Predictions & Statistics
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home Win |
90.7%
|
- | |
| BTTS | BTTS No |
26%
|
- | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
51.3%
|
- | |
| Corners O/U | Over 7.5 Corners |
87.7%
|
- | |
| HT / FT | Home / Home |
-
|
- | |
| Correct Score | 2-0 |
-
|
- |
Defensor Sporting
Juventud
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Defensor Sporting
14 matches
Juventud
20 matches
| Defensor Sporting | Statistic | Juventud |
|---|---|---|
| 5 | Wins | 5 |
| 6 | Draws | 5 |
| 3 | Losses | 10 |
| 12 | Goals For | 23 |
| 9 | Goals Against | 29 |
| 0.86 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.15 |
| 0.64 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.45 |
| 6 | BTTS Yes | 13 |
| 7 | Over 1.5 | 13 |
| 2 | Over 2.5 | 11 |
| 0 | Over 3.5 | 5 |
| 5 | Clean Sheets | 2 |
| 5 | Failed To Score | 6 |
| 0 | Shots On Goal | 4.33 |
| 0 | Total Shots | 13.5 |
| 0 | Corners | 4.33 |
| 0% | Ball Possession | 51% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
This match appears to feature a noticeable gap in profile, built around Defensor Sporting's more proactive style and Juventud's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. Given the broader gap between the sides, Away Win looks like the most logical direction, while the clean-sheet expectation leans toward Juventud. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Defensor Sporting arrive from the stronger league position, sitting 5 with 21 points compared to Juventud in 14 on 12, which underlines the gap in season consistency. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Defensor Sporting expected to line up in 4-2-3-1 and Juventud in 4-3-3, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Juventud having the stronger overall control.
Placed 5 with 21 points from 14 outings, Defensor Sporting continue to operate from a strong competitive position. Their overall return of 5 wins, 6 draws, and 3 losses with goals at 12:9 reflects mixed form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by B. Montenegro (6 goals), A. Machado (2 goals), F. Castro (2 goals), while defensively they have appeared very solid. At home, the record of 4 wins, 2 draws, and 0 losses points toward a very strong split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Their broader style still suggests balanced attacking football.
Juventud sit 14 with 12 points after 14 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. Across the season they have posted 3 wins, 3 draws, and 8 defeats, and the 15:21 goal record continues to suggest mixed form over their recent run. Their attacking burden often falls on F. Mimbacas (7 goals), G. Gomez (2 goals), Ramiro Peralta (2 goals), while at the back they have been very solid. Away from home, they have returned 0 wins, 2 draws, and 4 losses, which indicates a weak split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they tend to play with a more cautious and defensive approach.
Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Defensor Sporting won 6 times, Juventud won 7 times, while 2 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 22:25 from Defensor Sporting's perspective. 10 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 10 matches, with an average of 3.13 goals per game.
Lineups
Defensor Sporting
Boston River
Defensor Sporting
Racing Montevideo
Defensor Sporting
Penarol
Defensor Sporting
Central Espanol
Defensor Sporting
Penarol
Defensor Sporting
Progreso
Defensor Sporting
Racing Montevideo
Defensor Sporting
Boston River
Defensor Sporting
Cerro
Defensor Sporting
Albion FC
Defensor Sporting
Danubio
Defensor Sporting
Club Nacional
Defensor Sporting
Deportivo Maldonado
Defensor Sporting
Central Espanol
Defensor Sporting
Atletico Torque
Defensor Sporting
Cerro Largo
Defensor Sporting
Liverpool Montevideo
Defensor Sporting
Wanderers
Defensor Sporting
Club Nacional
Defensor Sporting
Penarol
Juventud
Club Nacional
Juventud
Wanderers
Juventud
Progreso
Juventud
Wanderers
Juventud
Liverpool Montevideo
Juventud
Penarol
Juventud
Progreso
Juventud
Racing Montevideo
Juventud
Boston River
Juventud
Cerro
Juventud
Albion FC
Juventud
Danubio
Juventud
Independiente Medellin
Juventud
Club Nacional
Juventud
Independiente Medellin
Juventud
Deportivo Maldonado
Juventud
Club Guarani
Juventud
Central Espanol
Juventud
Club Guarani
Juventud
Atletico Torque
Defensor Sporting
Boston River
Defensor Sporting
Penarol
Defensor Sporting
Progreso
Defensor Sporting
Boston River
Defensor Sporting
Albion FC
Defensor Sporting
Club Nacional
Defensor Sporting
Central Espanol
Defensor Sporting
Cerro Largo
Defensor Sporting
Club Nacional
Defensor Sporting
Atletico Torque
Defensor Sporting
Wanderers
Defensor Sporting
Danubio
Defensor Sporting
Juventud
Defensor Sporting
Plaza Colonia
Defensor Sporting
CA River Plate
Juventud
Club Nacional
Juventud
Penarol
Juventud
Racing Montevideo
Juventud
Cerro
Juventud
Danubio
Juventud
Independiente Medellin
Juventud
Deportivo Maldonado
Juventud
Club Guarani
Juventud
Atletico Torque
Juventud
Universidad Catolica
Juventud
Liverpool Montevideo
Juventud
Racing Montevideo
Juventud
Boston River
Juventud
Penarol
Juventud
Defensor Sporting
Juventud
Wanderers
Juventud
Danubio
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 19 | 12 | 3 | 4 | 35:20 | 15 | 39 |
W
W
D
W
W
|
|
| 2 | 19 | 10 | 7 | 2 | 25:15 | 10 | 37 |
D
D
D
W
L
|
|
| 3 | 19 | 11 | 3 | 5 | 28:18 | 10 | 36 |
W
L
W
W
W
|
|
| 4 | 19 | 9 | 5 | 5 | 29:20 | 9 | 32 |
W
L
L
D
W
|
|
| 5 | 19 | 10 | 1 | 8 | 31:26 | 5 | 31 |
W
L
W
W
W
|
|
| 6 | 19 | 9 | 4 | 6 | 27:25 | 2 | 31 |
D
W
L
W
W
|
|
| 7 | 19 | 8 | 5 | 6 | 29:24 | 5 | 29 |
L
W
W
L
W
|
|
| 8 | 19 | 7 | 5 | 7 | 22:24 | -2 | 26 |
D
W
D
D
W
|
|
| 9 | 19 | 6 | 7 | 6 | 22:20 | 2 | 25 |
D
W
D
L
L
|
|
| 10 | 19 | 7 | 3 | 9 | 21:20 | 1 | 24 |
D
W
W
L
L
|
|
| 11 |
Defensor Sporting
Home
|
19 | 5 | 8 | 6 | 15:16 | -1 | 23 |
D
D
L
L
L
|
| 12 | 19 | 6 | 3 | 10 | 19:26 | -7 | 21 |
D
L
L
W
L
|
|
| 13 | 18 | 4 | 7 | 7 | 19:26 | -7 | 19 |
D
L
L
L
L
|
|
| 14 |
Juventud
Away
|
18 | 5 | 3 | 10 | 22:29 | -7 | 18 |
L
L
W
W
W
|
| 15 | 19 | 3 | 4 | 12 | 16:30 | -14 | 13 |
L
W
L
L
L
|
|
| 16 | 19 | 3 | 4 | 12 | 10:31 | -21 | 13 |
L
L
W
L
L
|