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03.10.2026 18:00
Estadio Gigante de Villa Fox
Defensores Unidos
Match Timeline
Argentino Quilmes
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
44'
S. Castano
Argentino Quilmes
🔄
62'
S. Castano ↔ M. Ceccotti
Argentino Quilmes
🟨
70'
J. Kruger
Argentino Quilmes
🟨
75'
K. Redondo
Defensores Unidos
🔄
76'
B. Carboni ↔ D. Salvo
Defensores Unidos
🔄
78'
J. Kruger ↔ A. Poza
Argentino Quilmes
🔄
78'
J. Martinez ↔ D. Pena
Argentino Quilmes
🔄
78'
E. Torancio ↔ M. Compagnucci
Argentino Quilmes
⚽
82'
D. Salvo
Defensores Unidos
🔄
86'
K. Redondo ↔ L. Montani
Defensores Unidos
🔄
86'
T. Girard ↔ S. Herrera
Defensores Unidos
🟨
88'
L. Montani
Defensores Unidos
⚽
90'
R. Barreto
Argentino Quilmes

Defensores Unidos vs Argentino Quilmes Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 55.5%
Odds -
BTTS
No
Probability 71.7%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 72.8%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
55.5%
- ▥
BTTS No
71.7%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
72.8%
- ▥
Corners O/U Under 11.5 Corners
92%
- ▥
HT / FT Home / Home
-
- ▥
Correct Score 2-0
-
- ▥
Probability Distribution
Defensores Unidos Win 55.5%
Draw 6%
Argentino Quilmes Win 38.6%
Expected Goals (xG)
Defensores Unidos0.9
Argentino Quilmes0.88
Recent Form (Last 5)
Defensores Unidos Defensores Unidos
W L W D D
4 GF / 2 GA
Argentino Quilmes Argentino Quilmes
D D W L L
1 GF / 3 GA
Key Stats
0.86
Average Goals Scored
0.78
1.03
Average Goals Conceded
0.97
15
BTTS Yes
12
9
Over 2.5
9
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Defensores Unidos Defensores Unidos 37 matches
Argentino Quilmes Argentino Quilmes 37 matches
Defensores Unidos Statistic Argentino Quilmes
9 Wins 9
13 Draws 15
15 Losses 13
32 Goals For 29
38 Goals Against 36
0.86 Avg Goals Scored 0.78
1.03 Avg Goals Conceded 0.97
15 BTTS Yes 12
24 Over 1.5 19
9 Over 2.5 9
3 Over 3.5 4
11 Clean Sheets 16
15 Failed To Score 17
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

There is very little separating these two teams on paper, and two sides with a fairly similar football identity points toward a competitive game. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Even if this develops into a close game, the analytical lean still edges toward Away Win, with a cautious clean-sheet angle toward Argentino Quilmes. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Argentino Quilmes having the stronger overall control. Argentino Quilmes arrive with more visible recent inconsistency, which may leave them vulnerable if the match starts badly.

Defensores Unidos Analysis

Defensores Unidos sit 19 with 37 points after 36 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. The overall return of 8 wins, 13 draws, and 15 defeats with a 31:38 goal balance points toward mixed form over their recent run. Going forward they depend heavily on their main attacking players, while defensively they have looked fairly stable. At home, the split record of 7 wins, 8 draws, and 3 losses points to a very strong split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. Their broader football approach still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

Argentino Quilmes Analysis

Argentino Quilmes sit 16 with 41 points after 36 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. The overall return of 9 wins, 14 draws, and 13 defeats with a 29:36 goal balance points toward poor form over their recent run. Going forward they depend heavily on their main attacking players, while defensively they have looked fairly stable. Away from home, the split record of 4 wins, 7 draws, and 7 losses points to a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. Their broader football approach still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 14 head-to-head meetings, Defensores Unidos won 6 times, Argentino Quilmes won 6 times, while 2 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 23:23 from Defensores Unidos's perspective. 8 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 8 matches, with an average of 3.29 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: No
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (94.1%)
H2H summary: Defensores Unidos wins 6, draws 2, Argentino Quilmes wins 6

Standings

Prim B Metro
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 41 24 9 8 68:31 37 81
W D W L W
2 41 21 13 7 55:27 28 76
W D W L W
3 41 20 11 10 46:26 20 71
W L D L W
4 41 19 12 10 47:33 14 69
L D W W W
5 41 18 14 9 40:27 13 68
W L D L D
6 41 18 13 10 48:34 14 67
L W D L L
7 41 18 11 12 44:40 4 65
W D L W L
8 41 17 11 13 42:39 3 62
L D D W W
9 41 15 13 13 50:52 -2 58
W W D W L
10 41 14 15 12 39:35 4 57
L D D D D
11 41 12 15 14 41:46 -5 51
L D L W L
12 41 12 14 15 40:45 -5 50
L W L W W
13 41 13 9 19 39:49 -10 48
W W W D L
14 41 11 15 15 39:54 -15 48
L W D D L
15 41 12 11 18 37:44 -7 47
W L L L L
16 41 10 17 14 33:40 -7 47
W L D D D
17 41 11 14 16 41:49 -8 47
L L L L W
18 41 10 15 16 34:40 -6 45
W D L D W
19 41 10 15 16 34:43 -9 45
L D D W L
20 41 9 16 16 25:38 -13 43
L D W D W
21 41 7 21 13 25:36 -11 42
W D W W D
22 41 1 14 26 28:67 -39 17
L D D L L
Promotion - Primera Nacional
Promotion - Primera B (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - Primera C (Apertura)