ARGENTINA PRIMERA NACIONAL
--.--.---- --:--
Estadio Juan Pasquale
Defensores De Belgrano
Match Timeline
Deportivo Moron
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
17'
F. Vazquez · Assist: M. Bittolo
Deportivo Moron
🟨
38'
J. Olivares
Deportivo Moron
🔄
46'
M. Bittolo ↔ L. Cardozo
Deportivo Moron
🔄
56'
N. Borsotti ↔ P. Moyano
Defensores De Belgrano
60'
E. Aguirre
Defensores De Belgrano
🟨
64'
J. Livera
Deportivo Moron
68'
P. Moyano · Assist: B. Gomez
Defensores De Belgrano
🟨
69'
P. Moyano
Defensores De Belgrano
🔄
70'
G. Berterame ↔ J. Esquivel
Deportivo Moron
🔄
70'
S. Kubiszyn ↔ M. Benitez
Deportivo Moron
🔄
75'
J. Livera ↔ J. Zappacosta
Deportivo Moron
🔄
80'
E. Aguirre ↔ G. Gamarra
Defensores De Belgrano
🔄
85'
J. Ardaiz ↔ A. I. Acosta D.
Defensores De Belgrano
🟨
88'
M. Gonzalez
Deportivo Moron

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away Win
Probability 60.6%
Odds -
BTTS
No
Probability 56%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 65.5%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away Win
60.6%
-
BTTS No
56%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
65.5%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
87.7%
-
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
-
Correct Score 0-1
-
-
Probability Distribution
Defensores De Belgrano Win 23.1%
Draw 16.3%
Deportivo Moron Win 60.6%
Expected Goals (xG)
Defensores De Belgrano0.74
Deportivo Moron1.2
Recent Form (Last 5)
Defensores De Belgrano Defensores De Belgrano
WWDLW
12 GF / 16 GA
Deportivo Moron Deportivo Moron
WLDWL
28 GF / 17 GA
Key Stats
0.67
Average Goals Scored
1.4
0.89
Average Goals Conceded
0.85
6
BTTS Yes
9
4
Over 2.5
8
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Defensores De Belgrano Defensores De Belgrano 18 matches
Deportivo Moron Deportivo Moron 20 matches
Defensores De Belgrano Statistic Deportivo Moron
4 Wins 11
8 Draws 4
6 Losses 5
12 Goals For 28
16 Goals Against 17
0.67 Avg Goals Scored 1.4
0.89 Avg Goals Conceded 0.85
6 BTTS Yes 9
10 Over 1.5 14
4 Over 2.5 8
0 Over 3.5 3
8 Clean Sheets 8
8 Failed To Score 4
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

From the opening view, this looks like a meeting between teams arriving with different levels of stability, reinforced by Deportivo Moron's more proactive style and Defensores De Belgrano's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Given the broader gap between the sides, Away Win looks like the most logical direction, while the clean-sheet expectation leans toward Deportivo Moron. Deportivo Moron look sharper on recent form, and that momentum could be important in key phases of the match. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Deportivo Moron having the stronger overall control. Deportivo Moron carry the stronger overall league profile, standing 1 with 34 points while Defensores De Belgrano sit 12 on 20, suggesting a clearer edge in long-term output. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected.

Defensores De Belgrano Analysis

Defensores De Belgrano approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 12 with 20 points from 18 matches. Their record of 4 wins, 8 draws, and 6 losses, together with goals at 12:16, reflects poor form over their recent run. Much of their threat comes through their main attacking players, while the defensive numbers suggest they have been very solid. At home, the split record of 1 wins, 6 draws, and 2 losses points to a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader football approach still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

Deportivo Moron Analysis

Operating from 1 place with 34 points from 18 games, Deportivo Moron bring one of the stronger season profiles into this match. They have recorded 10 wins, 4 draws, and 4 losses, with a 26:15 goal return and very strong form with results showing strong momentum. In attack they lean heavily on their main attacking players, while defensively they have looked very solid. Away from home, they have managed 3 wins, 2 draws, and 4 losses, which underlines a fairly balanced split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. In stylistic terms they continue to show balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Defensores De Belgrano won 2 times, Deportivo Moron won 6 times, while 7 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 14:18 from Defensores De Belgrano's perspective. 5 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 8 matches, with an average of 2.13 goals per game.

1X2: Away Win
BTTS: No
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (83.8%)
Predicted formations: Defensores De Belgrano 4-2-3-1 / Deportivo Moron -
H2H summary: Defensores De Belgrano wins 2, draws 7, Deportivo Moron wins 6

Standings

Group 1
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 27 16 5 6 34:25 9 53
D W W W L
2 27 14 7 6 43:25 18 49
W D D W W
3 27 12 9 6 34:21 13 45
L W W W D
4 27 12 8 7 23:16 7 44
W W L W W
5 27 11 10 6 38:25 13 43
L W W D W
6 27 12 7 8 32:24 8 43
W L W L W
7 27 9 11 7 23:23 0 38
W D L L L
8 27 9 9 9 25:24 1 36
D L W L D
9 27 9 8 10 25:29 -4 35
W D D W L
10 26 8 10 8 20:15 5 34
D L L L L
11 27 6 12 9 27:35 -8 30
D L D W W
12 27 7 8 12 25:29 -4 29
D W W L L
13 27 6 11 10 19:27 -8 29
D D W D D
14 27 6 11 10 21:30 -9 29
L L L W L
15 27 5 13 9 15:24 -9 28
D L W D L
16 27 6 9 12 22:33 -11 27
L W D L L
17 26 5 11 10 16:24 -8 26
L L D L D
18 27 5 8 14 19:32 -13 23
D L L D L
Promotion - Primera Nacional (Super final)
Promotion - Primera Nacional (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation