ARGENTINA LIGA PROFESIONAL ARGENTINA
--.--.---- --:--
Estadio Norberto Tomaghello
Referee: Carlos Andres Gariano, Argentina
Defensa Y Justicia
Match Timeline
Boca Juniors
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
VAR
8'
Juan Manuel Gutiérrez
Defensa Y Justicia
22'
M. Gimenez · Assist: A. Velasco
Boca Juniors
🔄
46'
Angel Romero ↔ S. Ascacibar
Boca Juniors
🟨
47'
Milton Delgado
Boca Juniors
🔄
54'
A. Hausch ↔ A. Coria
Defensa Y Justicia
🔄
62'
M. Delgado ↔ L. Paredes
Boca Juniors
🔄
62'
M. Gimenez ↔ A. Bareiro
Boca Juniors
🔄
71'
D. Caceres ↔ E. Pereyra
Defensa Y Justicia
🟨
72'
Ruben Botta
Defensa Y Justicia
🟨
72'
Adam Bareiro
Boca Juniors
🔄
72'
E. Amor ↔ E. Banega
Defensa Y Justicia
🔄
72'
A. Portillo ↔ L. Gonzalez
Defensa Y Justicia
77'
A. Velasco · Assist: E. Zeballos
Boca Juniors
🔄
79'
E. Zeballos ↔ T. Aranda
Boca Juniors
81'
A. Bareiro · Assist: T. Aranda
Boca Juniors
🔄
82'
A. Velasco ↔ Miguel Merentiel
Boca Juniors
🔄
84'
R. Botta ↔ M. Aguiar
Defensa Y Justicia
VAR
90+3'
Miguel Merentiel
Boca Juniors
90'
Miguel Merentiel · Assist: T. Aranda
Boca Juniors

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away Win
Probability 64.2%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS Yes
Probability 70.5%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 71.2%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away Win
64.2%
-
BTTS BTTS Yes
70.5%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
71.2%
-
Probability Distribution
Defensa Y Justicia Win 29.6%
Draw 6.3%
Boca Juniors Win 64.2%
Expected Goals (xG)
Defensa Y Justicia0.96
Boca Juniors1.19
Recent Form (Last 5)
Defensa Y Justicia Defensa Y Justicia
WWDLW
20 GF / 16 GA
Boca Juniors Boca Juniors
WLDWL
25 GF / 10 GA
Key Stats
1.25
Average Goals Scored
1.32
1
Average Goals Conceded
0.53
9
BTTS Yes
8
5
Over 2.5
6
3.79
Shots on Goal
4.25

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Defensa Y Justicia Defensa Y Justicia 16 matches
Boca Juniors Boca Juniors 19 matches
Defensa Y Justicia Statistic Boca Juniors
6 Wins 10
7 Draws 7
3 Losses 2
20 Goals For 25
16 Goals Against 10
1.25 Avg Goals Scored 1.32
1 Avg Goals Conceded 0.53
9 BTTS Yes 8
11 Over 1.5 13
5 Over 2.5 6
3 Over 3.5 0
6 Clean Sheets 11
4 Failed To Score 3
3.79 Shots On Goal 4.25
9.93 Total Shots 11.88
4 Corners 4.56
49.8% Ball Possession 59.6%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This match appears to feature a noticeable gap in profile, built around two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward Boca Juniors. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Defensa Y Justicia expected to line up in 3-4-3 and Boca Juniors in 4-4-2, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Boca Juniors having the stronger overall control. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. Defensa Y Justicia have shown more instability in their recent run, so confidence and game management may become important factors. Boca Juniors carry the stronger overall league profile, standing 1 with 153 points while Defensa Y Justicia sit 16 on 115, suggesting a clearer edge in long-term output. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent.

Defensa Y Justicia Analysis

With 115 points from 87 games and a place of 16, Defensa Y Justicia still have clear room for improvement in overall consistency. Across the season they have posted - wins, - draws, and - defeats, and the 0:0 goal record continues to suggest mixed form and are going through a difficult losing run. Their attacking burden often falls on A. Molinas (3 goals), Juan Manuel Gutiérrez (3 goals), A. Portillo (2 goals), with creative support from A. Molinas (4 assists), Juan Manuel Gutiérrez (2 assists), A. Portillo (1 assists), while at the back they have been very solid. At home, they have managed 1 wins, 5 draws, and 0 losses, a return that supports a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. In football terms they often show a more cautious and defensive approach.

