Predictions & Statistics
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Away or Draw |
64.9%
|
1.53 | |
| BTTS | No |
55%
|
1.73 | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
72.8%
|
1.55 | |
| Corners O/U | Under 7.5 Corners |
92%
|
1.91 | |
| HT / FT | Draw / Away |
-
|
6.00 | |
| Correct Score | 0-1 |
-
|
7.00 |
Defensor Sporting
Liverpool Montevideo
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Defensor Sporting
21 matches
Liverpool Montevideo
22 matches
| Defensor Sporting | Statistic | Liverpool Montevideo |
|---|---|---|
| 5 | Wins | 6 |
| 9 | Draws | 8 |
| 7 | Losses | 8 |
| 16 | Goals For | 24 |
| 19 | Goals Against | 24 |
| 0.76 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.09 |
| 0.9 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.09 |
| 10 | BTTS Yes | 10 |
| 13 | Over 1.5 | 14 |
| 4 | Over 2.5 | 9 |
| 0 | Over 3.5 | 3 |
| 6 | Clean Sheets | 9 |
| 8 | Failed To Score | 7 |
| 0 | Shots On Goal | 3.5 |
| 0 | Total Shots | 11.5 |
| 0 | Corners | 4 |
| 0% | Ball Possession | 56% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
There is very little separating these two teams on paper, and Liverpool Montevideo's more proactive style and Defensor Sporting's more cautious structure points toward a competitive game. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring Liverpool Montevideo. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Defensor Sporting expected to line up in 4-3-3 and Liverpool Montevideo in 5-2-3, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Liverpool Montevideo having the stronger overall control. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected.
So far, Defensor Sporting have built a campaign that leaves them 11 in the table on 24 points from 20 matches. Across the campaign, they have posted 5 wins, 9 draws, and 6 losses, while the 16:17 goal ratio supports the view of poor form and have been stuck in a sequence of draws. Going forward they rely heavily on their main attacking players, and defensively they have been very solid. At home, the record of - wins, - draws, and - losses points toward an unclear split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader style still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.
Liverpool Montevideo are currently 9 in the standings with 25 points from 20 matches. Their overall return of 6 wins, 7 draws, and 7 losses with goals at 23:22 reflects poor form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by their main attacking players, while defensively they have appeared very solid. Away from home, their split return of - wins, - draws, and - losses fits an unclear split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they usually display balanced attacking football.
Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Defensor Sporting won 6 times, Liverpool Montevideo won 7 times, while 2 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 19:22 from Defensor Sporting's perspective. 9 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 7 matches, with an average of 2.73 goals per game.
Defensor Sporting
Cerro Largo
Defensor Sporting
Cruzeiro
Defensor Sporting
Boston River
Defensor Sporting
Racing Montevideo
Defensor Sporting
Penarol
Defensor Sporting
Central Espanol
Defensor Sporting
Juventud
Defensor Sporting
