
ADO Den Haag
🔄
46'
M. Laros ↔ Z. el Bakkali
Den Bosch
🔄
46'
N. de Groot ↔ R. Wolters
Den Bosch
⚽
49'
J. Hawkins
ADO Den Haag
⚽
50'
N. Thomas · Assist: M. Kreekels
ADO Den Haag
🔄
59'
J. Hawkins ↔ D. van Mieghem
ADO Den Haag
🔄
59'
N. Thomas ↔ B. Fiabema
ADO Den Haag
🔄
59'
J. Vlak ↔ F. de Bruin
ADO Den Haag
⚽
63'
R. Wolters · Assist: E. Semedo
Den Bosch
🔄
73'
S. Karlsson Grach ↔ B. Millis
Den Bosch
🔄
73'
M. Jimenez ↔ J. Brandt
ADO Den Haag
🔄
83'
M. Kreekels ↔ S. Bergtop
ADO Den Haag
🔄
84'
I. Boumassaoudi ↔ D. Verbeek
Den Bosch

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away Win
Probability 59.3%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS Yes
Probability 92.2%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 83.3%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away Win
59.3%
- ▥
BTTS BTTS Yes
92.2%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
83.3%
- ▥
Probability Distribution
Den Bosch Win 28.7%
Draw 12%
ADO Den Haag Win 59.3%
Expected Goals (xG)
Den Bosch1.43
ADO Den Haag2.12
Recent Form (Last 5)
Den Bosch Den Bosch
WWDLW
64 GF / 66 GA
ADO Den Haag ADO Den Haag
WLDWL
87 GF / 36 GA
Key Stats
1.73
Average Goals Scored
2.35
1.78
Average Goals Conceded
0.97
28
BTTS Yes
19
25
Over 2.5
27
5.16
Shots on Goal
6.81

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Den Bosch Den Bosch 37 matches
ADO Den Haag ADO Den Haag 37 matches
Den Bosch Statistic ADO Den Haag
14 Wins 28
9 Draws 2
14 Losses 7
64 Goals For 87
66 Goals Against 36
1.73 Avg Goals Scored 2.35
1.78 Avg Goals Conceded 0.97
28 BTTS Yes 19
33 Over 1.5 29
25 Over 2.5 27
16 Over 3.5 15
5 Clean Sheets 15
4 Failed To Score 4
5.16 Shots On Goal 6.81
13.24 Total Shots 18.86
5.41 Corners 7.24
47.6% Ball Possession 60.5%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This match appears to feature a noticeable gap in profile, built around ADO Den Haag's more proactive style and Den Bosch's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. ADO Den Haag carry the stronger overall league profile, standing 1 with 86 points while Den Bosch sit 9 on 51, suggesting a clearer edge in long-term output. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Den Bosch expected to line up in 5-3-2 and ADO Den Haag in 4-2-2-2, which may reinforce the expected flow toward ADO Den Haag having the stronger overall control. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring ADO Den Haag. The attacking numbers of both teams point toward a more open scoring environment.This game has the potential to be open, with both sides capable of creating several scoring chances. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. ADO Den Haag look sharper on recent form, and that momentum could be important in key phases of the match.

Den Bosch Analysis

So far, Den Bosch have built a campaign that leaves them 9 in the table on 51 points from 37 matches. Across the campaign, they have posted 14 wins, 9 draws, and 14 losses, while the 61:61 goal ratio supports the view of mixed form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on K. Monzialo (16 goals), I. Boumassaoudi (9 goals), T. van Leeuwen (5 goals), with creative support from K. Monzialo (11 assists), T. van Leeuwen (5 assists), K. Felida (3 assists), and defensively they have been quite vulnerable. At home, they have returned 8 wins, 5 draws, and 4 losses, a split that suggests a very strong split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms, they tend to show a more cautious and defensive approach.

ADO Den Haag Analysis

ADO Den Haag approach this game with the confidence of a side sitting 1 on 86 points after 37 outings. With 28 wins, 2 draws, and 7 defeats plus a goal balance of 82:35, they continue to show very strong form with results showing strong momentum. Their attacking quality is driven by J. Vlak (11 goals), L. Reischl (10 goals), E. Rottier (8 goals), with creative support from D. van Mieghem (8 assists), J. Kilo (7 assists), J. Vlak (6 assists), and at the back they have appeared fairly stable. Away from home, their record of 13 wins, 1 draws, and 4 losses points to a very strong split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their overall playing style can be described as balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 11 head-to-head meetings, Den Bosch won 2 times, ADO Den Haag won 7 times, while 2 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 13:19 from Den Bosch's perspective. 7 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 6 matches, with an average of 2.91 goals per game.

1X2: Away Win
BTTS: BTTS Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (88%)
Predicted formations: Den Bosch 5-3-2 / ADO Den Haag 4-2-2-2
H2H summary: Den Bosch wins 2, draws 2, ADO Den Haag wins 7
Stats
Den Bosch Den Bosch
ADO Den Haag ADO Den Haag
Shots on Goal
6
Shots on Goal
12
Shots off Goal
1
Shots off Goal
9
Blocked Shots
5
Blocked Shots
5
3 Corner Kicks 8
8 Fouls 11
3 Offsides 1
41% Ball Possession 59%
12 Total Shots 26
6 Shots on Goal 12
1 Shots off Goal 9
5 Blocked Shots 5
10 Shots insidebox 17
2 Shots outsidebox 9
8 Goalkeeper Saves 5
360 Total passes 506
299 Passes accurate 439
1.22 expected_goals 3.79
🟨 0 Yellow Cards 0 🟨
🟥 0 Red Cards 0 🟥

Lineups

Den Bosch
Formation
ADO Den Haag
P. van de Merbel
P. van de Merbel
J. de Vries
J. de Vries
J. Fortes
J. Fortes
R. Akmum
R. Akmum
S. Maas
S. Maas
N. de Groot
↓
N. de Groot
I. Boumassaoudi
↓
I. Boumassaoudi
M. Laros
↓
M. Laros
A. Boushaba
A. Boushaba
E. Semedo
🎯
E. Semedo
S. Karlsson Grach
↓
S. Karlsson Grach
A. Lejoly
A. Lejoly
M. Kreekels
🎯 ↓
M. Kreekels
M. Hokke
M. Hokke
M. Waem
M. Waem
S. Sylla
⚽
S. Sylla
M. Jimenez
↓
M. Jimenez
J. Vlak
↓
J. Vlak
J. Hawkins
⚽ ↓
J. Hawkins
N. Thomas
⚽ 🎯 ↓
N. Thomas
L. Reischl
L. Reischl
I. de Ruijter
I. de Ruijter
Den Bosch 5-3-2
Starting XI
36
P. van de Merbel
G
15
J. de Vries
D
22
J. Fortes
D
27
R. Akmum
D
3
S. Maas
D
5
N. de Groot
↓ 46'
D
40
I. Boumassaoudi
↓ 84'
M
33
M. Laros
↓ 46'
M
46
A. Boushaba
17
E. Semedo
🎯 63'
F
9
S. Karlsson Grach
↓ 73'
F
Substitutes
1
M. Bakker
G
48
R. van Balsfoort
G
42
L. Van Koeverden
D
44
M. Nipius
D
26
Z. el Bakkali
↑ 46'
M
11
D. Verbeek
↑ 84'
F
39
R. Wolters
⚽ 63' ↑ 46'
F
51
S. van Daalen
18
B. Millis
↑ 73'
M
35
K. de Rooij
ADO Den Haag 4-3-3
Starting XI
24
A. Lejoly
G
5
M. Kreekels
🎯 50' ↓ 83'
D
15
M. Hokke
D
4
M. Waem
D
18
S. Sylla
⚽ 25'
D
14
M. Jimenez
↓ 73'
M
8
J. Vlak
↓ 59'
M
77
J. Hawkins
⚽ 49' ↓ 59'
M
27
N. Thomas
⚽ 50' 🎯 25' ↓ 59'
F
19
L. Reischl
F
26
I. de Ruijter
F
Substitutes
1
K. Nikiema
G
7
D. van Mieghem
↑ 59'
F
2
S. van der Sloot
D
9
B. Fiabema
↑ 59'
F
21
C. Peupion
F
11
E. Rottier
F
35
S. Bergtop
↑ 83'
D
16
F. de Bruin
↑ 59'
30
J. Brandt
↑ 73'
M
25
J. Kilo
M
23
J. Bal
32
D. van Loenen
M
Last matches: Den Bosch
02.05.26
Eer
Den Bosch
Almere City FC
0
3
L
02.05.26
Ere
Den Bosch
Almere City FC
0
3
L
29.04.26
Eer
Den Bosch
Almere City FC
2
3
L
29.04.26
Ere
Den Bosch
Almere City FC
2
3
L
20.04.26
Eer
Den Bosch
Jong Utrecht
1
1
D
17.04.26
Eer
Den Bosch
FC OSS
2
4
L
10.04.26
Eer
Den Bosch
Cambuur
1
1
D
06.04.26
Eer
Den Bosch
Almere City FC
2
1
W
21.03.26
Eer
Den Bosch
Waalwijk
3
2
W
16.03.26
Eer
Den Bosch
Jong PSV U21
1
0
W
13.03.26
Eer
Den Bosch
Jong Ajax
2
3
L
08.03.26
Eer
Den Bosch
Willem II
1
1
D
27.02.26
Eer
Den Bosch
Roda
2
2
D
23.02.26
Eer
Den Bosch
Jong AZ
2
2
D
12.02.26
Eer
Den Bosch
FC Eindhoven
2
1
W
06.02.26
Eer
Den Bosch
Helmond Sport
0
2
L
30.01.26
Eer
Den Bosch
Emmen
1
1
D
26.01.26
Eer
Den Bosch
De Graafschap
1
1
D
23.01.26
Eer
Den Bosch
Dordrecht
2
3
L
18.01.26
Eer
Den Bosch
MVV
1
2
L
Last matches: ADO Den Haag
17.04.26
Eer
ADO Den Haag
Waalwijk
5
1
W
12.04.26
Eer
ADO Den Haag
Dordrecht
0
1
L
06.04.26
Eer
ADO Den Haag
FC Eindhoven
4
0
W
03.04.26
Eer
ADO Den Haag
Jong Ajax
4
2
W
22.03.26
Eer
ADO Den Haag
De Graafschap
2
1
W
17.03.26
Eer
ADO Den Haag
Jong Utrecht
1
0
W
13.03.26
Eer
ADO Den Haag
Emmen
1
0
W
07.03.26
Eer
ADO Den Haag
Almere City FC
0
1
L
27.02.26
Eer
ADO Den Haag
VVV Venlo
1
0
W
24.02.26
Eer
ADO Den Haag
Willem II
1
0
W
20.02.26
Eer
ADO Den Haag
Helmond Sport
3
1
W
13.02.26
Eer
ADO Den Haag
MVV
3
0
W
06.02.26
Eer
ADO Den Haag
Roda
3
0
W
30.01.26
Eer
ADO Den Haag
Jong AZ
1
4
L
26.01.26
Eer
ADO Den Haag
Vitesse
0
0
D
23.01.26
Eer
ADO Den Haag
Vitesse
1
2
L
16.01.26
Eer
ADO Den Haag
Cambuur
1
2
L
19.12.25
Eer
ADO Den Haag
Jong PSV U21
1
2
L
12.12.25
Eer
ADO Den Haag
FC OSS
4
3
W
05.12.25
Eer
ADO Den Haag
Emmen
2
1
W
H2H: Den Bosch vs ADO Den Haag
24.04.26
H2H
Den Bosch
ADO Den Haag
1
3
L
28.10.25
H2H
Den Bosch
ADO Den Haag
3
3
D
25.10.25
H2H
ADO Den Haag
Den Bosch
2
1
L
02.03.25
H2H
ADO Den Haag
Den Bosch
2
1
L
13.09.24
H2H
Den Bosch
ADO Den Haag
2
0
W
11.02.24
H2H
ADO Den Haag
Den Bosch
3
0
L
25.08.23
H2H
Den Bosch
ADO Den Haag
1
2
L
26.02.23
H2H
Den Bosch
ADO Den Haag
0
0
D
14.08.22
H2H
ADO Den Haag
Den Bosch
0
2
W
06.02.22
H2H
Den Bosch
ADO Den Haag
0
1
L
10.10.21
H2H
ADO Den Haag
Den Bosch
3
2
L
Last matches: Den Bosch
29.04.26
Eer
Den Bosch
Almere City FC
2
3
L
29.04.26
Ere
Den Bosch
Almere City FC
2
3
L
20.04.26
Eer
Den Bosch
Jong Utrecht
1
1
D
10.04.26
Eer
Den Bosch
Cambuur
1
1
D
16.03.26
Eer
Den Bosch
Jong PSV U21
1
0
W
27.02.26
Eer
Den Bosch
Roda
2
2
D
12.02.26
Eer
Den Bosch
FC Eindhoven
2
1
W
30.01.26
Eer
Den Bosch
Emmen
1
1
D
18.01.26
Eer
Den Bosch
MVV
1
2
L
10.01.26
Fri
Den Bosch
Kozakken Boys
4
1
W
21.12.25
Eer
Den Bosch
Vitesse
2
0
W
12.12.25
Eer
Den Bosch
VVV Venlo
0
1
L
28.11.25
Eer
Den Bosch
Willem II
2
1
W
21.11.25
Eer
Den Bosch
Almere City FC
5
2
W
31.10.25
Eer
Den Bosch
De Graafschap
1
2
L
21.10.25
Eer
Den Bosch
Helmond Sport
1
0
W
03.10.25
Eer
Den Bosch
Waalwijk
2
2
D
26.09.25
Eer
Den Bosch
Jong AZ
2
3
L
12.09.25
Eer
Den Bosch
Dordrecht
3
3
D
24.08.25
Eer
Den Bosch
FC OSS
5
2
W
H2H at home: Den Bosch
24.04.26
H2H
Den Bosch
ADO Den Haag
1
3
L
28.10.25
H2H
Den Bosch
ADO Den Haag
3
3
D
13.09.24
H2H
Den Bosch
ADO Den Haag
2
0
W
25.08.23
H2H
Den Bosch
ADO Den Haag
1
2
L
26.02.23
H2H
Den Bosch
ADO Den Haag
0
0
D
06.02.22
H2H
Den Bosch
ADO Den Haag
0
1
L
Last matches: ADO Den Haag
12.04.26
Eer
ADO Den Haag
Dordrecht
0
1
L
22.03.26
Eer
ADO Den Haag
De Graafschap
2
1
W
13.03.26
Eer
ADO Den Haag
Emmen
1
0
W
07.03.26
Eer
ADO Den Haag
Almere City FC
0
1
L
24.02.26
Eer
ADO Den Haag
Willem II
1
0
W
20.02.26
Eer
ADO Den Haag
Helmond Sport
3
1
W
06.02.26
Eer
ADO Den Haag
Roda
3
0
W
23.01.26
Eer
ADO Den Haag
Vitesse
1
2
L
12.12.25
Eer
ADO Den Haag
FC OSS
4
3
W
28.11.25
Eer
ADO Den Haag
VVV Venlo
3
0
W
21.11.25
Eer
ADO Den Haag
Cambuur
0
2
L
02.11.25
Eer
ADO Den Haag
MVV
4
3
W
20.10.25
Eer
ADO Den Haag
Jong PSV U21
3
0
W
03.10.25
Eer
ADO Den Haag
Jong AZ
4
0
W
26.09.25
Eer
ADO Den Haag
Waalwijk
3
1
W
15.09.25
Eer
ADO Den Haag
Jong Ajax
3
1
W
12.09.25
Eer
ADO Den Haag
FC Eindhoven
1
0
W
18.08.25
Eer
ADO Den Haag
Jong Utrecht
2
2
D
H2H away: ADO Den Haag
24.04.26
H2H
Den Bosch
ADO Den Haag
1
3
W
28.10.25
H2H
Den Bosch
ADO Den Haag
3
3
D
13.09.24
H2H
Den Bosch
ADO Den Haag
2
0
L
25.08.23
H2H
Den Bosch
ADO Den Haag
1
2
W
26.02.23
H2H
Den Bosch
ADO Den Haag
0
0
D
06.02.22
H2H
Den Bosch
ADO Den Haag
0
1
W

