URUGUAY PRIMERA DIVISIóN - APERTURA
--.--.---- --:--
Estadio Luis Franzini
Defensor Sporting
Match Timeline
Liverpool Montevideo
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
9'
R. Bentancourt
Liverpool Montevideo
🔄
34'
A. Cayetano ↔ S. Milano
Liverpool Montevideo
39'
N. Garayalde
Liverpool Montevideo
🟨
45+1'
L. Acosta
Liverpool Montevideo
45+2'
G. De los Santos
Defensor Sporting
🟨
45+6'
M. Rabunal
Defensor Sporting
🔄
46'
A. Torterolo ↔ A. Machado
Defensor Sporting
🔄
57'
M. Rabunal ↔ N. Medina
Defensor Sporting
🔄
63'
L. Acosta ↔ F. Barcelo
Liverpool Montevideo
🔄
63'
R. Bentancourt ↔ E. Olivera
Liverpool Montevideo
🔄
64'
N. Wunsch ↔ A. Perdomo
Defensor Sporting
🔄
80'
F. Martinez ↔ D. Zabala
Liverpool Montevideo
🔄
80'
R. Machado ↔ R. M. Degregorio
Liverpool Montevideo
🔄
88'
L. Agazzi ↔ G. Rodriguez
Defensor Sporting
🔄
88'
B. Montenegro ↔ L. Navarro
Defensor Sporting
🟨
90+2'
E. Olivera
Liverpool Montevideo
🟨
90+3'
E. Castillo
Liverpool Montevideo

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away or Draw
Probability 64.9%
Odds 1.53
BTTS
No
Probability 55%
Odds 1.73
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 72.8%
Odds 1.55
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away or Draw
64.9%
1.53
BTTS No
55%
1.73
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
72.8%
1.55
Corners O/U Under 7.5 Corners
92%
1.91
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
6.00
Correct Score 0-1
-
7.00
Probability Distribution
Defensor Sporting Win 35.1%
Draw 25.6%
Liverpool Montevideo Win 39.3%
Expected Goals (xG)
Defensor Sporting0.89
Liverpool Montevideo1.01
Recent Form (Last 5)
Defensor Sporting Defensor Sporting
WWDLW
16 GF / 19 GA
Liverpool Montevideo Liverpool Montevideo
WLDWL
24 GF / 24 GA
Key Stats
0.76
Average Goals Scored
1.09
0.9
Average Goals Conceded
1.09
10
BTTS Yes
10
4
Over 2.5
9
0
Shots on Goal
3.5

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Defensor Sporting Defensor Sporting 21 matches
Liverpool Montevideo Liverpool Montevideo 22 matches
Defensor Sporting Statistic Liverpool Montevideo
5 Wins 6
9 Draws 8
7 Losses 8
16 Goals For 24
19 Goals Against 24
0.76 Avg Goals Scored 1.09
0.9 Avg Goals Conceded 1.09
10 BTTS Yes 10
13 Over 1.5 14
4 Over 2.5 9
0 Over 3.5 3
6 Clean Sheets 9
8 Failed To Score 7
0 Shots On Goal 3.5
0 Total Shots 11.5
0 Corners 4
0% Ball Possession 56%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

There is very little separating these two teams on paper, and Liverpool Montevideo's more proactive style and Defensor Sporting's more cautious structure points toward a competitive game. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring Liverpool Montevideo. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Defensor Sporting expected to line up in 4-3-3 and Liverpool Montevideo in 5-2-3, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Liverpool Montevideo having the stronger overall control. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected.

Defensor Sporting Analysis

So far, Defensor Sporting have built a campaign that leaves them 11 in the table on 24 points from 20 matches. Across the campaign, they have posted 5 wins, 9 draws, and 6 losses, while the 16:17 goal ratio supports the view of poor form and have been stuck in a sequence of draws. Going forward they rely heavily on their main attacking players, and defensively they have been very solid. At home, the record of - wins, - draws, and - losses points toward an unclear split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader style still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

Liverpool Montevideo Analysis

Liverpool Montevideo are currently 9 in the standings with 25 points from 20 matches. Their overall return of 6 wins, 7 draws, and 7 losses with goals at 23:22 reflects poor form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by their main attacking players, while defensively they have appeared very solid. Away from home, their split return of - wins, - draws, and - losses fits an unclear split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they usually display balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Defensor Sporting won 6 times, Liverpool Montevideo won 7 times, while 2 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 19:22 from Defensor Sporting's perspective. 9 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 7 matches, with an average of 2.73 goals per game.

