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ARGENTINA › PRIMERA NACIONAL
11.10.2026 18:30
Estadio Juan Pasquale
Defensores De Belgrano
Match Timeline
Acassuso
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
25'
D. Escalante
Acassuso
🟨
35'
K. Dubini
Acassuso
⚽
38'
A. Hermoso · Assist: T. Rodriguez
Acassuso
🟨
39'
A. Benitez
Defensores De Belgrano
⚽
42'
T. Rodriguez · Assist: A. Ruiz
Acassuso
🔄
55'
A. Benitez ↔ L. Landriel
Defensores De Belgrano
🔄
58'
R. Reynoso ↔ N. Acosta
Acassuso
🔄
63'
I. Gutierrez ↔ J. Ardaiz
Defensores De Belgrano
🔄
63'
A. Hermoso ↔ V. Serrano
Acassuso
⚽
70'
N. Acosta · Assist: T. Rodriguez
Acassuso
🔄
79'
D. Magallanes ↔ F. Tcherkaski
Defensores De Belgrano
🔄
79'
I. Perez ↔ L. Ciccolini
Defensores De Belgrano
🔄
84'
D. Escalante ↔ J. Raccio
Acassuso
🔄
84'
K. Dubini ↔ N. Petillo
Acassuso
🔄
84'
T. Rodriguez ↔ Y. Gomez
Acassuso

Defensores De Belgrano vs Acassuso Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 56.5%
Odds 1.63
BTTS
No
Probability 50.8%
Odds 1.57
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 72.8%
Odds 1.56
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
56.5%
1.63 ▥
BTTS No
50.8%
1.57 ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
72.8%
1.56 ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
87.7%
1.33 ▥
HT / FT Home / Home
-
2.75 ▥
Correct Score 2-0
-
6.50 ▥
Probability Distribution
Defensores De Belgrano Win 56.5%
Draw 18%
Acassuso Win 25.6%
Expected Goals (xG)
Defensores De Belgrano0.92
Acassuso0.79
Recent Form (Last 5)
Defensores De Belgrano Defensores De Belgrano
WWDLW
25 GF / 29 GA
Acassuso Acassuso
WLDWL
24 GF / 38 GA
Key Stats
0.78
Average Goals Scored
0.71
0.91
Average Goals Conceded
1.12
12
BTTS Yes
9
9
Over 2.5
9
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Defensores De Belgrano Defensores De Belgrano 32 matches
Acassuso Acassuso 34 matches
Defensores De Belgrano Statistic Acassuso
8 Wins 8
13 Draws 8
11 Losses 18
25 Goals For 24
29 Goals Against 38
0.78 Avg Goals Scored 0.71
0.91 Avg Goals Conceded 1.12
12 BTTS Yes 9
18 Over 1.5 18
9 Over 2.5 9
1 Over 3.5 3
12 Clean Sheets 11
14 Failed To Score 19
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This match looks like a contest between two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Acassuso arrive with more visible recent inconsistency, which may leave them vulnerable if the match starts badly. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring Acassuso. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Acassuso having the stronger overall control.

Defensores De Belgrano Analysis

So far, Defensores De Belgrano have built a campaign that leaves them 11 in the table on 37 points from 32 matches. The record of 8 wins, 13 draws, and 11 defeats, together with a 25:29 goal balance, points toward mixed form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through their main attacking players, while at the back they have looked fairly stable. At home, the record of 4 wins, 8 draws, and 4 losses points toward a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader style still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

Acassuso Analysis

Acassuso approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 18 with 29 points from 32 matches. Their record of 7 wins, 8 draws, and 17 losses, together with goals at 22:35, reflects mixed form over their recent run. Much of their threat comes through their main attacking players, while the defensive numbers suggest they have been fairly stable. Away from home, they have returned 2 wins, 5 draws, and 9 losses, which indicates a weak split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. Stylistically, they tend to play with a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 13 head-to-head meetings, Defensores De Belgrano won 5 times, Acassuso won 2 times, while 6 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 11:7 from Defensores De Belgrano's perspective. 3 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 3 matches, with an average of 1.38 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: No
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (82%)
H2H summary: Defensores De Belgrano wins 5, draws 6, Acassuso wins 2

Standings

Group 1
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 32 18 7 7 36:27 9 61
L W W D D
2 32 17 7 8 51:32 19 58
W L L W W
3 32 16 8 8 42:29 13 56
W D W W W
4 32 14 11 7 46:28 18 53
W D W L W
5 32 14 10 8 39:25 14 52
W D W L L
6 32 12 10 10 25:21 4 46
L L L D D
7 32 12 9 11 29:27 2 45
L W W W L
8 32 11 12 9 27:28 -1 45
W W L D L
9 32 9 13 10 25:23 2 40
L W L D D
10 32 9 10 13 30:33 -3 37
D L W D W
11 32 8 13 11 25:29 -4 37
D L W W D
12 32 9 10 13 28:36 -8 37
W W L W D
13 32 9 10 13 29:39 -10 37
D D L L L
14 32 7 14 11 29:39 -10 35
W L L D D
15 32 6 15 11 20:29 -9 33
D D L D D
16 32 6 15 11 18:28 -10 33
L D D L W
17 32 6 13 13 25:38 -13 31
L L D D L
18 32 7 8 17 22:35 -13 29
L W W L L
Promotion - Primera Nacional (Super final)
Promotion - Primera Nacional (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation