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11.09.2026 22:15
Estadio Norberto Tomaghello
Referee: Jorge Balino, Argentina
Defensa Y Justicia
Match Timeline
Gimnasia M.
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
⚽
11'
L. Fernandez · Assist: J. Gutierrez
Defensa Y Justicia
VAR
20'
Leandro Fernández
Defensa Y Justicia
🔄
34'
F. Lencioni ↔ B. Andrada
Gimnasia M.
🟨
45'
David Martínez
Defensa Y Justicia
🟨
50'
Diego Mondino
Gimnasia M.
⚽
57'
D. Barbona · Assist: C. Perez
Defensa Y Justicia
🔄
63'
F. Antonini ↔ N. Barboza
Gimnasia M.
🔄
63'
U. Sanchez ↔ M. Vargas
Gimnasia M.
🔄
63'
E. Fernandez ↔ A. Modica
Gimnasia M.
🔄
66'
D. Barbona ↔ M. Porcel
Defensa Y Justicia
🟨
70'
Luciano Paredes
Gimnasia M.
🟨
75'
Luciano Cingolani
Gimnasia M.
🔄
76'
L. Cingolani ↔ S. Rodriguez
Gimnasia M.
🔄
79'
J. Lucco ↔ A. Hausch
Defensa Y Justicia
🔄
79'
L. Fernandez ↔ T. Perrotta
Defensa Y Justicia
🔄
83'
J. Gutierrez ↔ E. Burdin
Defensa Y Justicia

Defensa Y Justicia vs Gimnasia M. Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 51.7%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 67.1%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 72%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
51.7%
- ▥
BTTS Yes
67.1%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
72%
- ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
- ▥
HT / FT Home / Home
-
- ▥
Correct Score 2-1
-
- ▥
Probability Distribution
Defensa Y Justicia Win 51.7%
Draw 15.1%
Gimnasia M. Win 33.2%
Expected Goals (xG)
Defensa Y Justicia1.15
Gimnasia M.1.19
Recent Form (Last 5)
Defensa Y Justicia Defensa Y Justicia
WWDLW
31 GF / 35 GA
Gimnasia M. Gimnasia M.
WLDWL
28 GF / 29 GA
Key Stats
1.15
Average Goals Scored
1.12
1.3
Average Goals Conceded
1.16
16
BTTS Yes
11
12
Over 2.5
10
4.17
Shots on Goal
4.04

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Defensa Y Justicia Defensa Y Justicia 27 matches
Gimnasia M. Gimnasia M. 25 matches
Defensa Y Justicia Statistic Gimnasia M.
10 Wins 10
9 Draws 6
8 Losses 9
31 Goals For 28
35 Goals Against 29
1.15 Avg Goals Scored 1.12
1.3 Avg Goals Conceded 1.16
16 BTTS Yes 11
20 Over 1.5 14
12 Over 2.5 10
5 Over 3.5 6
7 Clean Sheets 8
7 Failed To Score 8
4.17 Shots On Goal 4.04
11.33 Total Shots 11.54
4.38 Corners 3.71
52% Ball Possession 44.5%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This contest looks finely balanced, with two sides with a fairly similar football identity suggesting a close tactical battle. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward Gimnasia M.. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Defensa Y Justicia expected to line up in 4-2-3-1 and Gimnasia M. in 4-1-4-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Gimnasia M. having the stronger overall control. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns. Gimnasia M. look sharper on recent form, and that momentum could be important in key phases of the match. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected.

Defensa Y Justicia Analysis

So far, Defensa Y Justicia have built a campaign that leaves them 10 in the table on 19 points from 16 matches. The record of 4 wins, 7 draws, and 5 defeats, together with a 18:21 goal balance, points toward good form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through Juan Manuel Gutiérrez (2 goals), David Barbona (2 goals), Ayrton Portillo (2 goals), with creative support from Juan Manuel Gutiérrez (2 assists), David Barbona (1 assists), Aaron Molinas (1 assists), while at the back they have looked very solid. At home, the record of 1 wins, 5 draws, and 2 losses points toward a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader style still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

Gimnasia M. Analysis

Gimnasia M. sit 11 with 19 points after 16 league matches. Across the campaign, they have posted 5 wins, 4 draws, and 7 losses, while the 14:22 goal ratio supports the view of very strong form and are on a winning streak. Going forward they rely heavily on Agustín Modica (8 goals), Facundo Lencioni (2 goals), Luciano Cingolani (2 goals), with creative support from Facundo Lencioni (3 assists), Ignacio Sabatini (2 assists), Tomás O'Connor (2 assists), and defensively they have been very solid. Away from home, they have returned 1 wins, 3 draws, and 4 losses, a split that suggests a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms, they tend to show a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 1 head-to-head meetings, Defensa Y Justicia won 0 times, Gimnasia M. won 1 times, while 0 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 1:2 from Defensa Y Justicia's perspective. 1 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 1 matches, with an average of 3 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (84.9%)
Predicted formations: Defensa Y Justicia 4-2-3-1 / Gimnasia M. 4-1-4-1
H2H summary: Defensa Y Justicia wins 0, draws 0, Gimnasia M. wins 1

Standings

Apertura - Group A
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 16 9 4 3 19:7 12 31
D W L W L
2 16 8 6 2 22:9 13 30
D W W W D
3 16 7 7 2 18:12 6 28
L D W D W
4 16 7 5 4 17:13 4 26
D L L W L
5 16 6 6 4 24:20 4 24
D L W D W
6 16 6 6 4 18:15 3 24
W D W W W
7 16 5 7 4 14:14 0 22
W L L D W
8 16 5 6 5 24:20 4 21
L L L L W
9 16 6 3 7 17:17 0 21
D W W W L
10 16 4 7 5 18:21 -3 19
W W D W L
11 16 5 4 7 14:22 -8 19
W L D L D
12 16 3 7 6 10:15 -5 16
D D L L D
13 16 4 4 8 11:21 -10 16
D D D L L
14 16 3 6 7 15:27 -12 15
L D W D D
15 16 1 8 7 5:12 -7 11
L D D L D
Knockout Phase