1X2: Away or Draw
BTTS: No
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (74.4%)
Predicted formations: Defensor Sporting 4-3-3 / Liverpool Montevideo 5-2-3
H2H summary: Defensor Sporting wins 6, draws 2, Liverpool Montevideo wins 7
Last matches: Defensor Sporting
13.07.26
Pri
Defensor Sporting
Cerro Largo
1
1
D
04.07.26
Fri
Defensor Sporting
Cruzeiro
0
2
L
07.06.26
Pri
Defensor Sporting
Boston River
1
1
D
30.05.26
Pri
Defensor Sporting
Racing Montevideo
0
0
D
24.05.26
Pri
Defensor Sporting
Penarol
0
2
L
17.05.26
Pri
Defensor Sporting
Central Espanol
1
2
L
10.05.26
Pri
Defensor Sporting
Juventud
1
2
L
04.05.26
Pri
Defensor Sporting
Penarol
1
1
D
27.04.26
Pri
Defensor Sporting
Progreso
1
0
W
18.04.26
Pri
Defensor Sporting
Racing Montevideo
1
1
D
11.04.26
Pri
Defensor Sporting
Boston River
2
0
W
05.04.26
Pri
Defensor Sporting
Cerro
0
1
L
31.03.26
Pri
Defensor Sporting
Albion FC
1
1
D
26.03.26
Pri
Defensor Sporting
Danubio
0
0
D
21.03.26
Pri
Defensor Sporting
Club Nacional
2
1
W
15.03.26
Pri
Defensor Sporting
Deportivo Maldonado
0
1
L
08.03.26
Pri
Defensor Sporting
Central Espanol
0
0
D
26.02.26
Pri
Defensor Sporting
Atletico Torque
0
1
L
21.02.26
Pri
Defensor Sporting
Cerro Largo
1
0
W
14.02.26
Pri
Defensor Sporting
Liverpool Montevideo
2
1
W
Last matches: Liverpool Montevideo
12.07.26
Pri
Liverpool Montevideo
Cerro
1
2
L
08.06.26
Pri
Liverpool Montevideo
Cerro Largo
0
0
D
01.06.26
Pri
Liverpool Montevideo
Boston River
1
0
W
22.05.26
Pri
Liverpool Montevideo
Racing Montevideo
0
0
D
16.05.26
Pri
Liverpool Montevideo
Penarol
1
2
L
08.05.26
Pri
Liverpool Montevideo
Wanderers
0
1
L
02.05.26
Pri
Liverpool Montevideo
Danubio
3
0
W
25.04.26
Pri
Liverpool Montevideo
Juventud
1
1
D
19.04.26
Pri
Liverpool Montevideo
Club Nacional
1
3
L
13.04.26
Pri
Liverpool Montevideo
Penarol
2
0
W
05.04.26
Pri
Liverpool Montevideo
Deportivo Maldonado
0
2
L
31.03.26
Pri
Liverpool Montevideo
Progreso
3
3
D
24.03.26
Pri
Liverpool Montevideo
Central Espanol
3
3
D
21.03.26
Pri
Liverpool Montevideo
Racing Montevideo
0
1
L
16.03.26
Pri
Liverpool Montevideo
Atletico Torque
0
0
D
10.03.26
Pri
Liverpool Montevideo
Boston River
1
0
W
01.03.26
Pri
Liverpool Montevideo
Cerro Largo
2
0
W
25.02.26
CON
Liverpool Montevideo
Independiente Medellin
0
0
D
20.02.26
Pri
Liverpool Montevideo
Cerro
1
1
D
18.02.26
CON
Liverpool Montevideo
Independiente Medellin
1
2
L
H2H: Defensor Sporting vs Liverpool Montevideo
14.02.26
H2H
Liverpool Montevideo
Defensor Sporting
1
2
W
30.08.25
H2H
Liverpool Montevideo
Defensor Sporting
2
0
L
14.06.25
H2H
Defensor Sporting
Liverpool Montevideo
4
2
W
07.03.25
H2H
Defensor Sporting
Liverpool Montevideo
0
1
L
21.10.24
H2H
Defensor Sporting
Liverpool Montevideo
2
1
W
19.04.24
H2H
Liverpool Montevideo
Defensor Sporting
1
1
D
31.01.24
H2H
Liverpool Montevideo
Defensor Sporting
1
0
L
18.10.23
H2H
Liverpool Montevideo
Defensor Sporting
2
0
L
30.07.23
H2H
Defensor Sporting
Liverpool Montevideo
0
1
L
12.03.23
H2H
Defensor Sporting
