Defensa Y Justicia vs Independiente Prediction & Match Analysis
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| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|
Probability Distribution
Defensa Y Justicia Win 0%
Draw 0%
Independiente Win 0%
Expected Goals (xG)
Defensa Y Justicia1.29
Independiente1.26
Recent Form (Last 5)
Defensa Y Justicia
WWDLW
40 GF / 37 GA
Independiente
WLDWL
42 GF / 41 GA
Key Stats
1.29
Average Goals Scored
1.31
1.19
Average Goals Conceded
1.28
17
BTTS Yes
17
14
Over 2.5
13
4.54
Shots on Goal
3.86
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Defensa Y Justicia
31 matches
Independiente
32 matches
| Defensa Y Justicia | Statistic | Independiente |
|---|---|---|
| 13 | Wins | 13 |
| 10 | Draws | 9 |
| 8 | Losses | 10 |
| 40 | Goals For | 42 |
| 37 | Goals Against | 41 |
| 1.29 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.31 |
| 1.19 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.28 |
| 17 | BTTS Yes | 17 |
| 24 | Over 1.5 | 24 |
| 14 | Over 2.5 | 13 |
| 6 | Over 3.5 | 8 |
| 10 | Clean Sheets | 10 |
| 7 | Failed To Score | 7 |
| 4.54 | Shots On Goal | 3.86 |
| 12.07 | Total Shots | 12.72 |
| 4.18 | Corners | 5.59 |
| 51.5% | Ball Possession | 52.2% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
H2H Analysis
Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Defensa Y Justicia won 5 times, Independiente won 7 times, while 3 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 9:11 from Defensa Y Justicia's perspective. 3 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 3 matches, with an average of 1.33 goals per game.
Predicted formations: Defensa Y Justicia 4-2-3-1 / Independiente 4-3-3
H2H summary: Defensa Y Justicia wins 5, draws 3, Independiente wins 7
Standings
Apertura - Group A
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 16 | 9 | 4 | 3 | 19:7 | 12 | 31 |
D
W
L
W
L
|
|
| 2 | 16 | 8 | 6 | 2 | 22:9 | 13 | 30 |
D
W
W
W
D
|
|
| 3 | 16 | 7 | 7 | 2 | 18:12 | 6 | 28 |
L
D
W
D
W
|
|
| 4 | 16 | 7 | 5 | 4 | 17:13 | 4 | 26 |
D
L
L
W
L
|
|
| 5 |
Independiente
Away
|
16 | 6 | 6 | 4 | 24:20 | 4 | 24 |
D
L
W
D
W
|
| 6 | 16 | 6 | 6 | 4 | 18:15 | 3 | 24 |
W
D
W
W
W
|
|
| 7 | 16 | 5 | 7 | 4 | 14:14 | 0 | 22 |
W
L
L
D
W
|
|
| 8 | 16 | 5 | 6 | 5 | 24:20 | 4 | 21 |
L
L
L
L
W
|
|
| 9 | 16 | 6 | 3 | 7 | 17:17 | 0 | 21 |
D
W
W
W
L
|
|
| 10 |
Defensa Y Justicia
Home
|
16 | 4 | 7 | 5 | 18:21 | -3 | 19 |
W
W
D
W
L
|
| 11 | 16 | 5 | 4 | 7 | 14:22 | -8 | 19 |
W
L
D
L
D
|
|
| 12 | 16 | 3 | 7 | 6 | 10:15 | -5 | 16 |
D
D
L
L
D
|
|
| 13 | 16 | 4 | 4 | 8 | 11:21 | -10 | 16 |
D
D
D
L
L
|
|
| 14 | 16 | 3 | 6 | 7 | 15:27 | -12 | 15 |
L
D
W
D
D
|
|
| 15 | 16 | 1 | 8 | 7 | 5:12 | -7 | 11 |
L
D
D
L
D
|
Knockout Phase