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09.10.2026 20:30
Estadio Jocay
Referee: G. Guerrero
Delfin SC
Match Timeline
Mushuc Runa SC
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
20'
José Hernández
Mushuc Runa SC
⚽
31'
Renso Tufino · Assist: Tomson Minda
Mushuc Runa SC
⚽
35'
Ronny Biojó · Assist: Miguel Perea
Mushuc Runa SC
⚽
41'
Jefferson Arce · Assist: Danny Luna
Delfin SC
⚽
45'
Erick Zuniga · Assist: Danny Luna
Delfin SC
VAR
45+4'
Danny Luna
Delfin SC
🟨
48'
Cristopher Angulo
Mushuc Runa SC
VAR
55'
Franco Ayunta
Delfin SC
🟨
56'
Franco Ayunta
Delfin SC
🔄
62'
Renso Tufino ↔ Elian Caicedo
Mushuc Runa SC
🔄
62'
Freddy Mina ↔ Jackson Alexander González Simisterra
Mushuc Runa SC
🔄
63'
Arnaldo Zambrano ↔ Bryan Corozo
Mushuc Runa SC
🔄
66'
Gerónimo Heredia ↔ Luis Armando Castro Garzón
Delfin SC
🔄
66'
Jefferson Arce ↔ Kevin Ushina
Delfin SC
🔄
75'
Tomson Minda ↔ Lucas Maximiliano·Lemos Mayuncaldi
Mushuc Runa SC
🔄
75'
Nicolás Davila ↔ Kevin Peralta
Mushuc Runa SC
🔄
81'
Bryan Hernandez ↔ Maikel Reyes
Delfin SC
⚽
87'
Maikel Reyes · Assist: Luis Armando Castro Garzón
Delfin SC
🟨
87'
Maikel Reyes
Delfin SC
🔄
90+1'
Jonathan Morocho ↔ Emerson Leao Espinoza Tenorio
Delfin SC
🔄
90+1'
Danny Luna ↔ Darío Aimar
Delfin SC

Delfin SC vs Mushuc Runa SC Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away or Draw
Probability 74.8%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 50%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 80.5%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away or Draw
74.8%
- ▥
BTTS Yes
50%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
80.5%
- ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
- ▥
HT / FT Draw / Draw
-
- ▥
Correct Score 1-1
-
- ▥
Probability Distribution
Delfin SC Win 25.2%
Draw 20.4%
Mushuc Runa SC Win 54.3%
Expected Goals (xG)
Delfin SC0.9
Mushuc Runa SC1.1
Recent Form (Last 5)
Delfin SC Delfin SC
D D L W L
3 GF / 4 GA
Mushuc Runa SC Mushuc Runa SC
D L D D W
4 GF / 5 GA
Key Stats
0.66
Average Goals Scored
1.16
1
Average Goals Conceded
1.26
11
BTTS Yes
18
7
Over 2.5
15
3.32
Shots on Goal
3.77

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Delfin SC Delfin SC 32 matches
Mushuc Runa SC Mushuc Runa SC 31 matches
Delfin SC Statistic Mushuc Runa SC
8 Wins 9
8 Draws 12
16 Losses 10
21 Goals For 36
32 Goals Against 39
0.66 Avg Goals Scored 1.16
1 Avg Goals Conceded 1.26
11 BTTS Yes 18
12 Over 1.5 21
7 Over 2.5 15
3 Over 3.5 10
9 Clean Sheets 11
14 Failed To Score 8
3.32 Shots On Goal 3.77
11.19 Total Shots 12.97
3.74 Corners 5.06
41.9% Ball Possession 48.5%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

From a tactical perspective, this fixture features two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward Mushuc Runa SC. Both teams appear likely to operate from a similar base structure, so execution within the same shape could be more decisive than formation itself. Delfin SC have shown more instability in their recent run, so confidence and game management may become important factors. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day.

Delfin SC Analysis

Delfin SC approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 15 with 28 points from 30 matches. Across the season they have posted 7 wins, 7 draws, and 16 defeats, and the 19:31 goal record continues to suggest poor form over their recent run. Their attacking burden often falls on E. Mendoza (3 goals), Kevin Ushiña (2 goals), Franco Ayunta (2 goals), with creative support from Kevin Ushiña (2 assists), Thiago Ozaeta (2 assists), E. Mendoza (1 assists), while at the back they have been fairly stable. At home, the split record of 6 wins, 3 draws, and 6 losses points to a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader football approach still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

Mushuc Runa SC Analysis

From their first 30 matches, Mushuc Runa SC have collected 38 points and now occupy 11 place in the table. The record of 9 wins, 11 draws, and 10 defeats, together with a 35:38 goal balance, points toward poor form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through R. Carrillo (6 goals), Alex Renato Ibarra Mina (5 goals), Cristopher Angulo (3 goals), with creative support from Nicolás Dávila (3 assists), Arnaldo Zambrano (3 assists), R. Carrillo (2 assists), while at the back they have looked fairly stable. Away from home, the record of 3 wins, 5 draws, and 7 losses points toward a weak split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader style still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 5 head-to-head meetings, Delfin SC won 3 times, Mushuc Runa SC won 2 times, while 0 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 8:6 from Delfin SC's perspective. 2 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 2 matches, with an average of 2.8 goals per game.

1X2: Away or Draw
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (79.6%)
Predicted formations: Delfin SC 4-4-2 / Mushuc Runa SC 4-4-2
H2H summary: Delfin SC wins 3, draws 0, Mushuc Runa SC wins 2

Standings

Liga Pro: Regular season
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 30 24 2 4 73:33 40 74
W W L D W
2 30 14 9 7 51:27 24 51
W W D D W
3 30 15 6 9 41:33 8 51
W L W W L
4 30 14 8 8 33:28 5 50
D D D W W
5 30 13 7 10 31:24 7 46
D W D L W
6 30 11 11 8 32:25 7 44
D D W L W
7 30 11 8 11 33:34 -1 41
L W D L W
8 30 10 9 11 31:32 -1 39
L D W L L
9 30 10 9 11 33:36 -3 39
W L L W W
10 30 10 9 11 25:34 -9 39
L W D W L
11 30 9 11 10 35:38 -3 38
L D D W D
12 30 10 6 14 25:37 -12 36
D L W L D
13 30 9 6 15 36:47 -11 33
L W L L L
14 30 10 2 18 28:42 -14 32
W L L W L
15 30 7 7 16 19:31 -12 28
D L W L L
16 30 5 6 19 17:42 -25 21
D L L W L
Promotion - Liga Pro (Championship Group)
Promotion - Liga Pro (Placement Group)
Liga Pro (Relegation Group)