Boca Juniors Analysis

Operating from 1 place with 153 points from 87 games, Boca Juniors bring one of the stronger season profiles into this match. With - wins, - draws, and - defeats plus a goal balance of 0:0, they continue to show good form over their recent run. Their attacking quality is driven by Miguel Merentiel (4 goals), Adam Bareiro (2 goals), L. Paredes (2 goals), with creative support from L. Paredes (3 assists), Miguel Merentiel (2 assists), Adam Bareiro (1 assists), and at the back they have appeared very solid. Away from home, the split of 2 wins, 1 draws, and 2 losses supports the view of a fairly balanced split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their football identity still points toward a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Defensa Y Justicia won 3 times, Boca Juniors won 8 times, while 4 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 8:20 from Defensa Y Justicia's perspective. 6 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 4 matches, with an average of 1.87 goals per game.

1X2: Away Win
BTTS: BTTS Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (93.7%)
Predicted formations: Defensa Y Justicia 3-4-3 / Boca Juniors 4-4-2
H2H summary: Defensa Y Justicia wins 3, draws 4, Boca Juniors wins 8
Stats
Defensa Y Justicia Defensa Y Justicia
Boca Juniors Boca Juniors
Shots on Goal
1
Shots on Goal
7
Shots off Goal
5
Shots off Goal
3
Blocked Shots
2
Blocked Shots
1
4 Corner Kicks 1
5 Fouls 11
3 Offsides 3
52% Ball Possession 48%
8 Total Shots 11
1 Shots on Goal 7
5 Shots off Goal 3
2 Blocked Shots 1
4 Shots insidebox 9
4 Shots outsidebox 2
3 Goalkeeper Saves 1
402 Total passes 374
334 Passes accurate 302
0 expected_goals 0
🟨 1 Yellow Cards 2 🟨
🟥 0 Red Cards 0 🟥

Lineups

Defensa Y Justicia
Formation
Boca Juniors
C. Fiermarin
C. Fiermarin
L. Souto
L. Souto
E. Amor
E. Amor
D. Fernandez
D. Fernandez
A. Portillo
A. Portillo
A. Molinas
A. Molinas
S. Sosa
S. Sosa
D. Caceres
D. Caceres
J. Gutierrez
J. Gutierrez
A. Hausch
A. Hausch
R. Botta
R. Botta
L. Brey
L. Brey
J. Barinaga
J. Barinaga
J. Figal
J. Figal
M. Pellegrino
M. Pellegrino
M. Braida
M. Braida
M. Delgado
M. Delgado
T. Belmonte
T. Belmonte
Angel Romero
Angel Romero
A. Velasco
🎯
A. Velasco
E. Zeballos
🎯
E. Zeballos
M. Gimenez
M. Gimenez
Defensa Y Justicia 3-4-2-1
Starting XI
22
C. Fiermarin
G
33
L. Souto
D
6
E. Amor
↓ 72'
D
29
D. Fernandez
D
16
A. Portillo
↓ 72'
M
10
A. Molinas
M
15
S. Sosa
M
26
D. Caceres
↓ 71'
M
24
J. Gutierrez
F
17
A. Hausch
↓ 54'
F
20
R. Botta
↓ 84' 🟨 72'
F
Substitutes
36
L. Amade
G
11
E. Banega
↑ 72'
M
55
J. Lopez
M
25
F. Altamira
F
9
L. Gonzalez
↑ 72'
F
32
N. Roselli
D
19
D. Barbona
F
21
D. Martinez
D
27
E. Pereyra
↑ 71'
D
8
C. Perez
M
23
M. Aguiar
↑ 84'
M
31
A. Coria
↑ 54'
F
Boca Juniors 4-2-3-1
Starting XI
12
L. Brey
G
24
J. Barinaga
D
4
J. Figal
D
26
M. Pellegrino
D
27
M. Braida
D
18
M. Delgado
↓ 62' 🟨 47'
M
30
T. Belmonte
M
29
Angel Romero
↓ 46'
M
20
A. Velasco
⚽ 77' 🎯 22' ↓ 82'
M
7
E. Zeballos
🎯 77' ↓ 79'
M
9
M. Gimenez
⚽ 22' ↓ 62'
F
Substitutes
13
J. Garcia
G
5
L. Paredes
↑ 62'
M
28
A. Bareiro
⚽ 81' ↑ 62' 🟨 72'
F
25
S. Ascacibar
↑ 46'
M
16
Miguel Merentiel
⚽ 90' ↑ 82'
F
23
M. Weigandt
D
3
L. Blanco
D
22
K. Zenon
M
2
L. Di Lollo
D
15
W. H. Alarcon Cepeda
M
32
A. Costa
D
36
T. Aranda
🎯 81' 🎯 90' ↑ 79'
M
Last matches: Defensa Y Justicia
04.05.26
Lig
Defensa Y Justicia
Gimnasia M.
1
2
L
18.04.26
Lig
Defensa Y Justicia
Independiente
1
3
L
13.04.26
Lig
Defensa Y Justicia
Talleres Cordoba
1
2
L
07.04.26
Lig
Defensa Y Justicia
Instituto Cordoba
0
2
L
01.04.26
Cop
Defensa Y Justicia
Chaco For Ever
2
1
W
21.03.26
Lig
Defensa Y Justicia
Union Santa Fe
2
0
W
16.03.26
Lig
Defensa Y Justicia
San Lorenzo
5
2
W
12.03.26
Lig
Defensa Y Justicia
Central Cordoba de Santiago
1
1
D
02.03.26
Lig
Defensa Y Justicia
Lanus
1
1
D
24.02.26
Lig
Defensa Y Justicia
Platense
0
0
D
20.02.26
Lig
Defensa Y Justicia
Belgrano Cordoba
1
1
D
14.02.26
Lig
Defensa Y Justicia
Velez Sarsfield
1
1
D
08.02.26
Lig
Defensa Y Justicia
Newells Old Boys
3
2
W
02.02.26
Lig
Defensa Y Justicia
Estudiantes L.P.
0
0
D
29.01.26
Lig
Defensa Y Justicia
Deportivo Riestra
1
0
W
22.01.26
Lig
Defensa Y Justicia
Aldosivi
0
0
D
08.01.26
Fri
Defensa Y Justicia
Santa Cruz
1
0
W
Last matches: Boca Juniors
09.07.26
Fri
Boca Juniors
Atletico Paranaense
1
0
W
29.05.26
CON
Boca Juniors
U. Catolica
0
1
L
20.05.26
CON
Boca Juniors
Cruzeiro
1
1
D
09.05.26
Lig
Boca Juniors
Huracan
2
3
L
06.05.26
CON
Boca Juniors
Barcelona SC
0
1
L
02.05.26
Lig
Boca Juniors
Central Cordoba de Santiago
2
1
W
29.04.26
CON
Boca Juniors
Cruzeiro
0
1
L
19.04.26
Lig
Boca Juniors
River Plate
1
0
W
15.04.26
CON
Boca Juniors
Barcelona SC
3
0
W
11.04.26
Lig
Boca Juniors
Independiente
1
1
D
08.04.26
CON
Boca Juniors
U. Catolica
2
1
W
02.04.26
Lig
Boca Juniors
Talleres Cordoba
1
0
W
22.03.26
Lig
Boca Juniors
Instituto Cordoba
2
0
W
16.03.26
Lig
Boca Juniors
Union Santa Fe
1
1
D
11.03.26
Lig
Boca Juniors
San Lorenzo
1
1
D
05.03.26
Lig
Boca Juniors
Lanus
3
0
W
28.02.26
Lig
Boca Juniors
Gimnasia M.