Liverpool Montevideo
2
2
D
04.10.22
H2H
Defensor Sporting
Liverpool Montevideo
3
0
W
01.08.22
H2H
Liverpool Montevideo
Defensor Sporting
1
3
W
05.02.22
H2H
Defensor Sporting
Liverpool Montevideo
0
3
L
20.02.21
H2H
Defensor Sporting
Liverpool Montevideo
0
3
L
30.08.20
H2H
Liverpool Montevideo
Defensor Sporting
1
2
W
Last matches: Defensor Sporting
07.06.26
Pri
Defensor Sporting
Boston River
1
1
D
24.05.26
Pri
Defensor Sporting
Penarol
0
2
L
10.05.26
Pri
Defensor Sporting
Juventud
1
2
L
27.04.26
Pri
Defensor Sporting
Progreso
1
0
W
11.04.26
Pri
Defensor Sporting
Boston River
2
0
W
31.03.26
Pri
Defensor Sporting
Albion FC
1
1
D
21.03.26
Pri
Defensor Sporting
Club Nacional
2
1
W
08.03.26
Pri
Defensor Sporting
Central Espanol
0
0
D
21.02.26
Pri
Defensor Sporting
Cerro Largo
1
0
W
09.11.25
Pri
Defensor Sporting
Club Nacional
1
1
D
24.10.25
Pri
Defensor Sporting
Atletico Torque
0
1
L
06.10.25
Pri
Defensor Sporting
Wanderers
2
1
W
19.09.25
Pri
Defensor Sporting
Danubio
2
1
W
05.09.25
Pri
Defensor Sporting
Juventud
1
0
W
23.08.25
Pri
Defensor Sporting
Plaza Colonia
1
0
W
11.08.25
Pri
Defensor Sporting
CA River Plate
1
0
W
07.12.21
Seg
Defensor Sporting
Racing Montevideo
3
0
W
04.12.21
Seg
Defensor Sporting
Cerro
0
1
L
24.11.21
Seg
Defensor Sporting
Danubio
0
1
L
10.11.21
Seg
Defensor Sporting
Uruguay Montevideo
2
0
W
H2H at home: Defensor Sporting
14.06.25
H2H
Defensor Sporting
Liverpool Montevideo
4
2
W
07.03.25
H2H
Defensor Sporting
Liverpool Montevideo
0
1
L
21.10.24
H2H
Defensor Sporting
Liverpool Montevideo
2
1
W
30.07.23
H2H
Defensor Sporting
Liverpool Montevideo
0
1
L
12.03.23
H2H
Defensor Sporting
Liverpool Montevideo
2
2
D
04.10.22
H2H
Defensor Sporting
Liverpool Montevideo
3
0
W
05.02.22
H2H
Defensor Sporting
Liverpool Montevideo
0
3
L
20.02.21
H2H
Defensor Sporting
Liverpool Montevideo
0
3
L
Last matches: Liverpool Montevideo
01.06.26
Pri
Liverpool Montevideo
Boston River
1
0
W
16.05.26
Pri
Liverpool Montevideo
Penarol
1
2
L
08.05.26
Pri
Liverpool Montevideo
Wanderers
0
1
L
25.04.26
Pri
Liverpool Montevideo
Juventud
1
1
D
13.04.26
Pri
Liverpool Montevideo
Penarol
2
0
W
31.03.26
Pri
Liverpool Montevideo
Progreso
3
3
D
21.03.26
Pri
Liverpool Montevideo
Racing Montevideo
0
1
L
10.03.26
Pri
Liverpool Montevideo
Boston River
1
0
W
25.02.26
CON
Liverpool Montevideo
Independiente Medellin
0
0
D
20.02.26
Pri
Liverpool Montevideo
Cerro
1
1
D
06.02.26
Pri
Liverpool Montevideo
Albion FC
2
1
W
07.11.25
Pri
Liverpool Montevideo
Cerro Largo
0
2
L
20.10.25
Pri
Liverpool Montevideo
Plaza Colonia
1
0
W
03.10.25
Pri
Liverpool Montevideo
CA River Plate
1
0
W
20.09.25
Pri
Liverpool Montevideo
Club Nacional
1
3
L
07.09.25
Pri
Liverpool Montevideo
Atletico Torque
1
1
D
24.08.25
Pri
Liverpool Montevideo
Cerro
1
2
L
10.08.25
Pri
Liverpool Montevideo
Miramar
1
0
W
23.05.15
Seg
Liverpool Montevideo
Villa Espanola
2
5
L
16.05.15
Seg
Liverpool Montevideo
Miramar
0
0
D
H2H away: Liverpool Montevideo
14.06.25
H2H
Defensor Sporting
Liverpool Montevideo
