SWEDEN ALLSVENSKAN
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Stora Valla

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home or Draw
Probability 75%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 58.2%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 58.1%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home or Draw
75%
-
BTTS Yes
58.2%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
58.1%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
88.6%
-
HT / FT Draw / Draw
-
-
Correct Score 1-1
-
-
Probability Distribution
Degerfors IF Win 45.5%
Draw 29.5%
Halmstad Win 25%
Expected Goals (xG)
Degerfors IF1.46
Halmstad1.17
Recent Form (Last 5)
Degerfors IF Degerfors IF
WWDLW
32 GF / 44 GA
Halmstad Halmstad
WLDWL
25 GF / 54 GA
Key Stats
1.19
Average Goals Scored
0.86
1.63
Average Goals Conceded
1.86
15
BTTS Yes
13
16
Over 2.5
12
2.89
Shots on Goal
3.68

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Degerfors IF Degerfors IF 27 matches
Halmstad Halmstad 29 matches
Degerfors IF Statistic Halmstad
8 Wins 4
5 Draws 9
14 Losses 16
32 Goals For 25
44 Goals Against 54
1.19 Avg Goals Scored 0.86
1.63 Avg Goals Conceded 1.86
15 BTTS Yes 13
23 Over 1.5 25
16 Over 2.5 12
6 Over 3.5 8
3 Clean Sheets 4
9 Failed To Score 13
2.89 Shots On Goal 3.68
10.47 Total Shots 12.74
4.37 Corners 4.11
46.1% Ball Possession 41%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

Looking at the broader profile of both teams, this encounter highlights two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring Halmstad. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Degerfors IF expected to line up in 5-3-2 and Halmstad in 4-4-2, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Halmstad having the stronger overall control. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest.

Degerfors IF Analysis

With 16 points from 18 games and a place of 14, Degerfors IF still have clear room for improvement in overall consistency. The overall return of 4 wins, 4 draws, and 10 defeats with a 17:29 goal balance points toward mixed form over their recent run. Going forward they depend heavily on Dijan Vukojevic (4 goals), Samba Diatara (1 goals), with creative support from Samba Diatara (1 assists), Matvei Igonen (1 assists), Nikolai Skuseth (1 assists), while defensively they have looked fairly stable. At home, the split record of 2 wins, 2 draws, and 5 losses points to a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader football approach still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

Halmstad Analysis

Halmstad approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 16 with 8 points from 18 matches. Across the season they have posted 1 wins, 5 draws, and 12 defeats, and the 12:35 goal record continues to suggest poor form over their recent run. Their attacking burden often falls on Rocco Ascone (2 goals), Otso Liimatta (2 goals), with creative support from Hussein Carneil (1 assists), while at the back they have been fairly stable. Away from home, they have managed 0 wins, 3 draws, and 6 losses, a return that supports a weak split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. In football terms they often show a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Degerfors IF won 7 times, Halmstad won 6 times, while 2 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 22:16 from Degerfors IF's perspective. 9 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 6 matches, with an average of 2.53 goals per game.

1X2: Home or Draw
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 1X (75%)
Predicted formations: Degerfors IF 5-3-2 / Halmstad 4-4-2
H2H summary: Degerfors IF wins 7, draws 2, Halmstad wins 6

Standings

Allsvenskan
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 19 13 3 3 47:27 20 42
L L L D W
2 19 11 3 5 44:18 26 36
L W W W D
3 18 10 2 6 41:19 22 32
W W L L W
4 19 8 7 4 27:19 8 31
W D W W W
5 19 8 7 4 33:29 4 31
L W W L D
6 18 9 4 5 28:27 1 31
W W W L D
7 19 9 2 8 33:30 3 29
W L W L W
8 19 8 5 6 28:33 -5 29
W D L W L
9 19 7 5 7 25:18 7 26
W L L W D
10 19 6 6 7 27:31 -4 24
L W W D L
11 19 6 5 8 24:39 -15 23
W D L W W
12 17 5 5 7 24:27 -3 20
L W L L D
13 19 5 4 10 21:29 -8 19
L D L L D
14 19 4 4 11 17:31 -14 16
L L W W L
15 19 3 5 11 22:42 -20 14
L D L L W
16 19 2 5 12 13:35 -22 11
W D L L L
Qualifying
Qualifying
Relegation Playoffs
Relegation