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02.11.2026 22:00
Estadio Norberto Tomaghello
Referee: Sebastian Nicolas Martinez
Defensa Y Justicia
Match Timeline
Independiente
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
24'
Santiago Arias
Independiente
⚽
38'
Leandro Fernández · Assist: David Barbona
Defensa Y Justicia
VAR
42'
Maximiliano Meza
Independiente
⚽
44'
Maximiliano Meza
Independiente
🟨
52'
Nahuel Banegas
Independiente
🟨
61'
Santiago Gabriel Montiel
Independiente
🔄
66'
David Barbona ↔ Aaron Molinas
Defensa Y Justicia
🔄
67'
César Pérez ↔ Maximiliano Porcel
Defensa Y Justicia
🟨
68'
Sebastian Valdez
Independiente
🟨
71'
Maximiliano Porcel
Defensa Y Justicia
🔄
78'
Nahuel Banegas ↔ Facundo Zabala
Independiente
🔄
78'
Josias Palais ↔ Iván Morales
Independiente
🔄
78'
Maximiliano Meza ↔ Lautaro Millán
Independiente
🟨
79'
Juan Miguel Arrayago
Independiente
🔄
80'
Jeremías Lucco ↔ Tiziano Perrotta
Defensa Y Justicia
🔄
83'
Chimy Ávila ↔ Felipe Tempone
Independiente

Defensa Y Justicia vs Independiente Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Draw or Away
Probability 64.7%
Odds 1.62
BTTS
Yes
Probability 63.5%
Odds 1.91
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 50%
Odds 2.16
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Draw or Away
64.7%
1.62 ▥
BTTS Yes
63.5%
1.91 ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
50%
2.16 ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
77.7%
1.32 ▥
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
7.50 ▥
Correct Score 1-2
-
29.00 ▥
Probability Distribution
Defensa Y Justicia Win 35.4%
Draw 28.8%
Independiente Win 35.9%
Expected Goals (xG)
Defensa Y Justicia1.27
Independiente1.23
Recent Form (Last 5)
Defensa Y Justicia Defensa Y Justicia
W L W W D
9 GF / 4 GA
Independiente Independiente
L D D L W
4 GF / 7 GA
Key Stats
1.27
Average Goals Scored
1.26
1.18
Average Goals Conceded
1.26
18
BTTS Yes
18
15
Over 2.5
13
4.57
Shots on Goal
3.84

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Defensa Y Justicia Defensa Y Justicia 33 matches
Independiente Independiente 34 matches
Defensa Y Justicia Statistic Independiente
14 Wins 13
10 Draws 10
9 Losses 11
42 Goals For 43
39 Goals Against 43
1.27 Avg Goals Scored 1.26
1.18 Avg Goals Conceded 1.26
18 BTTS Yes 18
25 Over 1.5 25
15 Over 2.5 13
6 Over 3.5 8
10 Clean Sheets 10
8 Failed To Score 8
4.57 Shots On Goal 3.84
12.33 Total Shots 13.03
4.2 Corners 5.52
52% Ball Possession 51.7%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Defensa Y Justicia won 5 times, Independiente won 7 times, while 3 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 9:11 from Defensa Y Justicia's perspective. 3 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 3 matches, with an average of 1.33 goals per game.

1X2: Draw or Away
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (71.2%)
Predicted formations: Defensa Y Justicia 4-2-3-1 / Independiente 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: Defensa Y Justicia wins 5, draws 3, Independiente wins 7

Standings

Apertura - Group A
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 16 9 4 3 19:7 12 31
D L L D W
2 16 8 6 2 22:9 13 30
W W W D W
3 16 7 7 2 18:12 6 28
D W W L D
4 16 7 5 4 17:13 4 26
W L L D L
5 16 6 6 4 24:20 4 24
L D D L W
6 16 6 6 4 18:15 3 24
D D W W D
7 16 5 7 4 14:14 0 22
D D W W L
8 16 5 6 5 24:20 4 21
D W D L L
9 16 6 3 7 17:17 0 21
D W W D W
10 16 4 7 5 18:21 -3 19
W L W W D
11 16 5 4 7 14:22 -8 19
D L L W L
12 16 3 7 6 10:15 -5 16
W L D D L
13 16 4 4 8 11:21 -10 16
L L D D D
14 16 3 6 7 15:27 -12 15
D D W L D
15 16 1 8 7 5:12 -7 11
L L D L D
Knockout Phase