Standings

# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1
ADO Den Haag Away
38 29 2 7 90:37 53 89
W W L W W
2
Cambuur
38 23 9 6 75:48 27 78
W L D D L
3
Willem II
38 20 8 10 59:42 17 68
W L W W D
4
De Graafschap
38 18 9 11 74:58 16 63
D L L W D
5
Almere City FC
38 18 4 16 78:63 15 58
L L D W W
6
Waalwijk
38 16 10 12 71:59 12 58
D L W D W
7
Jong PSV U21
38 17 5 16 66:64 2 56
L L W W L
8
Roda
38 14 13 11 59:54 5 55
L D L D W
9
Den Bosch Home
38 14 9 15 65:69 -4 51
L L L D L
10
Dordrecht
38 12 11 15 48:56 -8 47
L L W D L
11
FC Eindhoven
38 14 5 19 51:69 -18 47
W L L L D
12
Jong Utrecht
38 12 10 16 58:62 -4 46
W D W L L
13
VVV Venlo
38 13 6 19 50:58 -8 45
W L D L W
14
Emmen
38 12 9 17 58:72 -14 45
W D L W D
15
Vitesse
38 15 11 12 64:55 9 44
L D W W D
16
FC OSS
38 11 11 16 54:64 -10 44
W W W W L
17
Jong AZ
38 12 4 22 61:76 -15 40
W L L L W
18
Helmond Sport
38 10 9 19 42:62 -20 39
L W D D L
19
MVV
38 9 11 18 41:73 -32 38
L D D L L
20
Jong Ajax
38 9 8 21 50:73 -23 35
L W L L L