4
2
L
07.03.25
H2H
Defensor Sporting
Liverpool Montevideo
0
1
W
21.10.24
H2H
Defensor Sporting
Liverpool Montevideo
2
1
L
30.07.23
H2H
Defensor Sporting
Liverpool Montevideo
0
1
W
12.03.23
H2H
Defensor Sporting
Liverpool Montevideo
2
2
D
04.10.22
H2H
Defensor Sporting
Liverpool Montevideo
3
0
L
05.02.22
H2H
Defensor Sporting
Liverpool Montevideo
0
3
W
20.02.21
H2H
Defensor Sporting
Liverpool Montevideo
0
3
W
Showing odds from: 1xBet
Main markets
MATCH WINNER
Away 2.77
Draw 3.10
Home 2.72
FIRST HALF WINNER
Away 3.59
Draw 2.02
Home 3.51
GOALS OVER/UNDER
Over 1.5 1.46
Over 1.75 1.58
Over 2.0 1.81
Over 2.25 2.13
Over 2.5 2.46
Over 3.5 4.72
Under 1.5 2.73
Under 1.75 2.38
Under 2.0 2.02
Under 2.25 1.71
Under 2.5 1.55
Under 3.5 1.19
Main markets
MATCH WINNER
Away 2.70
Draw 3.30
Home 2.45
FIRST HALF WINNER
Away 3.60
Draw 2.00
Home 3.40
SECOND HALF WINNER
Away 3.20
Draw 2.25
Home 2.75
GOALS OVER/UNDER
Over 0.5 1.08
Over 1.5 1.44
Over 2.5 2.35
Over 3.5 4.50
Over 4.5 11.00
Over 5.5 23.00
Over 6.5 51.00
Under 0.5 7.50
Under 1.5 2.62
Under 2.5 1.57
Under 3.5 1.18
Under 4.5 1.05
Under 5.5 1.01
Under 6.5 1.00
Main markets
MATCH WINNER
Away 2.72
Draw 3.12
Home 2.62
FIRST HALF WINNER
Away 3.60
Draw 1.95
Home 3.45
SECOND HALF WINNER
Away 3.15
Draw 2.30
Home 3.00
GOALS OVER/UNDER
Over 0.5 1.09
Over 0.75 1.05
Over 1.0 1.12
Over 1.25 1.27
Over 1.5 1.50
Over 1.75 1.63
Over 2.0 1.79
Over 2.25 2.05
Over 2.5 2.33
Over 2.75 2.86
Over 3.0 3.78
Over 3.25 4.01
Over 3.5 4.90
Over 3.75 5.50
Over 4.0 10.60
Over 4.25 8.60
Over 4.5 12.30
Over 5.5 28.00
Over 6.5 36.00
Under 0.5 9.40
Under 0.75 7.10
Under 1.0 7.30
Under 1.25 3.40
Under 1.5 2.72
Under 1.75 2.16
Under 2.0 2.04
Under 2.25 1.72
Under 2.5 1.56
Under 2.75 1.38
Under 3.0 1.27
Under 3.25 1.20
Under 3.5 1.20
Under 3.75 1.11
Under 4.0 1.07
Under 4.25 1.01
Under 4.5 1.06
Under 5.5 1.01
Under 6.5 1.01
Main markets
MATCH WINNER
Away 2.80
Draw 3.00
Home 2.48
FIRST HALF WINNER
Away 3.50
Draw 2.02
Home 3.15
SECOND HALF WINNER
Away 3.05
Draw 2.30
Home 2.85
GOALS OVER/UNDER
Over 1.5 1.40
Over 2.0 1.68
Over 2.5 2.28
Over 3.0 3.45
Over 3.25 3.75
Over 3.5 4.10
Under 1.5 2.65
Under 2.0 2.00
Under 2.5 1.54
Under 3.0 1.25
Under 3.25 1.21
Under 3.5 1.18

Standings

Primera: Tabla Anual
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 21 12 4 5 36:22 14 40
L D W W D
2 21 12 4 5 32:19 13 40
W D W L W
3 20 10 8 2 26:16 10 38
D D D D W
4 21 10 5 6 33:25 8 35
W W L W W
5 21 9 6 6 30:22 8 33
L D W L L
6 21 10 2 9 32:28 4 32
L D W L W
7 20 9 5 6 27:25 2 32
D D W L W
8 21 9 5 7 26:25 1 32
W W D W D
9 20 6 7 7 23:22 1 25
L D W D L
10 20 7 4 9 22:21 1 25
D D W W L
11 20 5 9 6 16:17 -1 24
D D D L L
12 21 6 4 11 25:33 -8 22
W L D L L
13 21 6 4 11 19:29 -10 22
L D D L L
14 21 4 9 8 20:28 -8 21
L D D D L
15 21 4 4 13 17:32 -15 16
W L L W L
16 20 4 4 12 12:32 -20 16
W L L W L
Promotion - Copa Libertadores (Group Stage)
Promotion - Copa Libertadores (Qualification)
Promotion - Copa Sudamericana (Qualification)