Penarol
Defensor Sporting
Progreso
Defensor Sporting
Racing Montevideo
Defensor Sporting
Boston River
Defensor Sporting
Cerro
Defensor Sporting
Albion FC
Defensor Sporting
Danubio
Defensor Sporting
Club Nacional
Defensor Sporting
Deportivo Maldonado
Defensor Sporting
Central Espanol
Defensor Sporting
Atletico Torque
Defensor Sporting
Cerro Largo
Defensor Sporting
Liverpool Montevideo
Liverpool Montevideo
Cerro
Liverpool Montevideo
Cerro Largo
Liverpool Montevideo
Boston River
Liverpool Montevideo
Racing Montevideo
Liverpool Montevideo
Penarol
Liverpool Montevideo
Wanderers
Liverpool Montevideo
Danubio
Liverpool Montevideo
Juventud
Liverpool Montevideo
Club Nacional
Liverpool Montevideo
Penarol
Liverpool Montevideo
Deportivo Maldonado
Liverpool Montevideo
Progreso
Liverpool Montevideo
Central Espanol
Liverpool Montevideo
Racing Montevideo
Liverpool Montevideo
Atletico Torque
Liverpool Montevideo
Boston River
Liverpool Montevideo
Cerro Largo
Liverpool Montevideo
Independiente Medellin
Liverpool Montevideo
Cerro
Liverpool Montevideo
Independiente Medellin
Defensor Sporting
Boston River
Defensor Sporting
Penarol
Defensor Sporting
Juventud
Defensor Sporting
Progreso
Defensor Sporting
Boston River
Defensor Sporting
Albion FC
Defensor Sporting
Club Nacional
Defensor Sporting
Central Espanol
Defensor Sporting
Cerro Largo
Defensor Sporting
Club Nacional
Defensor Sporting
Atletico Torque
Defensor Sporting
Wanderers
Defensor Sporting
Danubio
Defensor Sporting
Juventud
Defensor Sporting
Plaza Colonia
Defensor Sporting
CA River Plate
Defensor Sporting
Racing Montevideo
Defensor Sporting
Cerro
Defensor Sporting
Danubio
Defensor Sporting
Uruguay Montevideo
Liverpool Montevideo
Boston River
Liverpool Montevideo
Penarol
Liverpool Montevideo
Wanderers
Liverpool Montevideo
Juventud
Liverpool Montevideo
Penarol
Liverpool Montevideo
Progreso
Liverpool Montevideo
Racing Montevideo
Liverpool Montevideo
Boston River
Liverpool Montevideo
Independiente Medellin
Liverpool Montevideo
Cerro
Liverpool Montevideo
Albion FC
Liverpool Montevideo
Cerro Largo
Liverpool Montevideo
Plaza Colonia
Liverpool Montevideo
CA River Plate
Liverpool Montevideo
Club Nacional
Liverpool Montevideo
Atletico Torque
Liverpool Montevideo
Cerro
Liverpool Montevideo
Miramar
Liverpool Montevideo
Villa Espanola
Liverpool Montevideo
Miramar
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 21 | 12 | 4 | 5 | 36:22 | 14 | 40 |
L
D
W
W
D
|
|
| 2 | 21 | 12 | 4 | 5 | 32:19 | 13 | 40 |
W
D
W
L
W
|
|
| 3 | 20 | 10 | 8 | 2 | 26:16 | 10 | 38 |
D
D
D
D
W
|
|
| 4 | 21 | 10 | 5 | 6 | 33:25 | 8 | 35 |
W
W
L
W
W
|
|
| 5 | 21 | 9 | 6 | 6 | 30:22 | 8 | 33 |
L
D
W
L
L
|
|
| 6 | 21 | 10 | 2 | 9 | 32:28 | 4 | 32 |
L
D
W
L
W
|
|
| 7 | 20 | 9 | 5 | 6 | 27:25 | 2 | 32 |
D
D
W
L
W
|
|
| 8 | 21 | 9 | 5 | 7 | 26:25 | 1 | 32 |
W
W
D
W
D
|
|
| 9 |
Liverpool Montevideo
Away
|
20 | 6 | 7 | 7 | 23:22 | 1 | 25 |
L
D
W
D
L
|
| 10 | 20 | 7 | 4 | 9 | 22:21 | 1 | 25 |
D
D
W
W
L
|
|
| 11 |
Defensor Sporting
Home
|
20 | 5 | 9 | 6 | 16:17 | -1 | 24 |
D
D
D
L
L
|
| 12 | 21 | 6 | 4 | 11 | 25:33 | -8 | 22 |
W
L
D
L
L
|
|
| 13 | 21 | 6 | 4 | 11 | 19:29 | -10 | 22 |
L
D
D
L
L
|
|
| 14 | 21 | 4 | 9 | 8 | 20:28 | -8 | 21 |
L
D
D
D
L
|
|
| 15 | 21 | 4 | 4 | 13 | 17:32 | -15 | 16 |
W
L
L
W
L
|
|
| 16 | 20 | 4 | 4 | 12 | 12:32 | -20 | 16 |
W
L
L
W
L
|