29.08.2026 20:00
Estadio Luis Franzini
Referee: J. Feres
Defensor Sporting
Match Timeline
Atletico Torque
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
3'
L. Agazzi
Defensor Sporting
11'
G. Kagelmacher
Atletico Torque
🟨
25'
Martín Rabuñal
Defensor Sporting
30'
S. Rodriguez
Atletico Torque
🔄
46'
M. Rabunal ↔ L. de los Santos
Defensor Sporting
🔄
46'
E. Cuello ↔ N. Wunsch
Defensor Sporting
59'
E. Obregon
Atletico Torque
🟨
64'
Esteban Obregón
Atletico Torque
🔄
71'
A. Torterolo ↔ F. Castro
Defensor Sporting
🔄
71'
T. A. Pozzo ↔ A. Perdomo
Defensor Sporting
🔄
72'
L. Andrade ↔ R. Lecchini
Atletico Torque
🔄
77'
D. Guzman ↔ F. Pizzichillo
Atletico Torque
🔄
81'
B. Montenegro ↔ J. Neris
Defensor Sporting
🟨
87'
Kevin Silva
Atletico Torque
🔄
89'
S. Rodriguez ↔ J. Taran
Atletico Torque
🔄
89'
K. Silva ↔ L. Dure
Atletico Torque
🔄
89'
E. Obregon ↔ N. Da Silva
Atletico Torque

Defensor Sporting vs Atletico Torque Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away Win
Probability 75.7%
Odds 2.34
BTTS
Yes
Probability 67.1%
Odds 1.83
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 64.5%
Odds 2.19
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away Win
75.7%
2.34
BTTS Yes
67.1%
1.83
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
64.5%
2.19
Corners O/U Under 7.5 Corners
92%
4.61
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
5.50
Correct Score 1-2
-
10.00
Probability Distribution
Defensor Sporting Win 19.5%
Draw 4.8%
Atletico Torque Win 75.7%
Expected Goals (xG)
Defensor Sporting0.97
Atletico Torque1.39
Recent Form (Last 5)
Defensor Sporting Defensor Sporting
WWDLW
20 GF / 28 GA
Atletico Torque Atletico Torque
WLDWL
40 GF / 32 GA
Key Stats
0.77
Average Goals Scored
1.6
1.08
Average Goals Conceded
1.28
13
BTTS Yes
16
7
Over 2.5
14
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Defensor Sporting Defensor Sporting 26 matches
Atletico Torque Atletico Torque 25 matches
Defensor Sporting Statistic Atletico Torque
6 Wins 12
10 Draws 5
10 Losses 8
20 Goals For 40
28 Goals Against 32
0.77 Avg Goals Scored 1.6
1.08 Avg Goals Conceded 1.28
13 BTTS Yes 16
17 Over 1.5 18
7 Over 2.5 14
1 Over 3.5 9
6 Clean Sheets 6
10 Failed To Score 4
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This match looks like a contest between Atletico Torque's more proactive style and Defensor Sporting's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring Atletico Torque. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Defensor Sporting expected to line up in 4-3-2-1 and Atletico Torque in 4-2-3-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Atletico Torque having the stronger overall control. Defensor Sporting have shown more instability in their recent run, so confidence and game management may become important factors. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent.

Defensor Sporting Analysis

Defensor Sporting sit 12 with 27 points after 24 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. Across the season they have posted 6 wins, 9 draws, and 9 defeats, and the 19:25 goal record continues to suggest poor form over their recent run. Their attacking burden often falls on their main attacking players, while at the back they have been very solid. At home, they have managed - wins, - draws, and - losses, a return that supports an unclear split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms they often show a more cautious and defensive approach.

Atletico Torque Analysis

Atletico Torque approach this game with the confidence of a side sitting 5 on 38 points after 23 outings. They have recorded 11 wins, 5 draws, and 7 losses, with a 34:27 goal return and good form over their recent run. In attack they lean heavily on their main attacking players, while defensively they have looked fairly stable. Away from home, the split of - wins, - draws, and - losses supports the view of an unclear split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Their football identity still points toward balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 14 head-to-head meetings, Defensor Sporting won 5 times, Atletico Torque won 5 times, while 4 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 14:12 from Defensor Sporting's perspective. 4 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 4 matches, with an average of 1.86 goals per game.

1X2: Away Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (95.2%)
Predicted formations: Defensor Sporting 4-3-2-1 / Atletico Torque 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: Defensor Sporting wins 5, draws 4, Atletico Torque wins 5

Standings

Primera: Clausura
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 5 5 0 0 14:4 10 15
W W W W W
2 6 4 1 1 12:4 8 13
L W D W W
3 6 4 1 1 8:7 1 13
W W D L W
4 6 3 2 1 8:5 3 11
W L W D W
5 5 3 1 1 9:3 6 9
W W L D W
6 6 2 3 1 7:5 2 9
D D W W L
7 6 2 2 2 6:5 1 8
L W L D W
8 6 2 2 2 8:8 0 8
L L D W D
9 6 2 2 2 6:7 -1 8
D D W W L
10 6 2 2 2 7:9 -2 8
D L W L D
11 6 2 0 4 3:7 -4 6
L W W L L
12 6 0 5 1 5:6 -1 5
D L D D D
13 6 1 2 3 3:7 -4 5
D D L L L
14 6 1 2 3 4:10 -6 5
W D L D L
15 6 0 3 3 1:7 -6 3
D L L D D
16 6 0 0 6 4:11 -7 0
L L L L L
Promotion - Liga AUF Uruguaya (Play Offs)