Defensa Y Justicia vs Gimnasia M. Prediction & Match Analysis
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home Win |
51.7%
|
- | |
| BTTS | Yes |
67.1%
|
- | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 |
72%
|
- | |
| Corners O/U | Over 7.5 Corners |
92%
|
- | |
| HT / FT | Home / Home |
-
|
- | |
| Correct Score | 2-1 |
-
|
- |
Defensa Y Justicia
Gimnasia M.
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Defensa Y Justicia
27 matches
Gimnasia M.
25 matches
| Defensa Y Justicia | Statistic | Gimnasia M. |
|---|---|---|
| 10 | Wins | 10 |
| 9 | Draws | 6 |
| 8 | Losses | 9 |
| 31 | Goals For | 28 |
| 35 | Goals Against | 29 |
| 1.15 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.12 |
| 1.3 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.16 |
| 16 | BTTS Yes | 11 |
| 20 | Over 1.5 | 14 |
| 12 | Over 2.5 | 10 |
| 5 | Over 3.5 | 6 |
| 7 | Clean Sheets | 8 |
| 7 | Failed To Score | 8 |
| 4.17 | Shots On Goal | 4.04 |
| 11.33 | Total Shots | 11.54 |
| 4.38 | Corners | 3.71 |
| 52% | Ball Possession | 44.5% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
This contest looks finely balanced, with two sides with a fairly similar football identity suggesting a close tactical battle. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward Gimnasia M.. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Defensa Y Justicia expected to line up in 4-2-3-1 and Gimnasia M. in 4-1-4-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Gimnasia M. having the stronger overall control. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns. Gimnasia M. look sharper on recent form, and that momentum could be important in key phases of the match. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected.
So far, Defensa Y Justicia have built a campaign that leaves them 10 in the table on 19 points from 16 matches. The record of 4 wins, 7 draws, and 5 defeats, together with a 18:21 goal balance, points toward good form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through Juan Manuel Gutiérrez (2 goals), David Barbona (2 goals), Ayrton Portillo (2 goals), with creative support from Juan Manuel Gutiérrez (2 assists), David Barbona (1 assists), Aaron Molinas (1 assists), while at the back they have looked very solid. At home, the record of 1 wins, 5 draws, and 2 losses points toward a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader style still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.
Gimnasia M. sit 11 with 19 points after 16 league matches. Across the campaign, they have posted 5 wins, 4 draws, and 7 losses, while the 14:22 goal ratio supports the view of very strong form and are on a winning streak. Going forward they rely heavily on Agustín Modica (8 goals), Facundo Lencioni (2 goals), Luciano Cingolani (2 goals), with creative support from Facundo Lencioni (3 assists), Ignacio Sabatini (2 assists), Tomás O'Connor (2 assists), and defensively they have been very solid. Away from home, they have returned 1 wins, 3 draws, and 4 losses, a split that suggests a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms, they tend to show a more cautious and defensive approach.
Across those 1 head-to-head meetings, Defensa Y Justicia won 0 times, Gimnasia M. won 1 times, while 0 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 1:2 from Defensa Y Justicia's perspective. 1 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 1 matches, with an average of 3 goals per game.
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 16 | 9 | 4 | 3 | 19:7 | 12 | 31 |
D
W
L
W
L
|
|
| 2 | 16 | 8 | 6 | 2 | 22:9 | 13 | 30 |
D
W
W
W
D
|
|
| 3 | 16 | 7 | 7 | 2 | 18:12 | 6 | 28 |
L
D
W
D
W
|
|
| 4 | 16 | 7 | 5 | 4 | 17:13 | 4 | 26 |
D
L
L
W
L
|
|
| 5 | 16 | 6 | 6 | 4 | 24:20 | 4 | 24 |
D
L
W
D
W
|
|
| 6 | 16 | 6 | 6 | 4 | 18:15 | 3 | 24 |
W
D
W
W
W
|
|
| 7 | 16 | 5 | 7 | 4 | 14:14 | 0 | 22 |
W
L
L
D
W
|
|
| 8 | 16 | 5 | 6 | 5 | 24:20 | 4 | 21 |
L
L
L
L
W
|
|
| 9 | 16 | 6 | 3 | 7 | 17:17 | 0 | 21 |
D
W
W
W
L
|
|
| 10 |
Defensa Y Justicia
Home
|
16 | 4 | 7 | 5 | 18:21 | -3 | 19 |
W
W
D
W
L
|
| 11 |
Gimnasia M.
Away
|
16 | 5 | 4 | 7 | 14:22 | -8 | 19 |
W
L
D
L
D
|
| 12 | 16 | 3 | 7 | 6 | 10:15 | -5 | 16 |
D
D
L
L
D
|
|
| 13 | 16 | 4 | 4 | 8 | 11:21 | -10 | 16 |
D
D
D
L
L
|
|
| 14 | 16 | 3 | 6 | 7 | 15:27 | -12 | 15 |
L
D
W
D
D
|
|
| 15 | 16 | 1 | 8 | 7 | 5:12 | -7 | 11 |
L
D
D
L
D
|