1
1
D
25.02.26
Cop
Boca Juniors
Gimnasia Chivilcoy
2
0
W
20.02.26
Lig
Boca Juniors
Racing Club
0
0
D
15.02.26
Lig
Boca Juniors
Platense
0
0
D
H2H: Defensa Y Justicia vs Boca Juniors
23.04.26
H2H
Defensa Y Justicia
Boca Juniors
0
4
L
27.09.25
H2H
Defensa Y Justicia
Boca Juniors
2
1
W
16.03.25
H2H
Boca Juniors
Defensa Y Justicia
4
0
L
21.07.24
H2H
Defensa Y Justicia
Boca Juniors
2
2
D
10.02.24
H2H
Boca Juniors
Defensa Y Justicia
0
0
D
15.09.23
H2H
Defensa Y Justicia
Boca Juniors
1
0
W
07.03.23
H2H
Boca Juniors
Defensa Y Justicia
0
0
D
21.08.22
H2H
Defensa Y Justicia
Boca Juniors
0
1
L
11.05.22
H2H
Boca Juniors
Defensa Y Justicia
2
0
L
15.09.21
H2H
Boca Juniors
Defensa Y Justicia
0
0
D
03.04.21
H2H
Boca Juniors
Defensa Y Justicia
2
1
L
06.10.19
H2H
Defensa Y Justicia
Boca Juniors
0
1
L
25.02.19
H2H
Defensa Y Justicia
Boca Juniors
0
1
L
07.04.18
H2H
Boca Juniors
Defensa Y Justicia
1
2
W
01.04.17
H2H
Boca Juniors
Defensa Y Justicia
1
0
L
Last matches: Defensa Y Justicia
13.04.26
Lig
Defensa Y Justicia
Talleres Cordoba
1
2
L
01.04.26
Cop
Defensa Y Justicia
Chaco For Ever
2
1
W
21.03.26
Lig
Defensa Y Justicia
Union Santa Fe
2
0
W
12.03.26
Lig
Defensa Y Justicia
Central Cordoba de Santiago
1
1
D
02.03.26
Lig
Defensa Y Justicia
Lanus
1
1
D
20.02.26
Lig
Defensa Y Justicia
Belgrano Cordoba
1
1
D
14.02.26
Lig
Defensa Y Justicia
Velez Sarsfield
1
1
D
02.02.26
Lig
Defensa Y Justicia
Estudiantes L.P.
0
0
D
H2H at home: Defensa Y Justicia
23.04.26
H2H
Defensa Y Justicia
Boca Juniors
0
4
L
27.09.25
H2H
Defensa Y Justicia
Boca Juniors
2
1
W
21.07.24
H2H
Defensa Y Justicia
Boca Juniors
2
2
D
15.09.23
H2H
Defensa Y Justicia
Boca Juniors
1
0
W
21.08.22
H2H
Defensa Y Justicia
Boca Juniors
0
1
L
06.10.19
H2H
Defensa Y Justicia
Boca Juniors
0
1
L
25.02.19
H2H
Defensa Y Justicia
Boca Juniors
0
1
L
Last matches: Boca Juniors
06.05.26
CON
Boca Juniors
Barcelona SC
0
1
L
02.05.26
Lig
Boca Juniors
Central Cordoba de Santiago
2
1
W
29.04.26
CON
Boca Juniors
Cruzeiro
0
1
L
19.04.26
Lig
Boca Juniors
River Plate
1
0
W
08.04.26
CON
Boca Juniors
U. Catolica
2
1
W
02.04.26
Lig
Boca Juniors
Talleres Cordoba
1
0
W
16.03.26
Lig
Boca Juniors
Union Santa Fe
1
1
D
05.03.26
Lig
Boca Juniors
Lanus
3
0
W
09.02.26
Lig
Boca Juniors
Velez Sarsfield
1
2
L
29.01.26
Lig
Boca Juniors
Estudiantes L.P.
1
2
L
H2H away: Boca Juniors
23.04.26
H2H
Defensa Y Justicia
Boca Juniors
0
4
W
27.09.25
H2H
Defensa Y Justicia
Boca Juniors
2
1
L
21.07.24
H2H
Defensa Y Justicia
Boca Juniors
2
2
D
15.09.23
H2H
Defensa Y Justicia
Boca Juniors
1
0
L
21.08.22
H2H
Defensa Y Justicia
Boca Juniors
0
1
W
06.10.19
H2H
Defensa Y Justicia
Boca Juniors
0
1
W
25.02.19
H2H
Defensa Y Justicia
Boca Juniors
0
1
W

Standings

Apertura - Group A
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 16 9 4 3 19:7 12 31
L W D W W
2 16 8 6 2 22:9 13 30
L W W W D
3 16 7 7 2 18:12 6 28
L D D D W
4 16 7 5 4 17:13 4 26
L D D W W
5 16 6 6 4 24:20 4 24
L W L W D
6 16 6 6 4 18:15 3 24
L D D L W
7 16 5 7 4 14:14 0 22
L L W D D
8 16 5 6 5 24:20 4 21
L W D D L
9 16 6 3 7 17:17 0 21
W D L W W
10 16 4 7 5 18:21 -3 19
L L L L L
11 16 5 4 7 14:22 -8 19
W L W D W
12 16 3 7 6 10:15 -5 16
L L L D D
13 16 4 4 8 11:21 -10 16
L D W L L
14 16 3 6 7 15:27 -12 15
D D W D W
15 16 1 8 7 5:12 -7 11
D W L L L
Knockout Phase